A great round for Force and Waratahs
By Spiro Zavos, 27 Apr 2009 Spiro Zavos is a Roar Expert
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- Blues, cheetahs, James OConnor, Rugby Union, Super Rugby, Waratahs, Wester Force
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David Pocock of the Western Force faces his opponent, Gerhard Mostert of the Lions in their Super 14s match at Subiaco Oval, Perth, Australia, Friday April 24, 2009. (AP Photo)
The contention that this has been the most even Super Rugby ever was given added weight with the startling wins by the two bottom teams, the Queensland Reds giving the blues to the Blues’ finals hopes and the Cheetahs probably stopping the Crusaders run to the finals, as well.
The Blues have been a flakey team all year. They’ve lost 5 matches out of 10, some of them in blowouts. It was in character with their erratic form that they were easily beaten by a side that had lost 20 away matches in a row before their upset victory.
But the Blues are fifth on the table with 30 points (above the Western Force and NSW Waratahs 28, and the Crusaders and Brumbies on 27 points).
This high position on the table by the Blues is due entirely to their penchant for scoring tries. For despite their losses they have scored four tries or more on six occasions. The Waratahs, by way of comparison, have done the four-try trick on two occasions.
Two aspects of the match at Albany against the Reds worked to the disadvantage of the Blues. First, the Albany stadium is the headquarters of the North Harbour union. Players and officials from North Harbour and Auckland have never got on well with each other.
The teams have played ferocious derby contests. So putting them together in one franchise was a mistake that has not worked out. The players and officials from the two unions have not come together as a new entity, the Blues, as, say, the Hurricanes have with their franchise.
When the lights went out at Albany it was odds on that the team that would be affected would be the Blues. Ever since Graham Henry, the only successful Super Rugby coach the Blues have had (using mainly Auckland players, too), left to coach Wales the Blues have not delivered on the promise of the talented players in their squad. This year is no exception.
The moment of truth for the Blues comes on Saturday when they play the Hurricanes at Wellington. From the way the Hurricanes took the ACT Brumbies apart, you’d have to think that the Hurricanes would defeat the Blues.
The team that wins will probably be one of the New Zealand sides through to the finals. However, the way this vibrant tournament has run so far it is best to make conjectures rather than predictions, and then only on a week to week basis.
What happened to the Brumbies?
The headline press release from the Brumbies media staff tells the story: CA Brumbies handed a horror caning in Wellington.
The 8 tries to one, 56 – 7 victory for the Hurricanes was the Brumbies biggest defeat in Super Rugby. It was also the most number of points conceded by the Brumbies in any match. Ironically, the Brumbies scored first and then conceded an avalanche of tries.
The Brumbies had eight players out. Stirling Mortlock is getting injured a lot in general play with the game stopped at one stage when it looked as if he’d been badly concussed. George Smith was beaten to the rucks and mauls. The emotions of Shawn Mackay’s death are beginning to play out. The team is down physically, emotionally (I’d guess) and in playing numbers. Although they have a theoretical chance of making the finals, it would be a brave bet to put money on this happening.
Even though they didn’t play, the round worked out well for the Waratahs. The Blues only got a couple of bonus points from a match they were expected to win. The Crusaders got only one bonus point, again from a match they expected to win.
Both the Blues and the Crusaders put key players on the bench for these matches. You can understand the reasoning behind this. These players had carried their sides through the first nine rounds and deserved a rest. But the better idea I would argue is go flat out to win the matches you expect to win and perhaps rest players in the more difficult matches.
And the Chiefs were kept to a bonus point only in their intriguing and exciting match at Pretoria. The Chiefs were a trifle unlucky in that the Bulls scored one try totally against the run of play when they were on attack and the halfback passed directly to Derrick Kunn, the Bulls mobile hooker, coming through on the burst to race away 60m for a 7-pointer.
The Bulls altitude game of great chasing on incessant kicks and strong surges inside the opposition 22 from their big forwards is extremely hard to defeat. The Chiefs were without their two dynamic wingers Sitiveni Sivivatu and Lelia Mesaga, and Brendon Leonard their brilliant running halfback.
They have another difficult match next weekend against the Stormers who found some form at Dunedin in monstering the game but limited Highlanders side. The Chiefs, though, have a poor record in South Africa winning on eight of 29 matches. If they can defeat the Stormers – a big if, admittedly -they would almost certainly be a finals side.
The most impressive Australian side over the weekend was the Western Force. They played beautifully to overwhelm the Lions, who it should be remembered easily defeated the Reds at Brisbane.
Long-time readers of The Roar will remember that after last year’s Hong Kong Sevens I wrote a piece suggesting that James O’Connor, the blond bombshell of a player, is ‘the next Tim Horan.’ Against the Waratahs and then against the Lions, O’Connor really looked the part on that prediction.
His dynamic and fearless play allows Matt Giteau to underplay his hand and strike at the most opportune moments. With O’Connor making the life of the fatties trying to block the middle of the field a total misery of clutching at an express will-of-the-whisp, the Force back line is a thing of terrible beauty.
The terrible part is the destruction it is causing the defending opposition: the beauty is the crisp passing and running into gaps and for the tryline. Rod Kafer suggested on The Rugby Club that the Western Force backline is the best amongst the Australian sides. This is right. It is now up there, too, with the Hurricanes as the best in the tournament.
The Force have two tough matches to play in South Africa against the Bulls and the Stormers. It will be fascinating to see if the fluent, brilliant backline can run the big Bulls off their feet, the way the great Crusaders sides used to. The Force finishes at home against the Highlanders, which on the face of it looks like being a relatively easy match for them (if any match in this tournament can be called easy).
It’s worth remembering that after the Hurricanes got a try after time to defeat the Western Force at home three rounds ago that Colin Cooper, the Hurricanes coach, predicted that the Force would make the finals.
At this time in the year momentum is a great thing for a side to have. The Hurricanes, on top of the table, have won their last three matches. The Force has had two wins in a row. The Bulls have a sequence of 1 win. The other 6 contending sides have lost their latest match.

David Pocock of the Western Force faces his opponent, Gerhard Mostert of the Lions in their Super 14s match at Subiaco Oval, Perth, Australia, Friday April 24, 2009. (AP Photo)
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LeftArmSpinner said | April 27th 2009 @ 8:08am | Report comment
Spiro, it is a very close comp. The crusaders have come back to the pack and opened it up for everyone else. The Cheetahs, Koalas and Lions are not losing certainties anymore.
In this environment, one team needs to stand up and play consistent rugby. No team has done this so far. I project the Chiefs to finish top of the table, if they beat the Hurricanes in round 13. The Waratahs WILL finish 6th behind the Crusaders in 5th. This is a missed opportunity by the Waratahs. They had an open comp, a very good draw and a potent squad of players.
Yes, the Force’s backline is great, but they face a tough SA trip with games against the Bulls and stormers. Is the SA trip any easier for the Perth based team because they have less distance to travel?
Roger said | April 27th 2009 @ 9:14am | Report comment
Dont get me wrong, the Western Foce backline is good, but put Giteau in any of the other backlines and I think that backline would do just as well…or better. Imagine Gits playing with Turner, Hornea nd Lote, or with Stirlo, T Smith and AAC, or better still, Genia, Barnes, Ione, MclInden.
eric said | April 27th 2009 @ 9:41am | Report comment
It is an amazingly close comp, no doubt, and how critical will that post siren try be for the Canes, and also for the Blues against Qld, getting the bonus point. I think 37 points will get a team into the four, because the top teams all play each other, and there will be losses by the leading teams. Eg Bulls v Sharks, Canes v Chiefs, Waratahs v Sharks, Canes v Blues etc.
I see the factors as;
The Canes have done their SA travelling, but play Blues & Chiefs, but probably only need to win one more to make the four.
The Bulls also have also done their OS travelling, but also probably only need to win one more game.
The Chiefs will get their injured stars back, finish with two at home, and have the best +/-.
Sharks are in deep poo poo. All at home, but that includes Bulls & Tahs. Vulnerable.
Force play Stormers & Highlanders. Should win two and displace Sharks.
May the Force be with you.
Knives Out said | April 27th 2009 @ 9:46am | Report comment
I thought that the Force backline was terrible against the Waratahs. I’d go so far as to say that I was shocked. That may or may not be reflective of that unit over the entire season, but it’s just an observation.
Harry said | April 27th 2009 @ 9:46am | Report comment
As Eric says, I have a horrible feeling that the 5 points those always professional and smart NZ teams have harvested after the bell (3 Canes v Force, 2 Blues v Reds) may well prove decisive.
True Tah said | April 27th 2009 @ 10:23am | Report comment
eric
my money would be on the Sharks rolling the Tahs. The Sharks main problem is scoring excess tries like the Blues can do, even if the other team cracks the half century.
Bulls game will be interesting though, I will definitely be watching that game.
My semi finalists are Bulls, Hurricanes, Sharks and Chiefs in no particular order. The Hurricanes still have to play Chiefs and Blues, they should account for the Blues, but the Chiefs if they get Masaga back will be tough to stop (thats another game I will be watching). Plus Sione Lauaki just got cited for the head shot on Habana, so the Chiefs wont have him weighing them down.
Bob McGregor said | April 27th 2009 @ 12:34pm | Report comment
It appears the Force and Brumbies have played below expectations away from home base while the Tahs and Reds have done much better overseas. I believe that is the Tahs only chance of making the finals, extremely thin as it is.
In defence of the Brumbies I will say the result would have been the same but the blowout in the score was due to some poor decisions made by NZ referee Bryce Lawrence. On balance the Aussie whistle blowers have been the best of a poor lot this season, but even they have influenced results. I feel for the Force against the Tahs as they should have been awarded 4 tries and such a result would have shut out the Tahs from getting a bonus point and ensured an extra one for the Force. That and the final 4 minute fade by the Force against the Hurricanes could well cost them a finals spot. Such a fade by the Reds allowed the Blues to escape with 2 points when better defence should have caused a shut out.
On such things will the finalists be determined.
Sam Taulelei said | April 27th 2009 @ 12:56pm | Report comment
Robbie Deans made an interesting observation ahead of the Crusaders v Sharks game. He said that if the Sharks lost to the Crusaders they’ll be in a lot of trouble and may miss out on the top four altogether.
Looking at the fixtures ahead for the last 3 rounds the only teams certain of controlling their destiny are the Hurricanes and Bulls, win all their games and they guarantee top four place and a crucial home semifinal. However if they falter then everyone is going to be scrambling and we may not know the final positions and locations of the semifinals until the final game of the round robin between the Sharks and Bulls.
The lack of strikepower on the wings is hurting the Chiefs as they created many opportunities but couldn’t finish them and they’ll be desperate to get Sivivatu and Masaga back in the team. They impressed me with their composure in an extremely difficult place to win and pushed the Bulls hard in a game they would have normally been thrased in.
The Hurricanes and Chiefs are NZ’s best chances of making the top four and winning the title, Bulls are in the same category but the Sharks, Force and Waratahs are well positioned to leapfrog ahead or just as easily slip up and miss out. The Blues don’t deserve to be as well placed as they are, despite the bonus points they’ve scored and I’m hoping the Canes end their chances this weekend.
stuff happens said | April 27th 2009 @ 2:14pm | Report comment
I agree with Spiro & Sam T.Was it a good weekend for the ‘Tahs because they weren’t playing?! We’ll see against the Cheetahs.
I was impressed with the Cheetahs against the Crusaders. They’re defence was excellent and Juan Smith was as usual superb.They’ve had two good wins in a row and they’re confidence would have been given a much needed boost.For a team with fairly limited all round quality,they had a terrible draw this season.First game at home then five consecutive games away in NZ & Aust.
And any team with a player named Kabamba Floors is OK with me!
We’ve seen a lot of the Bulls here in Aust and I think they’ll take some beating if they get a home semi.They’re a well balanced team, huge forwards,a great scrum half and they stick to their game plan. They’re downside in my view is that they allow Steyn to control too many moves.They’re a far better team wide out than they seem to give themselves credit for and they’re right wing N’Donquwe ( sorry don’t how to spelll it) is like lightening.Olivier has had a terrific season.
As Sam says the final game between the Sharks & Bulls could decide the fate of a few teams.Very exciting.
matta said | April 27th 2009 @ 2:38pm | Report comment
lets face it, if the Tahs had beaten the Force like they should have, they would be sitting in 4th and likely only needing one more win to make the finals.
Its coulda woulda shoulda kind of stuff but not a bad effort for a ‘for a bunch of boring, average, poorly coached, over paid players’.