Frank Lowy can buy everything but time
By Jesse Fink, 4 Feb 2009 Jesse Fink is a Roar Guru
- Tagged:
- AFC, FIFA, Football Federation Australia, Frank Lowy, Johnny Warren, Pim Verbeek, Sepp Blatter, UEFA, United States
Brett Emerton might have blown out his knee and given Pim Verbeek a hell of a headache, but Australia got the best kind of present on Tuesday when China declared it would not submit a bid for the 2018 and
2022 World Cups.
I wrote about China some weeks ago for The Roar and said it presented the biggest challenge yet to Australia’s hopes of being the anointed bidder from the Asian Football Confederation.
Japan, Qatar and, surprisingly, Indonesia are still in the hunt but China’s withdrawal has firmed Australia as race favourite in the AFC.
Japan, though not to be taken lightly, is dogged by the fact it
co-hosted the event as recently as 2002. Qatar’s climate and lack of carnival atmosphere will play against it, while Indonesia really is only there making up the numbers and undoubtedly playing a political card.
Korea, looking to do a spoiler on its 2002 co-hostee Japan, has also lodged a late bid with FIFA, though
Australia would still have the wood on it for historical reasons.
But it’s outside the AFC that Australia looks to be facing opponents far more difficult to overcome.
The threat of the European armada is the most obvious obstacle, including the Russians, which I favour as the real dark horse.
The United States has also played its hand and given the great success of USA 94 and its significant political clout within FIFA itself it must be regarded as a serious contender. Mexico and Egypt are the other two bidders from outside the AFC and UEFA, but stand no chance.
So out of the twelve confirmed bidders, arguably the half-dozen favourites are, in order of likelihood of success, England, Russia, United States, Australia, Spain/Portugal and Japan.
Australia is an outside chance at best but at least it’s in the mix. Had China expressed its interest formally, we would have been goners.
This is now where Frank Lowy’s vast experience as a football diplomat comes into play. And it’s Football Federation Australia’s X-factor.
Few men have risen to prominence so quickly in international football circles as Lowy, who seems to be permanently surgically attached to either Mohamed bin Hammam’s or Sepp Blatter’s side at photo ops from Sydney to Shanghai.
Few men, too, have achieved so much in so little time. The establishment of the A-League. World Cup qualification. Entry into the AFC. A seat on FIFA’s World Cup Organising Committee. The securing of the Rudd Government’s $45.6 million donation to the 2018/2022 war chest.
You have to credit him for his drive and chutzpah.
My personal view has long been that Australia cannot win 2018 but stands a very realistic chance of getting the 2022 tournament.
Unfortunately for Lowy, though, for all his billions, he cannot buy time.
In 2022 he will be in his 91st year on this earth. He is by all accounts in good health. But mortality is a fact of life, whether you’re a billionaire or a pauper.
As we saw with Johnny Warren, who never got to see Australia qualify for the World Cup in 2005, there aren’t always happy endings in football.
The sad reality is, and I hope it’s not the case, Lowy’s gift to the nation is one he might never see himself.
But that makes his mission, foolish to some, quixotic to others, even the more nobler.
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- AFC, FIFA, Football Federation Australia, Frank Lowy, Johnny Warren, Pim Verbeek, Sepp Blatter, UEFA, United States


February 4th 2009 @ 9:57am
Finno said | February 4th 2009 @ 9:57am | Report comment
Mark,
Lowry is a Jew so you best be praying to God. Actually I read a book on the bloke hes is a tough man, he fought in war to create the modern state of Israel. But he is a good thing for Australian Football and I can see if the Football becomes a success that he will be named as one of the founding fathers of Australian Football
February 4th 2009 @ 10:07am
md said | February 4th 2009 @ 10:07am | Report comment
My guess is that Japan’s bid announcement is largely a political stunt, aimed at the domestic audience. It is also apparently dependent upon Japan winning the 2016 Olympics. It seems unlikely that Japan would be awarded 2 world cups within 20 years. Similarly, the USA has hosted the cup in recent memory will have had one just down the road in Brazil in 2014. Will the cup go to the Americas twice in three?
That brings it down to Spain/Portugal, England, Russia and Australia. One will go to Europe and one should therefore go to Australia.
There is much to do to get there though and having a diplomat PM may turn out to be pretty useful.
Cheers
md
February 4th 2009 @ 12:05pm
dasilva said | February 4th 2009 @ 12:05pm | Report comment
I assume that we will concede 2018 to the europeans. After a long hard fight of course
The 2022 – we’ll be fighting against Japan, south Korea, qatar, indonesia, mexico and USA
IMO I see as duking it out with USA for it
JApan/south korea too soon, mexico – 3 World Cups – that’s too much, qatar and indonesia – footballing backwaters (fifa ranking 86 and 144)
That leaves USA. IMO they should be favorites in getting it despite having hosted it in 1994. Their football team is rank above us 22 compared to 29. they have the large market, international superpowers, they have all the stadiums already ready while we have to build it after winning the bid, they have a member of executive committee that chooses who host the world cup, and football is becoming mainstream in USA which is a large contrast with back in 1994.
I think if anything what will determine who will win it is performance in the 2010 world cup. Every pray that USA loses 3 match and finish bottom of the group and Australia repeats or exceed 2006 world cup performance. IMO if Australia are outperform by the USA or we perform poorly such as getting knocked out in the group stages then that will cost us the bid.
February 4th 2009 @ 12:20pm
Slippery Jim said | February 4th 2009 @ 12:20pm | Report comment
Kazama, fascinating question: who will be the next great football ambassador for Australia when Frank Lowy shuffles off this mortal coil? Needs to be a lover of football, a great ‘politician’, charismatic and able to charm people and win them over, a great people person, and have the respect of all…I’m thinking either John Kosmina or Craig Foster? Discuss. (I’ve always secretly despised yet envied those who end a post with ‘discuss’ apologies to all)
February 4th 2009 @ 12:30pm
dasilva said | February 4th 2009 @ 12:30pm | Report comment
Perhaps Clive Palmer – although I doubt he is much of a charmer.
Les Murray is a member of a FIFA ethics committee so he has insiders knowledge. Perhaps time for Mrs Soccer to have his moment in the sun
Fozzy – He will be dealing with “foreign” dignitaries and normally his very polite to those people. Sure he may cause some problems with English and scottish representatives but hey everyone in FIFA hate the british don’t they?
Kossie – nah he probably undermine the national team like he always does
February 4th 2009 @ 12:43pm
Pippinu said | February 4th 2009 @ 12:43pm | Report comment
Palmer?
He’s a completely different kettle of fish to Lowy – Palmer knows bugger all about the game.
February 4th 2009 @ 12:48pm
dasilva said | February 4th 2009 @ 12:48pm | Report comment
yeah but he has money and therefore influence.
But you are right silly example
February 4th 2009 @ 5:33pm
Midfielder said | February 4th 2009 @ 5:33pm | Report comment
Gordon Butler of Win TV fame or Con Makris Ron Walker maybe …. me
February 5th 2009 @ 7:25pm
Jesse Fink said | February 5th 2009 @ 7:25pm | Report comment
Wolanski is arguably the second most powerful person at the FFA. Interesting to see him on the list. He has very little public profile, though.