Why this AFL season may not live long in the memory
By Eric George, 10 Jul 2012 Eric George is a Roar Rookie
- Tagged:
- AFL, AFL Season 2012, Fremantle Dockers, Geelong Cats, Sydney Swans
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This season’s AFL season has been branded as the most competitive in recent memory, and rightfully so. Currently only four wins separate the Swans in first place from Fremantle in twelfth.
No gulf so narrow has been seen at this point in the season during this millennium, although there have been a few instances where as few as six wins separated teams in the same ladder positions.
Having such an even spread of competition has certainly provided no shortage of drama or unpredictability to this point in the season, and many have praised the fact that the premiership currently seems to have many suitors.
But just as a field this tight has provided the AFL with a season packed full of unpredictability, it has deprived it of elements that can elevate contests to another level.
The perfect counterpoint to the season we have seen this year was 2009, which consisted of a two horse race throughout. From the NAB Cup (won by Geelong) to the conclusion of the regular season (with St Kilda as Minor Premiers) it was clear to see that the league consisted of two powerhouse teams and a collection of pretenders.
Whereas this year has provided intrigue and speculation as to who could win, 2009 consisted of six months of anticipation as the two sides were slowly drawn towards the 26th of September. Such a clear demarcation in the ladder as we saw in 2009 affords both the journalist and the spectator alike plenty of time to make their minds up on teams well before Spring.
When teams play as consistently as St Kilda and Geelong did in 2009, it only serves to reinforce whatever we believe about them. With every consecutive victory the Cats and Saints amplified the emotions surrounding each team, until, by grand final day you could barely hear yourself think amid the cacophony of tall poppy syndrome and desperate dreams.
The presence of such clear-cut league leaders is an essential ingredient in two archetypal matches: the blockbuster, and the boilover. By the time St Kilda and Geelong collided in round 14, the sides had already separated themselves from the pack with a perfect 13 wins from 13 rounds.
The match, which drew a record crowd of 54,444 to Etihad Stadium, failed to disappoint, with the end result being a match between two super teams that was hard to equal. Each team went on to power through to the grand final, providing the match that had been most anticipated for the majority of the season.
It is certainly true that some great teams seem to lose their grasp on destiny, and falter in September when they seemed certain to succeed. But upset matches are only improved by the oversized Goliath provided by a clear favourite in the regular season.
Which leaves us where we started, where we are now: the 2012 season. Every Sunday night provides a radically different ladder, and the outcomes of each contest are largely opaque until the ball is bounced. It has provided supporters from a variety of clubs with legitimate hopes of a flag, but at what cost?
Is it possible to have a blockbuster match, or an upset when you genuinely don’t know who to call the favourite week to week?
Will the grand final seem as epic when the participants can’t even be guessed at with eight rounds remaining the season?
It’s a breath of fresh air to see a season this wide-open, but this may not be a season that lives long in the memory.
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July 10th 2012 @ 7:10am
onside said | July 10th 2012 @ 7:10am | Report comment
‘but this may not be a season that lives long in the memory.’
Two contributing factors to your above scenario,
1.The amount of games on TV thrououghout the week must be at saturation point..
2.Eighteen AFL teams (and growing?)
Combined, the focus necessary for a memorable season is diluted.
July 10th 2012 @ 7:52am
Sean said | July 10th 2012 @ 7:52am | Report comment
Personally I barely remember 2009
July 10th 2012 @ 8:42am
John D said | July 10th 2012 @ 8:42am | Report comment
A bit of an unjust article, Eric. I think you would only have to look at the engagement of the fans of teams 1 to 10 as a counterpoint. Personally, I love the predictability of it all, but each to his own.
July 10th 2012 @ 6:52pm
Eric George said | July 10th 2012 @ 6:52pm | Report comment
Was that a typo? I don’t really understand you’re argument. I was describing the advantages of a predictable season, which this season definitely is. I won’t debate whether or not the article is justified, I just intended it as some food for thought amid the love-in we are having for the topsy turvy season this year (which I am also enjoying).
July 10th 2012 @ 9:15am
Redb said | July 10th 2012 @ 9:15am | Report comment
Odd article and premature.
We are heading towards the pointy end and a host of top games before the finals hit. It will be an unbeleivable finals series IMO.
July 10th 2012 @ 9:56am
Ian Whitchurch said | July 10th 2012 @ 9:56am | Report comment
Some people like tough tight games of footy. Other people like games where skills are on display.
The OP clearly likes games where teams 3-18 are props for the annointed two.
And boilovers – how about Brisbane vs West Coast ? Melbourne vs Essendon ?
July 10th 2012 @ 9:56am
JakeZbrah said | July 10th 2012 @ 9:56am | Report comment
“Is it possible to have a blockbuster match, or an upset when you genuinely don’t know who to call the favourite week to week? ”
Yes.
“Will the grand final seem as epic when the participants can’t even be guessed at with eight rounds remaining the season?”
Yes.
What a chud of an article. If we are running out of things to talk about maybe we should go back to discussing why State of Origin is such a good/bad idea.
July 10th 2012 @ 10:41am
mds1970 said | July 10th 2012 @ 10:41am | Report comment
There have been some one-sided games this year. But the battle for the top few spots is very close; there’s several teams still in contention for the minor premiership, and the battle for home finals over the remaining weeks will be intense.
And of course the finals haven’t happened yet. How this season is remembered may well come down to what happens during the finals – it usually does. It’s only then that we’ll know how this season lives in the memory.
July 10th 2012 @ 11:40am
Australian Rules said | July 10th 2012 @ 11:40am | Report comment
I don’t agree with the article…but I get it.
Would you rather a Grand Slam where it was anyone’s tournament?…or would you rather Federer and Nadal powering through on opposite sides of the draw to an inevitable showdown in the Final?
The ansmwer is a mix of both from year to year.
July 10th 2012 @ 4:19pm
Hamish said | July 10th 2012 @ 4:19pm | Report comment
Seven and Foxtel got a bargain. BTW in the AFR it was alleged that Nine bid $60m and Foxtel not more than $80m pa for the NRL rights which is $700m for 5 years but the bidding has just begun of course…
July 10th 2012 @ 4:36pm
Australian Rules said | July 10th 2012 @ 4:36pm | Report comment
You have a link to that Hamish?
July 10th 2012 @ 5:53pm
Hamish said | July 10th 2012 @ 5:53pm | Report comment
John McDuling article in Marketing and media AFR yesterday but I cant get the full linked article..The not more than 80m comes from a source who said they only bid marginally more than last year $70m.
July 10th 2012 @ 6:45pm
Australian Rules said | July 10th 2012 @ 6:45pm | Report comment
cheers
July 10th 2012 @ 9:31pm
Jaceman said | July 10th 2012 @ 9:31pm | Report comment
Actually this
http://afr.com/p/business/marketing_media/keep_quiet_rugby_league_tv_bidders_BYn7XZdBXp8lfW3zw9RyQI
July 10th 2012 @ 6:41pm
Ironmonger said | July 10th 2012 @ 6:41pm | Report comment
Or is it the non Vic teams getting on top again that has deflated you and Victorian press
July 10th 2012 @ 6:50pm
Eric George said | July 10th 2012 @ 6:50pm | Report comment
I’m a Swans fan, so you can forget that line of argument Ironmonger.
July 11th 2012 @ 4:54pm
Richo said | July 11th 2012 @ 4:54pm | Report comment
Eagles v Swans not a blockbuster on the weekend?
July 15th 2012 @ 11:48pm
Jacques said | July 15th 2012 @ 11:48pm | Report comment
Get over it ironmonger, that wasn’t a blockbuster.. The WA game was a dud, Sydney came to play, way too good in the clinches and the ruck. Inuries and suspension notwithstanding, the Eagles had “the house of pain” home ground/umpiring advantage and still lost by over 50 points. Nic Nat and Cox were spectators as was Priddis. Vic supporters appreciate interstate teams that have a go and play to their potential.