Super Rugby mid-season report card
By Brett McKay, 17 Apr 2012 Brett McKay is a Roar Expert
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- Brumbies, Chiefs, Highlanders, Johan Goosen, Rugby Union, Stormers, Super Rugby
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The Western Force celebrate their win over the Waratahs at full time during their Super Rugby match at Allianz Stadium, Sydney, Saturday, March 1, 2012. The Western Force defeated the Waratahs 21 - 20. (AAP Image/Dean Lewins)
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For the last few seasons, I’ve offered up my mid-season report card for Super Rugby around this time of year. It seems logical and even traditional that I should continue my trend.
Yet the new-bloated Super Rugby season, with a fasting period for the inbound June Internationals, has meant it’s not quite the same mid-season mark it once was.
There’s no real dramas, I suppose; I’ll just have to write another report card later in the season.
Super Rugby has been great in 2012.
It’s been as open as it’s ever been, and with upsets or surprise results every week. At least that’s what I’m concluding based on my once-again horrendous tipping form.
The ‘as-expected’s
The Stormers, Chiefs, and Highlanders fall into this category, simply by leading the way in this year’s tournament. I’m not sure who will host the final quite yet, but I’m thinking it will be one of these three sides.
The Stormers just keep rolling on, home or away.
Saturday’s loss to the Crusaders was their first of the tournament, and even that was a close-run thing.
Their defence is still excellent and they seem to play more attacking rugby than you might expect.
Joe Pietersen provides the spark from the back and Bryan Habana looks to be regaining form from seasons’ past. Only a lack of bonus points keeps them out of top spot overall.
The Highlanders are toward the pointy end of the Super Rugby standings, just by doing the simple things well.
There’s probably no harder team at the breakdown and they seem to be capable of adapting on the run better than most teams.
Under the Perspex roof in Dunedin, or in the cold of Invercargill, the Highlanders seem to have the uncanny knack of dragging their opponents into the game they want to play, and then just playing that game better.
It’s simple, effective, winning rugby.
The Chiefs are here because I thought they’d go well this year.
They were one of my three pre-season smokeys and now that they lead the comp, they certainly haven’t let me down.
They’re now also on a six-game winning streak, including three from three away from home.
A new coach and a new playmaker seems to have breathed new life into the Chiefs, and they’re playing exciting rugby as a result.
Aaron Cruden is clearly enjoying the benefit of his off-season switch from the Hurricanes, while Sonny Bill Williams is also enjoying his move from the Crusaders.
In turn, guys like Richard Kahui and Lelia Masaga are enjoying the extra space and time they often find themselves in.
The Chiefs’ scrum, though, is what’s literally laying the platform for the sparkling attack.
A massive front row is making their scrum near immovable, and it’s scary to think what 136kg 20 year-old Ben Tameifuna might become.
The Reds and Crusaders, despite both being a bit off, are also doing about as well as I thought they would this year.
Both struggled to a degree to replace their key playmakers early on and the Crusaders are very deliberately bubble-wrapping Dan Carter back to full match fitness now.
I expect the Reds will do the same when Quade Cooper returns.
The Rebels and Lions fall into this category because I just didn’t expect much at all, and they’ve proved this to be the case.
The Rebels, to their credit, have shown signs of improvement in both defence and attack. But much like Matt Giteau last season for the Brumbies, James O’Connor looks like the Lone Ranger trying to spark things.
And it’s hard to see anything but a long season still to come for the Lions. As expected.
The surprise packets
The Hurricanes, Brumbies, and Bulls all fall into this category by virtue of losing so many quality and established players after the 2011 season and bouncing back in spectacular fashion.
I wouldn’t be alone in saying that I truly didn’t expect much in 2012 for any of them; if any of them snuck into the top half of the overall table by season’s end, I was going to prepare hats for eating.
Yet here we are, after week eight and all three of them are in the top six.
The Brumbies lead the Australian conference again after a brutal demolition of the Rebels. The Bulls and Hurricanes occupy wildcard spots.
The Bulls and Hurricanes have found ways of reinventing their sides, while maintaining high standards on the field.
They haven’t tried to find another Matfield or Weepu. Instead they’ve preferred to back lesser-known players to fill in behind them.
Both teams are being helped enormously by their respective captains Pierre Spies and Conrad Smith, both of whom are quite literally playing super rugby.
The Brumbies might be the feel-good story of 2012.
Decimated by big-name departures, and with 18 new faces in their squad, they are reaping the benefits of an off-season that started last July.
What’s more, with rolling mauls and now a massive human being at number eight, the Jake White influence only requires a stadium car park braai to be complete.
The Cheetahs also fall into the surprise bracket in 2012. Despite having had a very good season in 2011, I thought the loss of Sarel Pretorius and the injection of a relatively inexperienced fly-half would be too big a hurdle to overcome.
What I didn’t realise was that Johan Goosen is something of a goal-kicking freak, who is also a bloody good ball-player to boot.
It may be a touch scary to think about, but Goosen could well be the next long term Springbok fly-half.
The disappointments
The Force and Sharks were my two other smokeys pre-season and, despite showing decent form in patches, haven’t been able to maintain it.
The thing about consistency, you see, is that you have to do it all the time.
The presence of the Blues and Waratahs here probably doesn’t need to be explained.
So take it away, Roarers. Who’ have been your ‘as-expected’s, surprise packets and disappointments so far in 2012?
Brett McKay is a former non-tackling scrumhalf and not-quite-1st Grade middle order stalwart. A rugby and cricket expert for The Roar since July 2009 (having joined in Sept 2008), Brett has written for Inside Rugby and Cricket Australia, and is also PLAY Canberra's rugby correspondent. He tweets from @BMcSport
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- Brumbies, Chiefs, Highlanders, Johan Goosen, Rugby Union, Stormers, Super Rugby



April 17th 2012 @ 8:56am
Daz said | April 17th 2012 @ 8:56am | Report comment
I’ve belived this for a while now. Most contact sportsmen, most rugby and league players are pretty much the same these days, except for some truely talented, unique individuals. They are all about the same in size and strength and power and skills. The difference is the muscle between the ears. The coach who can coach and motivate and develop and utilise that one the most will be the one who wins the comp.
April 17th 2012 @ 9:00am
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:00am | Report comment
so who’s your tip then Daz??
April 17th 2012 @ 9:30am
rl said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:30am | Report comment
Brett – I wouldn’t describe the Bulls as a surprise packet. Highly professional, well-coached organisation who have recruited well and play to their strengths, just as they always have. But easy to recruit well when you have a really high quality domestic comp.
Tahs are disappointing, but not unexpected given the injury list they started the season with. But as a Wallabies fan it’s at least heartening to see the Tahs front row started standing up last week.
April 17th 2012 @ 9:38am
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:38am | Report comment
RL, it comes from the train of thought that, like the Brumbies and Hurricanes, losing so many key players (they lost four or five Springboks alone) would be too big a hurdle to overcome.
Perhaps, in hindsight, the error isn’t in seeing them as a surprise this year, but rather that they might struggle to replace those players and thus allowing the lower expectations to form.
But then again, that’s why we have these discussions, to offer our subjective methods of ratings..
April 17th 2012 @ 10:45am
rl said | April 17th 2012 @ 10:45am | Report comment
Brett, from what I hear from my Saffa mates, the Bulls let some of those egos… oops, I mean Springboks walk.
April 17th 2012 @ 11:07am
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 11:07am | Report comment
I’m sure there was an element of that too, RL…
April 17th 2012 @ 9:26pm
Ben S said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:26pm | Report comment
Just a quick comment – the Bulls haven’t left SA yet. I’m wary of thinking they have the answers just yet.
April 17th 2012 @ 9:29pm
sheek said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:29pm | Report comment
Brett,
So often we see a team lose key, experienced, talented players, across many sports, & yet they bounce back the following year & surprise everyone.
if we could bottle what makes a successful team tick, we’d all be doing it, wouldn’t we!!
And rl has a point – sometimes cranky old players can be very influential. But at other times they simply impede the younger guys from giving full rein to their talents.
April 17th 2012 @ 9:42am
Shungmao said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:42am | Report comment
Brumbies: are over achieving, and when they come up against some of the form sides you need to beat to win the silverware they will unravel. Don’t write of 2 Aussie teams in the six, i think Reds or Tahs will finish in the top six, my main concern is the Reds need to start banking some bonus points. Quade Cooper isn’t the best test player in the world but he is in the top 2 super rugby players and will make a big difference. ( Adam Thompson is the best Super player)
Stormers: are interesting, they are deservedly top but in patches over the first rounds you see cracks appear when teams up the tempo and run the big men around.
Chiefs: I like a lot, balance across the park, strong defensively and good shape and straightness in attack. Crusaders: write them off at your own peril, they will be there or there abouts. The crusaders are the Broncos of league.
Bulls: very resilient , had to beat at home but like the Brumbies will run out of juice.
Highlanders: play a very brutal style up front and a 2011 reds like backs game plan. The problem with this is it demands certain players with certain abilities. If they get injuries they don’t have the depth and you will see some 2012 reds like performances. Personally even as a Aussie supporter I have a soft spot for the Highlanders and hope they can feature in the finals series.
As for the rest:
Rebels: just make you sweat bullets, you don’t know who’s turning up
Force: lack the 10 Mtrs polish, do great stuff in the other 90 but get within the attacking 10 and they can catch, throw or pass.
Sharks: are a great example of the school yard bully, all size and blunt force but get punched in the nose and doesn’t know what to do.
Blues: they won’t come close but will get themselves together, teams that have played them and won already will be very happy. The blues will knock teams off and shape the top 6 , watch and see!
As for the rest of the teams i haven’t mentioned start pre-season, blood some youth and go watch the cheerleader trials.
–
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April 17th 2012 @ 10:38am
Justin said | April 17th 2012 @ 10:38am | Report comment
Sharks: are a great example of the school yard bully, all size and blunt force but get punched in the nose and doesn’t know what to do.
Classic, love it.
April 17th 2012 @ 11:07am
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 11:07am | Report comment
+1 – great line, Shungmao…
April 17th 2012 @ 12:22pm
Kiwidave said | April 17th 2012 @ 12:22pm | Report comment
Shungmao, as a Blues fan that sounds about the best we can hope for.
Agree regarding the Crusaders, they often start a little slow but they are always there at the end of the year.
April 17th 2012 @ 9:59am
Riccardo said | April 17th 2012 @ 9:59am | Report comment
Morning Brett,
A good read and while we’re only part way thru an accurate assessment of the usual contenders.
I remain surpised and upset that the Blues haven’t kicked on from last year’s 4th but this has been done to death in recent weeks and rehashing it will only have me reaching for the antacids… and a tissue!
Coaching and Team dynamics are huge this year and have had an impact on evening up the competition which can only be good for Rugby. Rennie and Smith at the Chiefs have created a team with depth and belief. Hammett’s been well and truly vindicated. How good are the Brumbies under Jake?
But the Cheetahs have really stood out for me and are a portent of the Boks potential power this year under Meyer. Usual set piece accuracy and Morne’s boot assuming Meyer picks him. New Coach and running rugby? Exciting fringe players like Joe Pietersen and Hoosen. They’ll be a threat for sure.
Sorry if this sounds a little inane but have heard that Victor may come out of retirement to skipper them. You heard anything in this regard?
April 17th 2012 @ 11:06am
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 11:06am | Report comment
Riccardo, I have to admit that apart from what is reported, I get very little mail out of the South Africa (not that I get flooded from mail anywhere, if I’m honest), and so can’t add anything to the Matfield rumour. For what it’s worth, he seems to have made a decent transition to commentary..
April 17th 2012 @ 10:08am
nomis said | April 17th 2012 @ 10:08am | Report comment
Yep – I think the Brumbies are the feel good story for 2012 so far for a lot of Aussies. I was born in Canberra actually!
Isn’t it interesting that certain teams have a particular style of play that just seems to be a part of who they are.
I was also disappointed for the Force. Would love to see them do better.
April 17th 2012 @ 10:26am
Will Sinclair said | April 17th 2012 @ 10:26am | Report comment
Funny how perception is everything, isn’t it?
The common feeling is that the Waratahs are struggling, while the Brumbies are going great and yet… by this time next week I fully expect the Tahs to be on top of the Aussie conference (they will beat the Rebels, while the Brumbies and Reds will get beaten by the Bulls and Stormers respectively).
April 17th 2012 @ 10:48am
rl said | April 17th 2012 @ 10:48am | Report comment
They better beat the Rebels Will, for your sanity if nothing else!
April 17th 2012 @ 11:53am
Bigbaz said | April 17th 2012 @ 11:53am | Report comment
I have been disappointed in the Rebels, thought they would be better this year but I suppose starting from scratch in a foreign enviroment is not easy.I guess if you compare their progress to the 2 new AFL teams they are doing ok.
April 17th 2012 @ 12:29pm
terrykidd said | April 17th 2012 @ 12:29pm | Report comment
G’day guys, I haven’t commented for a while. Great piece Brett it has really generated some discussion. I find it hard to find fault with Sam’s reasoning except I think that the NZ conference will see the Chiefs and Crusaders on top. The SA conference I think will fall to the Stormers and Bulls …. no real surprise, the Stormers are the better team but the Bulls are so hard to beat at home. As for the Oz conference the top two will be the Brumbies and Tahs …. I expect the Brumbies to start to stumble a little and the Tahs to grow stronger.
My tip for to overall winner is still a little unclear but if the Stormers and Bulls get home finals then they will be very hard to beat.
April 17th 2012 @ 1:48pm
The Bush said | April 17th 2012 @ 1:48pm | Report comment
The Strugglers
While it’s always a risk to say this too early in the season, presumably the Lions, Cheetahs, Blues, Force and Rebels are basically out of the race for the finals. The Force are still to have their first bye admittedly (and make up easy points – a silly system if you ask me, it all evens out in the end, so why award points for a bye?), they are simply too far behind to make up the ground on only thirteen (13) points.
Of the teams you would describe as struggling, only the Cheetahs can really claim to have improved or are showing signs of seriously improving. Furthemore, they are the only team with any real chance of catching up; why? Well they’re one (1) win above the other four (4) strugglers, they’re yet to have their first bye (and thus the easy points) and they have already done their tour of Australaisa.
Unfortunately, of their remaining games, only three (3) of the eight (8) games are against non-South African opposition (Waratahs, Force, Highlanders) and only one (1) of those teams should be easy beats. In other words, I simply can’t see them doing it unless they show some dominance over their neighbours.
The Outsiders
The Reds, Waratahs, Brumbies, Sharks, Crusaders and Hurricanes are the outsiders; two (2) of them will make up the numbers in the finals, with one (1) of the Australian teams being guaranteed a home final under the system. Having said that, it is difficult seeing any of them top their Conference and/or top the overall table. Without this advantage, and considering that they are unlikely to have the momentum of the top teams, it is difficult to see any of these teams pulling it off.
As to comments on how they are travelling, both the Hurricanes and the Brumbies can take a lot of positives away from where they are at now, considering where they ended up last year, whilst both the Reds and Waratahs must be disappointed with their tenuious position as outsiders to even make the finals at all.
A caveat must be put on the Crusaders, who beat the previously undefeated Stormers and like always, with a quality line-up and some home town passion (not to mention history), you can simply never count them out of the competition.
The Leaders
The Chiefs, Stormers, Bulls and Highlanders are the clear leaders of the pack and the most likely teams to secure the all important home finals. The Stormers aren’t really a surprise, as good as they have been playing. Of the other three (3), the Bulls are a traditional powerhouse, they obviously they should be congradulated for the way they’ve recruited and built a new team following the departure of some great players.
Far more refreshing for the competition, is the possibility that the Chiefs or Highlanders could bring home a title. They are traditionally the two (2) weakest teams in the competition from New Zealand and as an Australian who enjoys underdogs succeeding, it would be great to see the HIghlanders or Chiefs bring home the gold (if it has to be a Kiwi side). The Highlanders especially deserve it considering how muich they’ve been on the improve over the last two (2) seasons and when you consider the “lack” of talent they have compared to some more fancied sides (i.e. no SBW or Cruden to begin with).
April 17th 2012 @ 2:14pm
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 2:14pm | Report comment
you know bushy, you could’ve just sent this to me over the weekend, and I could’ve saved myself some time!! Can’t argue with any of that, great summary..
April 17th 2012 @ 2:25pm
The Bush said | April 17th 2012 @ 2:25pm | Report comment
If you’re ever sub-contracting out Brett, just send us an email…
To be a little more specific, without Cooper, and as mcuh as I’m a one-eyed Queenslander, I knew the Reds would struggle. The continued mediocrity of the Waratahs must be a real issue for the New South Welshmen among us. Whilst injuries are never an acceptable excuse, it’s not too late for the Reds to salvage something, though I don’t expect a title.
I watched the Crusaders v Stormers game on the weekend and as usual the Crusaders looked like they are building to something great again. Having said that, it is difficult to see how they are going to close the gap on the Chiefs for the all important top billing and home grand final. It must be endlessly reassuring as a Crusaders fan to see the production line of fly-halves shoot out yet another one…
The Cheetahs have been the best team to watch, or there abouts, this year and I really hope they can build something a la the Reds circa 2010-11. I can never blame a player for leaving, but to sit on the bench at the Waratahs must really frustrate Pretorius when he could be guiding a really exciting team around the park if he’d stayed.
April 17th 2012 @ 3:12pm
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 3:12pm | Report comment
that’s how media empires start, I suppose
Reds and Crusaders will come back, I’m sure, but I have doubts now whether either of them can finish top of their conference. Cheetahs you’d love to see making a genuine charge to third spot in South Africa, but you wonder if they can keep the quality players they’d need to do that..
April 17th 2012 @ 3:19pm
The Bush said | April 17th 2012 @ 3:19pm | Report comment
Poor old Cheetahs. It is amusing that whilst there is a certain trend in Super Rugby for the smaller cities to struggle to keep players (Perth, Dunedin, Bloemfontein), the three heavy weights in their respective countries, Johannesburg, Sydney and Auckland, haven’t had strong teams, or champion teams since the Blues in 2003 (and in fact the Lions have almost always sucked…).
April 17th 2012 @ 2:39pm
nickoldschool said | April 17th 2012 @ 2:39pm | Report comment
IMO, quite a few of your ‘strugglers’ are still in contention for a finals spot actually. The WF are only 11pts behind the conf leaders (Brumbies) with one more bye to get, thats only 2 wins with bonus (still 8-9 games to play for all teams, i.e. 40-45 pts up for grabs). Same with the Cheetahs who are on ly 8pts behing 6th spot with one more bye to get and their 8 remaining matches to be played in the Republic. In my book, only the Lions are out.
Same with the leaders, am not sure the Highlanders have what it takes to go all the way. Their first 4 wins of the season (rd 1 to 4) were by 4 points or less, meaning they are not a ‘dominant side’ as such (they were fairly comprehensively beatne by the stormers at home a couple weeks ago). They are yet to go to SA too…anyway, its still very open and its what makes it a very interesting comp’ indeed!
April 17th 2012 @ 3:12pm
The Bush said | April 17th 2012 @ 3:12pm | Report comment
“The WF are only 11pts behind the conf leaders (Brumbies) with one more bye to get, thats only 2 wins with bonus (still 8-9 games to play for all teams, i.e. 40-45 pts up for grabs).”
“Only” 11pts behind? You make it all sound so easy. I agree that thanks to extra bye they’ll make up ground – on the Rebels. It’s a bit of an ask to come from the last position in the Conference now to top position in just eight (8) games (really the only way an Australian team will make it unless two (2) of the present top three (3) go on extended winning streaks).
If you assume that one of either the Reds, Waratahs or Brumbies will still win at least four of their remaining nine (9) games at a bare minimum, that would require the Force to win at least six (6) of their remaining eight (8) to have a good shot – unlikely for a team who is two (2) from eight (8) and still to go to the Republic.
To be frank, it is highly unlikely that one (1) of the three (3) top teams won’t win more than four (4) out of their next nine (9)…
“Same with the Cheetahs who are on ly 8pts behing 6th spot with one more bye to get and their 8 remaining matches to be played in the Republic.”
I pointed out that the Cheetahs have the extra bye and now get to stay in South Africa. Unfortunatley for them, that doesn’t really mean “easy” games like it could in say, the Australian conference. I don’t see them closing the gap – but it would be nice.
“Same with the leaders, am not sure the Highlanders have what it takes to go all the way.”
You’re probably most on the money with this statement, but then again, if we had to pick an out-right winner from here, I’d say most punters whould prefer at least the Stormers and Chiefs over them, and probably the Bulls too (out of my “Leaders” group). Remember I’ve put a caveat on the Crusaders – who knows what they’ll produce at the pointy end of the season.
April 17th 2012 @ 5:50pm
nickoldschool said | April 17th 2012 @ 5:50pm | Report comment
I don’t disagree with your analysis itself, I am just more cautious and would not use the term “out of the race for the finals’ for the 5 teams you mention (especially the Cheetahs) or “clear leaders’ for the Highlanders and even the 3 other leaders. Again, 10 points between n1 and n10, 2 wins with bonus.
I mostly agree with your “likely’ or “unlikely” predictions but as we have seen in the first 8 rounds, many, many, many ‘likely’ results didnt actually occur and to speculate about what will happen when such or such team tours SA or australasia is just what it is: pure speculation. Not sure that many ppl had seen the current top 6 ( no Crusaders, Blues, tahs, Reds, Sharks) 2 months ago. Loving it though.
April 17th 2012 @ 3:46pm
Justin said | April 17th 2012 @ 3:46pm | Report comment
Great summary Bushy – well done.
Like you I have always had a spot for the Highlanders. I get the feeling we may see them stumble though. Their style of play is exhausting and I think they will fatigue from here on in. They have dropped 2 of the last 3 and if they dont beat the Blues (and they look too organised not to) then they could lose their next 4! Away to the Cheetahs and Sharks will not be easy and then at home v The Canes is no easy run…
April 17th 2012 @ 3:59pm
Brett McKay said | April 17th 2012 @ 3:59pm | Report comment
Justin, Bushy, I probably should have mentioned this in the article – you’d think the loss of Colin Slade has to bite at some point too…
April 17th 2012 @ 4:34pm
kiwidave said | April 17th 2012 @ 4:34pm | Report comment
The arrival of Mike Delany should help balance that though. Personally I think Lima Sopoaga was a bigger loss.
April 17th 2012 @ 4:36pm
Moaman said | April 17th 2012 @ 4:36pm | Report comment
Slade and Lima Sopoanga Brett…..Both Highlanders and ‘Canes look vulnerable if beset by (more)injuries though that could be said for all teams I guess.It’s the injuries to key players/players in key positions that really hurt.How many 1st 5s eg can the Highlanders go through.?Short answer would appear to be 2 more ;and then curtains perhaps.
April 17th 2012 @ 7:14pm
kiwidave said | April 17th 2012 @ 7:14pm | Report comment
2 more and it’ll be party at Tony Brown’s house again.
April 17th 2012 @ 4:25pm
The Bush said | April 17th 2012 @ 4:25pm | Report comment
Yeah it’s gonna be a tough slog for the Highlanders – as I’ve said above to nickoldschool, I’d have safer money on the Stormers or Chiefs.
Good old Highlanders, I’ve always had the impression that the South Island was more of a Rugby “heartland” compared to the North Island – and the Otago/Southland fans the “battler” fans compared to Cantabrians…
On a different note, I’d love for someone other than me to analysise the fact that Rugby always seems to be more popular in a country’s south – South of France, South of England, South of Wales, South Island (NZ), southern Ireland… You could even mount an argument that with New South Wales being the home of rugby in Australia, it is in the “south” compared to most of the country.
In fact, the only “major” rugby nation I can think of where the sport is biggest in the north (by far) is Italy…
April 17th 2012 @ 4:36pm
Sam Taulelei said | April 17th 2012 @ 4:36pm | Report comment
Great stuff Bushy.
The Highlanders have now confirmed they’ve signed Mike Delany for the rest of the Super season which will alleviate that problem area with only one fit first five. His experience will be invaluable, particularly when they hit the road in a couple of weeks.
They’re also expecting the return of injured backs Siale Piutau, Kendrick Lyn and Telusa Veainu which will add to their attacking firepower.
If their pack can hold together for the rest of the season, they’re a very good chance to make the playoffs.
April 17th 2012 @ 5:07pm
drama city said | April 17th 2012 @ 5:07pm | Report comment
Highlanders have also confirmed signing of Hale T-Pole as injury replacement for back-rower John Hardie for rest of season