Fighting fit Smith will have Maroons crisp again
By Tim Prentice, 13 Jun 2012
- Tagged:
- Cameron Smith, Cooper Cronk, Ricky Stuart, Rugby League, State Of Origin
Mal Meninga and Ricky Stuart have been letting loose recently (AAP Image/Dan Peled)
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Desperate as I am to have a series decider in Brisbane, I think tonight’s game at ANZ will see Queensland bury the Blues, meaning a seventh successive State of Origin series loss for NSW against Queensland.
I believe Mal Meninga’s men will win – and more than likely, win handsomely.
Read Ryan O’Connell’s State of Origin Game 2 preview
In so many aspects, they were off their game in the series opener at Melbourne and still managed to finish in front. I cannot see them performing that way again. They are too good at being magnificent, not mediocre.
Cameron Smith was floored by the ‘flu in the lead-up to that game at Etihad. He played way below his brilliant best and it had a domino effect on the big guns around him.
The skipper was ‘late’ for some play-the-balls, his general play kicking was off beam and we saw only a few darts through the rucks that are very much Smith’s stock in trade.
As a result, Queensland’s irrepressible go-forward was on the blink and NSW took advantage and dominated play (but not the scoreboard) in the first half.
Cooper Cronk, Smith’s play-making sidekick, was down on his game and that had a flow-on effect for the likes of Jonathan Thurston, Greg Inglis and Billy Slater.
If you know rugby league, do you think the Maroons could possibly be so down in so many crucial areas two games in a row, and with so much at stake? As a proud New South Welshman, I would love to predict a turnaround when hostilities resume at NSW’s home ground but I can’t see it.
It’s almost become a cliche but Queensland is fielding one of the finest Origin teams in history. The Blues had a chance to beat them on a night when they were off colour but could only manage a couple of tries from kicks.
Refereeing decisions did not help the Blues in Melbourne but they weren’t the reason Ricky Stuart’s boys crashed and burned in a game they should have claimed. They picked a team to score 20-plus points but failed miserably in that department.
NSW have lost big Tony Williams for game two and Queensland will be without Sam Thaiday. That’s even Stevens in my view.
But the injury to Thaiday means that Queensland will be able to unleash that almost unstoppable human, Dave Taylor, in the opening minutes and I can’t see the Blues’ defenders looking anything but speed bumps.
If Taylor gets up that head of steam, can you imagine what Thurston will do off the back of it?
JT got the ball 50 times in Origin One and ran only three times. It’s a safe bet he will take the line on many more times tonight in what is expected to be slowish, greasy conditions.
Kicking is sure to be a critical factor in the outcome. Again, the Queenslanders were below their lofty standards in this area in Melbourne and it’s a fair bet they’ll get it nigh on perfect tonight.
To be in this one, the Blues will need something very special from halves Mitchell Pearce and Todd Carney. I’d love to say they will provide it but they will be spectators if the NSW forwards don’t rip and tear for 80 minutes.
The men from the bench are likely to have a telling impact on the final result. From where I sit, Queensland’s quartet looks far superior to the NSW four.
Anthony Watmough, one of the Blues’ perceived spearheads, must be under a serious cloud with a chronic neck injury. And Ben Creagh? Well, even he wouldn’t agree he is enjoying his best season.
Expect fireworks tonight. Both teams feature some very big boppers and tempers will flare, and on more than one occasion.
In NSW’s favour is a weather-battered home ground, quite possibly an 80,000 crowd and their referee of choice, Tony Archer, but I don’t think it will be enough.
My tip: Queensland by 12 and sadly, a 2-0 series stranglehold.
The Crowd Says (19) | Page 1 of Comments
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- Explore:
- Cameron Smith, Cooper Cronk, Ricky Stuart, Rugby League, State Of Origin

June 13th 2012 @ 5:22am
steve b said | June 13th 2012 @ 5:22am | Report comment
QLD could only play what they were allowed to do,, .the blues put pressure on their big guns and it worked,, and had we not got some b.s. decisions at crucial times in the match i think the blues would have one ..i am sick of reading ( they are the greatest ,the best team we have ever seen..They were off their game,,, poor Camy had the flu,,if they were that bloody good why did they let him play, just roll out another god..What Tim are you moving to QLD and hoping to get a job with the Courier Mail ..Its hard enough copping the dribble that comes out of their Jurno;s without a supposed NSWelshmen coming out and telling us he has converted to Mal and the Maroon gods…I hope we kick their arse so bad Mal has another cry ..the BLUES BY TEN EASY !!!!
June 13th 2012 @ 8:49am
Pot Stirrer said | June 13th 2012 @ 8:49am | Report comment
Im worried you are correct. I think the equation is rather simple really. The QLDNERS have been beating us in the halves for the last six years and unfortunatley no matter what we do we cant overcome this advantage that they have. Pearce may be our best option but i am tired of waiting for pearce to show that he can play at this level. And carney, well he just doesnt have the mental toughness to win a heated close encounter. Everywhere where else we are equal to the marons maybe with the exception of traitor ingliss, but then he is only in the centres. Slater is a legend but it is becuase of the halves superior skill he is able to stand out like he does. I dont know what it is with pearce, but he just doesnt seem to be able to get a grasp on his role. NSW by 8.
June 13th 2012 @ 10:25am
M.O.C. said | June 13th 2012 @ 10:25am | Report comment
Pot Stirrer, that was one of the most mature, concise, accurate, sensible paragraphs I have seen a NSW supporter write this year…until the last sentence!:)
June 13th 2012 @ 6:11pm
Geo said | June 13th 2012 @ 6:11pm | Report comment
It seems his last sentence contradicts everything else he wrote….why did he take the time to waste his time??
June 13th 2012 @ 9:46am
DingoBob said | June 13th 2012 @ 9:46am | Report comment
Tim it is obvious why you are listed as an expert you obviously know what you are talking about.
June 13th 2012 @ 10:01am
Dean - Surry Hills said | June 13th 2012 @ 10:01am | Report comment
NSW dominated Queensland’s forwards in game 1.
In game 2 they will bust them wide open like the saloon doors in Oikee’s kitchen when he wobbles in for a port refill.
NSW to capitalise on their forward’s go-forward, and win by plenty.
See you for a fresh aproach to an article before game 3.
June 13th 2012 @ 11:03am
Tim Prentice said | June 13th 2012 @ 11:03am | Report comment
Hi Dean – how could I take a fresh approach to a Blue funeral?
June 13th 2012 @ 12:59pm
Ceebow said | June 13th 2012 @ 12:59pm | Report comment
You say the Maroons didnt play at there full potential but the blues also didnt play to there potential, if Carney fires and Pearce pulls his finger out we will win without doubt at ANZ. We dont need fans like you and i hope the Blues are not as faithless as you mate.
June 13th 2012 @ 1:22pm
Tim Prentice said | June 13th 2012 @ 1:22pm | Report comment
Ceebow, Origin games are not won on faith. It takes a fair bit more than that.
I don’t write articles like this based on faith. I have always found that facts provide the very best foundation.
Sure, I may be wrong and NSW win. So be it.
I noticed that you used two big ‘ifs’ for this to happen . . . how much faith do you really have in this Blues lineup?
June 13th 2012 @ 1:40pm
Ceebow said | June 13th 2012 @ 1:40pm | Report comment
If i knew the outcome i would be a rich man, i believe we will win if they fire without a doubt, but if they dont fire it doesnt mean i DONT believe we can still win. Carney shit himself and Pearce was as normal useless and yet we were still a chance of winning in game 1. With faith comes belief and thats exactly what NSW need to win against this QLD squad, how can you say Origin is not won on faith? QLD’s ability to have faith in there ability to win have given them so many wins in the dying minutes/seconds of past Origins.
June 13th 2012 @ 2:13pm
Tim Prentice said | June 13th 2012 @ 2:13pm | Report comment
Plenty of those ‘dying minutes/seconds’ wins by Queensland were a product of better team structures, field position, and genius category players.
June 13th 2012 @ 2:15pm
Ceebow said | June 13th 2012 @ 2:15pm | Report comment
So are saying that faith and belief has no power in winning games?
June 13th 2012 @ 11:34am
Dean - Surry Hills said | June 13th 2012 @ 11:34am | Report comment
Tim, what looks like a defeat to unbelievers, will turn out to be the sweetest of victories for the faithful. Just like last year in Origin 2, NSW will be doing the victory lap. I will send you up a new keyboard for your revised article prior to Origin 3.
June 13th 2012 @ 11:39am
Tim Prentice said | June 13th 2012 @ 11:39am | Report comment
I will be delighted if the Blues get to go on a victory lap. I just can’t see it happening.
NSW, in my opinion, has a number of players who will be found wanting. Again.
June 13th 2012 @ 1:03pm
Pot Stirrer said | June 13th 2012 @ 1:03pm | Report comment
Farrer,Carney,Pearce
June 13th 2012 @ 1:52pm
matt h said | June 13th 2012 @ 1:52pm | Report comment
I think QLD miss old Lockyer more then they thought. The whole “we just bring Cooper Cronk in and nothing will change” ignores that Cronk, while pretty damn good, is a bit of a robot and not fit to tie Lockyer’s boots. Cronk does not have the same vision and noone has the same calm under pressure that Locker has. So I think this huge level of improvement QLD supposedly has is not as much as people think. So the load on Thurston is much greater than ever before. But NSW would still swap halves in an instant if offered! I thihnk NSW may win, but it is because Petero and Scott appear to be down on form compared to previous years … but that was said before game 3 last year and we all know what happened next.
So after all that, it pains me to say it but NSW by 1. Field goal by Farah.
June 13th 2012 @ 2:02pm
Tony Archers Maroon Underwear said | June 13th 2012 @ 2:02pm | Report comment
A team comprising players who, for the vast majority come from two privileged clubs, two clubs that are owned by the same company that also owns the NRL, and which as proven with the Storm and not yet with the Broncos have been rorting the salary cap blind for years. This QLD/News Ltd team has a massive advantage over a rep team assembled in the traditional manner.
The equation is worsened by the fact that the referees have bought into the ‘superteam’ myth portrayed by the media and as is human nature are consistently adjudicating in QLDs favor to the point they will make calls based on suggestion from these players. We saw an example of this in the ANZAC test this year where Thurston/Hodges blew up at a touchie over an imaginary ruck infringement, to which the Touchie then obediently blue the whistle, penalizing good play from the Kiwis.
Its pretty simple really QLD will win this year as the fixture is heavily skewed in their favor.
The real loser is not NSW (as the fixture is in truth meaningless) but the NRL competition which suffers during the origin period with reduced games of teams without their best players. The comp becomes a side show of little interest. Tigers V Storm should of been one of the matches of the season last week but was a muted affair saved only by the character of Beau Ryan.
Pity his wasn’t a match up against Billy Slater.
June 13th 2012 @ 4:37pm
matt h said | June 13th 2012 @ 4:37pm | Report comment
Sorry mate, the Broncos are a public company. New Ltd don’t own them. You can though if you have the coin.
Funny how there was never this much hand wringing over:
- Parramatta’s super side in the early 80′s, with the entire NSW backline, or
- the Bulldogs salary cap rort where they got to keep their players and win the premiership the following year, or
- Canberra keeping the Stuart, Clyde, Daley, Lazarus group together for NSW by cheating the cap (and they had Meninga, Belcher, Ferguson, Walters – what a side that was), or
- the pre-origin years when NSW used to buy the best QLD players and send them out in sky blue.
But if you happen to be a successful club and you are not from NSW, then look out!
One day mate you will do the math on just how many rep players the Broncos have actually purchased from other teams over the years – Lazarus, Gillmeister, Falou and that’s about it. The rest were all developed internally. So Brisbane have done nothing but develop their own players and improved the game. I can see why there is such jealousy and hatred … Name a player in the Brisbane team who has been poached from somewhere else …
And if Brisbane were systematically cheating the cap over the years, then explain how they lost Tuqiri and Sailor to Rugby, but Newcastle kept Joey. That’s right – the ARL and Channel 9 stepped in and paid for him outside of the cap.
Explain how David Stagg, Michael Ennis, Ben Hannant (briefly) and Greg Eastwood all went to the Bulldogs in a single year.
Brisbane are often accused of being stacked with rep players, but if you look at their current side none played rep footy before turning up in Brisbane. Not one.
June 13th 2012 @ 5:54pm
Tony Archers Maroon Underwear said | June 13th 2012 @ 5:54pm | Report comment
-Yes Broncos are a publicly listed company of which News ltd own 68% of the shares…
I am totally against the cap I would not have a problem with the dominance of Storm or Broncos if other clubs had been able to do the same.
The Storm should by rights still have a Slater Folou Inglis backline along with their other players, and the broncos could have had…the team they currently have.
-The point is that they are holding on to their juniors while other clubs cant, prevented from doing so by the salary cap.
-The dogs lost a season and the team was broken up ending up in the embarrassing park team that was running around a couple of seasons ago…deservedly
- 80s eels…There was no salary cap in the 80s every club had the chance to build a team like that.
- The Dogs got those guys and Kimmorely as the team prior to their arrival was basically a park football team.
- Canberra as you say benefited both QLD and NSW and that team was in place when the salary cap was first instigated, and in Canberra’s defense they at least fessed up. It was the first case of a great team being torn apart by the cap.
- Pre origin years ..yawn almost as irrelevant as origin now.
Heres a thought the 06 GF winning Broncos side had 9 Origin players in the squad…Could well be another blank spot to make its way into the record books.