The Waratahs are roaring to the Super 14 finals
By Spiro Zavos, 28 Apr 2008 Spiro Zavos is a Roar Expert

Let’s hear it for a first year Super 14 coach who dropped his captain early in the season, and for two other coaches who’ve been sacked for presenting three tenacious Australian sides in this week’s thrilling Super Rugby round.
Philip Mooney (the Reds), Laurie Fisher (the ACT Brumbies) and Ewen McKenzie (the NSW Waratahs), you’ve taken plenty of brickbats this season, now it’s your turn to stand up and take a bow.
The Brumbies were helped, admittedly, but two curious refereeing decisions by NZ referee Kelvin Deaker. First, when the Lions were leading 21 – 8 they forced a kick through to the Brumbies tryline. A Brumbies defender swooped down for the ball. The Lions allowed him to get back to his feet, and then smashed him over and went for the ball. A try was on. But Deaker, inexplicably, penalised the Lions for not allowing the player to get to his feet.
This is a pet hate of mine, referees who rule on what they don’t see. Deaker did not see the Lions fall on the player before he got to his feet because they didn’t do this. Yet he made his ruling. Lucky Brumbies, unlucky Lions.
Then Deaker sin-binned a Lions forward for slowing the ball down, around the halfway mark! What was the point of this? With the Lions a player down, the Brumbies were able to level the score at 21 – 21.
With seconds left to play the Lions foolishly tried to drive the ball forward from their 22. A blast of the whistle and a turnover short-arm penalty to the Brumbies. A quick tap and a try under the posts kept the Brumbies’ finals chances alive.
However, a crunch match against the Stormers at Cape Town will probably put either the home side or the Brumbies out of the finals race.
The Reds are out of finals contention and they can only play the spoilers role, with the match against the Waratahs at Brisbane in the final round probably deciding whether the Waratahs have a home finals match.
What I look for with coaches is two things: results and improvement in the players. Mooney has achieved three wins this season, with the Blues, Crusaders and Waratahs to come, all difficult games. But even with no more wins, the season has been better than supporters could dared have hoped for in terms of results.
More importantly, and looking to next season, Mooney has established a long-term captain James Horwill, who has taken some of the thuggery out of his play and is now the leading second-rower in Australia, in my view. Quade Cooper, finally, is beginning to run the game for the Reds back line with the deft touches, vision and sharp running. Even a relatively old (only relative) player like Morgan Turinui has got back his pace, his skill at breaking the line, and has added some sound defensive work to his game.
The Waratahs led 3 – 0 at halftime against the toothless Sharks. As someone murmured to me in the press box,: ‘This is better than last week when it was 0 – 0 at halftime.’ The 3 points were courtesy of an outrageous penalty goal from Lote Tuqiri. I wonder how many players have kicked their first penalty in Super Rugby from 50m out? Francois Steyn, not to be out-done, kicked a penalty later on from well inside his own half.
Reader photo, submitted by Oscar Jimenez

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The Waratahs were patient and smart. From the kick-off, for instance, Kurtley Beale kicked a perfect ball to an isolated Sharks back standing by himself in the middle of the field. The defender spilled the ball and the Waratahs were immediately on the attack. They played intelligently, spreading the ball, and then bashing it up even though the points did not come. When they were in the red zone they ran hard and straight on to pop-up passes. The Sharks couldn’t hold runners like Wycliffe Palu and Tom Carter, and in the end 22 points and four tries were scored.
The Sharks play the rampant Crusaders at Christchurch and even though they’re still in the top four you’d have to believe that their finals run has come to a shuddering stop. As for the Waratahs, they seem to be roaring into the finals.
Come back Ewen McKenzie, all is forgiven …
Player Of The Round: the unstoppable Wycliffe Palu who gave the best imitation of Willie Ofahengaue since the great man himself steam-rolled defenders on his way to the try line in his glory days.
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Eljay said | April 28th 2008 @ 8:37am | Report comment
Spiro, I believe Palu is potentially better than Willie O. He’s more like Jonah Lomu at his peak. How good it was to see mere mortals being skittled as the wrecking ball that is Palu set sail for the try line. Goosebumps. I am still coming down after seeing those two tries. Better than sex.
Harry said | April 28th 2008 @ 9:34am | Report comment
I’ll join the praise for Palu who was terrific ion Saturday night and has constantly delivered this season, right from game one (Wellington) when he outplayed the NZ incumbent numbers 8 and 6. NSW were very very good on Saturday night, the Sharks are a world class team – against many teams the Tahs would have run riot in the first half as there attack was slick, smart and hard – yet I can’t remmber one missed tackle from the Sharks. Amazingly, the Tahs were able to step it up in the second half and scored 4 quality tries. Now before all you Tah supporters go berko (including you Spiro) lets just wait and see how they go on the road in SA before we install them as certain finalists against Canterbury.
The Reds suffered through their status/recent history on the weekend when they had a huge injustice when Siviatu committed a blatant professional foul and was not yellow-carded – even the Kiwi commentators said he was lucky. And two contentious video calls both went against the Reds. There was a post on here a few weeks ago from a Canberra Raiders supporter complaining that video refs were constantly biased against his team – looking for reasons to rule against his team and for reasons to allow a score by the oppo – so it was for the Reds on Saturday night.
sheek said | April 28th 2008 @ 9:49am | Report comment
Naturally, it’s dangerous trying to predict the outcomes of matches too far out. Even a week ahead is too far out!
You’re right, Spiro. The Waratahs last game against the Reds might determine whether they get a home semi. I’m predicting the Tahs to lose to the Stormers away (one of the form teams), so they’ll need to beat the Reds to secure 2nd spot, with 44 points minimum.
I predict the Crusaders & Stormers to win all 3 of their remaining games. This will put the Crusaders way out in front on 55 points, while the Stormers would bullet into 3rd position on 43 points. Of course, this doesn’t account for bonus points.
I expect the Sharks will go into their final game against the Chiefs, also the very last game of the H&A comp, on 36-37 points, with a must win against the Chiefs, on 40-41 points. It might come down to for & against.
However, this all depends on the Blues spoiling the Hurricanes (the 1st game of the final round), who would then finish on about 39 points. But if the Canes get up against the Blues, then the Sharks might only be playing for pride, while the Chiefs would be playing for a 3 way split with the Stormers & Hurricanes.
Confused? So am I. I see two different scenarios after the final round.
Scenario 1: Crusaders 55-56 points; Waratahs 44-45 points; Stormers 43-44 points; Sharks 40-41 points; Chiefs 40-41 points; Hurricanes 39-40 points.
Scenario 2: Crusaders 55-56 points; Waratahs 44-45 points; Chiefs 44-45 points; Stormers 43-44 points; Hurricanes 43-44 points; Sharks 36-37 points.
Points differential (F&A) at the moment is Crusaders +191; Hurricanes +71; Waratahs +65; Stormers +39; Sharks +29; Chiefs +28.
IMHO, the Brumbies, Blues & Force have no chance of making the playoffs. I expect the Brumbies & Force to only win one game each, while the Blues might win two (one being the crunch match against the Canes).
I expect the Tahs to drop one of their final 3 games, likely against the Stormers. But the Reds match is a huge danger zone for them. In any case, I think the Crusaders & Tahs will finish first & second.
I also expect the Stormers to be one of the other semi-finalists, leaving Sharks, Chiefs & Hurricanes to fight out the final spot.
Like the Tahs, the Canes face a danger zone last match against the Blues.
There you go, I’ve gone & done what I said I wouldn’t do – make silly predictions!
mudskipper said | April 28th 2008 @ 10:10am | Report comment
Agreed Palu’s try while satanding at left wing was a little reminiscent of the great Jonah Lomu. It’s a fitter and faster Palu we are seeing late in the season…Waratahs forwards need to go with him; Rocky’s return will help. The inside backs need be running off his shoulder…
Blinky Bill - Bellingen NSW said | April 28th 2008 @ 12:08pm | Report comment
Eljay – “more like Jonah Lomu at his peak” and “Better than sex.” Crikey you need to get out more.
While I agree the Tahs played well, and I certainly don’t want to rain on the parade, I am wondering how we would have gone if they would have had their Skipper & that classy froggy on the field.
However the boys go in Africa, I’ll be expressing myself by tossing my cooking apron & tea towels at the wife and demanding a trip to Brisbane for round 14. After all it’s better than sex, so she’s bound to agree.
Eljay said | April 28th 2008 @ 12:14pm | Report comment
Blinky, I do get out regularly. Last week I went out and down the driveway to the mailbox five — FIVE — times!
Eljay said | April 28th 2008 @ 12:17pm | Report comment
PS Blinky — it was your wife who told me watching Palu score tries was better than sex.
Blinky Bill - Bellingen NSW said | April 28th 2008 @ 12:32pm | Report comment
Eljay – Nice come back buddy.
By the way, she’s away in Sydney at the moment & I was amazed that she knew the score & our placing. “What gives here I wondered afterwards”? So she’s obviously ‘enjoying’ her Rugby too.
Eljay said | April 28th 2008 @ 12:37pm | Report comment
BB, it’s good to hear she’s rooting for the Waratahs.
mudskipper said | April 28th 2008 @ 2:03pm | Report comment
Sheek not certain about the Stormers semi-finals chances now as they incurred a three key injuries on the weekend, flanker hard man Schalk Burger (knee), NZ flyhalf Tony Brown (ribs) and prized Stormers prop DJ Moller (dislocated shoulder).