Who will win the Boxing Day Test?

 

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Ed Cowan has been called up to open for Boxing Day (AAP Image)

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As opening batsman Ed Cowan, and probably all-rounder Dan Christian, are set to make their Test debuts for Australia in the MCG Test on Monday, let us preview the most awaited Test on the calendar.

Of late, the Border-Gavaskar Trophy between Australia and India has provided more gripping drama than the Ashes. Certainly there have been more controversies.

Will the Boxing Day Test on the MCG live up to its reputation? And will India win her first Test series Down Under?

This is India’s best chance of beating Australia in Australia as the confidence of the team under Michael Clarke is at a low after being beaten by an under-strength New Zealand in Hobart.

Since 1947-48, India has toured Australia nine times, losing six series and drawing three. Will the tenth time be lucky for the inconsistent visitors, including the legendary Sachin Tendulkar, Rahul Dravid, VVS Laxman, the daredevil Virender Sehwag and their charismatic skipper MS Dhoni?

Of 36 Tests played by the two countries in Australia, India has won only five and lost 22 with nine drawn. And of the five Tests won Down Under by India, two have been on the MCG, in 1977-78 and in 1980-81.

Thus Australia has a much superior record on home soil.

However, India holds the Border-Gavaskar Trophy (inaugurated in 1996-97) by defeating Australia in India 2-0 in 2010-11. India has the batting to win with experienced although aging batsmen and the youngster Virat Kohli.

But her attack is weak, apart from the off-spinner Ravichandran Ashwin. There are question marks about the fitness of their fast-medium bowlers Zaheer Khan and Ishant Sharma.

Also, India’s fielding lacks zip in the outfield.

On the other hand, Australian batsmen – except David Warner and Cowan – are struggling, but they have the fast bowlers to upset India on bouncier pitches.

India has a more experienced skipper in Dhoni. Recently defeating West Indies in Tests and ODIs and England in ODIs must have given them confidence.

But these internationals were played in India and one should not forget the pounding India received in England only a few months ago.

Currently India is ranked no. 2 in Tests (after England) and Australia is ranked no. 4 (after England, India and South Africa).

In the practice matches in Canberra, only Tendulkar, Kohli and VVS Laxman showed form with the bat, and only off-spinner Ashwin with the ball for India.

For the Chairman’s XI, Cowan played a brilliant innings of 109 off 154 balls yesterday, hitting 16 fours.

Newcomers from both Australia and India have done very well in Tests in the last two months, especially Pat Cummins against South Africa, James Pattinson and David Warner against New Zealand and Ashwin against West Indies.

Will Cowan follow the pattern? From being best man at his friend’s wedding to becoming the best batsman in the MCG Test could be his dream.

The expected Australian XI in batting order: David Warner, Ed Cowan, Shaun Marsh, Ricky Ponting, Michael Clarke (c), Mike Hussey, Brad Haddin (vc, wk), Ben Hilfenhaus, Peter Siddle, James Pattinson and Nathan Lyon. 12th man: Mitchell Starc / Dan Christian.

Let the Test begin!

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