Frankel, 2012 Lockinge Stakes: Live race updates, blog
By Justin Cinque, 19 May 2012 Justin Cinque is a Roar Expert
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World-number one racehorse Frankel makes his 2012 debut on Sunday morning in the Group One Lockinge Stakes (one mile) at Newbury, England. Join us for live race updates and a blog in the lead-up to the 12:40am AEST start time.
Frankel, not seen since last October’s Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, is aiming for the tenth win of his undefeated career and enters the Lockinge as a hot favourite – at the relatively generous odds of 4/11 or $1.36 – to defeat his six rivals.
The Sir Henry Cecil trained galloper had the Lockinge (won in recent years by the likes of Hawk Wing, Rakti, Paco Boy and Canford Cliffs) earmarked as his return to the racetrack for some time.
But those plans were put on hold last month when Frankel suffered a leg injury during morning trackwork.
After scans came up clear, the champion miler was given the green light to resume in the May feature.
Frankel will progress from the Lockinge to the mile Queen Anne on the opening day of Royal Ascot in one month before starting in the mile Sussex Stakes on August 1 where he could clash with Australian wonder Black Caviar.
Frankel faces only one serious threat in this race and that comes in the form of equal world-number three rated galloper Excelebration.
Excelebration was transferred to Aiden O’Brien’s Ballydoyle operation (making him a stablemate to dual Cox Plate winner So You Think) at the end of last year and returned with a big win at Group Three level in Ireland last month.
Excelebration has met with Frankel on three occasions previously and the best he could do was get within two and a half lengths of the colt in last year’s St James’ Palace Stakes when Tom Queally made his move on Frankel before halfway.
In two other meetings with Frankel, Excelebration has finished a four-length second.
Excelebration’s best performance is an unconvincing Group One win over Rio De La Plata in the Moulin de Longchamp over a mile in Paris last year. Rio De La Plata was one of three competitors completely destroyed by Frankel in the 2011 Sussex Stakes.
Amongst the other competitors in the Lockinge is Dubawi Gold who was smashed on three occasions by Frankel in 2011 and has failed to finish closer than nine lengths off the winner in two starts this year; and Windsor Palace who beat Breeders’ Cup Turf winner St Nicholas Abbey at 66/1 (it followed a fourth to Excelebration) two weeks ago at The Curragh in Ireland.
If Frankel returns in his usual form he quite simply should be winning. I expect Excelebration to account for the rest of the field quite comfortably.
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May 19th 2012 @ 11:23pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:23pm | Report comment
Good evening and welcome to The Roar’s first ever coverage of an international horse race – the 2012 Lockinge Stakes from England. And while the Lockinge is a time-honoured race, it is the appearance of world-champion racehorse Frankel that has the world watching.
Frankel will be shooting for his tenth win from as many starts as he embarks on what will be his final season of racing before a stud career.
Scares went through the Sir Henry Cecil camp about a month ago when Frankel injured himself during trackwork – there were rumours about his impending retirement but Frankel has come through that problem well and is ready to resume racing for the first time in seven months.
Today he faces five rivals after the scratching of Strong Suit. There is only one other winning chance and that is world number three Excelebration. In my opinion, there is no beating Frankel tonight. He has already accounted for Excelebration three times although Excelebration was under different tutelage – this time he is trained by Aiden O’Brien, one of the world’s most esteemed trainers and he is quite confident of victory.
Frankel is rated a very generous $1.30 chance. With the Australian TAB, odds of $1.25 were offered. But TAB media man Adam Hamilton reported on Twitter a short time ago that one punter placed $100,000 on Frankel to win tonight. His odds have been trimmed into $1.22.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:30pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:30pm | Report comment
This will be Frankel’s first appearance as a four-year old horse. Critics of Frankel have argued that many of his wins were against his own age last season – three year olds – and therefore must be put into context.
Many three-year olds do not show the same form at the age of four and I suppose that is the only query with Frankel tonight – that and his injury scare a month ago.
I think Frankel will continue to dominate English racing but he must show us that he still is the same horse.
There have been many horses that I can remember not going on at the age of four – a great example is the 1995 Cox Plate winner Octagonal, a multiple Group I winner in his three year old season, Octagonal didn’t go on with it as a four-year old. It wasn’t until he turned five that he regained his best form.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:32pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:32pm | Report comment
We are 70 minutes from jump time for the Lockinge Stakes.
The track has been rated good and the weather in Newbury appears to be nice.
Newbury is located just to the west of greater London. It is situated just less than 50kms from Ascot where Black Caviar will be competing in a few weeks.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:33pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:33pm | Report comment
Frankel is actually meeting his three-quarter older brother this afternoon in the form of topweight Bullet Train. Bullet Train is owned by Juddmonte Farms (like Frankel) and Juddmonte has stated they will be utilising Bullet Train as a pacemaker for Frankel.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:36pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:36pm | Report comment
I suspect Frankel will be ridden just as he was in the St James’ Palace and QEII Stakes last year – that is midfield until the final 600, when he emerges from the pack to stake an early bid for victory. He has a big tank and it allows jockey Tom Queally to make an early move on him.
And Tom Queally has just claimed the third race of tonight’s card at Newbury, so that’s sure to get the confidence up ahead of this straight race – the Lockinge Stakes at 12:40am.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:48pm
KiwiDave said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:48pm | Report comment
Will be interesting to see how the worlds second best horse goes today.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:51pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:51pm | Report comment
Certainly will be.
Officially, ‘the Frankel’ as he is known by his fans, is the world’s best but downunder I think we can get away with calling him the number two to Black Caviar.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:49pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:49pm | Report comment
Massive crowd in Newbury to watch Frankel. Plenty of white and green to support England’s Black Caviar this afternoon.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:52pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:52pm | Report comment
Massive day in English sport – Heineken Cup final in the rugby, Championship playoff final in football, Champions league final in football and Frankel at Newbury.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:55pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:55pm | Report comment
And of course England is playing the West Indies at Lords.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:54pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:54pm | Report comment
Black Caviar has improved with each season of racing, so it will be interesting to see whether Frankel produces a career-best performance this afternoon. He is a colt and there’s no gaurantee that he will improve.
Personally, I wouldn’t want to see him obliterate his rivals – I want to see an unconvincing win to get Black Caviar’s owners interested in meeting him in August 1′s Sussex Stakes.
May 20th 2012 @ 12:49am
KiwiDave said | May 20th 2012 @ 12:49am | Report comment
Yep. Sussex would definitely be the race. Goodwood is probably the softest 8 furlong around. Black Caviar would definitely get a downhill 8f based on her 7f success. I think Moody wanted to try Black Caviar over 7f before deciding on going for the King Stand or Golden Jubilee because the Ascot 6f will run like a 7f back here in Aussie.
May 19th 2012 @ 11:56pm
Justin Cinque said | May 19th 2012 @ 11:56pm | Report comment
This tweet from the great mare:
Black Caviar@blackcaviar2006
Good luck @JuddmonteFarms @frankel_horse love watching a champion in action. Looking forward to seeing your return