England have nothing to fear against struggling Aussies
By Alec Swann, 24 Nov 2010 Alec Swann is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- Andrew Strauss, Ashes, Australian Cricket, Cricket
In my local paper last Friday, the bet of the week in the weekly gambling column concerned Australia and whether they would regain the Ashes. If you fancy a flutter on the old enemy, then you can now get evens if you are prepared to shop around.
This isn’t that remarkable in itself, but add a bit of context, and there does appear to be some significance.
Ricky Ponting’s charges are still favourites – England are around about the 7/4 mark – and quite rightly so given their astonishing record at home over the past two decades.
But only a couple of weeks ago you would have been fortunate to get anything approaching evens for the Aussies. In fact, you would have struggled to get odds any longer than 4/9.
And there, in a simple number on a bookies’ screen, is a good reason to suspect that England could upset the apple cart.
I’m not one for tagging along with the jingoistic patriotism that has some of the experts predicting an English cakewalk. For starters, England aren’t world beaters quite yet and the Aussies simply won’t roll over.
There are, however, a number of reasons for England to be confident of doing what hasn’t been done since the mid 1980s.
For one, they have settled side that has been developed over a couple of years. Andrew Strauss and Andy Flower may have come to their positions of power by default – or Kevin Pietersen’s ego overloading, which is probably the same thing – but they have planned properly and couldn’t realistically be in any better shape.
Secondly, they have been consistently winning games of cricket. You only have see how quickly the Australians have been turned on following their poor recent run to recognise the importance of such a factor.
And thirdly, they know they have the beating of the Australians. Not many England teams have found themselves in that position and certainly not with their star in the ascendancy.
But while it would be easy to jump on the England to win bandwagon, there has to be an element of caution.
For all their troubles, Australia still possess a battery of world class performers.
Ponting is capable of raising his game significantly, Michael Clarke, if fit, plays spin as well as anyone, Shane Watson has been a revelation at the top of the order and the bowling attack are far more comfortable on home soil.
At to this the indefinable element of a side in pursuit of revenge and you can see why it should be extremely tight throughout.
Yet while these checks and balances should prevent English ambition from running away from them, they shouldn’t push that ambition into the background.
This is as good a chance as England have had to win in Australia for two decades. They know it and their opposite numbers know it.
All that Strauss’ men need to do now is make sure they don’t repeat history and capitulate at the Gabba come Thursday.
No pressure.
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November 24th 2010 @ 8:14am
jameswm said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:14am | Report comment
From the footage I saw of Clarke fielding, I can’t see how he can play. If his movement is at all restricted, then pick Khawaja and give Clarke another 8 days’ recovery, which according to the physio is what he needs.
Then it can be a three-way bat-off between Hussey, North and Khawaja for two spots in the 2nd test.
I’m getting a bit sick of the build-up now – we need it to start. Nothing we write has any effect and no one can predict with any certainty what will happen. Will Ponting have a lean summer and look out-thought, or will he carve up a century in the first test? And if he wins the first toss, will he have the guts to send England in?
Will Johnson get the kinks in his action right and combine pace, lift, late movement and some degree of accuracy? Will KP struggle with the left-arm orthodox bowler? Will Bell find some steel in Australia? Will Haddin bat like a millionaire? Will Watson intimidate at the top of the order?
There are so many questions…
November 24th 2010 @ 8:32am
Jiggles said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:32am | Report comment
Hey Jameswsm,
I can’t wait to get moving! Only 1 more sleep.
The biggest issue is what to do if you win the toss tomorrow. Up here in Brisbane the humidity has been steadily rising for the past week, with showers most nights. We still haven’t had our first storm of the season yet, so we still haven’t had one of those really pleasant days of 30C heat and 85% humidity, which is very strange, but it might just happen over the next 5 days.
By all accounts the humidity, and lots of rain we have had in September and October, means we are going to have a classic Gabba Green Top, so I maybe Ponting should grab the Kookaburra if he wins the toss… but I have this little voice in my head that keeps saying “Nasser Hussain….”
November 24th 2010 @ 8:40am
jameswm said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:40am | Report comment
I wouldn’t hesitate in bowling.
Hussain’s problems were that the wicket didn’t have the juice he thought it would, plus Australia were too good anyway.
Steve Waugh used to bowl first when the conditions allow and I think won every time he did (though he had McGrath to throw the new pill to). Look at the recent results around Australia – wickets with some movement and bowlers doing well.
Ponting will bat first if he wins the toss though – nothing surer. He only has one way unfortunately, and he doesn’t adapt well. Anderson and co will go through our flimsy middle order who panic when the ball moves a bit.
Hopefully the local groundsman can give Ponting some guidance. The other Aussie players seem to want him to bowl first!
November 24th 2010 @ 8:44am
Jiggles said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:44am | Report comment
By all accounts it is a traditional pitch with lots of juice. But the groundsmen could be foxing to try and get England to grab the ball.
If England does bowl first and they get movement it will be interesting to see how Hussy and North go.
November 24th 2010 @ 8:49am
southernwaratah said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:49am | Report comment
For All the hype of the England side, here are a couple of points.
They’ve beaten Shield sides where most of the team are averaging 30 at 1st class level, this means wickets and runs are against lower standards, only the Aust A game you could note any worth.
Stuart Broad, who is suddenly the super star of England hasn’t taken a 5 wicket haul since 2009 v Australia. A great spell of bowling it was but it was greeted by grey skies, a juicy wicket and ball favourable to swing. This also means in his favourable conditions of England he hasn’t made an impact since then. Dale Steyn announced himself as a world class bowler with 3 tests of 10 wicket hauls, enough said respect granted to Steyn, Broad still needs to prove it wasn’t just the conditions that got him the wickets…
James Anderson had a horrible record when out last and this is due to the ball doing nothing for him after 10 over’s, are we honestly expecting it to change this time around.
Bell averages 20 something against us.
KP is out of form.
& England love dumping a wicket keeper mid tour which will be on Priors mind.
Australia to win for me….
November 24th 2010 @ 7:05pm
Fisher Price said | November 24th 2010 @ 7:05pm | Report comment
Don’t forget this is a different, dare I say inferior, Australia you’re talking about.
Can’t see Prior being replaced.
November 24th 2010 @ 10:33am
soapit said | November 24th 2010 @ 10:33am | Report comment
another thing in englands favour, looks like it could be the coolest summer they been here for for some time
November 24th 2010 @ 4:49pm
Betty B said | November 24th 2010 @ 4:49pm | Report comment
it’s going to be a great series, for sure, as ashes series inevitably are. I’ve just returned from the UK, and their media is super confident. Lots of pommie fans on the plane too, very confident, and knowledgeable on both teams.
What a great bunch their fans are – if only we could be so dedicated. To leave home and family, in the middle of the football season and a low exchange rate, to follow your cricket team. That’s dedication.
Many will be disappointed at their team’s no-show at last night’s pre-series dinner. Most of the pom fans I spoke to were attending, but good luck to them anway.
Australia will win 3-1.
November 24th 2010 @ 6:27pm
Lolly said | November 24th 2010 @ 6:27pm | Report comment
BettyB, what’s so noble about leaving England in November for a holiday in the sun? Do you have any idea how appealing Australia looks from the grim greyness of fortress England in winter?
November 24th 2010 @ 8:23pm
Betty B said | November 24th 2010 @ 8:23pm | Report comment
you’re right there Lolly – though hasn’t been too bad past few weeks (only rained a few hours daily, and dusk not until after 12pm), but you’ve still gotta’ admire their fans. They’re enertaining when they get going, songs and all. They leave us lot for dead – probably from all that time they spend indoors.
November 24th 2010 @ 6:29pm
SamFinn said | November 24th 2010 @ 6:29pm | Report comment
Everyone is talking about Khawaja replacing Clarke, but what about Callum Ferguson?
A classy player with international experience must be considered infront of Khawaja.
Coming from a biased South Australian
November 25th 2010 @ 8:26am
MrKistic said | November 25th 2010 @ 8:26am | Report comment
Maybe, but his numbers don’t add up. And look at his performance in the Aus A game. I really don’t know why he’s even being touted as a replacement for 5/6 at the moment. These names seem to build up their own momentum at times like this. And he’s definitely not in front of Khawaja, not even close.
November 24th 2010 @ 10:23pm
Ian Whitchurch said | November 24th 2010 @ 10:23pm | Report comment
Show some faith in the spinner that was picked, and have Ferguson replace North.