Champions elect Chiefs to end Brumbies nightmare
By James Mortimer, 15 May 2009 James Mortimer is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- Brumbies, Chiefs, Hurricanes, Leila Masaga, Liam Messam, Rugby Union, Sione Lauaki, Super Rugby, Tanerau Latimer
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Arguably the two best teams from the respective sides of the Tasman will meet in a clash that could determine whether or not the Chiefs can go all the way this season.
If they win, they will receive a home semi-final with the possibility of a home final if the Bulls are tripped up by the Sharks. The Durban based side are more than capable of beating their neighbours, but the 2007 champions are final round specialists, if there is such a thing.
In their last three rounds of Super 14 competition, the Bulls have scored 60, 92 and 43 points.
So it is a Chiefs side that waits for the Brumbies; that will only lose favouritism for the title should they have to travel to Pretoria to play a possible final.
And what a team it is.
They are certainly not all powerful. Their scrum and line out has had minor issues throughout the competition, and there is only a solitary test cap amongst their tight five.
But it has improved over the season, and while these areas were heavily targeted by the Hurricanes last week, a workmanlike performance from the Chiefs forwards ultimately took the contest on a point’s decision.
Their strengths, though, are quite remarkable, and on evidence of the result against a very good Hurricanes team, this is a side that is evolving and showing the necessary qualities to win a championship.
When it matters, their defence has functioned well, as have their set pieces.
So often understated when talking about a team, their loose forward operation has been as good as any in the competition.
Tanerau Latimer has been the dominant open side in New Zealand rugby this year, and Liam Messam is statistically only behind Otago’s Adam Thompson as the leading blind side of the tournament. Backed by their tight forwards, they have been so efficient that Sione Lauaki is often not needed at the ruck.
Instead he wrecks utter mayhem in the loose, prowling in the backline like a bad dream.
Combined with a backline that has five first choice All Blacks, as well as probable new international Leila Masaga, and the attacking class of this team is beyond any other side in the competition.
And it is the only time this season they have been at full strength.
With the most wins, the most consecutive victories, and the best ever South African touring result of the franchise, it is fair to say that this is the best Chiefs team ever seen.
Their opponents arrive in a season that has dripped character and seen them conquer all forms of diversity.
Australia’s greatest ever Super rugby team has shown – like the Crusaders – that irrespective of the Coach or playing personal, their history and pedigree will always make them a formidable opponent.
Mid season, their campaign was hit with disaster, having to emotionally deal with the passing of one of their own.
A few weeks later, the emotion that had carried them to some unlikely wins crashed; falling to a franchise record loss at the hands of a rampant Hurricanes team.
But they turned it around, destroying the Reds in Brisbane and notching a half century in the process. They then created their own fate by taking down the inconsistent Blues to put themselves in a position where they could qualify for the finals.
Beat the Chiefs and they will qualify for the top four.
It will not be easy, with the key lying in the Brumbies front row – the only area on paper where they may dominate the Chiefs. Everywhere else, with the exception of Stirling Mortlock, the Brumbies are completely outclassed.
History may be on their side in front of a sold out Waikato stadium.
The last time the stadium was sold out (prior to last week) was in 2004. The Chiefs needed but a solitary bonus point to qualify for their first semi final. The Brumbies arrived and defeated the Chiefs 15-12.
The Waikato based team got their bonus point, but then had to travel to Canberra for a semi final rematch with the Brumbies, which they won 32-17, on their way to a second title.
HEAD TO HEAD: Played 14, Brumbies 9, Chiefs 4, Drawn 1
LAST MATCH: 4th April 2008, Chiefs 42 – 28 Brumbies @ Canberra
Chiefs: 15 Mils Muliaina (captain), 14 Leila Masaga, 13 Richard Kahui, 12 Callum Bruce, 11 Sitiveni Sivivatu, 10 Stephen Donald, 9 Brendon Leonard, 8 Sione Lauaki, 7 Tanerau Latimer, 6 Liam Messam, 5 Kevin O’Neill, 4 Craig Clarke, 3 James McGougan, 2 Aled de Malmanche, 1 Ben May. Replacements: 16 Hika Elliot, 17 Sona Taumalolo, 18 Toby Lynn, 19 Serge Lilo, 20 Toby Morland, 21 Dwayne Sweeney, 22 Sosene Anesi.
Brumbies: 15 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 14 Clyde Rathbone, 13 Stirling Mortlock, 12 Tyrone Smith, 11 Francis Fainifo, 10 Matt Toomua, 9 Patrick Phibbs, 8 Stephen Hoiles (c), 7 George Smith, 6 Julian Salvi, 5 Peter Kimlin, 4 Ben Hand, 3 Guy Shepherdson, 2 Stephen Moore/Huia Edmonds, 1 Ben Alexander. Replacements: 16 Huia Edmonds/John Ulugia, 17 Salesi Ma’afu, 18 Sitaleki Timani, 19 Henry Vanderglas, 20 Joshua Holmes, 21 Afusipa Taumoepeau, 22 Sanualio Afeaki.
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- Explore:
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hemjay said | May 15th 2009 @ 8:52am | Report comment
James a pretty good summary of the season and the event to come.
The Chiefs are looking so hot right now I don’t think any side could beat them. The Bulls are struggling only just scraping by even at home in the republic and the Chiefs didn’t go down by much when the Bulls and chiefs met a few weeks backs also one has to take into account that the Chiefs had big names missing in that encounter.
The Brumbies were average before the tragic event mid season and to be honest are very average still. A win over makeshift 15s from both the Reds and the Blues is nothing to get to excited about if I were a Brumbies fan. The Chiefs are coming into this match having played a Test match intensity game against a very good Hurricanes outfit and they will be battle hardened and ready for the Brumbies. With a sold out venue the Brumbies will soon realise the enormityof the task at hand only once they are inside the Pallisades of fortress Waikato Stadium.
Statistics really count for nothing in encounters where so much is on the line it is form and sheer skill that will get teams home. However you have pointed out that Stirling is the best hope for a Brumbies boil over, I myself would include Smith in there too, However should things start to crumble these two go missing very fast.
James while the Brumbies are the best Australian team in Super history I’m not sure I can agree that you compare them with the Crusaders thats a huge call. I’d be more inclined to group them with Auckland who has one extra title. The crusaders are in a class of their own and it will take a few more titles before anyone could put another team in the same class as the red and blacks.
Calexico said | May 15th 2009 @ 9:15am | Report comment
George Smith outclassed by Latimer? Don’t think so.
hemjay said | May 15th 2009 @ 9:41am | Report comment
Calexico,
That is your own opinion and I accept that. I don’t necessarily think Smith is a better player but he is definatley a world class 7, Tanerau still has to prove himself and I think this will be as good a test as any.
jam said | May 15th 2009 @ 9:59am | Report comment
James,
could you clarify the following?
“Their opponents arrive in a season that has dripped character and seen them conquer all forms of diversity.”
Do you mean the season dripped character, as a whole, taking into account all teams or just the Brumbies’ season? I agree with you if you are focusing on the exciting, expansive play of the Chiefs, Hurricanes, and sometimes the backline play of the Force and Reds.
I assume you meant adversity, as a team or competition that promotes homogeneity doesn’t sound that laudable.
mudskipper said | May 15th 2009 @ 11:09am | Report comment
The Brumbies have intensified their focus on the field and are looking very determined…. They’ll play smart rugby against the Chiefs tonight allowing the home team to make the mistakes… Nevertheless the Chiefs are the ones who have all the pressure of media and supporter expectations laid at their feet… Will Donald choke? The pressure is undoubtedly on the Chiefs. There has been more than one upset this season today brings perhaps another.
I wouldn’t right the Brumbies off just yet. Win or loose the Brumbies have grown immensely this season and will be a force to be reckoned with next season especially with the return of the world class playmaker Matt Giteau.
Either way the Brumbies have had a victorious season…
craig said | May 15th 2009 @ 1:22pm | Report comment
The Brumbies have a big edge in leadership, particulrly in Smith and Mortlock (the real leaders rather than the just the figure head captain). These guys have been there and done it. This is relatively new to the Chiefs. If the Brumbies don’t let them get away early and even get a small 1/2 time lead, I think they can pull it off. If the Chiefs start well, it could be a massacre! It all adds up to an enthralling encounter….
The suggestion the Brumbies are completely outclassed is a bit arrogant and it is that expectation that will either help propel the Chiefs to the title or strangle them. We wait and see….
Brett McKay said | May 15th 2009 @ 1:39pm | Report comment
Muddie, just out of interest’s sake, do you reckon Laurie Fisher, looking back from where he is now (Munster?), would see the Brumbies season as victorious??
hemjay said | May 15th 2009 @ 2:38pm | Report comment
It is true that the pressure is on the Chiefs to deliver simply from pure expectation that they owe to their remarkable turn around from a very slow start.
However the Brumbies have the expectaion of a Nation on them and they are also expected to do well for Shaun McKay. I believe they were average before that tragic day and they haven’t improved much. The key to the Brumbies success is in the leadership of Mortlock and Smith. I doubt though that even with these two world class players that the ACT boys have the nous to get over the almighty hurdle that awaits them tonight.
In saying that should they do get up it will be one hell of an achievement
ohtani's jacket said | May 15th 2009 @ 6:13pm | Report comment
Nervy first half.
It’s easy for us to make predictions, but when you get on the field and the reality of what you’re playing for sinks in, there’s gotta be a very nervous boys out there. The Brumbies’ cover defence has been superb and they’ve contested the set pieces and breakdown extremely well. The Chiefs’ line-out is a real problem. They’ve also been a tad bit conservative with their kicking game, when it’s clear that they have a better backline than the Brumbies. The Brumbies are coming up pretty quickly in defence, so I can understand trying to get in behind them, but unless they get good set piece ball, the Brumbies can absorb all that pressure and take this one.
ohtani's jacket said | May 15th 2009 @ 7:19pm | Report comment
Well done Chiefs. Played the the territory game well in dismal conditions. The Brumbies were brave in defence, but the Chief’s scrummaging and line-out work improved in the second half. No real playmaker for the Brumbies. AAC was excellent in defence, but Toomua doesn’t have the experience to control a game in those type of conditions. Injuries will be a concern for the Chiefs heading into next week, but they ought to take heart from the performance of their bench and two finals style wins in a row.