Don’t get too excited about the Wallabies
By James Ditchfield, 30 Nov 2010 The Crowd is a Roar Guru
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35-18. This score should bring pain to every Wallabies player involved in Australia’s journey in 2010, and inspire them towards glory in 2011.
What’s ironic about this score, of the game in which we succumbed to an inconsistent English side, is that we managed to upset a roaring All Blacks team only two weeks earlier (albeit in a dead rubber game).
Following that match, everyone was kicking up a fuss about how we were now ready to claim our third Web Ellis trophy, the most of any team in international trophy. Had these people not forgotten about their countless brain explosions and indignant losses since our quarter-final exit at the 2007 Rugby World Cup?
I care not to mention the fact we have not won the Tri-Nations since 2001, and the Bledisloe since 2002. We should not be gaining optimism from just one victory over a good team, but a string of wins against a number of contenders.
What this brings me to is the Wallabies’ 59-16 annihilation of France in their own backyard. Benn Robinson, Nathan Sharpe, Berrick Barnes, Adam-Ashley Cooper, Drew Mitchell and co. all starred in a game of two contrasting halves. Whilst the second is a reason for optimism, a half in which Australia scored 46 points; the first was perhaps the one that needs analysing the most.
The Wallabies scrum became their Achilles heel once again, to the point where a penalty try was conceded in the 30th minute. Even the slightest of scrummaging problems will turn around and bite us come World Cup time, as it did in the 2007 tournament when we were bundled out by, you guessed it, England.
This year, the men in gold won three games, lost one (not including a 15-6 loss to club side Leicester by our ‘B’ team) and were rather frustrating to watch. Earlier this year, in the annual Tri-Nations competition, we won two, and on more than one occasion were defeated not by the opposition, but ourselves.
Our painful 23-22 loss to the All Blacks in the final game in Sydney showed that in a one-team match, we’d be able to find a way to finish second.
There were also games in which we were never in the contest, e.g. a 49-28 loss in Melbourne which probably impacted the team’s morale for the rest of the campaign. Note the pattern: The men in black.
Sure, we are a good team, but not great. If the World Cup began tomorrow, we’d be lucky to make the semi-finals.
Taking a glance at the record of the New Zealand All Blacks, it is impossible to fathom why they haven’t won a World Cup in 23 years. For pundits to even consider the Aussies a World Cup chance must first look at the All Blacks’ record.
Their most recent game, an entertaining 37-25 dispatch of the Welsh, was a professional performance in which ball movement was fluid, the breakdown was won, and the forwards were in control.
One player who displayed the team attitude on the weekend was Jerome Kaino; he assisted his team in dictating the pace of the game, which in turn helped control possession, territory and gave the backs enough time and space to exhibit their silky skills or flyhalf Dan Carter to put the boot to ball, and peg the game back another 30 or so metres downfield.
Plus, an indication of the All Black’s quality is that there is no spot for Sonny Bill Williams in their star-studded line-up.
The Wallabies, who possess buckets of potential, have the ability to worry a team for 10 or so minutes, before becoming complacent or frustrated when the opposition begins to shut them down and slow down the flow of play.
The two options faced in these situations are what separate the Wallabies from winning teams such as New Zealand; the All Blacks keep chipping away with a true 15-man performance, and when something doesn’t work, they don’t overuse it and try to force the play, instead they analyse a situation and make the most of it.
Australia however, become frustrated and works as a team playing like 15 individuals, not 15 individuals playing like team.
Unfortunately, this is just one of many facets of rugby that the Wallabies fall behind in. So, in short, did they put together a World Cup, or any major trophy for that matter, winning performance against France?
The answer is an emphatic ‘no’.
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November 30th 2010 @ 7:06am
Willy said | November 30th 2010 @ 7:06am | Report comment
Sorry James, but you’d have to be a close relative of Scrooge himself not to get excited about this Wallabies team.
I’m not saying they’re the best team in world rugby, or they’ll definitely win the World Cup, or they’re the finished article. Only a fool would make those claims.
But they are SUCH an exciting group of players, capable of the sort of play we haven’t seen from a Wallabies side since the great 1991 World Cup winners, who also played the game with energy and spirit and joy.
The emergence of guys like Pocock, Genia, Slipper, Cooper, O’Connor, Beale, Ashley-Cooper (as well as Horne and Ioane, who must be stinging to get back on the pitch) is genuinely exciting for Australian rugby.
There are problems to be overcome – of course – but if you can’t see how far this team has come in six months, then you’re blind, and if you can’t take joy from the way they play then you’re miserable!
I firmly believe that the front five will grow in strength, and the Wallabies will be there in Auckland on RWC Final day, facing down the men in black without fear.
And I can’t wait!
November 30th 2010 @ 7:10am
jeremy said | November 30th 2010 @ 7:10am | Report comment
James,
Well-written article, thank you. Unfortunately it does cover a lot of territory already covered in the past 11 months on the Roar!
Dyed-in-the-wool Wallabies supporters will tell you that dream runs can happen, and they do happen at the World Cup – look at 2003 where the Wallabies were written off pre-semifinal against the dominant All Blacks, yet managed to get away with a pretty remarkable win.
They’ll also point to the somewhat inconsistent stabilisation period and growth of the Wallabies team. While the performances go in fits and starts, there seem to be overall gains, as evidenced in minutes 45-80 of the France test. Remember – in 2009 the Wallabies lost to Scotland and drew with Ireland, both of whom sat some rungs down the ladder.
They’ll go to some lengths to describe the talent of Pocock and Moore, talk about Rocky Elsom’s leadership, the freedom and fluidity of a fast, aggressive attacking backline, and laud praises upon the skills of Quade ‘The Burglar’ Cooper.
They’ll tell you Coach Robbie Deans has six months in which to get the players ready for the RWC, and will do so with a different, ‘conference’-based S15 which should help to better identify the talent needed for the RWC.
And they’ll highlight the stocks of returning or injured talent which has been absent from the Wallabies touring side this year.
These are all valid points and measures of hope, and these facts come from the Northern Hemispherian tour. Was it a knock out punch? No. Was it wasted time? Not at all. Deans will take these experiences and build from them.
And as mentioned ad infinitum, you don’t have to be the best team in the world to win the World Cup.
As for the All Blacks, I’m not sure what to make of their performances in the Northern Hemisphere. At times – especially against Scotland – they played absolutely sublime rugby. At critical points in the harder games – the final 20 against England, the second half against Wales when down by a man, they did the right thing to win them, so they’re on track. But there were little holes in various places. I’d say the All Blacks scrum still has some ways to go. Tactical kicking and running from the back three was laboured and poorly thought out at times. Rush defence from Wales seemed to stifle the All Blacks gameplan.
Anyway. This topic will no doubt generate rigorous debate. As a precursor for the RWC it was an interesting tour for the Wallabies, but let’s not read into it too much.
November 30th 2010 @ 7:58am
James Ditchfield said | November 30th 2010 @ 7:58am | Report comment
Yes, it was a memorable run in the 2003 World Cup, but perhaps the extra motivation of being defending champions helped lead the Wallabies to the Final. In 2007, following numerous years of embarassing losses and constant problems, we collapsed in the Quarter-Finals. What I’m saying is, perhaps next year with a younger squad extra steps must be taken to ensure some degree of success, no?
Thanks for reading.
November 30th 2010 @ 10:11am
Al said | November 30th 2010 @ 10:11am | Report comment
I think you’re having a lend though if you think they will be lucky to make the semis. If you analyse the draw you can’t imagine we will have too much trouble wining the pool or beating Wales in quarter final. How many teams are better than the Wallabies? NZ definitely, SAF/Eng are a match, France/Ireland on their day, Scot/Wales every now and then and then noone else
November 30th 2010 @ 9:10am
Jim Boyce said | November 30th 2010 @ 9:10am | Report comment
James – Interesting article hosing down euphoria. I think you indirectly touch on an important issue towards the end of your piece , viz maintaining tempo and not succumbing to frustration/complacency. This is to my way of thinking is the role of the captain and Elsom is unlikely to be replaced in that role before the RWC. To me, Barnes is crucial at I/C if Cooper is ready to address his defensive shortcomings. Barnes reads a game better than anyone in the team I think you are right as to these weaknesses of the team and the group of coaches cant solve that , it is very much on the field.
November 30th 2010 @ 9:29am
Jamesb said | November 30th 2010 @ 9:29am | Report comment
All I would say to this is the AB’s beat Wallabies by 50 pts in 2003 and France by 50pts in 1999 and look what happened later in the year at the RWC. The Wallabies will meet either France or England in the semi-finals.
November 30th 2010 @ 9:44am
Behind Enemy Lines said | November 30th 2010 @ 9:44am | Report comment
The real problem for the Wallabies in the 2011 WC is that assuming current rankings play out in the pool matches (a big assumption) they will need to beat England and New Zealand on consecutive weekends to win the Webb Ellis trophy.
Consider what we’ve seen from the Wallabies over the past year. They are 1 from 4 against the All Blacks (note that they last won a match against NZ at home in 2001). They are 1 from 3 against England and haven’t beaten England in a world cup game since 1991.
All this doesn’t mean they can’t win, just that there is still a long way to go.
If they are any chance to win the WC they will need to win the Tri Nations. Again, that is far from an easy feat.
November 30th 2010 @ 12:47pm
Cattledog said | November 30th 2010 @ 12:47pm | Report comment
Let’s leave the discussion until the squad’s picked post S15 and we’ve seen the results in the TNs. Still a lot of water to go under the bridge. The wolf climbing the hill is hungrier than the wolf at the top.
November 30th 2010 @ 1:22pm
warrenexpatinnz said | November 30th 2010 @ 1:22pm | Report comment
Agree cattledog but innuendo, far fetched opinions are the only thing I will have now until February as the lack of reporting on player recovery, pre season Super tit bits and anything else that Aussie rugby players are doing, or have done to be where they are is so limited.
The NZ rugby media is far more obliging on the rugby scene, obviously it helps when it is the number one sport in NZ but wouldn’t it be nice to see regular features on rugby in Australia especialy building up to a RWC just across the ditch? I would suggest promoting the game during the off season will help the Super 15 enthusiasim and also get the country just a little excited about our chances come September 2011.
November 30th 2010 @ 1:43pm
Cattledog said | November 30th 2010 @ 1:43pm | Report comment
No argument from me on that, Warren. The rugby coverage is pretty pathetic at the best of times in Oz. In the off season it’s non-existent. Not sure if the WC will make much difference, maybe slightly. It wasn’t great when we hosted.
November 30th 2010 @ 3:29pm
Ai Rui Sheng said | November 30th 2010 @ 3:29pm | Report comment
We used to have great coverage in Shaghai but next year ESPN has the rights to the 3N and RWC. We got nothing of the EOYT’s because 6Nations Ltd wanted too much and the Australian Network could not afford it. We have to download the matches next day from the Internet.
When ESPN gets the games they will not be shown here but will be on BenSports which charges about five times the salary of a doctor. Their argument is that the service is for pubs, but they cannot cannot to pay either. Consequently we will be viewing games at least 24 hours delayed and we will have many students working to hack the satellites.
November 30th 2010 @ 3:40pm
Cattledog said | November 30th 2010 @ 3:40pm | Report comment
We were talking more about the written media, ARS, but it sounds disappointing what you will be getting next year in the way of TV coverage.
December 7th 2010 @ 4:45pm
chuck said | December 7th 2010 @ 4:45pm | Report comment
problem is the wolf at the top of the hill is very territorial very protective and aggressive.
November 30th 2010 @ 1:27pm
Damo said | November 30th 2010 @ 1:27pm | Report comment
Canine poetry Cattledog!
A positive thought.
But the negatives in the article are spot on. I am very relieved that we recovered from England, Munster and a penalty try to finish on a high note. But RWC will last longer than the 35 minutes taken to put 46 points on a broken French team.
That was a rare gift.
If I can be so rude to say it – this has been NZ’s mistake at world cup time – too many points smacked into teams that don’t matter. MacQueen’s Wallabies won tight games by modest margins. It was hell for a supporter – we could never rest during a game -but it was a winning way. And they won more than the other teams.
Consistent disciplined winning is what wins TN’s and world cups, not flamboyant 35 minute try fests. Don’t get me wrong I love this team, even the bench and I am hopeful they are on track. They have given much cause for hope but the consistency and discipline required to win a major tournament is very thick on the ground across the ditch ATM.
November 30th 2010 @ 1:53pm
Cattledog said | November 30th 2010 @ 1:53pm | Report comment
Canine poetry…lol. I’m certainly not one that is over enthused by the France game. Too many inconsistent performances for my mind. I do like the look of the young side, though, and with some older heads coming back there’s still improvement, thus the climbing the hill bit. I’ve been accused of being Slippers manager but I really like what I’ve seen with him. Beale has been a sensation and JOC excellent. Let’s hope they don’t regress during the S15, especially Beale.
So all in all there are some positives to come out of the trip but still a lot of rugby between now and RWC.
November 30th 2010 @ 3:28pm
Harryonthecoast said | November 30th 2010 @ 3:28pm | Report comment
C’Mon you guys! Not one of you mentioned about Richie being a cheat? You’re going soft. Get into him. He loves it….just as he can look the other way from the biggest cheap shot of the year (or the decade?)
November 30th 2010 @ 3:46pm
Cattledog said | November 30th 2010 @ 3:46pm | Report comment
Yeah Harry, that was bad and that dud of a ref and his assistants missed it. Hats off to McCaw, though. Took it on the chin and nothing else said. A real measure of the man. To me he’s in the class of the Eales and Farr-Jones’. Superb player and has captain written all over him, unlike our ‘scrubber’, unfortunately.
November 30th 2010 @ 8:44pm
Mick Gold Coast QLD said | November 30th 2010 @ 8:44pm | Report comment
McCaw does honour to rugby through attaining true excellence in his play, in his confident effective captaincy, by showing respect for the traditions of the game and in the manner in which he conducts himself publicly. He epitomises “mana”.
We saw a glimpse of his modesty and quiet manner during the season when he visited a Northland primary school to surprise children who had been fashioning a life sized dummy of their hero – the video clip is a pearler
http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/rugby/all-blacks/3997100/All-Blacks-statue-comes-to-life-to-stun-pupils
“The measure of a man” is an anaytical tool from another time (first heard it from my father in the ’60s) now often forgotten or ignored, but so pertinent in assessing blokes.
Powell swaggered off to his team-mates immediately after, showing his muscles or such – one can just see some triumphal pose in the background, briefly. McCaw got up, winked at Powell and got on with it (on legs of jelly).
I have seen no news of a citing, which must occur within a fixed period after (half day or one day?) so it seems Powell will enjoy his fame undisturbed by sanction.
The young Welshman has only a deliberate head high, from behind, on a far superior player by which to mark his presence in the game.
You are right Cattledog – I hesitate to have a fair dinkum crack at refs but on this occasion he and the linesmen failed in their jobs. So too the citing official.