Ireland can make the Rugby World Cup final
By David Lord, 3 Oct 2011 David Lord is a Roar Expert
- Tagged:
- All Blacks, Brian O'Driscoll, Declan Kidney, Ireland, Irish rugby, Rugby Union, Rugby World Cup 2011, RWC, RWC2011, wallabies
Related coverage
Irish coach Declan Kidney and skipper Brian O’Driscoll have performed miracles at the Rugby World Cup. They’ve turned a nightmare four straight losses in the lead-up to the Cup, into four wins when it counted.
And in the process have given themselves a big sniff at a first-time RWC final appearance by playing an intelligent mixture of attacking rugby with rock solid defence.
The rugby world wrote off Ireland pre-Cup when they lost to Scotland 10-6, France 19-12 and 26-22, and England 20-9.
But come RWC time, the men-in-green have beaten the USA 22-10, the Wallabies 15-6, Russia 62-12, and Italy 36-6.
Ireland (world-ranked 6) take on Wales (7) in the first quarter final, the winner to meet either England (4) or France (5) in the semis, neither of whom are playing consistent rugby, especially with France beaten by Tonga.
Ireland’s in by far the easier half of the knock-out draw with the world’s top three ranked nations in the bottom half.
The Boks (2) take on the hot-and-cold Wallabies (3), the All Blacks (1) meet Argentina (8). For once the IRB world rankings are spot-on.
And punters won’t be far off the mark tipping an Ireland-All Blacks final, depending on how rapidly the injury toll rises.
The hardest hit are the world’s three best sides. The All Blacks have lost champion goal-kicker-playmaker Dan Carter, that’s huge – the Boks have lost blockbusting centre and long-range goal-kicker Frans Steyn, another big loss – while the Wallabies are minus No 8 Wycliff Palu, and winger Drew Mitchell – all four out of the tournament.
But their replacements are well short of the mark – Aaron Cruden for Carter, Zane Kirchner for Steyn, with Matt Goddard and Lachie Turner in for Palu and Mitchell.
The All Blacks are the hardest hit, with Colin Slade inked in as first choice fly-half-goal-kicker. That selection won’t win the men-in-black the coveted Cup.
As radical as it might sound, Piri Weepu – the best half-back ahead of Jimmy Cowan, and Andy Ellis – would be a far more productive fly-half-goal-kicker than Slade, in tandem with Cowan.
Coach Graham Henry has another selection headache, where to slot in Sonny Bill Williams? The big bloke is in devastating form, scoring a try and setting up three others in the 79-15 romp against Canada, and his defence is rock solid.
SBW would be first choice in any one of the other seven quarter finalists lineups, but Henry has him inked in for the bench. How can he ignore such firepower?
Bad call.
The same can be said of Boks coach Peter de Villiers with long-serving captain John Smit as hooker, or the far better performed and more versatile Bismarck du Plessis.
de Villiers prefers Smit, and there’s no doubt the Wallabies would agree to make full use of his immobility.
And that leaves Wallaby coach Robbie Deans, who chose the erratic Hodgson to back up David Pocock rather than the more experienced Phil Waugh, or George Smith.
Not that it matters. If Pocock is injured again, there goes in the Cup in one fell swoop – he is irreplaceable.
Deans’ headaches?
Nathan Sharpe or Dan Vickerman as James Horwill’s lock partner – Scott Higginbotham or Rocky Elsom as blindside flanker – and Berrick Barnes at inside centre with Adam Ashley-Cooper outside him, Digby Ioane and James O’Connor on the wings, with Kurtley Beale at full-back – leaving Rob Horne and Anthony Faingaa hovering in the mix.
The positive moves would be Sharpe, Higginbotham, with Horne and Faingaa bench prospects at best.
Next Sunday against the Boks will be Deans’ biggest litmus test to date in 53 internationals – career defining.
In the last World Cup played in France, both the All Blacks with Henry at the helm, and John Connolly coaching the Wallabies, were unceremoniously bundled out in the quarters.
It’s been a four-year long wait to erase the memory, and the embarrassment.
Looking to join The Roar team? We're searching for an experienced Group Sales Manager to lead our team in Sydney. Yes, this does mean you get to work with the site all day long! If you're a digital media sales star, we want to hear from you. Apply now.
![]()
Passionate about your union? Then sign up to The Roar's brand new daily union email, delivering Roaring articles directly to you day-in, day-out. You'll love it!
Click here to join now!
- Explore:
- All Blacks, Brian O'Driscoll, Declan Kidney, Ireland, Irish rugby, Rugby Union, Rugby World Cup 2011, RWC, RWC2011, wallabies


October 3rd 2011 @ 8:03am
Pot Hale said | October 3rd 2011 @ 8:03am | Report comment
Oh lordy, lordy, lord – that’s put the hex on it now.
October 3rd 2011 @ 8:38am
ohtani's jacket said | October 3rd 2011 @ 8:38am | Report comment
Matt Goddard has been called in to the Wallabies?
October 3rd 2011 @ 8:52am
Doug said | October 3rd 2011 @ 8:52am | Report comment
It would appear he has come out of retirement to save us. Personally I would have prefered George Smith came out of retirement than a referee but beggars cant be choosers.
October 3rd 2011 @ 9:51am
David Lord said | October 3rd 2011 @ 9:51am | Report comment
Quite right OJ and Doug over “Goddard”, must be in holiday mode, especially as I mentioned Hodgson further on. My apologies.
October 3rd 2011 @ 1:58pm
Gumboot said | October 3rd 2011 @ 1:58pm | Report comment
What happened to your article stating Australia has the best back line in the “world” Mr Lord? Do you still think so?
Your articles are like a see-saw, no substance but worth a look at……..commonly known as FLIP FLOP.
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:00am
sixo_clock said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:00am | Report comment
Nothing beats a friendly ref!
October 3rd 2011 @ 8:58am
kingplaymaker said | October 3rd 2011 @ 8:58am | Report comment
Ireland can make the final indeed, although I think it will be close against Wales and in the semi-final.
Wales looks nervy under pressure, while England and France are there for the taking.
Agree leaving out SBW, especially as Henry has found a way to keep Nonu/Smih and have SBW by playing him on the wing, would be an awful decision.
Frankly if Henry is crazy enough to not select SBW on the wing he deserves to lose the RWC:
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:40am
Pierce said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:40am | Report comment
It’s not his to lose.
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:55pm
vitoto said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:55pm | Report comment
haha touche
Maybe put Rene Ranger at first five?
October 3rd 2011 @ 9:05am
Seiran said | October 3rd 2011 @ 9:05am | Report comment
Wales V Ireland is going to be a big test for both teams. Probably a very close match up.
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:41am
Jiggles said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:41am | Report comment
You continue to push Waugh. Have you watched any of his rugby this year or do you, as I suspect, write you columns from watching the fox sports highlight reels?
October 4th 2011 @ 1:26pm
snato said | October 4th 2011 @ 1:26pm | Report comment
100% agree Jiggles. Not only did he play some rubbish footy this year, but the bloke is retired.
As for George Smith, he is not eligible for the Wallabies as he is not playing for an Australian rugby team at the moment. Why his name is continually offered up by some ‘experts’ as a potential replacement is beyond me. I want the Wallabies to win as bad as anyone, but should the ARU change their eligibility policy on the fly to accommodate this? No way.
Smith is a fantastic player but he removed himself from Wallaby selection when he took a contract overseas.
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:41am
Pot Hale said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:41am | Report comment
As of today’s pool matches, the rankings now read:
“Ireland (world-ranked 5) take on Wales (6) in the first quarter final, the winner to meet either England (4) or France (8) in the semis, neither of whom are playing consistent rugby, especially with France beaten by Tonga.
The Boks (2) take on the hot-and-cold Wallabies (3), the All Blacks (1) meet Argentina (7). For once the IRB world rankings are spot-on.”
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:48am
David Lord said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:48am | Report comment
Don’t know where you read your rankings for France, Ireland, and Wales, but I got mine off the official IRB website at 0300 this morning,
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:48am
Pothale said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:48am | Report comment
Well you know the site that works them out for you, David. I got them there.
October 3rd 2011 @ 5:22pm
Seiran said | October 3rd 2011 @ 5:22pm | Report comment
From the IRB website
‘The IRB World Rankings update every Monday at 12:00 UK time (00:00 Tuesday NZL time).’
October 5th 2011 @ 1:23am
Pot Hale said | October 5th 2011 @ 1:23am | Report comment
It’s a different site Seiran. This one works out what points would be in different matches – very handy.
http://www.lassen.co.nz/pagmisc.php
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:52am
kingplaymaker said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:52am | Report comment
Pot Hale what do you think the Welsh match will come down to?
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:49am
Pothale said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:49am | Report comment
80 minutes?
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:53am
kingplaymaker said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:53am | Report comment
Let’s hope Declan Kidney’s thinking is more sophisticated than yours then: maybe I shouldn’t have expected an adult answer.
October 3rd 2011 @ 9:42pm
Pot Hale said | October 3rd 2011 @ 9:42pm | Report comment
True – you shouldn’t have.
October 3rd 2011 @ 4:01pm
Moaman said | October 3rd 2011 @ 4:01pm | Report comment
October 3rd 2011 @ 10:55am
warrenexpatinnz said | October 3rd 2011 @ 10:55am | Report comment
Sorry don’t agree with you David, Wales or England with the Welsh looking the better, on attack and defence.
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:40am
Tissot Time said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:40am | Report comment
Warren I think the winner of the Ireland Wales game will be a finalist. There was a lot to like about the zero in the Wales scoreline against Fiji and Ireland finished with a wet sail.
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:07am
sixo_clock said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:07am | Report comment
This is a tight, purposeful cohesive unit. I agree, they have a sniff. They are making their own luck but their fans must be on their knees out foraging in the paddocks day and night. The leprechauns are probably helping too.
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:16am
Sam Taulelei said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:16am | Report comment
If the fates conspire for Ireland and NZ to meet in the final (that’s the only way they can play each other in the world cup) the matchups between the two loose forward trio’s is worth the price of admission alone.
Kaino v Ferris it’s almost like a heavyweight boxing match, who can hit the hardest.
October 3rd 2011 @ 4:13pm
all7days said | October 3rd 2011 @ 4:13pm | Report comment
Fiver on Kaino
October 5th 2011 @ 7:13am
rugy said | October 5th 2011 @ 7:13am | Report comment
Ferris has 3 bags of sugar(6kgs) more muscle than kaino, theres only one winner !!!
October 3rd 2011 @ 11:32am
adam said | October 3rd 2011 @ 11:32am | Report comment
England will be in a prime position to make the final IMO (it really hurts me to say that though). The French should be a walk over for them, but I’ll add the traditional French cliche here and say that depending on which team Lieveremont ends up with on the day they could be world beaters, and I’m seeing the Wales v Ireland game as the match of the tournament so far with a sore and battered victor to front up against a less fatigued England 7 days later.