Karlovic’s big serving game can crack Federer
By Alan Nicolea, 1 Jul 2009 Alan Nicolea is a Roar Guru
- Tagged:
- Grand slam, Ivo Karlovic, Pete Sampras, Robin Soderling, Roger Federer, Tennis, Tsonga, Wimbledon
Roger Federer is going for more than his sixth Wimbledon crown this year. The Swiss master is just one Grand Slam win away from breaking Pete Sampras’ record as the player with the most Grand Slam tournament victories in men’s tennis.
The world number one ranking is also on the line for Federer as he bids to reclaim the crown that Nadal so famously took off him last year in the Wimbledon final.
His supreme form on the all England court so far suggests the Swiss maestro will make history in the final chapter of Wimbledon 2009.
He is yet to drop a set so far in the tournament, and he looked his usual flawless self against French Open runner up Robin Soderling in the fourth round.
Despite all the gloss on Federer’s campaign so far, his quarter final match up against Croatian Ivo Karlovic could potentially turn very sour.
If Federer’s run to the second week of Wimbledon has been impressive, Karlovic’s form at the moment is unrivalled, such is the skill and power the 30 year old is currently displaying.
After just four matches, Karlovic has served a mammoth 137 aces and is yet to be broken in the tournament.
Not even established top ten stars Fernando Verdasco and Jo Wilfred Tsonga could find the form necessary to upstage arguably the most dangerous serve in men’s tennis today.
Against Verdasco, the Croatian did not even face a break point throughout the entire match.
He took the Spaniard to three tie breaks and eventually took the chances necessary to post a 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 victory that now puts him in a Grand Slam quarter final against Federer.
Having won just four ATP titles in his career, not to mention losing in the first round of Wimbledon in the past four tournaments, Karlovic also faces the daunting task of upstaging an opponent that has won eight of the ten previous encounters between the pair.
Although that statistic points to a resounding Federer victory, it must be noted that of the 22 sets his played against the Croatian, 12 have gone to a tiebreak.
Karlovic’s last meeting against the Swiss maestro in Wimbledon was back in 2004, when he lost valiantly in straight sets 6-3, 7-6, 7-6.
Despite the damning evidence against Karlovic, this is no doubt the Croatian’s best chance to defeat Federer in a Grand Slam.
His service game at the moment is unrivalled, and it is the one aspect of his game that his illustrious opponent cannot match.
Compared to Karlovic’s 137 aces, Federer only has 59, which places him fifth overall in free points won on serve.
The Croatian is also dominating the percentage of first serves won in the tournament so far, with an astounding 91 percent, compared to Federer’s 85 percent.
Toss all these statistics in a blender and Karlovic’s chances against Federer are much greater than many people realise.
Although Federer will remain firm favourite to continue his march towards history, do not be surprised if Karlovic serves well enough to derail the Fed express and send his bid for sporting immortality off course for at least a couple of months when the US Open rolls around.
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July 1st 2009 @ 3:36pm
Hobart Frisbee said | July 1st 2009 @ 3:36pm | Report comment
Rory – Tanner was a lot more than just a huge serve. He took Vilas in straights in the Aussie Open final in ’77, and Vilas was a great baseliner. Roscoe took another great baseliner, Borg, to five sets in the ’79 Wimbledon, and beat him a few months later in the quarters at the US Open. He also had final wins in other tournies overs Ashe and Stan Smith (twice).
It’s hard to win a Slam with just a serve. Roddick did the trick six years ago at the US Open but then his forehand was bigger than anybody’s back then so, unlike Karlovich, he was a two-trick pony.
July 1st 2009 @ 10:01pm
Rory said | July 1st 2009 @ 10:01pm | Report comment
HB, I agree. To be a contender in the Grand Slams the big servers need more strings to their bow. Tanner had something of game outside his serve, which was an awesome swinging thing that he seemed to hit on the rise of the toss. Mainly grass success, and it’s Wimbledon that gives the big servers their moment in the sun. Tanner, Ivanisovic, Krajicek, Tanner, others who only popped up once a year. Even bigger names like Becker, Cash and Newcombe. It’s good that we can rely on that kind of tennis at least once a year.
July 2nd 2009 @ 12:22am
ohtani's jacket, said | July 2nd 2009 @ 12:22am | Report comment
Seems you underestimated Federer’s return game, Alan. Not to mention his own service game.