Won’t the real Western Bulldogs please stand up
By Paddy Higgs, 30 Apr 2009 Paddy Higgs is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- AFL, Carlton Blues, Geelong Cats, Hawthorn Hawks
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Brad Johnson of the Bulldogs leaves the ground dejected after losing the AFL ANZAC Day Round 05 match between the Western Bulldogs and the Carlton Blues at the Docklands Stadium. Slattery Images
Soon after Round Two, the bookies released their revised markets for the AFL premiership race. Geelong and Hawthorn were hardly surprises at the top of the tree. But many a footy fan was taken aback at the various agencies’ almost unanimous election of Carlton over the Western Bulldogs as the third favourite for the flag.
It provoked plenty of chatter throughout tearooms.
With the benefit of hindsight, at least about one thing, those office wags were right. Carlton, as showed in its losses to Essendon and Sydney, are not the real deal.
Yet.
But those who believed that the Western Bulldogs were the frontrunner to challenge last season’s grand finalists have been proved as wrong as the bookies.
After winning its first three games, Rodney Eade’s side lost to out-of-form duo West Coast and Carlton.
What has gone wrong?
With all the hype on the midfields of Geelong and Carlton, the Bulldogs possess the most underrated onball brigade in the competition. While the term ‘fab four’ is bandied about far too often, Rodney Eade has stars at his disposal in Daniel Cross, Ryan Griffen, Adam Cooney, and now, Shaun Higgins.
But all the midfield industry and class can’t make up for the Bulldogs’ big drawback: a lack of any marking and goalkicking forward is the real root of the club‘s problem.
Mitch Hahn lends plenty of bustle and forwardline pressure, Brad Johnson’s guile always makes him a threat, and Will Minson gives his all despite his obvious limitations.
It’s not a new problem.
After failing to find the answer with Jade Rawlings, Andrew McDougall and now Scott Welsh, the Bulldogs have focused their recruiting to address the problem.
Sixteen players on their list are over 190cm, but their best forward prospects, Jarrad Grant, and Jarrad Boumann still need time to develop.
Two losses hardly constitute a crisis, at least by Richmond and Fremantle’s standards. But that they desperately need to arrest their form is clear.
It won’t be easy.
As far as important clashes go, a Sunday twilight game with in-form St Kilda is as hard as it comes. A trip to Adelaide in Round Seven is just as unappealing.
No team worth its salt loses three games in succession. The Western Bulldogs consider themselves more than just a bit player in this year’s finals’ race.
Against the Saints, they must prove it.
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The Crowd Says (9) | Page 1 of Comments
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Pippinu said | April 30th 2009 @ 9:27am | Report comment
The Bullies have had the dual bookend problem (key player at either end) since at least that disastrous 2 point last quarter capitulation to the Crows in the 1997 prelim (but probably for much longer).
That year James Cook just fell short of becoming a half-decent full forward, and at the other end Todd Curley allowed Jarman to run rampant in the last quarter comeback.
Brian Lake has helped solve half the problem (but he frequently succombs to inexplicable brain explosions, like his decision to play on from a mark at the top of the square at a crucial point in last week’s game – reminiscent of Chris Grant playing on from the identical position, at the identical time in the 1998 prelim, with a near identical low-percentage handball to somebody in a far worse position with the identical outcome).
But the fact that so many pundits are putting so much faith in a rugby convert who is still learning the game (and appears to struggle stringing two games together), shows that we have a long, long way to go.
Bullies will be extremely fortunate to finish top four again.
Coach said | April 30th 2009 @ 9:58am | Report comment
Along with St Kilda, the Bulldogs are everyones second favourite team! And everyone wants to see them do well, but it would be great to see them take the next step from a good team to a great team. For my sake tho (being a saints supporter) hopefully they dont find their legs this week!!
Sam Landsberger said | April 30th 2009 @ 10:15am | Report comment
Fair article, but think you’ve misseed a few points.
In 2008 the Dogs – without a so called power forward – kicked the most goals of any side in the home-and-away season. They put in a shocker in their first final against the hawks, but rallied and did a lot better than there odds of $7.50 against Geelong in the prelim. With 10 mintues to go in that game they were three kicks of a grand final.
McDougall was never recruited to be the missing link. Rawlings was tried and failed, but under a completely different (and flawed) football department.
Welsh showed glimpses last year, but failed in the finals before injuries derailed his 2009 pre-season, but why do all pundits claim the club needs a key forward to win a flag? In the modern game its all about skill, not bash and crash pack marks. The Eagles won in 2006 with only Quinten Lynch up forward and an array of midfield goal-kickers.
The start to 2009 has not been that disappointing. The side lost one game in its first 15 last year and admits they went too hard too early and fell off the pace come business end. They won’t make that mistake again.
They lost to a red-hot Eagles outfit playing with plenty of pride in 30+degree heat in their second trip to Perth in three weeks. Most side’s wou;d’ve. They then got smashed by a possible top-four team with two Brownlow medallists out and their best key forward (Robery Murphy) significantly underdone.
They will be competitive at the least against the Saints, and with the pressure on break their AAMI Stadium hoodoo in Round 7, before a streak of games (barring Geelong in Rd 9) they should all win.
The club is tougher in 2009 and with an up-and-coming defence built around Morris, Hargrave, Everitt, Tiller and the running power of Gilbee and Picken the club can now afford to throw Brian Lake to full forward (where he played his junior footy) when needed to add to Murphy, Johnson, Hahn Hill and Welsh/Grant (who are all key position or play above their height) with the likes of Giansiracusa, Akermanis, Cooney, Griffen, Higgins, all 20+ goal kickers.
With St Kilda, Adelaide away, Melbourne, Geelong and Sydney in the next five weeks, the club must win 3 to stay in top-four contention.
It will.
Tom said | April 30th 2009 @ 10:45am | Report comment
Really looking forward to this game. Eade’s a pretty good coach and no doubt will have some kind of strategy for the Saints. Important test for the Saints to see if they can sustain their form as the number one challenger to Geelong.
Redb said | April 30th 2009 @ 1:04pm | Report comment
A great round of games with one obvious exception. Geelong should drop Ablett, Bartel, Selwood, Corey, Scarlett, Chapman….. err…. bugger it just play the Geelong Falcons U18 against Melbourne to give ‘em a chance.
Looking forward to the Saints Bullies clash, have to say the Bullies lost to bloody Carlton was a little disappointing. if the Saints are the real deal this could be a ten goal win.
Redb
Michael C said | April 30th 2009 @ 1:59pm | Report comment
Redb -
thankfully Melb aren’t up against Geelong in a meaningful Friday night 150 year match this time around!!
Jim of Altona East said | May 1st 2009 @ 4:00pm | Report comment
I think it’s a little early to be too critical of the Doggies. And a loss this weekend doesn’t mean they can’t go on and win a premiership.
But they’ll need their six forwards to be doing the work of two key big-men forwards if they are going to win the flag. Don’t be mistaken. They can do it. The hiccups in the past two weeks are easy to explain. West Coast at Subiaco is never an easy task (the Eagles gave Hawthorn a run for its money in Tassie, so they aren’t a woeful side by any means) and the Dogs’ disposal against Carlton let them down, and an equally good side made them pay on the scoreboard.
But when we look back at their most recent premiers, all come with at least one big-man forward: Hawthorn (Franklin/Roughead), Geelong (Johnston/Mooney), West Coast (Lynch – with Judd, Cousins, Kerr and Cox dominating), Sydney (Barry Hall), Port Adelaide (Tredrea), Brisbane (Brown).
So unless they can choke the game like what happened in 2005 and make the big forwards redundant, they are lost without a big man. Enter Matthew Pavlich?
If the flag doesn’t happen this year, then 2010 could be their big season.
And a Western Bulldogs v St Kilda Grand Final, what a great thing that would be for two of Victorian football’s most unfortunate clubs considering their last flags were in 1954 and 1966 respectively.
Jim of Altona East said | May 1st 2009 @ 4:02pm | Report comment
PS: Stop kicking Melbourne why they are down. Shame.
Jim of Altona East said | May 1st 2009 @ 4:04pm | Report comment
PPS: …while they are down. My bad.