Which way will The Ashes swing this time?

 

15 Have your say

Australia's bowler Stuart Clark celebrates the wicket of West Indies batsman Dwayne Bravo. AP Photo/Andres Leighton

Australia's bowler Stuart Clark celebrates the wicket of West Indies batsman Dwayne Bravo. AP Photo/Andres Leighton

It might be a little simplistic to say that swing will decide the Ashes, but that’s exactly what happened four years ago. Australia was undone by Jones, Flintoff and Hoggard, who made the Duke ball talk with reverse swing.

England was then completely outplayed in the 2006-07 series.

What was most interesting was their lack of swing with the Kookaburra ball.

Flintoff was economical, but nowhere near as threatening, and Hoggard was fodder for the batsmen, without any movement in the air.

It’s one of the percularities of cricket. No two cricket balls are the same. Even when you have the same brand of ball, you can expect differences.

Four years ago, England swung the Duke ball consistently. Australia didn’t.

It was irrelevant in the first Test because Glenn McGrath moved it prodigiously off the pitch. But when he was injured, suddenly it did matter. Suddenly, England scored 400 runs on the first day!

Australia have one final opportunity against the England Lions before the first Test. It’s hardly an adequate hit out for bowlers or batsmen, which is why Phil Hughes took the smart step of playing a couple of months of county cricket.

Stuart Clark has the opportunity to play the McGrath role and should be a handful, if he gets a chance.

But will any of our bowlers swing it? If Johnson does, I’m predicting a Bob Massie type performance. On the other side, James Anderson has been in stunning form.

He produced some incredible swing bowling against the Windies.

Ryan Sidebottom has the advantage of being a left-armer, he’s economical, and gets the odd one to move back into the right-hander.

Throw in Flintoff, the ever reliable Paul Collingwood, and the unpredictable Stuart Broad, and England’s fast bowling line-up looks solid.

But when you think about it, 2005 was just out of the ordinary.

I’m not sure how long England has played with the Duke ball, but Australia hasn’t had too many problems in England prior to 2005.

Perhaps it was the four-pronged attack, whereas in the past batsmen could see off the likes of Darren Gough and pile on the runs against the lesser bowlers.

Australia handled South Africa’s pace attack well this year, but something tells me the Duke ball under English conditions will create a sense of de ja vu.

Hopefully, for Australia’s sake, they will be better equipped to deal with it this time around.

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