Hurricanes legitimate threat to Super 14 title
By James Mortimer, 29 Dec 2008 James Mortimer is a Roar Guru
- Tagged:
- Hurricanes, Rugby Union, Super Rugby, Wellington
Possessing the strongest squad on paper arguably of any team – the arresting of a poor sudden death record will see the Wellington Hurricanes take their maiden Super rugby championship.
If you take actual titles out of the equation; there is no team in domestic world rugby with the recent record and pedigree that the Hurricanes wield in Super history. Three times in the last four years they have reached the semi-finals, and in 2006 were runners up in the first Super 14 championship.
Considering as well their outstanding New Zealand provincial record – where in the last three years they have been the runners up to the Air New Zealand Cup. They are also the current holders of the famous Log O’Wood; the Ranfurly Shield. However, outside of this prestigious trophy, they have not won the New Zealand domestic title since 2000; and have been unable to break Canterbury and Auckland’s grip of power for New Zealand representation of the Super 14.
This year sees Coach Colin Cooper with a typically star studded squad that we come to expect from the franchise that has brandished some of the finest players in world rugby, including Christian Cullen, Jonah Lomu and former All Black captain Tana Umaga.
Of the men who in 2008 wore an All Black jersey, no less than thirteen national representatives are in the Hurricanes team.
The production line of Wellington rugby has ensured that despite player losses, that only one player, New Zealand Maori player Jason Kawau – has been selected from outside the Hurricanes selection region.
The set piece and pack, long regarded as the weak point of Wellington rugby, is no longer a concern for the faithful. Andrew Hore (the Kelvin R Tremain New Zealand rugby player of 2008) and Neemia Tialata are both starting All Blacks; and will be backed up by future All Black Dane Coles and vastly experienced props John Schwalger, Tim Fairbrother and Jacob Ellison.
Jason Eaton continues his renaissance as an international lock and will combine likely with Jeremy Thrush who was unlucky not to be rewarded with a test cap after a brilliant ANZC.
In the loose forwards Wellington have an embarrassment of riches, headed by Rodney So’oialo who put a poor 2007 behind him to have a stellar international season including captaining the All Blacks in Richie McCaw’s absence. New All Black and McCaw’s understudy Scott Waldrom will likely mortgage the open side flank position, which will see five other players vie for the final back row spot.
Many believe it maybe former seven’s prodigy Victor Vito – who has risen through the New Zealand system and is a heady cross of Jonah Lomu and Sonny Bill Williams. The 1.92 metre 110 kg Vito was one of the fastest players on Wellington’s roster last year; and could cause chaos if a strong Hurricanes pack is consistent.
The backline has long been considering the jewel in the crown of Wellington’s power, and this year it appears to be no different.
In the halves, Piri Weepu will likely start but it could be in either position. While Daniel Kirkpatrick and Willie Ripia are both considered exciting talents in a national pool of 19-21 year olds that seems immense – back up halfback Alby Mathewson had an outstanding ANZC and Cooper may wish to start him with Weepu playing first five.
Weepu will have lofty goals for 2009 – he was named the New Zealand Maori player of the year for 2008, captained the Maori to victory in last year’s Pacific Nations, and the pain on his face in Wellingtons ANZC final loss to Canterbury was very reminisce of McCaw when the All Blacks lost to the Wallabies in Sydney. He also captained the All Blacks against Munster.
In the three quarter line, the Hurricanes depth persists; with the All Black midfield of Ma’a Nonu and Conrad Smith likely to continue for Wellington. Both, Nonu in particular enjoyed excellent test years – but Tamati Ellison, so impressive for Wellington in the ANZC, will keep both players honest.
Deep in the backs, Cory Jane and Hosea Gear were rewarded with imperious late season form to earn All Black call ups, and will ensure that the long known attacking prowess of the Hurricanes will thrive in 2009; combined with brilliant young Hawkes Bay wing Zac Guilford and the robust David Smith – we round off the team seeing depth and skill all across the team.
With a good draw, that sees them play away only once in the first six weeks, should ensure that the talent laden outfit reaches the top four. If the mental fortitude demonstrated by the All Blacks last year permeates to Wellington, look for the men from the capital to hoist their first title.
Super Rugby roll of honour
Canterbury Crusaders (98,99,00,02,05,06,08)
Auckland Blues (96,97,03)
ACT Brumbies (01,04)
Blue Bulls (07)
Wellington Hurricanes 2009 match schedule
Week one V Waratahs WGTN
Week two V Highlanders WGTN
Week three V Crusaders Christchurch
Week four V Cheetahs New Plymouth
Week five BYE
Week six V Bulls WGTN
Week seven V Lions Johannesburg
Week eight V Sharks Durban
Week nine V Western Force Perth
Week ten V Stormers WGTN
Week eleven V Brumbies WGTN
Week twelve V Blues WGTN
Week thirteen V Chiefs Hamilton
Week fourteen V Reds Brisbane
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- Explore:
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December 30th 2008 @ 8:39pm
brad said | December 30th 2008 @ 8:39pm | Report comment
The Cruysaders dominance could also have been the only thing that kept the comp interesting, look at English and spanish footbal leagues dominance by a single club in fact increases the fervor of the comp and creates mystique to the league, however in saying that too often the crusaders win all the big games and are never really challenged, to increase the following super rugby needs to be played home and away with at least a 3 team relegation. more games means that the top teams can still lose a few without scrificing the league basically more of the highlanders crusaders stuff. That means that the poor sides could get a big scalp for the season and gain local popularity even if they never win the comp. relegation will also mean that the bottom of the log games mean something.
Imagine the current set up of 14 teams. At the end of season 1 the worst 3 Sanzar teams are replaced by 3 Japanese sides and thereafter the worst placed side per country is relegated and replaced by last seasons dropped side (japan will need to create 4 franchises) Alternatively the countries could decide their own promtion relegation via the domestic comps wich will then have the franchise option that NZ insisted on removed In bot SA and AU the franchise thing is non existent ie the Sharks currie cup = Sharks super 14 albeit with a black jersey and no white hoop but white sides. NZ has effectively killed the super comp with the franchises just as they are killing the NPC with the salary cap. Compare the currie cup final vs NPC final. NPC was so weak becauses guys like Brad thorn have to play for Tasman because of the salary cap. I think also that the Crusaders fans align themselves with the canterbury NPC side anyway just like the wellingto liions and wellington hurricanes. sorry off an a tangent
December 30th 2008 @ 9:34pm
Jaredsbro said | December 30th 2008 @ 9:34pm | Report comment
NPC is now our second-tier comp. I don’t know about the Currie cup which has many more years of history behind it, but the standard just doesn’t seem to be the same anymore
Promotion relegation may be a good thing, but Australia couldn’t really afford to do it with the thin layer of back-up players at the moment. I actually like the idea, esp gives teams like Highlanders, Reds (at the moment) and maybe Cats or Lions something a little more tangible to play for…as in full-time contracts. But to accomplish a promotion relegation system you’d need a far more efficient draft system. I mean AFL’s logistics are a little different from SANZAR’s but generally a more competitve comp where more teams can win the title is a good idea
And of course there’s other ways of balancing the ledger without resorting to Socialist practices
December 30th 2008 @ 11:40pm
ohtani's jacket said | December 30th 2008 @ 11:40pm | Report comment
I reckon you’ve jinxed them James.
December 31st 2008 @ 2:38am
pothale said | December 31st 2008 @ 2:38am | Report comment
Brad – “Any of the super rugby sides could beat Munster and Toulouse even the reds.”
Jaredsbro – “Super Rugby is superior to Northern rugby (and I know this thread’s not about that) but it is!”
Doncha just love these wild assertions without a scintilla of evidence to back them up? Though what relevance they have to a discussion about Hurricanes beats me.
I’ll just add my own:
Any of the Magners League, Guinness Premiership or Top 14 sides could whup the S14 teams asses. The only team worth a candle seems to be Crusaders who win the thing the whole time. Everyone else is an also ran. They might be able to win a game or two – he said grudgingly.
This has nothing to do with Hurricanes’ chances of success in the Super championship, but it might make James feel better in some way.
December 31st 2008 @ 5:24am
Tim said | December 31st 2008 @ 5:24am | Report comment
Pothale – As someone who watches the GP, Top 14 and Super rugby, I’d favour the Waratahs of ’08 against a large portion of GP and Top 14 sides, as well as the ’08 Hurricanes. And, quite frankly, I’d favour the Crusaders against any club team in the world, and against a fair few top 10 national teams to boot. Those teams aside, though, I would tend to agree – it baffles me that people insist on talking up the Super 14 so much when the offerings of teams such as the Reds, Cheetahs, Lions, Highlanders, etc are so continuously sub-par.
December 31st 2008 @ 6:31am
pothale said | December 31st 2008 @ 6:31am | Report comment
Hmmm…. thanks Tim.
So Waratahs and Crusaders then as the tops in the S14 is your selection. And you’ve seen GP and Top 14.
But not Magners which contains Leinster, Ospreys, Munster and Cardiff Blues.
And out of GP and Top 14 sides, you’d reckon Waratahs would lose out to a few of them, but not many. Let’s say Leicester, Wasps, Sale, Toulouse, Stade and Clermont (maybe), at a guess since they’ve been performing over the last few seasons.
Let’s add in from Magners League, the European Champions and Ospreys and maybe the Magners League Champions, Leinster (though it would have to be a good day for them). That’s about 6-8 teams. Against two from S14.
Actually on re-reading your post, maybe you meant to include ’08 Hurricanes which balances things out a bit more.
But you’d put Crusaders above all of them. Fair enough.
Wonder how they, Waratahs and the Canes would do in a league containing the above?
December 31st 2008 @ 12:01pm
Sam Taulelei said | December 31st 2008 @ 12:01pm | Report comment
I’d agree with Tim that with any competition there are the regular top finishers that carry the flag for the strength of the comp and a fair portion of cellar dwellers that occasionally have their moment of glory but can’t win consistently to challenge for the playoffs or the title.
Following Pothale’s train of thought I’d expect there to be more form teams from the NH than the Super 14 because of the greater number of NH teams competing in their various comps. I’d also expect that if there was a combined competition between the two hemispheres that the usual suspects would invariably finish near the top, however the competition would be much stiffer featuring only the best teams who on any given day could beat any one of their rivals.
I’d also expect that initially some of the NH teams would struggle against the speed that SH teams like to play their rugby, my opinion is based on years of watching talented players touring down under who are unused to the pressure of applying their skills at a higher pace than what they’re accustomed to, but with regular exposure they will learn, adapt and excel.
Conversely SH teams are unused to playing a tighter style to suit conditions and kick for the touchlines rather than trying to force a turnover.
you asked the question “How would the Waratahs and Canes do?” Probably the same as they do now in the S14 – thereabouts but not over the line.
December 31st 2008 @ 12:28pm
James Mortimer said | December 31st 2008 @ 12:28pm | Report comment
Brad, Hurricanes like the All Blacks – flashy stars but can’t win close games. Did you watch any tests in 2008? I believe that the Lions loss in the ANZC final will do wonders for their players – especially the likes of senior internationals like So’oialo and Weepu.
I think the biggest difference this year would be that the Cane’s and there solid coach Cooper will take time to instill that mentality on the team.
Interesting to note the tangents in regard to “whose better”.
I think before we claim that GP, Top 14 or HC teams are better or worse to Super rugby teams, we need to balance the argument in balancing out numerous factors, namely referee’s and conditions.
But also mentality. Super Rugby is regarded as the most free wheeling top level competition in world rugby, compared to HC which is a far more “grind in the trenches” style. I have watched numerous HC games, and the amount of time the ball is played in the tight is far more than even test matches.
However, when running or attacking teams such as Bath, Leinster or even Toulouse play with a more offensive mindset, typically they can carve teams up.
Super rugby teams would have a fair advantage, for with the exception of maybe the Highlanders, Cheetahs or Lions – top NZ, Aus and SA teams have a healthy spread of internationals. In essence it is watered down test rugby, when factoring SA travel to NZ, and vice versa, etc.
But the single point everyone neglects to mention is that Southern rugby – at test level – is light years ahead (OK, maybe that’s a bit much) of Northern test rugby. Would not this in someway translate to high level domestic teams?
However, despite all of the banter – I still feel in my bones that the Hurricanes are going to do the business this year. I feel it. This is going to be their year. How cannot it not be. It must be. It will be. Please. Ueeeuugggh.
December 31st 2008 @ 12:31pm
James Mortimer said | December 31st 2008 @ 12:31pm | Report comment
Also, despite the nightmare in logistics, I think the IRB is missing a trick on not having a HC V Super 14 champions.
Another great factor would be having test teams play the best domestic team when touring. Imagine the All Blacks playing France and then Toulouse in a midweeker. Or seeing England come to Australia and then play NSW.
Look at how good the game against Munster was – but then, that would take a leap of faith on the administrators part……..
December 31st 2008 @ 2:07pm
Sam Taulelei said | December 31st 2008 @ 2:07pm | Report comment
Good on you James for keeping the faith, I’ll be right there with you brother willing the boys on.