Supporters coming to terms with even-stevens season
By Andrew Sutherland, 15 Jun 2012 Andrew Sutherland is a Roar Expert
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- AFL, Geelong Cats, St Kilda Saints, Sydney Swans
Richmond take on Geelong at Simonds Stadium (Slattery Images)
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It has been a beguiling and exciting first half to the season. It’s being called the season of upsets but the supporters are starting to realise there is no such thing.
There has been a welcome shift in the power balance, as teams have continued to improve from last year (West Coast, Essendon), sides thought to be fading away have been reinvigorated (Sydney and St Kilda), others have come from nowhere to assert themselves (Adelaide, Richmond), and previously dominant teams are perhaps beginning the gentle slide (Geelong, Hawthorn).
Hence, only three games separate first and tenth positions on the ladder.
Read a mid-season off-field report card
For avid supporters the chaotic first eleven rounds have been an emotional roller coaster. Time and again a side has either confirmed its premiership favouritism or looked to have made the step from also-ran to genuine contender only to have its hopes ripped apart shortly afterwards.
Hawthorn was looking pretty after defeating grand finalist Collingwood in the first round but has since lost to Geelong, West Coast, Sydney and Richmond. Carlton annihilated the Pies but has now lost six of its past nine matches.
Essendon – who had been superb, dropping only one game in the first nine weeks – went down to lowly Melbourne in the rain, and then lost to Sydney.
Last week it was Richmond’s turn. Richmond hasn’t won a premiership for 33 years. It’s been so long now you couldn’t blame the supporters for thinking it won’t be a dominant force again in their lifetime.
But then it thrashed Hawthorn and followed that up with a tough victory against St Kilda.
The roar from the Richmond faithful singing the famous song caused Mick Malthouse to quiver with nostalgia: “And I’ve got to say I’ve got a few goosebumps up the back of my spine. I just love to see the Tigers supporters. They’ve been down for so long and they’ve stuck.
They’re just lapping this up”.
The next week those same supporters were seen snarling at the umpires when it became apparent they were going to lose to the MCG easy-beats, Fremantle.
After the siren a forlorn group of them was staring from the wet terraces as a lone Dockers supporter jumped for joy in the rain.
The Roar’s unofficial AFL historian, The Cattery, recently commented on the use of a clock face as a metaphor for the developmental cycle of a successful team, with the hour representing the beginning and the half-hour the time for reaping premiership rewards.
For the first time, for quite some time, it appears there are a number of teams milling about near the bottom of the clock.
Despite the invigorating eveness of the competition there does exist at present one exception: Collingwood. Now while I don’t believe they are as good as they were in the previous two seasons they have won eight straight which is an unbelievable achievement in such a chaotic season, especially considering the club’s long list of injuries.
They haven’t blown too many teams away – as evidenced by their relatively low percentage – but have relied on an assuredness under pressure and great player depth to keep winning.
I still believe the 2012 Premier will be one of the Big Four: Collingwood, Hawthorn, West Coast and Geelong.
Next year, though, we might finally see the arrival of some new premiership contenders.
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The Crowd Says (11) | Page 1 of Comments
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June 15th 2012 @ 8:50am
Norm said | June 15th 2012 @ 8:50am | Report comment
It’s all good!
June 15th 2012 @ 10:10am
TomC said | June 15th 2012 @ 10:10am | Report comment
Not giving Adelaide, Essendon or Sydney a chance, Andrew?
For me, Collingwood are clear favourites at the moment. I think if anyone is going to break away from the pack it’s them.
But there’s still plenty of this season left. Often a clear premiership favourite only emerges towards the end of the season, and with hindsight we look back and say ‘oh yes, they were the dominant team that year’ but until July/August we were in the dark. Think Geelong in 2007 or Brisbane in 2001.
June 15th 2012 @ 1:34pm
Andrew Sutherland said | June 15th 2012 @ 1:34pm | Report comment
No, Tom I don’t think Adelaide Essendon and Sydney quite have it, although Essendon will go closest. Looking good for next year.
September 20th 2012 @ 12:55pm
TomC said | September 20th 2012 @ 12:55pm | Report comment
…or Hawthorn in 2012.
June 15th 2012 @ 11:28am
swannies05 said | June 15th 2012 @ 11:28am | Report comment
Great article Andrew, not too many groundbreaking claims but I completely agree with “upsets” not really being upsets anymore, the competition really is just a lot more even this year. Even Melbourne beating Essendon is understandable with that beautiful 20/20 hindsight. Last year Melbourne won 8 games and the Bombers 11, the Bombers massive pre-season and flying start to the year meant that the burnout had to come somewhere and the Dees were lucky enough to be on song the day it arrived.
I also agree the flag winner will come from the Big Four. The only bolter outside that group for me is Adelaide. I think the Crows MIGHT have an outside chance if they could finish Top Two (definitely a possibility with their very soft draw) and then win two home finals and then see what happens on the biggest stage. For me the Grand Finalists will be West Coast and Geelong and Geelong will take home the silverware.
June 15th 2012 @ 1:40pm
Andrew Sutherland said | June 15th 2012 @ 1:40pm | Report comment
Swannies, many people believe Geelong is the weakest of the Four but I agree with you. They will improve and they do well against Collingwood.
June 15th 2012 @ 2:05pm
ren said | June 15th 2012 @ 2:05pm | Report comment
I think we will see a rock, paper, scissors style scenario this year. ie Hawthorn can beat Collingwood, Collingwood can beat WCE, and WCE can beat Hawthorn. This will make for a fantastic finals series.
June 15th 2012 @ 2:10pm
Strummer Jones said | June 15th 2012 @ 2:10pm | Report comment
Sydney Swan’s draw is pretty even in 2nd half of year. Their toughest matches are WCE (away) Coll (home) Hawthorn (Home, SCG) Geelong (home SCG) Geelong (away). I think they have a very good chance of winning 3, maybe 4 of these games, and if so, should get a top 4 spot. I acknowledge I am being a little hopeful, and I am not considering the fact that they will likely drop an “easy game” as they do from time to time, but things are looking “OK”.
Hawks have 5 tough games and their last against WCE could decide a top 4 spot.
Collingwood have 6 tough games, although play 5 games straight in Melb after the break. Geelong have 6 tough games as well (bearing in mind Geel, Swans, Hawks and Coll play each other – so someone has to win).
Adelaide have 3 tough games, but all in a row, so could affect confidence if they drop all 3. The rest is a walk in the park on paper.
I think you’ve dismissed the Swans too easily and haven’t learnt your mistake from the beginning of the year when everyone, including yourself, simply looked backed at what happened last year to forecast the future. Just a thought.
June 15th 2012 @ 2:19pm
swannies05 said | June 15th 2012 @ 2:19pm | Report comment
I hope your right Strummer Jones, I really do. Let’s cross our fingers.
June 15th 2012 @ 9:11pm
Calcio said | June 15th 2012 @ 9:11pm | Report comment
I can’t get excited about AFL atm with their dreadful bottom teams dragging everything down considerably.
Same as last year with the horrible 4 at the bottom then.
June 16th 2012 @ 5:57am
Norm said | June 16th 2012 @ 5:57am | Report comment
On the contrary, Calcio, we continue to see exciting games with great finishes, as well as all the athleticism & skills that we associate with our Australian game. Last night was just another example.