Are the Lions developing series winning impetus?
By James Mortimer, 14 Jun 2009 James Mortimer is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- currie cup, Lions, Rugby Union, Springboks
Four down, with the first test barely a week away. While the Springboks sit in the stands losing their match hardening, the tourists are looking more ominous with each outing.
In their first three matches, the assortment of results only enforced the argument that it was going to be a Springbok riot over the invading Lions.
The result against a solid looking Currie Cup winning Sharks team, who had eight of their premier division winners on display, put a bit more shine on the tour so far.
The opening match against the Royal XV was mixed, but perspective must be gained from the fact that this was essentially a Vodacom Cup winning Griquas team, and far better than anybody gave them credit for. The Lions did what they needed to do despite playing in only their first match.
Against the Golden Lions, again, little could be gained from playing a team that resembled a rabble. But no doubt the fact that they could stick the knife and keep turning against such a foe was a good sign, a mark of hunger.
The Cheetahs match was a reality check, where Heinrich Brussow (a shocking test omission) led a fierce fight back and exerted terrifying pressure on the Lions breakdown – which appears to be their most glaring weakness.
But the Sharks match was the closest thing the side had laid in regard to a marker so far.
How though the locals must have wished some more of the test representing Sharks were on the field. Pieter De Villiers insistence to cotton wool his Springbok is looking increasingly like folly, while the British and Irish Lions are playing themselves into a competent test team.
Their only fault, aside from inconsistency at the breakdown, is of their finishing. While the Lions coaching staff claim that many moves have not been unleashed, there is still a lack of accuracy at crucial times.
Almost as if they are being too fancy.
A fancy team, but still with weaknesses that a World Champion team will pounce on – but only if they themselves can hit the ground running.
Unlike in 2005 or in 2001, there are Lions though who are looking not only like test match certainties, but also possessing of the necessary class to take down a team that may be the only test match rugby superpower in the world – given the All Blacks injuries and the Wallabies being still in a augmentation period.
Assistant coach Warren Gatland has said that there are only four to five test places still on offer.
Looking at the team from the back, Lee Byrne is close to their best player. Who is three quarter partners will be is still undecided, but one must think that Shane Williams has tried, but not done enough. Even statements such as “class is permanent” cannot apply to a winger that has been out of form for over six months.
Ugo Monye has a bit of X factor, and another spot will likely be decided between the Irish outside backs. With the kicking threat of the Springboks, could the Lions go with twin custodians and select Rob Kearney?
At centre, it looks like Brian O’Driscoll and Jamie Roberts will be the money. Combinations are everything and these two are looking like a world class midfield duo.
The playmakers are a lottery. With Mike Phillips looking like the first choice scrum half, perhaps the inside knowledge of a Welsh combination will benefit Stephen Jones. The Welsh ten looks the better runner and ball carrier, but one thinks that Ronan O’Gara’s educated boot might see him get the nod.
The loose forwards are the key.
Jamie Heaslip, David Wallace and Tom Croft look like the form back row. But while all have shown a fair amount of consistent form, the Lions are still on the back foot at the tackle area for periods in every match so far.
There is no doubt they are finding it difficult to adjust to the looser interpretations of the breakdown in the south, but with Pierre Spies and Schalk Burger hitting those rucks like surface missiles, there will need to be far more of a pack mentality with the side.
The tight five must better support the loose.
Paul O’Connell, a guaranteed starter, is beginning to look like the captain he was picked to be. Alun Wyn Jones looked to have the inside running, but will they fall back on the uncompromising Simon Shaw for mongrel? Whoever wears 4 and 5 will need to be in the form of their lives, to combat the sheer magnificence of King Victor.
In the forwards, Gethin Jenkins and Andrew Sheridan have looked the goods, as has the Lions scrum. For any talk of the South Africans forward power, their scrum is arguably the one aspect of their game that is not world beating.
As it stands, I see the Lions taking the first test.
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- Explore:
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Colin N said | June 14th 2009 @ 9:39am | Report comment
good article, but Bowe has pretty much secured his spot on the right-wing and if anything, if they were to go for better kicking then Kearney would play at 11. However, I think it will be between Flitzgerald and Monye for the left-wing spot.
Personally, I prefer Ellis to Phillips as I feel he gives better service, which I think is more important than having a ‘physical’ scrum-half, but I was a bit disappointed with his performance yesterday. Watching the last few weeks and the form of Peel, Care and even Hodgson, you do wonder what could and possibly should have been.
The centres look pretty obvious, Roberts and O’Driscoll – Flutey looked a bit cautious today and didn’t really stand out, Earls similarly. I like the look of Nathan Hines and would probably partner him and O’Connell as the lock pairing, with a back-row of Croft, Wallace and Heaslip. Mears looks a shoe in at hooker, with Rees and Ford putting in pretty poor displays today.
Jenkins will probably be loose-head, with either Vickery or Murray at tight-head. Vickery perhaps edging this area.
Finally, Jones is probably edging O’Gara for the fly-half berth. Oh, and Bryne looks like being the full-back
RydeRam said | June 14th 2009 @ 2:02pm | Report comment
Who cares? It might be good to watch but seeing the combined team playing Sth Africa outside the ELV’s adds a yawn to the whole experience.
Greg Smith said | June 14th 2009 @ 3:52pm | Report comment
Lemmings ! ‘losing their match hardening’ – I’ve heard this type of talk a million times – Is there ANY factual basis to support this ?
‘losing their match hardening’ ? Does a team actually go soft ? I don’t know ? This TALK is just all a bit too ‘urban mythically’ to me. Sounds like a cop out for poor refereeing ?
I played rugby for 17 years. Unless TOTALLY out of shape, I can’t say if a lay off detrimented my game on the contrary … maybe I could argue it sharpened me up (ok, granted I never played Test rugby) but I think the basic principles are transferable.
Like with tennis, sometimes it’s just incredible how you come back after a lay off. You swing the most outrageous shots and pull them off perfectly. Difficult to explain and I’d like to make a case against this theory of losing match hardening by taking time out. A step away sometimes gives one some perspective & the pro’s and con’s are debatable…
We shall see …
Spencer said | June 14th 2009 @ 4:23pm | Report comment
Greg – lets do an experiment to prove your theory. You stop posting here for 12 months, then you can come back and we can determine if you are making any sense.
Greg Smith said | June 14th 2009 @ 4:59pm | Report comment
ha, ha… look who wants to be a comedian – you should run off and join the AB’s your village won’t miss you
Knives Out said | June 14th 2009 @ 11:35pm | Report comment
‘There is no doubt they are finding it difficult to adjust to the looser interpretations of the breakdown in the south, but with Pierre Spies and Schalk Burger hitting those rucks like surface missiles, there will need to be far more of a pack mentality with the side.’
This is a purposeful strategy, James. The lions aren’t committing that many men to the ruck contest so they use/finetune their defence.
Bay35Pablo said | June 15th 2009 @ 1:49pm | Report comment
Considering the Lions are meant to be the best of the Home Nations, I’d be hoping they’d be giving the provincial sides a bit more of a spanking than they have been. I seem to recall them giving the Aussie sides (with the exception of Australia A) a touch up in the warm up matches in 2001. Given the Lions are yet to face a full strength Boks, they look a bit scratchy. Squeaking in over Western Province by 3 points just reinforces that.
Hope springs eternal, but I can’t seem them winning the 1st test without a huge lift, or unless they have been foxing.
Hemjay, where are you to administer a dose of reality in blunter terms to James here?
Greg Russell said | June 16th 2009 @ 12:26pm | Report comment
James, what exactly do you mean by NZ and Australia being in “an augmentation period”?
I agree with the general sentiment of this article.
After the S14 final I really thought that 3-0 to the Boks was a no-brainer, but I’m not sure that they have done a lot right since then. Much was made of 8 of 28 Bok squad members being from the Bulls, but I actually found this an alarmingly small number given that an “average” representation would be 6 (i.e., 5 S14 teams contributing this number each), and that 3 of South Africa’s S14 franchises were very ordinary this season (note my politeness!). In fact only 6 of the starting XV of the Bulls were selected, with players such as Zane Kirchner, Derick Kuün and Akona Ndungane probably wondering just what they have to do to earn selection (in Ndungane’s case one can’t even say “change skin colour”). On top of that there are omissions like Brussow (as James writes), who was sensational both in the S14 and against the Lions. So I’m not sure how well selected the Bok squad is.
There’s also the obvious issue of the Boks sitting in the stands doing nothing while the Lions develop combinations and acquire match hardening. (At least the Boks avoid injuries this way, cf. the Lions!)
As James says, there is no substitute for winning, and that’s what the Lions have been doing – who cares if 3 out of 5 have been very close? They are all still wins.
McGeechan is also playing a canny game in terms of fielding different first-team units at different times (e.g. the O’Connell unit mostly on Saturday’s, the O’Driscoll unit on Wednesdays). He obviously knows what his team will be, but he’s making it as hard as possible for the Boks to guess, cf. SCW in 2005.
For me the biggest unknown is the quality of South African rugby below the top. We all know that the very top is very good, but what lies beneath? If the standard falls off dramatically, as in Australia, then all these tour wins by the Lions mean very little. But if there is a lot of depth, as in NZ, then all these wins do mean a lot. I suspect it’s more a case of the former than the latter, but I do not know South African rugby well enough to be sure.
I guess all will be revealed in Durban, which shapes as the biggest game in world rugby this year. If the Boks win it, then the series is as good as over, with two tests to follow at altitude. But if a match-hardened Lions can prevail over an underprepared Boks, then …
The dots indicate amongst other things that I am unsure about what is going to happen. If I had watched more of the tour I would hazard a guess, but I don’t believe in talking beyond my range of first-hand knowledge (there’s a confession that may surprise some people!).
Rusty said | June 16th 2009 @ 1:13pm | Report comment
Breaking and great news is that Brussouw has been added to the Bok squad for the injured Burger. Remains to be seen if he is in the starting lineup or even the bench but it is a step in the right direction. Truth be told I am only going to be sure of both teams once the lineups emerge ahead of the Durban test. The question will be if PDV plumbs for the on form (Steyn, Brussouw, Olivier) versus the reputation (Pienaar, Burger, de Villiers) or the just plain ridiculous (Rose). Not that I am saying that the players with reputation whom I respect will suddenly be bad but its one thing to have a single player out of form/back form injury whom you need to pick up their game and a handful.
Rusty said | June 16th 2009 @ 1:16pm | Report comment
as for watching the tour – I have watched most (thanks FOX IQ) and the Lions have moved between ordinary and excellent in certain areas. Hence the cyclical level of results, I imagine the consolidation of those elements will come together ahead of the first test and they will be a formidable unit in most aspects.