King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes – live race updates, blog
The 2,400m King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes race from Royal Ascot runs at 1:35am (AET) tonight (Sunday morning). Join us in the lead-up as we preview the race – and we’ll have live race updates and a blog.
There are ten fantastic runners in tonight’s race and many of these are great horses with a number of Group 1 wins between them. It’s been called one of the best races in a decade
1. Brown Panther
Part-owned by former English striker Michael Owen, he has a last start win but this is much harder and he’s an outsider
2. Dunaden, the 2011 Melbourne Cup winner and Hong Kong Vase winner holds the majority of Australian interest with local hoop Craig Williams making a flying visit to ride.
Dunaden is a legitimate chance in this race. He looked to be an unlucky loser last start in the Hardwicke Stakes at Ascot when runner-up to fellow King George rival Sea Moon on June 23rd, the same day Black Caviar (just) won.
3. Masked Marvel
Showed plenty of promise in 2011, winning the St Leger. Two runs in 2012 have been improving, including a third place in the Coronation Cup a race won by St Nicholas Abbey – who runs tonight.
One of big chances. Nathaniel won this race in 2011 and showed signs that he’s on track to win again after returning from a spell to take out the Eclipse (the race that was to be So You Think’s last before he was scratched) in a very good performance.
5. Reliable Man
French Derby winner Alain de Royer-Dupre’s Reliable Man looked to be back to his best form when three lengths fourth to So You Think but not sure his best is enough in this field.
6. Robin Hood
The ‘Hood is a pacemaker for the Aidan O’Brien stable. He looks to be booked for the same role here, for O’Brien’s chief chance in St Nicholas Abbey. He’ll go hard early and fade.
7. Sea Moon
Continues to impress. He beat Dunaden last start to remain unbeaten this year and was second in the Breeders’ Cup Turf behind St Nicholas Abbey. He’s a big chance if he can go on from his last win but has scope to improve.
8. St Nicholas Abbey
High-class colt who rounded off last season with a defeat of Sea Moon in the Breeders’ Cup Turf. Comes here following second successive win in Coronation Cup at Epsom.
This mare, of course, stormed to win the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe by some 5L with a huge finish to 2011. If she was in that form she’d be a warm favourite, but she was last in a field of four in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud in France last start, so needs to find something.
However, some are saying the race didn’t suit with the small field lacking pace. That won’t be the case tonight. A German trained horse has never won.
10. Deep Brillante
Won Tokyo’s Japanese Derby and has consistent form, but tough to know where that places him in this contest. As the only three-year old colt he has a weight advantage in the weight-for-age competition. A real roughie not without a hope.
A race that contains the Melbourne Cup winner (Dunaden), the Arc winner (Danedream), French Derby winner (Reliable Man) Japanese Derby winner (Deep Brillante), Breeders’ Cup Turf (St Nicholas Abbey) as well as Nathaniel has serious depth.
The deciding factor won’t be pace – as Robin Hood will be providing the speed. It will be the weather conditions. The track looks set to be drying which may suit St Nicholas Abbey. Nathaniel may prefer a softer track and any rain will suit. The best roughie could be Deep Brillante – the last time a Japanese horse ran was in 2006, and Heart’s Cry finished third.
Punters are split across Nathaniel, Sea Moon and St Nicholas Abbey, with Dunaden next in betting while Danedream, Reliable Man and Deep Brillante offer value.
Join The Roar’s racing expert Justin Cinque in the early hours for what’s expected to be a great race.
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