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Australia's Harry Kewell at a Socceroos training session in Johannesburg, South Africa, Sunday, June 6, 2010. AP Photo/Rob Griffith.
There are two conflicting schools of thought on the Socceroos on the brink of the World Cup: one of unwavering optimism that the spirit and grit showcased in 2006 and solidified in qualification for 2010 will see our boys progress. The other is of pessimism that old legs (and an injured groin) will send the Socceroos out in straight sets.
We all want to be in the optimist’s camp, believing in Socceroos destiny and that the spirit of 2006 will help overcome the adversity of form, age and Germany. And they have some justification in their optimism.
Despite their differing personas and tactical nuances, there is a similarity between Guus Hiddink’s and Pim Verbeek’s Socceroos in their ability to grind out results and how they’ve instilled a winning mentality into their players.
For the pessimists, putting aside questions over Verbeek’s tactics, the biggest concern is the form and fitness of players throughout the spine of the Socceroos starting XI.
There won’t be any surprise in Verbeek’s XI. Assuming Kewell and Emerton are fit (a big assumption) the XI will look like this:
Mark Schwarzer (GK)
Luke Wilkshire (RB)
Craig Moore (CB)
Lucas Neill (CB)
Scott Chipperfield (LB)
Brett Emerton (RM)
Jason Culina (CM)
Vince Grella (CM)
Tim Cahill (CM)
Mark Bresciano (LM)
Harry Kewell (CF)
If Kewell doesn’t make it then Josh Kennedy slots into the lone striker role. If Verbeek doesn’t want to risk Kewell being run off his feet up front, then he can slot him into LM in place of the out of form Bresciano with Kennedy at the head. If Emerton isn’t fit, Richard Garcia gets his role.
Don’t expect any Hiddink-style surprises from Pim. We won’t be seeing Cahill on the bench against Germany, that’s for certain.
But throughout that XI is the concern over form and fitness.
At the back, Moore’s pace is a major concern, and the clubless veteran has struggled badly in the pre-tournament warm-ups. Of equal concern is the sluggish pace of partner Neill.
Both could easily be exposed by the strength of the Germans and pace of the Ghanaians. If so, tournament over.
There’s no concern with Wilkshire and Chipperfield on the flanks, thankfully. Both are reliable and consistent performers.
In the middle of the park, Culina has been as reliable as ever. Cahill is a gun, no question.
But Grella’s form is worrying. His mistake against the USA was woeful; his passing has been well off the mark (not good in his crucial position as midfield marshal); and his attempts to compensate for his lack of pace with overly aggressive tackling will have him back in the showers well before his teammates.
Also struggling is Bresciano, who seems to be a shadow of the player four years ago and is another who has lacked consistent football at club level.
Emerton and Kewell’s lack of football before the ultimate test of Germany is also a major concern. Can Verbeek risk starting them, lacking match fitness and underdone, alongside players also struggling for form in key positions?
Emerton’s battle to be fit is crucial.
The Socceroos are a significantly better side when he is fit and firing: linking brilliantly with Wilkshire on the right flank with the flexibility to go back or attack.
He is a more important cog in the Socceroos setup than the much more vaunted Kewell.
With Kewell out of action, Kennedy has taken the lone striker role and has been found wanting, albeit impeded by the lack of service from Bresciano and the absent Emerton.
There are undoubted weaknesses in the spine of the experienced but fragile XI.
So, if the Socceroos succumb to Germany, with the likes of Moore, Grella and co further exposed as the weakest links in the starting XI, does Verbeek have the courage to replace them with the second tier group with faith that players such as Michael Beauchamp, Mile Jedinak and co can do the job?
That could well be the decisive question once the tournament gets underway and will determine the Socceroos’ fate.
Pim, it’s in your hands. Don’t be afraid to be brave. It worked for Guus.
Or maybe the optimists have it right, and it’ll all be right.
We can only hope.
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June 8th 2010 @ 1:12pm
AndyRoo said | June 8th 2010 @ 1:12pm | Report comment
Well I wasn’t really suggesting it as my own thoughts…just reading Pim’s tea leaves as to the likely outcome.
I am now entering a state of Zen, after being mildly concerned with Macdonald not being selected and then upset with losing to the USA (I’ll be honest I would prefer we just won every game no matter how ugly) I have now vowed to just accept what comes.
In 2006 I felt really drained after we were knocked out and didn’t give a rats about the rest of the tournament. This time I am going to enjoy every minute….. at least that’s the plan…… will probably explode with a rant about 5 seconds after full time is called against the Germans.
June 8th 2010 @ 3:54pm
Kazama said | June 8th 2010 @ 3:54pm | Report comment
Felt the same way in 06 Andy, will probably be the same as you in this edition too. Except my rant will come after Moore gives away a penalty in the first minute against Germany.
June 8th 2010 @ 1:18pm
ItsCalledFootball said | June 8th 2010 @ 1:18pm | Report comment
Do you believe in Santa Claus and the fairies at the bottom of your garden . . . then believe in the Socceroos World Cup champions in 2010.
June 8th 2010 @ 1:59pm
Realfootball said | June 8th 2010 @ 1:59pm | Report comment
I don’t believe in Santa Claus, but I remain open to the possibility that God is an Australian.
June 8th 2010 @ 2:02pm
AndyRoo said | June 8th 2010 @ 2:02pm | Report comment
Josh Kennedy’s dad?
June 8th 2010 @ 2:17pm
Shannon said | June 8th 2010 @ 2:17pm | Report comment
Gold Andy, pure Gold
June 8th 2010 @ 2:01pm
Greg said | June 8th 2010 @ 2:01pm | Report comment
No one is suggesting we will be WC Champions mate, lets just focus on getting out of our group and giving England something to think about (and a good kicking)! Go the Roos
June 8th 2010 @ 2:25pm
Art Sapphire said | June 8th 2010 @ 2:25pm | Report comment
As Sting famously wrote – “If you love someone, set them free”.
Well, the has come to set our beloved boys free on the the good ship Verbeek.
Angst ridden hypothesising will not change its course.
Lets just hope that it sails smoothly through rough seas of the group stage.
The beauty is that in another 31 nations, the same angsty debates are raging in terms of tactics and team selection.
(Make that 30.5 the .5 being Nth Korea. Saying the wrong thing there might have dire consequences
Enjoy the World Cup everyone!!
June 8th 2010 @ 3:16pm
AndyRoo said | June 8th 2010 @ 3:16pm | Report comment
haha …. their not worried in North Korea, I am pretty sure no matter what happens North Korea Wins (at least on State TV).
Latest from sportsbet.com.nk
World Cup Winner odds
North Korea $1.0000001
Brazil $5
Western Imperial Dogs $1,000.00
….. good luck with collecting if the dogs get up.
June 8th 2010 @ 3:35pm
Towser said | June 8th 2010 @ 3:35pm | Report comment
One bet I know I can win is that North Korea will have the least amount of supporters at the World Cup.
June 8th 2010 @ 4:25pm
Lmacca said | June 8th 2010 @ 4:25pm | Report comment
The second half’s have generally seen us play better, which has been when changes have been made. Valeri in particular has been impressive. And yes, Holman.
So even if it’s the main guys who start the game, these 2 have qualities that can be used in the 2nd half. I’ve come around on Holman, he’s not the greatest but he’s certainly in the top 15 players we have.
June 8th 2010 @ 4:42pm
The Bear said | June 8th 2010 @ 4:42pm | Report comment
It’s pretty easy to be “impressive” lately. Keep the Holman love in perspective, please ; )
June 8th 2010 @ 4:42pm
AndyRoo said | June 8th 2010 @ 4:42pm | Report comment
Thought I woudl share this link….. it made me feel a bit better about the result agaisnt the USA
http://www.stattoz.com.au/index.php/2010/06/usa-muscle-matches-socceroos/#comments
June 9th 2010 @ 10:39am
Phutbol said | June 9th 2010 @ 10:39am | Report comment
Thats an interesting and thought provoking site. It seems to pick up on a lot of things we the (TV restricted) viewers dont necessarily see.
Particularly seems to vindicate the decisions to stay with Grella and Moore….
Or is it just lies, damn lies, and statistics?
I’ve put it into my ‘favorites’ list regardless.
June 9th 2010 @ 10:48am
AndyRoo said | June 9th 2010 @ 10:48am | Report comment
Or is it just lies, damn lies, and statistics?
I prefer not to question positive news about the Roos and am in fact envious of the fact North Koreans are blissfully ignorant of their national teams losses.
June 8th 2010 @ 8:14pm
Ben of Phnom Penh said | June 8th 2010 @ 8:14pm | Report comment
It was interesting to see that Australia has the second oldest squad, equal with England, and younger than Brazil. Odd that we don’t discuss the old, tired legs of Brazil.
June 9th 2010 @ 12:27am
ItsCalledFootball said | June 9th 2010 @ 12:27am | Report comment
After the US game I ripped up all my Socceroos betting tickets and cried.
But after a couple of days I’ve settled down and I’m prepared to give them the benefit of the doubt, maybe a chance.
The Huns will rip us apart and put in at least 3 against Moore, Schwarzer and Neill, but they might surprise.
At least they are one of the most mature teams in the tournament and should be able to cope with losing better than their opponents will.