Ten reasons for poor international AFL growth
By Forgetmenot, 10 Dec 2008 The Crowd is a Roar Guru
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Faster, higher, stronger. If you don’t recognize it, it is the official motto of the modern Olympic games. But it also describes football perfectly.
The game of AFL football is played at a far faster rate than in previous generations. Players are always striving for that Jesulenko mark, and players are being modeled into muscular athletes that make players of the eighties seem puny.
Football is a game that has everything going for it. But interestingly, it is also the football code which has the smallest global reach.
This article attempts to examine reasons why football has failed to make a large impact outside Australian shores, while other sports have.
Reason 1: It has too many aspects to it
AFL does encompass all three aspects of the Olympic motto (Faster, Higher, Stronger). Are all three of these too many to have in one sport? None of the other sports encompass all three to the extent that AFL does, as identified briefly below (each code given a score out of 10 for each part):
- American Football: Faster (F) 7, Stronger (S) 9, Higher (H) 7
- Association Football: F 7, S 3, H 4
- Football: F 8, S 8, H 9
- Gaelic Football: F 8, S 4, H 5
- Rugby League: F 5, S 9, H 6
- Rugby Union: F 4, S 9, H 7
You can read the identification yourself, or perform your own, but in any analysis it is clear that football does have a large amount of each aspect in it.
Apart from that analysis we can look at the skills used in the different sports and how hard it would be
to learn, watch or use the skills.
The basic skills of AFL are marking, kicking and tackling. They are hard to learn, easy to master, but near impossible to perfect.
As a sport to pick up and start playing, it lurks about halfway between football and union.
The following list ranks the codes from easiest to hardest in playing straight away at a basic level.
1. Soccer
2. Gaelic
3. Rugby League
4. Football
5. American Football
6. Rugby Union
At its most basic level AFL is a very simple game to pick up and learn. Possibly the unique nature of kicking the ball is an obstacle towards people picking up the game and learning it.
The game does have an extraordinary amount of rules. However, again, at a basic level, it is very easy to learn.
After briefly discussing this reason, we can safely say that it has no large effect on preventing the spread of AFL, and if anything the nature of the game should be a catalyst for growth.
Reason 2: Australias comparative low emigration (and high immigration)
Australia is a country where people immigrate too, not emigrate from. As a result there are not high numbers of people spreading the game around the world. American Football has a similar situation, but its large population, economic and political status in the world means that the sport has many other opportunities to grow.
Rugby union and football, both started in Britain, have had the benefit of high emigration numbers in order to grow their respective codes, with the latter taking the most advantage of the situation.
As time goes on, AFL will grow as people emigrate and travel around the world spreading the sport. This reason has had a large influence on the poor comparative growth of the sport overseas.
Australias high immigration levels mean that there is always people coming into the country who have not been exposed to AFL. A large number of these people, if exposed to AFL in the right way, will go back to their previous countries for holidays and spread the game.
Reason 3: Australia is not a cultural hub.
Australia was originally a colony of Britain, and currently the head of state is still the Queen. Britain has colonized many countries, impressing their culture, and with that their sports, upon the natives. This has happened in South Africa, New Zealand and Australia with rugby union, and cricket. It has happened in India and Sri Lanka with cricket.
AFL has had similar chances with smaller countries like Papua New Guinea, Fiji, and Nauru, but the population of these countries means they cannot compete with Australia.
Reason 4: Australia is not an economic hub
While Australia is a first world country, it does not have the money like the United States and England to splash around. This along with the population of the country means that there is not a large amount of money flowing into AFL, which then means that the AFL is not able to spend a lot of money growing the game overseas.
Reason 5: Australia is physically isolated from the rest of the world
“Girt by sea” is a part of Australia’s national anthem. The statement above is very true if the centre of the world is Europe or America. Europe and America are often seen as the centre of the world, and Australia is viewed as the “land Down Under.”
While Australia may be surrounded by sea, planes can still travel easily to countries like New Zealand, Indonesia, and Vietnam. Football should concentrate its growth on Asia, an area which largely does not yet have an entrenched AFL code.
This reason is the reason for the poor growth of AFL in the past, but in the modern day should not be large obstacle.
However, it still is a small obstacle. People are not able to travel from Germany or the USA for a day trip, and watch a game of football. They are able to travel from Hanoi to Brisbane for a day trip.
Reason 6: World War I
Prior to the Great War, AFL was played in many countries such as South Africa, New Zealand and the United Kingdom. BWorld War I came along and took most of the Australian expats and eradicated the game in those areas.
If World War I had not occurred, the sport would no doubt be played in respectable numbers in all of these countries.
Reason 7: Perceived violent nature of the sport
Aussie rules is often known as No Rules Football, overseas. With only one umpire, and a field full of well built and strong men, the state leagues often had a problem with behind the play incidents. This combined with the strong physical nature of the game combined to create a sport that became violent as teams became more aware of tactics.
The introduction of many new rules by the AFL, including more field umpires and video technology, has meant that the game has lost a lot of the violent nature. However, many people have not seen a game of AFL since the introduction of the new rules, and they spread the word that the game is violent.
Reason 8: Football is not popular in Sydney
Sydney is often the incorrect answer to the trivia question, “What is the Capital of Australia?.” This is because when internationals think of Australia, they automatically associate it with Sydney.
AFL is not the most popular sport in Sydney.
Because of this, people coming to Australia often do not hear about AFL. The AFL is changing this scenario through the growth of AFL in Sydney, which could soon yield a second team.
Reason 9: Poor decisions
The AFL was started from an expanded VFL and has become the world governing body for AFL. Because of a continual association with the Victoria, and the fact that there are 10 Victorian AFL teams, the AFL is continually criticized by Victorians for trying to grow the game outside of Victoria.
It would have been much better for AFL if the SANFL, WAFL and VFL, and possibly the TFL and NTFL had each put teams towards a National Football League. This would have prevented Victorians holding the game back.
Reason 10: Community minded
AFL, throughout its 150 year history, has been mostly community focused. Because of this, the people in control of the game have not really focused on growing the game outside its traditional areas. It was only with the persuasion of Allen Aylett that the game was grown into the traditional rugby league areas of NSW and QLD.
In recent years it has been the fans, and expats, pushing the AFL to provide funding to grow the game overseas. The AFL has been pushing the growth of the game in NSW and QLD, and also is heavily involved in the community. The AFL helps football to be the leader in areas such as Aboriginal rights, disadvantaged people, and health and well-being.
This focus has meant that AFL has improved through its history, and the people who love it, love it more.
AFL has gotten better, and as a result, it will be much easier to spread the game overseas.
However, the game could have sacrificed some of this community mindedness in earlier years and focused on international development. The game would be improved by a much larger range of supporters and followers as a result.
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December 10th 2008 @ 9:31am
Forgetmenot said | December 10th 2008 @ 9:31am | Report comment
If theRoar wishes, they can continue on the path that they have trod a little – - and if they edit ‘football’ on the AFL thread everytime to ‘AFL’, they’ll very quickly end up being nationally boycotted by anyone with an AFL interest……(although, they haven’t proven overly popular thus far at any rate!!!).
Funny you should say that Michael C. My whole article has been edited by The Roar editors. Every single instance where you see football referred to as AFL has been editied.
Eg
The AFL was started from an expanded VFL and has become the world governing body for AFL.
edited from
The AFL was started from an expanded VFL and has become the world governing body for football.
December 10th 2008 @ 9:53am
John Ryan said | December 10th 2008 @ 9:53am | Report comment
Why should Millster only comment on Football threads, you and your mates seem to think you have the god given right to comment, denigrate every one else,so if that,s what you want stick to AFL alone and the rest wont bother with you,though why they do I don,t know
December 10th 2008 @ 9:53am
Ronnie from Lonnie said | December 10th 2008 @ 9:53am | Report comment
So Forgetmenot, what would be the global ranking by popularity, strength of supporter numbers, market size be? Probably::
1. Football/Soccer
2. Rugby Union
3. American football (solely on the strength of a US population of 300m)
4. Rugby League
5. Australian
6. Gaelic
————-
7. Canadian football? (I’ve heard this actually exists!)
Isolation has probably protected Oz football just has much as it has prevented it’s growth.
Also, Australia didn’t have an empire whereas Britain (England) did. Footballs’ simple rules, style of play and less demanding physical requirements probably explain why football prospered over sports like rugby and cricket. Quite interesting how many football clubs in Sth. America and Europe started out as Football and Cricket Clubs.
An interesting footnote: on ABC Radio Grandstand last year an academic who has researched the history of football in Oz revealed Australian football was actually growing strongly in NSW … that is until local councils (presumably under pressure) implemented a 30-year limitation on the size of football grounds in NSW so as to protect Rugby and limit the growth of Australian football. Growth was stymied. Reminds me a bit of HAL’s exclusion from FTA TV.
This would’ve been about the 1880′s. I don’t remember all the facts and have researched this matter no further. I do remember it said there were invitational games played between NSW rugby and Vic. Aust. football teams in both states. It seems Aust. football went down well with the New South Welshmen.
For mine, these are some of the dampners to Australian football’s global growth (mostly economic):
*Greater physicality (AFL mid-season injury lists look like WW1 casualty roll calls – meaning well-paid players are out of action)
*Longer playing lists mean larger wage bills
*Predominance of other football codes with more established market positions
*Australia’s relative geographic isolation to larger markets
*Only one top-tier league that can be taken to market with a running time of 6 months only. So, even though kiddies are being introduced to the sport, the heroes they can look up to live 1000′s of kms away at the bottom of the world, playing for only 6 months, and playing for clubs with very little geographic relevance.
December 10th 2008 @ 10:10am
Clutch Cable said | December 10th 2008 @ 10:10am | Report comment
“Poor” is a bit light don’t you think? 150 years and it’s yet to expand in a meaningful way in a single country other than Australia.
Even within Australia it’s going to have to pay through the nose to get a second team up and running in Australia’s biggest city.
I wouldn’t call that poor, I’d call it a complete and abject failure.
December 10th 2008 @ 10:24am
Pippinu said | December 10th 2008 @ 10:24am | Report comment
CC
You ought to check out this wikipedia article on football crowds in Australia:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Australian_football_code_crowds
to see how that abject failure is doing in Australia.
Are you Australian?
December 10th 2008 @ 10:29am
Millster said | December 10th 2008 @ 10:29am | Report comment
MC – As I said, fell free to continue your linguistic resistance movement. I’m not too fussed.
TT – interesting history re AFL in South Africa. Though I have mixed feelings about how “in South Africa” you can call that. For example I imagine a number of AFL balls are being kicked around between the diggers in Afghanistan and Iraq currently, and also a few in the parks of Dubai and Abu Dhabi with Aussie civilian expats. But that does not equate to AFL having any meaningful presence in the Middle-East.
TT again – if you want to write me an email I can cover off my career history
But in short it started in the private sector, then saw me in Fed Govt for a long period, and is now back in a senior strategic role on the private side. You’re in the right ballpark vis-a-vis portfolio area too.
December 10th 2008 @ 10:42am
Dave said | December 10th 2008 @ 10:42am | Report comment
Pip
Are you saying its unAustralian not to support AFL? If thats the case then about 2/3s of the population are unAustralian?
December 10th 2008 @ 10:45am
Redb said | December 10th 2008 @ 10:45am | Report comment
pass for now.
Redb
December 10th 2008 @ 11:03am
Clutch Cable said | December 10th 2008 @ 11:03am | Report comment
“Are you Australian?”
Yep, and I live in an Australian city with no AFL team and more registered football players than AFL, Union and League combined.
I’ve no doubt that AFL does remarkably well in Australia, but this article isn’t about AFL in Australia, it’s about AFL internationally and the fact that it’s the ‘highest, strongest and fastest’ sport known to man apparently.
December 10th 2008 @ 11:04am
Pippinu said | December 10th 2008 @ 11:04am | Report comment
Dave
We can get stuck into Skyhooks for not making it big overseas, or we can say, what a great Australian band – singing about quintessentially Australian themes – and be more than happy about that.