How the NRL finals will play out
By Fred Magee, 7 Sep 2009 Fred Magee is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- Canterbury Bulldogs, Dragons, Melbourne Storm, NRL finals, Sea Eagles
‘Business end of the season’, ‘the competition starts now’, ‘playing for sheep stations’ – whatever your favourite cliché may be, the NRL finals are here and these well worn phrases all stand true.
So as we start debating with friends, workmates and strangers who start flying their team’s flag from their cars, the first week of the NRL semi finals poses a number of questions to consider.
1. Will the Dragons and the Bulldogs go the distance?
While they have been the best two teams all year, their last few weeks have raised questions about whether either team will reach the decider on October 4th.
The dramatic shift in the performance from the Dragons in the space of a week will instill both fear and confidence for those on the hill at Kogarah and Wollongong. Confidence, that they can again stick to the game plan that has served them so well and deliver the minor premiership. Fear, in that it could all change in the space of a week.
As for the Bulldogs, most fans will be concerned as to whether Friday night’s clash against the Tigers was a sign as to how the Dogs will cope without Brett Kimmorley. It has been Kimmorley’s experience and composure in steering the side around the park that has been the key factor in lifting them off last place and into Premiership contention.
2. What will happen to last season’s Grand Finalists?
Both Manly and Melbourne had strong wins in the final round and both have their tainted poster boys back for the semi finals. As they play each other in the first semi on Friday, chances are only one will have a realistic chance to progress to the Grand Final again.
I am tipping Melbourne will win on Friday night as in what should be one of the closest semis of the weekend. After that, I am tipping that Manly will earn back the tag as the team everyone loves to hate and enjoys seeing them take the back door out of the finals.
3. Will we remember the Titans?
2009 marks the first appearance in semi final football of the Gold Coast Titans. They have gone about their task quietly without too much fanfare; which is generally a good thing. Question will be whether they continue to focus on the task at hand or will semi-final nerves take hold against their big brother Brisbane. Methinks nerves and the Broncos by twelve.
4. Will Parramatta’s turnaround be for nought?
If any team is coming into the semis with a wet sail it is Parramatta; so much so that lots of dough was placed on them during the winning streak that ended on Friday night.
Many have said that not having to play sudden death footy, as they had been for weeks, played a part in the huge loss on Friday night. Losing Hindmarsh and Grothe wouldn’t have helped either but even with them back, if the Dragons repeat their efforts of Friday night it won’t make a lick of difference.
5. What will go wrong with the Grand Final entertainment this year?
A fact you cannot escape is that the NRL Grand Final entertainment has a history of being woeful and fraught with disaster. Be it the huge Optus Vision TV that didn’t want to inflate, the 42nd Street dancers that stood for 10 minutes waiting in vain for their music to start or Billy Idol whose snarling bottom lip couldn’t overcome the power failure; the pre-game entertainment has been ordinary.
I didn’t think it could get worse than those shining examples – that is until I had to sit through the choreographed BBQ ballet of last year. One wonders whether Wolfmother knows what they are getting themselves into!
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- Explore:
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September 7th 2009 @ 2:47pm
Mick from Giralang said | September 7th 2009 @ 2:47pm | Report comment
I wish Canterbury would give that young Ben Barba a go in the absence of Kimmorely.. There are concerns about his maturity but he has experienced campaigners like Ennis and Roberts around him. Canberra placed its faith in youth this season and without exception the youngsters rose to the occasion. Time for the Dogs to go for broke and give Barba a go.
September 7th 2009 @ 3:03pm
Fred Magee said | September 7th 2009 @ 3:03pm | Report comment
Vary rarely does any team give a youngster a go come semi final time…I think the Dogs will just want to get through the Knights and dont be surprised if Kimmorley is back for the GF qualifier.
September 7th 2009 @ 3:10pm
Pippinu said | September 7th 2009 @ 3:10pm | Report comment
…unless they are something special – it’s the stuff of legends.
September 7th 2009 @ 3:11pm
Mick from Giralang said | September 7th 2009 @ 3:11pm | Report comment
I know that’s the conventional theory Fred but I think it’s time for the Dogs to go for it. He won’t be any worse than Millard and if he plays to his best he can be a match winner. Of course, Kimmorley should be selected as soon as he is fit.
September 7th 2009 @ 8:07pm
Dogs Of War said | September 7th 2009 @ 8:07pm | Report comment
I wouldn’t start Barba, but off the bench it’s worth the risk. Inject him to add spark as required. At least you have an option if the team is struggling, unlike now where we have nothing if we have a repeat of last friday.
September 7th 2009 @ 3:15pm
oikee said | September 7th 2009 @ 3:15pm | Report comment
The only thing that worries me is a Melbourne/Titans semi the week after, and a Broncos Manly clash? Where do they play these games, only Manly fans have good access to the games if played in Sydney? As for the entertainment, best years i remember are the exploding t/v and Billy without voice, hope wolf=mother turn up with the wolfman masks on, be memorable.
Saints to win i think, against Melbourne, now thats a final..
September 7th 2009 @ 4:37pm
Fred Magee said | September 7th 2009 @ 4:37pm | Report comment
Mick, I have an ulterior motive as I am a Dragons supporter…but you are right. The Dogs really dont have anything to lose but that does require others to stand up. Question that a lot of Dogs supporters have is whether Ben Roberts can be relied upon to do that.
Oikee, I weep for a simpler time when we were happy with the sprints around the SCG and the Marching Koalas doing there thing up and down the field – all climaxing with the unveiling of a huge sign in the same colours as a Winfield Red packet!! (sniff!)
I also have nightmares about John Williamson singing “rip rip woodchip” prior to the Panthers v Raiders in 1991.
September 8th 2009 @ 9:33am
GaryGnu said | September 8th 2009 @ 9:33am | Report comment
The Dogs have to do something this week. Chris Lawrence and Gareth Ellis ran all night at the gap between Holdsworth and Idris on the Dogs right side defence. They made lotsa yards through that littel corridor and I’m sure that hasn’t gone unnoticed by the video analysis squad Richie Stone had in Newcastle. Holdsworth was also playing like it was 2008 trying to generate tries from high cross field kicks to either wing. It just didn’t work and they’ll have to find some new ideas or personnel to get through week one.
Despite all that I think the winners of the first week will be St George-Illawarra, Brisbane, Manly, and Newcastle (yes two upsets). That means Parramatta and Melbourne eliminated.
Week two sees St George and Manly resting while Brisbane play host to Cantebury-Bankstown and Newastle host Gold Coast. Brisbane and Gold Cost to win setting up a state vs state preliminary week all in Sydney!
Week three, the “home” teams St George and Manly to emerge from the ruck to contest the big one.
There you have it my crazy brave predictions for the finals. No doubt some unforseen event will occur to throw all that into disarray but that is the joy of it all.
As for the entertainment, my favourite GF pre-match moment was when Chris Isaak, post 2003, got through one line of “Baby Did a Bad Bad Thing” and promptly muttered to the microphone “Beat that Billy Idol!” (or words to that effect). Absolute Gold.
September 8th 2009 @ 8:46pm
Dogs Of War said | September 8th 2009 @ 8:46pm | Report comment
Glad everyone is tipping against the Dogs. We haven’t lost 2 in a row all year, and really, after last week they have pride on the line as well.
Anything and everything that could go wrong, did last week. Can see the Dogs off to a fast start this week, with a simple game that sees the big boppa’s being rotated regularly to tire out those Knights forwards, which just won’t be able to handle the size of the Dogs pack, just like the Dogs have been doing all year.
September 8th 2009 @ 9:16pm
AndyRoo said | September 8th 2009 @ 9:16pm | Report comment
Eels fans never tip against the dogs….. Semi Final 18 points up…….. 11 years on still hurts
September 10th 2009 @ 4:16pm
kevin from glebe said | September 10th 2009 @ 4:16pm | Report comment
im not a dogs or eels fan but i went to that game with a couple of my bulldogs supporter mates for something to do and that was a pretty memorable game that one!