Australia faces a colossus in its bid for 2022 World Cup
By Adrian Musolino, 7 Mar 2010 Adrian Musolino is a Roar Expert
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Los Angeles Galaxy midfielder David Beckham, left, is tripped-up by New York Red Bulls midfielder Clint Mathis. AP Photo/Bill Kostroun
If we assume the 2018 World Cup is destined for Europe, as FIFA have all but confirmed, then 2022 is shaping up as a battle between Australia and the USA – a David and Goliath battle, according to Goliath.
US Soccer Federation president Sunil Gulati, representing Goliath, laid out a list of reasons why the USA should beat out their rivals to win the rights to host the World Cup in 2022, assuming, as we should, that Europe is earmarked for 2018.
Some of the reasons he gives are as follows:
- Economic might. $US14 trillion ($A15.46 trillion) GDP. “Given the world economic climate that is a difficult thing to do. Our funding comes from the private sector or donations. Because of the NFL and a number of universities, we have world class facilities without the need to build new ones,” he said.
- Population. “Lots of experience hosting events, a very large population, including a very large immigrant population with virtual guaranteed sell-outs for all 64 games,” he said.
- Based on confederation rotation, North America (CONCACAF), having last hosted the World Cup in 1994 in the USA, is due, particularly when its main rival, Asia, last hosted the World Cup in 2002 (Japan and South Korea).
- Ease. “The United States has more tickets to sell, is a good time zone, and there are a large number of commercial partners here,” he said.
- A united confederation. “We have the full support of (North and Central American Confederation) CONCACAF whether it comes to 2018 or 2022 by unanimous decision.” (Note: This is something Australia doesn’t even have from the Asian confederation).
All hard to argue against.
But that final point, regarding stadiums, is the most salient. The USA bid has 18 stadiums all named and accounted for that can fit a capacity of five million people.
Compared to the ongoing question marks surrounding available stadiums, the conflicts with rival codes, let alone the need for significant upgrading of infrastructure in Australia, the scope of our rivals’ stadium options dwarfs what Australia can currently offer.
Critically too, according to Gulati, America doesn’t need significant government support.
“We are not asking US government or state authorities to spend billions of dollars to build facilities,” he said.
Even if it did require significant government funding, you would sense it would be forthcoming considering the embarrassing failure of Chicago’s 2016 Summer Olympic Games bid leaves the World Cup bid as America’s sole chance for redemption in the coming decade.
In terms of financial backing and stadium suitability, therefore, the American bid, at present, is a much safer bet for FIFA than Australia’s.
An American World Cup also represents another chance for FIFA and the game to ‘crack’ the North American market.
The game is currently enjoying a growth spurt in the USA with a significant increase in ESPN’s World Cup coverage this year, the success of the national team at last year’s Confederations Cup, and the continued growth of the MLS, helped, somewhat, by ‘Beckham mania’.
If the 1994 World Cup was the chance for ‘soccer’ to reestablish itself in America through the rebirth of professionalism (through the creation of Major League Soccer), then 2022 could be the chance for the game to solidify its place in the American psyche.
Despite Australia’s bid propagating the notion that a World Cup on our shores, with its proximity to Asia would mean the tournament could tap into the region’s growing population and economy (a tenuous proposition considering the continued tensions between the FFA and AFC making them look like uncomfortable bedfellows), the fact remains that Asia doesn’t necessarily need to be ‘won over’ by the game.
America, with its economic might and cultural dominance over the western world, represents the last frontier for FIFA.
Whether this reasoning is a determining factor in the biding process remains to be seen.
What we do know is, at present, the American bid, with its mega-stadiums ready, is a colossus compared to Australia’s. If Australia wants to be in contention for 2022, it needs to look to America and accept that we have a lot of work to do just to be competitive.
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March 7th 2010 @ 9:48am
Tifosi said | March 7th 2010 @ 9:48am | Report comment
Its also interesting to know that the 1994 World cup is still the most watched according to FIFA’s figures with a total audience of 32 Billion.
Where as the 2002 World Cup in ASIA had only 28 Billion.
More interestingly, 15 Billion Asian viewers watched it in 1994 where as 11 billion only watched it in 2002. And they had China in that tournament as well.
http://www.fifa.com/mm/document/fifafacts/misc-tele/52/01/27/fs-401_05a_fwc-tv-stats.pdf
March 7th 2010 @ 10:25am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:25am | Report comment
Tifosi
The method of measuring the figures has changed since 1994 so l wouldnt worry too much about them. They were not as accurate as the figures done since 2002/2006. Asia has by far the largest audience for the WC and will present the best ratings when it’s held in Oz in 2022.
March 7th 2010 @ 10:11am
Luke W said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:11am | Report comment
I wouldn’t be totally opposed to the USA winning the 2022 WC, but only on the condition that the final be played at Cowboys Stadium. That place is amazing.
March 7th 2010 @ 10:50am
Mister Football said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:50am | Report comment
Adrian
good article.
It’s not just stadiums either – it’s host cities.
Australia is struggling to come up with the bare minimum eight host cities.
None of the Southern states are interested in spending one cent on the World Cup – they understand only too well that it’s money down the drain, and on top of that, with such a willing PM, he is most likely going to be forced to front up with all the cash (and my early estimate is in the range of $6 billion to $9 billion in current day dollars).
And right now, with an election looming, the Federal budget is looking as sick as it has ever looked in the last 30 years.
March 7th 2010 @ 11:39am
MV Dave said | March 7th 2010 @ 11:39am | Report comment
“None of the Southern states are interested in spending one cent on the World Cup” Ahhh thats why they all signed off with the Feds, to support the WC bid in the document sent to FIFA in December.
Gee Mr Negative you can infiltrate any blog just to satisfy your anti WC/pro AFL agenda!
March 7th 2010 @ 11:43am
elbusto said | March 7th 2010 @ 11:43am | Report comment
Just remind me – which Sport sis the most popular in the ‘Southern States’????????? Yes Mr Negative really is bending over backwards to expose his bias against Australia getting the World Cup!
March 7th 2010 @ 11:44am
Al said | March 7th 2010 @ 11:44am | Report comment
MVDave, talking to these AFL zealots is liking banging your head against a brick wall. If it were an AFL cup they would be clamouring for the opportunity with little regard to cost, only when it is a football tournament do they suddenly become concerned citizens regarding taxes. They aren’t honest enough to admit they don’t wont the world cup here because they hate the sport, it is after all “un-Australian”.
March 7th 2010 @ 12:22pm
Mister Football said | March 7th 2010 @ 12:22pm | Report comment
I’m infiltrating a blog?
You don’t reckon this article by Adrian is pretty much backing up everything I have written on the subject the last couple of months?
Some might call it bias, others might call it spot on analysis.
March 7th 2010 @ 12:28pm
Australian Football said | March 7th 2010 @ 12:28pm | Report comment
And some might like to call your stuff as a deliberate effort to Sabotage the World Cup Bid…
~~~~~
AF
March 7th 2010 @ 1:40pm
elbusto said | March 7th 2010 @ 1:40pm | Report comment
I think Mr Negative believes he is sabotaging the bid. My guess is that nobody in any serious position would take any notice of a person with such an obvious agenda.
March 7th 2010 @ 12:10pm
Australian Football said | March 7th 2010 @ 12:10pm | Report comment
Good luck to the USA––they are embracing Football and will win a world cup one day, in the not too distant future and that will be on USA soil. Now after saying that, however, it won’t be in 2022 unless Australia win the bid for 2018. FIFA are the biggest and wealthiest sporting organisation in the world. The money may be of great significance and benefit to FIFA ––now doubt, but what is more important to FIFA, is taking Football to every disadvantaged regions like Oceania––to build new Football infrastructure in the very last frontiers not using their monies but the government guaranteed monies and what better way to do that, with a vehicle like a safe, sound economy, like Australia’s––knowing Oceania as a confederation has no hope of ever hosting a World Cup. But Australia gives FIFA two regions to cement the codes appeal in regions that are young and eager to embrace the code. Asia and Oceania, with two thirds of the world’s population now living in Asia and the fastest economy growth of any region in the world––it’s the most attractive. It’s not always about existing infrastructure––it’s more about building new Football infrastructure in new places embracing Football in new parts of the world. That’s why Australia has the best reason to be given the 2018 or 2022 Football world cup. As Frank Lowy stated that we will definitely get one of them and I’m with him––if it’s not the 2018 then the 2022 will be fine with us.
~~~~~~
AF
March 7th 2010 @ 5:08pm
matty1974 said | March 7th 2010 @ 5:08pm | Report comment
Stadia are obviously one of the USA’s strong points and one of Australia’s weaker points, so it is natural that USA bid team and Oz World Cup saboteurs will focus on this single issue. Clearly stadia is not the most important part of the bid, otherwise South Africa and Brazil will have never been awarded their WC’s.
Tifosi, if FIFA were so enamoured by a USA WC, why did they knock the USA back in 1986? if they were so keen on USA for 2022, why did they not simply re-introduce a confederation rotation system and restrict bids to CONCACAF, like they did for 2014 in respect to CONEMBOL? Why are they announcing 2018 and 2022 hosts at the same time? (answer- to enable the 2022 hosts more lead in time for stadia construction, clearly not a requirement for a 2022 USA WC).
Again, too many anti Oz WC protagonists are viewing the decision through the prism of their own bias. The decision will not come down to stadia, it will be politics. My point about USA refusing to change their season is simply to illustrate that the USA does not play FIFA politics too well, the whole theme of Gulati’s statement is that we’re the biggest and therefore the best, it smacks of arrogance.
USA has a large affulent population, but it is equalled by the combined middle classess in Japan, Korea, Oz, NZ, Thailand, Indonesia etc. When you add in the rapidly growing middle classes of India and China, it is no contest.
Finally, again, please someone explain to me how the USA will structure a WC that allows Americans to watch in prime time and also suit the 2 most important TV markets (Asia and Europe)?
March 7th 2010 @ 5:52pm
Chris said | March 7th 2010 @ 5:52pm | Report comment
“USA has a large affulent population, but it is equalled by the combined middle classess in Japan, Korea, Oz, NZ, Thailand, Indonesia etc” – um… no it isn’t, not by a long shot. The combined GDP’s of those nations is not even half that of the US.
To put it in context India’s economy is smaller than that of Texas. The combined economies of Korea, NZ, Thailand and Indonesia is around the same size as California’s. Australia’s economy is smaller than New York’s. The rest of the states still comfortably account for Japan and China combined.
March 7th 2010 @ 8:18pm
Punter said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:18pm | Report comment
Not sure if this is the case in 2022. I work for a multi national company & all the focus is on the emerging markets & most of those are in Asai.
April 29th 2010 @ 4:26pm
Andrew said | April 29th 2010 @ 4:26pm | Report comment
Ummm… Wikipedia says that New York’s economy has a GDP of under $1 trillion dollars, compared with Australia’s GDP of almost $1.1 trillion… Yet you say that our economy is smaller than New York’s, but last time I check, $1.1 trillion is more that $980 billion…
Wikipedia also says that Texas’ economy has a GDP of around $1.1 trillion, $250 billion shy of India’s GDP of $1.35 trillion… Maybe try to get your figures right next time, it helps to prove your point…
March 7th 2010 @ 7:05pm
Worlds Biggest said | March 7th 2010 @ 7:05pm | Report comment
Agreed we can’t even compete on a Financial / infrastructure level compared to the States. If we were given the nod the whole country would get behind this colossul event. Most Americans wouldn’t give a monkeys about the World Cup. That is besides the point though. Goliath will win out on this one.
March 8th 2010 @ 1:06pm
Nam Turk said | March 8th 2010 @ 1:06pm | Report comment
The US would have more people who care than Australia has people, period.
March 7th 2010 @ 7:44pm
matty1974 said | March 7th 2010 @ 7:44pm | Report comment
Chris, are you seriously suggesting that the combined economic purchasing power of Asia and Oceania is less than the USA? If so, would love to see some figures to back up this assertion. Further, are you sure this will be the case in 2022?
In any case, like I have already said and at the risk of repeating myself, this is not a competition based on who has the most amount of really big stadia, or who is the richest.
It is a political game where favours will be traded and where the two most important TV markets are Asia and Europe, where Asia + Oceania account for around 60 FIFA votes that will determine the next FIFA president in 2011, where there are 5 Asian bidders competing in the belief that 2022 is Asia’s turn.
Would be interested in the views of our Asian experts (Mike Tuckerman and Ben from Phnom Penh, if you’re reading) of how Asia would react to having all 5 of their bidders being snubbed in favour of the USA
March 7th 2010 @ 7:54pm
Dogs Of War said | March 7th 2010 @ 7:54pm | Report comment
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_%28nominal%29
US is pretty far in front for a stand alone Nation. Asia having 5 bidders works against Asia really. The Asian region needs to decide on one, and push that with all it’s got.
March 7th 2010 @ 10:45pm
Chris said | March 7th 2010 @ 10:45pm | Report comment
Matt – they are pretty basic stats – all I did was compare the GDP of those countries to the GSP of various American states. People often don’t realise just how huge the American economy is. If California was a country it would be the 8th largest economy in the world (ahead of countries like Russia, Australia, India, Canada and Spain).
Another thing people often don’t realise is just how poor many Asian countries are (allthough thankfully they are rapidly growing). Thailand (a country used above in support of an Asian World Cup) for example has an economy that is almost exactly the same size as Victoria (ie: not exactly big by world standards). Even India – with its 1 Billion people – has a GDP only slightly larger than Australia (population 0.02 Billion). The ratings money coming from these countries is, therefore, absolutely nothing compared to the US and Europe.
Obviously by 2022 Asia will have caught up slightly – but the disparity is so huge that is will be a long time before it is in the same ballpark as the US or Europe.
March 7th 2010 @ 8:29pm
An Australian. said | March 7th 2010 @ 8:29pm | Report comment
I know this is off topic but…………In keeping with the reluctance of some soccer folk to refer to their game as soccer and insisting that it be referred to as Sokkah. I think it is appropriate that the national Sokkah team, the Socceroos, should change their name. I think considering the soccer folk like the word Sokkah so much lets call them “The Sokkahooroos”, and anyone with a bit of knowledge about the game and the team could be a Sokkahooroogooroo.
May 2nd 2010 @ 10:29pm
Henry Arkwright said | May 2nd 2010 @ 10:29pm | Report comment
Surely China will host the world cup before Australia do. I’d imagine turning China’s football team into a force to be reckoned with on the world stage is high up on the Chinese government’s ‘to do list.’ And when China decide that they want to be good at a certain sport, they usually succeed, as we saw at the 2008 Olympics.
August 26th 2010 @ 9:23am
michael said | August 26th 2010 @ 9:23am | Report comment
You are wrong, as are a lot of people who follow this model of money. The world cup would then not move outside of the US and Europe. The AFC president himself has said for China to develop it’s football before doing anything as thinking about a world cup bid. Given Asia’s next bid is in 2034 should Australia win 2022 that should be just about perfect timing for China to get somewhere. AUSTRALIA for 2022!!! If Australia doesn’t host it in 2022, then pretty much they won’t host it this century. That’s pretty scary considering it’s only 2010. So come on AUSTRALIA 2022!!!!