Frankel sounds warning to Black Caviar with resounding win
By Justin Cinque, 21 May 2012 Justin Cinque is a Roar Expert
Frankel and jockey Tom Queally score perfect 10 in stunning win
The world’s number one rated horse, Frankel, returned to racetrack for the first time in seven months on Saturday afternoon with a commanding five-length win in the Lockinge Stakes over 1609 metres at Newbury in England.
The four-year old son of Epsom Derby winner Galileo was sent around at odds of 1/3 (or $1.33) and proved far too strong for the world’s second best miler Excelebration who was simply no match for Frankel in the Group One feature.
It’s quite a remarkable feat by Frankel, who only a month ago was rumoured to be retired after suffering a leg injury at morning trackwork. Luckily for racing fans, the horse valued at over £100m, was cleared of any damage enabling him to continue racing.
Saturday’s win – his tenth in an undefeated career – was incredibly soft. Jockey Tom Queally settled Frankel behind pace-maker and three-quarter brother Bullet Train before allowing the colt to stride to the lead before the 400 metre mark.
Aiden O’Brien, trainer of runner-up Excelebration, was confident of upsetting Frankel but his horse could not quicken with the champion. Excelebration accounted for the rest of the field comfortably but succumbed to Frankel for a fourth time.
Frankel’s winning margin of five lengths is the biggest to have separated these two horses. O’Brien was sure Excelebration had improved but perhaps it is Frankel that has advanced.
And if true, it must be a massive blow to those hoping for a Frankel-Black Caviar match-up in August’s Sussex Stakes.
I don’t think Black Caviar’s connections will want to take Frankel on if they don’t believe they are much chance of victory and an improving Frankel may well be unbeatable at a mile in his home country.
Frankel is rated seven points higher than Black Caviar in Timeform’s global rankings. To put that into perspective, between Black Caviar (rated second in the world at 136) and Americain (rated equal 14th in the world at 129) there are 11 horses and seven rating points.
As far as Timeform is concerned, Frankel is clearly the best horse in the world.
In fact, in 64 years of ratings horses, Frankel’s rating of 143 is the fourth highest Timeform rating ever.
For a horse that has only had ten starts, the Sir Henry Cecil-trained galloper is creating quite a stir. On Saturday, immediately after his win “Frankel” was trending worldwide on twitter. Most of that tweeting appeared to be coming from English computers.
On an afternoon where there was test-match cricket, an international golf tournament, the Champions League final, Championship playoff final and Heineken Cup final being played in England or involving teams or players from England, it is quite incredible that a horse was able to make such a mark.
This should come as no surprise to Australians who are quite accustomed to seeing horse racing get plenty of airtime during the spring carnival but for English racing this is quite extraordinary.
Grand National aside, English horse racing doesn’t often resonate with rank and file sport fans.
I remember watching Channel Seven’s broadcast of the 2010 Melbourne Cup Carnival when Bruce McAvaney asked Francesca Cumani, daughter of England-based trainer Luca, who the Phar Lap of English racing was?
In other words, who was the greatest, most legendary horse in the history of British racing?
And after asking Bruce for a few moments to think about it, Francesca couldn’t be sure who it was.
In 300 years of organised horse racing in Britain, there is no Sir Donald Bradman, no Dally Messenger, no Phar Lap for the sport to embrace as the greatest.
Maybe Frankel is that horse.
As Greg Wood wrote on The Guardian website on Friday, ‘But a Frankel who could come through his four-year-old season and retire unbeaten would enter a debate that spans many decades and generations with a very solid case of his own’.
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May 21st 2012 @ 7:40am
Lauren said | May 21st 2012 @ 7:40am | Report comment
It’s kind of comical how much this story has been blown up in the press. The English behind Frankel and the Aussies behind Black Caviar. Really, I think if people were honest they’d take them for what they are. That is, the Best Miler and the Best Sprinter in the world. Sure, if Black Caviar was made to run Frankel over 1600m in England, odds are Frankel would win. But if Frankel were to take on Black Caviar over her pet distance of 1200m, she’s beat him resoundingly too. They are both champions and will beat all comers over the distances they prefer to run, simple as that. Love how they’ve both reignited the passion and interest in racing in their respective home countries.
May 21st 2012 @ 2:49pm
KiwiDave said | May 21st 2012 @ 2:49pm | Report comment
The total ease she won the Orr stakes over 7f suggest to me she would have little to no problem stepping it up to 8f. I think the sponsors of the Sussex need to dangle a bigger carrot in front of the owners. 1 million pounds is nice but I would go further in giving the connections of both horses 1 million pounds each just to run in the race. After the Golden Jubilee watch the interest in a match race explode. I hope Peter Moody instructs his jockey to rev her up in the Golden Jubilee and let her fully extend and space her rivals. Although the thought of her winning the Golden Jubilee by 3 lengths under a hold going 3/4 pace would be funny as well. The English commentators will be completely gobsmacked if she did that.
May 23rd 2012 @ 6:15am
Bill said | May 23rd 2012 @ 6:15am | Report comment
You are very naive if you think that. Horse racing in England precedes Aussie racing by at least two centuries. Most of the rules of racing were set out by The Jockey Club in England. To suggest that commentators will or would be surprised to see Black Caviar win hard held only displays an ignorance on your part. We are a very knowledgeable bunch. We admire Black Caviar – she is a very special mare. The British sprint division is frankly lamentable at this moment in time. They are not just B Graders as Peter Moody suggested; they more like c and d raters. If Black Caviar doesn’t beat our sprinters easily then it will be a shock to every serious British racing fan throughout the UK. However, Frankel is a very different proposition entirely and Peter Moody acknowledges that fact. He is a complete powerhouse of a horse and over a mile he would beat any horse on the planet, including the great sprinter, Black Caviar.
May 23rd 2012 @ 11:10am
Bondy said | May 23rd 2012 @ 11:10am | Report comment
Bill .
You say Black Caviar should beat your sprinters easily ,what margin is suffice for you .
May 24th 2012 @ 7:52am
Bill said | May 24th 2012 @ 7:52am | Report comment
If Black Caviar wins by a nose then she has done her job. If the mare is on top of her game, she will win as she likes. I reckon she’ll win comfortably by three lengths. Ascot’s sprint course is a test for any sprinter but then, she is no ordinary sprinter.
May 21st 2012 @ 8:09am
peeeko said | May 21st 2012 @ 8:09am | Report comment
Unfortunately I don’t think we will see them race
May 21st 2012 @ 8:50am
Australian Rules said | May 21st 2012 @ 8:50am | Report comment
Frankel is clearly the best horse in the world at the moment. This win was extraordinary:
Returning from leg injury; hadn’t raced in 7 months; against the 2nd best miler in the world; smashes him by 5 lengths.
Excelebration tracked him the whole way but had nothing compared to Frankel’s gears. Over 1600m he would beat our girl, I’m sure of that. Under 1400m, and she’d probably win.
May 21st 2012 @ 9:39am
Johnno said | May 21st 2012 @ 9:39am | Report comment
It seems to me that our other mares Atlantic Jewel and More Joyous should fly the flag for Aussie milers. If Frankel beats them we’d know he is good.
May 21st 2012 @ 2:42pm
KiwiDave said | May 21st 2012 @ 2:42pm | Report comment
Atlantic Jewel at 100% over 10 furlongs would give Frankel one hell of a fright.
May 22nd 2012 @ 2:41am
Matt said | May 22nd 2012 @ 2:41am | Report comment
Kiwidave….What the hell are you going on about? Excelebration winning the Irish 2000 Guineas? Shows how much you know. Last season the Irish Guineas was won by Roderic O’Connor who was also another victim of Frankel as a 2 year old. Excelebration is rightfully the 2nd best miler in the world behind Frankel. Look at how many races He’d have won if it wasn’t for Frankel. He destroyed Immortal Verse who won the Prix De Jacque Marois who in turn handed Goldikova her arse on a plate, Immortal Verse in hand was thoroughly dispatched by Frankel aswell. The formlines for both Frankel and Excelebration are solid, Frankels obviously more so because of the way he ended Canford Cliffs career (There is noway Canford Cliffs was injured in that race, Coolmore were quite obviously protecting there investment as the pedigree of Canford Cliffs doesnt exactly set the world alight and if he suffered another demolition job his stud fee would drop through the floor) He was asked to go quicker than He possibly could and he just couldn’t cope with the freakish Frankel. The formline of Canford Cliffs just further enhances how good Frankel really is. Who is the highest rated miler in Australia? Where have they all been when it comes to the big races? Excelebration would wipe the floor with any Aussie miler at this moment in time so don’t go spouting drivel that He’d struggle as its quite obviously a ridiculous comment, He’d start near or at the top of the pile in any mile race in Europe barring Frankel not being there, He’s a good horse in his own right and the fact that the International handicapper as him at number 3 in the world at this moment in time says it all. Black Caviar is clearly a good horse over 5 and 6 furlongs but come on seriously if she took on Frankel over a mile she’d be left scarred for life I really cannot see how connections would risk her unbeaten record. Frankel won’t drop back as he bigger targets over 10f’s which hopefully He will step up to some time this year. That comment ” Frankel as beaten jack ” is quite laughable, Have a look through the international handicappers ratings and look at how many horses have felt the wrath of Frankel and how many Black Caviar as beat. It just sums up why Frankel is 6lb clear of Black Caviar in the world thoroughbred ratings…
May 23rd 2012 @ 6:19am
Bill said | May 23rd 2012 @ 6:19am | Report comment
Are you serious ? Excelebration would beat both of them and Frankel would blow them away easily.
May 23rd 2012 @ 4:54pm
Justin Cinque said | May 23rd 2012 @ 4:54pm | Report comment
Hey bill, you know there is growing belief that atlantic jewel is a middle distance black caviar. At the same points in their career aj is far more advanced. When pushed aj will stand up against the best in the world…i’ve no doubt.
May 21st 2012 @ 9:49am
Bondy said | May 21st 2012 @ 9:49am | Report comment
Interesting the blood of Galileo doesnt seem to be as effective in the southern hemisphere as in eurpoe, i’d suggest Moody will run BC in the Kings Stand and then the July Cup or up the hill, as a punter its not so enjoyable to have these horses running around, Bc was at a price of $1.40 in the T J Smith stks that was almost one year ago,she’s been around $1.14 -$1.04 for the past year there’s nothing there for the punter ,and also Frankel will be shorter the next time he runs around .
I’m glad domination doesnt happen every second season I cant realistically see either of these horses being beaten for quite some time.
May 21st 2012 @ 2:40pm
KiwiDave said | May 21st 2012 @ 2:40pm | Report comment
I keep hearing this rubbish about Excelebration being the second best miler in the world. Why? What has it done to earn this right? Has it won a Dubai Duty Free, Breeders Cup Mile or any of the big Japanese mile races? It won the Irish guineas against a weak field, the German guineas against an even weaker field and been soundly beaten by Frankel 3 times.
This is what really pisses me off about the English racing press. They have a totally arrogant attitude when it comes to proclaiming the best or second best at something. They think their whole racing world revolves around what goes on in Ireland, England and France. They discount the rest of the globe. Excelebration would be lucky to win a top mile race in Australia IMO and I reckon it would get its arse handed to it on a plate in a Breeders Cup mile or some of the bigger Asian mile races.
To me, Frankel has not beaten jack until he can win a Breeders Cup race. He needs to prove himself overseas and when or if he does then he will have proven himself.
May 21st 2012 @ 4:00pm
Justin Cinque said | May 21st 2012 @ 4:00pm | Report comment
Kiwi dave i agree that excelebration is an unconvincing number two miler in the world. Time form have him at number three in the world overall. He’s a good horse but i’m not sure he’s in the same grade as cirrus de aigles for example. Frankel is very good and he will prove it to all his doubters in the near future.
May 21st 2012 @ 5:17pm
KiwiDave said | May 21st 2012 @ 5:17pm | Report comment
Justin, I know Frankel is very good. He is freakishly good but what has he been racing against. I dont buy so much into the timeform ratings for a horse like Excelebration because he seems to be getting an artificially high one from racing against Frankel.
When it comes to Black Caviar you have Hay List who would be a superstar if not for the great mare. I would rate Hay List a better sprinter than the likes of Miss Andretti, Takeover Target and co. Poor bugger though has struck a ridiculous freak in Black Caviar. Hay List keeps her honest but when she races without Hay List in the field its really just 3/4 pace trackwork to her.
I would love to see a clash of the two champs in the Sussex. The 8f at Goodwood is the easiest in the UK. After the Golden Jubilee everybody in the racing world will want to see this race. I think Black caviar will get 8f easily judging by her effortless Orr win.
May 21st 2012 @ 5:33pm
Justin Cinque said | May 21st 2012 @ 5:33pm | Report comment
Agree with everything you said about hay list, frankel, excelebration above. Just be careful with the orr – it was a walking race this year and the sussex will not. Before or since, Black caviar has never got away with the sectionals the whole field did in this year’s orr.
May 22nd 2012 @ 2:48am
David said | May 22nd 2012 @ 2:48am | Report comment
Then again, she never runs full speed to get decent times. She just walks along and does it easily.
May 23rd 2012 @ 4:46pm
KiwiDave said | May 23rd 2012 @ 4:46pm | Report comment
Apparently she has been privately timed running a sub 10s furlong sectional. I have seen a few of Frankels wins, like the St James last year, and he was flat out to win that race. When he doesnt get his own way I see a bit of vulnerability in him.
May 23rd 2012 @ 4:59pm
Justin Cinque said | May 23rd 2012 @ 4:59pm | Report comment
she went 9.98 under a stranglehold between the 6 and the 4 in this year’s lightning.
May 23rd 2012 @ 6:26am
Bill said | May 23rd 2012 @ 6:26am | Report comment
Justin, I am surprised that you would even attempt to compare a miler ( Excelebration ) to a middle distance, ten furlong plus horse ,Cirrus Des Aigles. The French horse would never beat Excelebration over a mile, and likewise, he wouldn’t beat Cirrus Des Aigles over ten furlongs. For me, Excelebration, until proved otherwise, is without doubt the second best miler in the world at this time.
May 23rd 2012 @ 4:27pm
Justin Cinque said | May 23rd 2012 @ 4:27pm | Report comment
Yeah fair enough bill. I was more talking about their overall ratings…timeform compare across distance ranges. I’m unconvinced. On the one hand excelebration is a bit like hay list…always running second to the best but his best win is over rio de la plata who was smashed in the sussex. I know people like to bring in tertiary formlines through goldikova but she was beaten a few times last year – it wasn’t her best season. I think our best milers in aus like more joyous would really test him.
May 24th 2012 @ 7:49am
johnny nevin is a legend said | May 24th 2012 @ 7:49am | Report comment
Justin,even though she wasn’t at the height of her powers Goldikova still had good form last year, she won 2 Group 1′s, one of those beating Cirrus Des Aigles at 9 furlongs and she was a respectable 2nd to Canford Cliffs last year at Ascot. Shes only been out of the top 3 once in her career and shes a great gauge for any horse that came up against her. Horses like this must make Timeforms job a lot easier as she has raced in France, the UK and the Breeders Cup.
May 21st 2012 @ 9:26pm
johnny nevin is a legend said | May 21st 2012 @ 9:26pm | Report comment
Yes I agree with you about Excelebration, looking at his form I can’t see why Timeform gave him the same rating as Canford Cliffs and Cirrus De Aigles. His best form seems to be his victory over Rio De La Plata who was a handy horse as a 2 & 3 year old but since then most of his Group 1 wins have been in Italy. I think he probably has his high rating from association with Frankel. However Timeform havent raised Frankels rating as a result of the Lockinge. Frankel has earned his rating from his annihilation of the 2000 guineas field last year and his 5 length victory over Canford Cliffs. Given Canford Cliffs had beaten Goldikova before that this form is rock solid.
May 22nd 2012 @ 11:34am
johnny nevin is a legend said | May 22nd 2012 @ 11:34am | Report comment
I think Excelebration would have no problem in a top mile race in Australia, even if he is overated he should have no problem in dealing with European cast offs such as Manighar. Judging by his form over Immortal Verse who beat Goldikova (3rd in the last renewal of the Breeders Cup mile) I would expect him to be in the mix up at the end of a Breeders Cup Mile. European horses have won 5 of the last 10 Breeders Cup Mile so even if a European horse hasnt run abroad his form can be linked to these races. Frankel has nothing to proove at a mile.
May 24th 2012 @ 9:02pm
Jonno said | May 24th 2012 @ 9:02pm | Report comment
Not convinced by the talk of More Joyous, she’s six years old, has been comfortably slammed by So You Think at her best distance and has been beaten by Sepoy by 4/5lengths. She’s looking great at the moment because there is nothing out there worth talking about. She races in a Group 1 race against the best of Europe and Asia she finishes middle of the pack im afraid. Could someone please put forward a convincing argument why she would trouble any of the best 10f horses from Europe or Asia?
Guys Black Caviar and Frankel are freaks and we should love and enjoy them both. I dont see any point in them racing each other as they race at different distances. I do think however that we need to be careful in talking in terms of how impressive they looked in winning and extrapolating things from this. For example, people are fond of saying that BC wins at 3/4 pace and this means that when cracked with the whip at full pelt she would run shockingly fast. We all know however that this is often not the case and many horses find very little off the bridle at all. Her last race against Hay List demonstrated this somewhat. She was hit a few times but did not pull away and win spectacularly. I suspect she is a horse who requires a steady rhythm and to ratchet up the speed and im not convinced by the talk of 3/4 effort at all, pure speculation. Frankel looks the opposite, when he is hit once he seems to bolt and in race timing would evidence that when asked to go he effectively puts the races to bed in a matter of strides. Different horses with different styles, and we cant really extrapolate from that.
I think Kiwidave said something interesting earlier, until Frankel wins in Dubai or at the Breeders Cup hes done nothing. This begs the question, what has BC done exactly? Who has she beaten that could be ranked on the world stage in sprinting terms? If English sprinters are B Grade, why is she going over there to race against B grade? By Kiwidaves criteria she would need to race in the big dubai sprints in order to be considered to have done anything. Its a nonsense argument really and self defeating as BC has only ever raced in Aus, on occasions against weak opposition. I dont think this actually matters because both BC and Frankel are clearly the best at what they do at their distances and we can deduce this from their times and winning distances.
June 12th 2012 @ 6:04pm
Kat said | June 12th 2012 @ 6:04pm | Report comment
Caviar would win hands down nelly should be number 1 horse on th world…..