A primer for Wallaby success at RWC 2011

 

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Australian Wallabies halfback Will Genia (bottom right) passes the ball during the team training session in Brisbane, Friday, Sept. 4, 2009. The Wallabies play South Africa in their Tri-Nations match at Suncorp Stadium tomorrow. AAP Image/Dave Hunt

Australian Wallabies halfback Will Genia (bottom right) passes the ball during the team training session in Brisbane, Friday, Sept. 4, 2009. The Wallabies play South Africa in their Tri-Nations match at Suncorp Stadium tomorrow. AAP Image/Dave Hunt

As the countdown clicks over to less than two years until the 2011 RWC, rugby’s equivalent of the International Dateline, so do the current selections and playing strategies become closer to those for the 2011 tournament.

The significant changes already flagged through the touring squad selection have all but exhausted the list of players capable of being ready for 2011.

With the exception of a lock or two (such as Kimlin, Hocking and Caldwell), and Cameron Shepherd and maybe Lachlan McCaffrey of the Tahs, we are therefore looking at the Wallabies team that will attempt to wrest the RWC from the aging Springboks and from under the noses of the All Blacks at home.

Already, there are really only six contentious positions in the Wallabies starting team:

* Lock: a shortage means that Mumm’s Super 14 experience at 4/5 will be called upon to get the tour off on a good note.
* 7: I am not a huge fan of Pocock’s yet. He is over-muscled in the Popeye style, and tackles with his arms rather than shoulder, but he deserves the (investment) time to find his feet at this level.
* 8: Palu showed some 2008 form in the selection trial.
* 10: Giteau isn’t a 10, but is a Horan-like 12. If it hasn’t worked in over 20 games, let’s try something different, and this has been happening by osmosis recently with some good results.
* 11: Ioane is back from injury and would have been an automatic selection for the 2009 season at either 11, 13 or 14.
* 13: AAC, potentially a world class 13, adds bulk to match the All Black and European centres.
* 15: O’Connor at 15, more in the name of backline stability and show of faith and investment in the future than his performances. He is special in both the skills and attitude department, but may have been rushed into the 15 due to injuries. I would keep him there to show confidence in him and give him stability. There is no player who is significantly better on the bench, so unless you want to further reorganise the backline by moving AAC to 15 and Ioane to 13, I would leave O’Connor at 15.

One iteration of this would be to move O’connor to the bench bumping Cooper, AAC to 15, Ioane to 13 and Hynes into 11.

I chose against this to give the 2009 incumbents a chance to operate with Barnes at 10 and give Ioane some game time to ease him back in after his injury.

Less haste, more speed.

* Bench: Dunning is in good form, fit and keen to resume where he was this time last year. He can play both sides.

My patience with Chisholm has worn out. He was disgraceful in Wellington and shouldn’t be on the tour, except that so many locks have been injured. Chapman was very good in the final Wallabies trial and deserves a chance because he also brings some (though not a lot) height.

Smith is both short and long term tired and will be at his best if used in bursts (carrot) and with the “stick” of demotion.

Cooper gets the nod over Beale, but they remain as they were through their schoolboy days, peas out of the same pod, and hence, head-to-head at selection time.

Beale needs to drop some kg’s to regain his blistering speed and step.

Cross was in great form in the final Wallabies trial, setting up two tries by standing in the tackle to offload.

1. Robinson
2. PTN
3. Alexander
4. Mumm
5. Horwill
6. Elsom
7. Pocock
8. Palu
9. Genia
10. Barnes
11. Turner
12. Giteau
13. AAC
14. Ioane
15. O’Connor
16. Moore
17. Dunning
18. Chapman
19. Smith
20. Genia
21. Cooper
22. Cross

Now to playing strategies.

Overall, play a rounded, multi-tactic game that includes:

1. Excellence at set piece
2. Contest breakdown fiercely
3. Retain possession in 78 metres (outside own 22) before opponents’ tryline unless a kick will gain more than 30 metres, initally using forward plays (short passing and rolling mauls).
4. Counter-attack from opponents’ kicks.
5. Attack from set pieces, particularly scrums, using backline moves creating overlaps and then support play
6. Maintain the 2008/09 high standards in defence.
7. Never give up!

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