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Jared Petrenko of the Crows handballs past Andrew McQualter of the Saints during the AFL Round 02 match between the Adelaide Crows and the St Kilda Saints at AAMI Stadium. Slattery Images
First up, St Kilda has a great defence. Last week we thought the Swans were hopeless in not scoring a goal in a half of football. But give credit to St Kilda.
In restricting the high-scoring Crows to just ten goals, they showed that they have a watertight back-six. Neil Craig went as far to compare the Saints pressurized style of football to September finals footy.
If they can keep this up, they are going to go far in 2009.
2. Reports of the Swans’ death are greatly exaggerated – again
Everyone likes to get stuck into the Swans and often it is deserved. When they are bad, they are incredibly ordinary, as was the case last week against St Kilda.
Who would have thought the team who struggled to score nine goals in a game last week would kick 22 against the reigning premiers?
Truth be told, the Hawks have struggled against Sydney in recent years, and had quite a few players out. The Swans can be an exciting free-flowing side when they let loose. Again they show they you are free to write them off, but only at your own peril.
3. The Blues are back?
The spring will be back in the step of all Blues supporters. They are 2-0, sit on top of the ladder, and are looking good. They haven’t yet played anyone who played in finals last year, but that is neither here nor there. They can only defeat who they are scheduled to face, and with Essendon this week, they are a real chance to go 3-0.
They were sensational against the Lions, particularly in the second quarter when they kicked eight goals to one. The long season has only just begun, but Carlton has started it brilliantly.
4. 0-2 teams should begin to worry
While 0-2 is in itself not the end of the world, you don’t want it to turn into 0-3. There are four win-less teams in Hawthorn, Melbourne, Fremantle and Richmond.
Hawthorn have had a tough draw and will bounce back, while nothing more was expected of Melbourne. The Dockers would want to turn it around quickly before it is another wasted season.
Essendon are nothing special. And the Dockers showed that they might be even less than that.
This was the year of deliverance for the Punt Road faithful. They now face the undefeated Western Bulldogs in what is going to be a very tough match. Fan and media pressure is only going to build.
The Tigers’ board are in a no-win situation as the noose around Terry Wallace’s neck continues to tighten. Playing the only game on Easter Monday, all eyes will again be on them.
5. Possessions don’t always mean anything
In the statistics-based day and age we live in, everyone is obsessed by numbers. The most basic of which is that more disposals are better, but this isn’t always the case.
In the opening quarter of the Port-Eagles match, Port had 86 touches to the Eagles’ 56. Yet, the Eagles kicked four goals to one. By full time, the Eagles had 19 goals to Ports’ ten, and just two more disposals.
Like everything else, moderation is important and too many disposals is counter-productive.
The Swans had 131 disposals against Hawthorn in the second quarter and kicked five goals. But in the third quarter, they had 86 and kicked eight.
Ultimately, the only thing which matters is the scoreboard. Unless you’re into fantasy football, in which case it doesn’t matter at all!
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Michael C said | April 6th 2009 @ 4:58pm | Report comment
And, North Melbourne failed to heed the forecast for showers and went in one tall too many,
oh, and still don’t know how to kick to advantage into the forward line……..they crucified their forwards.
David Wiseman said | April 6th 2009 @ 6:03pm | Report comment
Michael C – True. That would have been on the list had it been Top 6 things. Let’s see how they do this week. The clash with Hawthorn should be a beauty.
The 1 and Only Master said | April 6th 2009 @ 6:07pm | Report comment
Point 6. My bank balance is a lot healthier after backing against both Adelaide teams. How all the pundits jumped on Port so early is beyond me. They have NO tall targets. Port will have some nice little periods throughout the year stringing together 4-5 wins, but 7-8th at best for them/
Saints midfield still a bit iffy. Luke Ball is well overrated
David Wiseman said | April 6th 2009 @ 9:50pm | Report comment
The 1 and Only Master – your name rings true. Care to make any predictions for this week?
jimbo said | April 6th 2009 @ 11:22pm | Report comment
6. Falling AFL attendances – that was the lowest attendances for an AFL round for a long time.
The Swans crowd was 40% less than their opening game at Stadium Australia last year.
Yet the 2009 AFL Annual Report said AFL was growing by 30% in NSW and Western Sydney was crying out for a second AFL team.
John Ryan said | April 7th 2009 @ 12:18am | Report comment
Well you cant believe everything AFL house and its acolytes Michael C and co tell you
David Wiseman said | April 7th 2009 @ 2:53am | Report comment
Jimbo – Good point. Think things will build up once the season progresses.
John Ryan – True.
Kurt said | April 7th 2009 @ 6:26am | Report comment
Jimbo & John – keep clinging to those straws boys! Round 1 attendances were the fourth highest of all time for any AFL round, this week saw games at smaller venues and no real blockbusters.
But you just keep telling yourselves that attendances are falling, I know it will help you sleep better!
Michael C said | April 7th 2009 @ 6:41am | Report comment
David, don’t give in too easy –
Jimbo – do some research or back up your statement – - you’ve failed in this respect a little too much in your recent AFL bashings!!!
The crowd for Rnd 2 was 285K, avg 35K.
back to last season:
round 8 – 252K
round 10 – 271K
round 13 – 269K
round 14 – 284K
round 18 – 276K
round 19 – 262K
round 20 – 268K
round 21 – 256K
round 22 – 272K
So, reality is, it’s a mid range crowd based on last year, and whether it’s indicative of any trend or the like is way too soon to say. Whether there’s going to be an influence of the GFC this year remains to be seen -
HOWEVER,
clubs have been responsive with membership packages being tailored such, my family have purchased a family5. We get to go to 5 games. (well, truth is, with the kids, it’s a task even to arrange 5 games even with a all Home matches membership). I believe that Collingwood have produced 3 game passes, trying to make it affordable for people on ‘hard times’ to afford to stay linked.
So – - wait and see,
Dave said | April 7th 2009 @ 7:59am | Report comment
Crowd violence on the rise? Big news in Melbourne…
Personally havent been to a game for some years so couldn’t answer from my experience…but serious enough for the state govt to call a summit on the issue. Sign of the times perhaps but certainly an issue which arose from Rd 2 in Melbourne.