The anomaly of the Super 14 points system

 

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It is possible that the top of the Super 14 table will look like the following, with only the final Sharks Vs Bulls match to go.

Chiefs 42
Crusaders 42
Hurricanes 41
*Bulls 41
*Sharks 39

At first glance, the Sharks Vs Bulls match looks like a must win game for both teams.

But if the Sharks beat the Bulls in a close, high-scoring match, so the Sharks get five points and Bulls get two, then we have two home semi-finals in South Africa.

This type of scenario is a contentious feature of the Super 14 points system.

It is odd that the number of points awarded differs from match to match in the Super 14. The two teams in a close, high scoring match get seven (5+2) points awarded to them, while a comfortable win in a low scoring match results in only four (4+0) points being awarded.

One way the table could end up as above is as follows.

In Round 13, the Crusaders get a bonus point win against the Reds; the Bulls roll the Cheetahs but fail to get a bonus point; the Chiefs get up in a close, low scoring match against the Hurricanes, and the Sharks do the same against the Waratahs.

No real upsets there. And the top of the table looks like the following after Round 13.

Chiefs 41
Bulls 41
Hurricanes 40
Sharks 39
Crusaders 37

In the final round, the Brumbies and Reds upset the Chiefs and Hurricanes in two close matches (unlikely, but certainly possible, especially with the hot and cold form of the Reds); while the Crusaders get a bonus point win over the Blues.

This leaves the top of table as it is above.

It is unlikely that the matches will unfold exactly like this, but it seems inevitable that something like this will eventually happen with the Super 14 points system.

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