Stormers will face an onslaught in the finals
By SamClench, 21 Jul 2012 SamClench is a Roar Pro
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A surprisingly nervous victory over the Melbourne Rebels in the final round of the regular season earned South Africa’s Stormers the top spot on the Super Rugby ladder.
They deserve it. While other contenders for first place faltered at crucial moments, most notably the Chiefs in their last two games, the Stormers held characteristically firm all season and finished with more wins than any other side.
With guaranteed home ground advantage throughout the finals, the men from Cape Town should be considered favourites to claim their first Super Rugby title.
Newlands is an imposing venue for opposition teams to visit at the best of times, and the Stormers’ defence-centric strategy is ideal for knockout rugby. Any team wishing to best the South Africans will need to bring plenty of firepower onto the field.
There are three sides left in the competition who can boast that sort of menace in attack: the Chiefs, Reds and Crusaders.
If recent form is any indication, these same three teams will be left standing after tonight’s knockout matches. The Stormers would then need to defeat two of them in order to lift the trophy.
This task will be much tougher than those loyal fans at Newlands would like to think. The Crusaders are one of only two teams to have inflicted defeat upon the Stormers this season. That loss came in week eight of the competition, before the Cantabrians had truly begun to hit their straps.
Any side with the likes of Dan Carter, Robbie Fruean, Zac Guildford and Israel Dagg always has the potential to run riot.
We have no real idea how the Stormers and Chiefs would match-up, because they did not meet even once during the regular season. But the last time that these two teams occupied the same pitch, in Hamilton last year, the Chiefs took the points.
With no previous experience defending against Waikato’s potent backline combination of Aaron Cruden and Sonny Bill Williams, the Stormers’ defence could be handicapped going into a final.
Of course, the Reds in a bold mood are as difficult to contain as anyone. Should Queensland overrun their opposition to reach a decider in South Africa, the Stormers will face a side brimming with confidence and desperate to complete a successful title defence.
Any of these three teams would confront the Newlands faithful with a nerve-racking tossup, and I am not convinced that the Stormers will be able to emerge triumphantly from two close matches.
Their preparation for the finals has hardly been ideal. While their major rivals (excluding the Reds) have been steeling themselves in tight games against high quality opposition, the Stormers have been displaying surprisingly indifferent form against significantly weaker sides.
They may have finished on top of the log and they are deservedly favourites for the title. But a failure to improve upon their recent performances will result in the Stormers’ championship ambitions being ruthlessly swept aside.
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July 21st 2012 @ 8:13am
Kuruki said | July 21st 2012 @ 8:13am | Report comment
I think the Chiefs are being written off a bit too easily by some. IMO the Canes have been the form team of the competition in the past month. The Crusaders were fighting for survival against the Chiefs. Two loses against those two sides are hardly cause for concern given the Chiefs situation at the time compared to the Canes and the Saders situations, and the closeness of both finishes.
The Stormers can be put in the same category as the Chiefs imo, they have done the hard yards all year and may have just knocked off a little bit in order to freshen up for an assault at the title. The Reds and Crusaders are in form, but i think the Stormers and the Chiefs will be physically and mentally fresher. I think the home advantage for both sides will see them win over whoever they face. Stormers Chiefs final in SA is where my Money is at. And i think it will be the Chiefs who knock off the Saders not the Stormers.
July 21st 2012 @ 2:51pm
SamClench said | July 21st 2012 @ 2:51pm | Report comment
You’re absolutely right about the Canes, they had the best finish of any team in the competition. I’m not all that concerned about the Chiefs’ two losses either, because both were really tight, high quality games – good preparation for the knockout rounds. But the Stormers have had soft matches against poor opposition recently. They may very well lift their game for the finals, but there is still a danger that they will be a little bit underdone.
July 21st 2012 @ 8:27am
Short-Blind said | July 21st 2012 @ 8:27am | Report comment
Good post Sam, pretty much agree your thoughts on the Stormers. I think the Crusaders will beat them next week – but it will be close!
July 21st 2012 @ 10:13am
James said | July 21st 2012 @ 10:13am | Report comment
Yeah, well. The Crusaders were thumped by the Rebels.
The Stormers being able to half ass their way through this competition – yet winning all but 2 games – is an indication of how poor the quality of opposition has been this year.
The past 2 years have been the 2 worst seasons in super rugby history. Too long, too many star players getting injured, lost interest 5-6 rounds ago. Reds are 6th, why are they put in 3rd place? I don’t buy this conference system. It’s kind of like giving the handicap kid (the Australian conference) an 85 meter head start in a 100 meter race.
July 21st 2012 @ 2:36pm
SamClench said | July 21st 2012 @ 2:36pm | Report comment
I agree with you about the conference system, it isn’t fair. The Stormers haven’t half-assed their way through the whole season, but they have gone off a touch in the last few weeks. There is a risk that they will enter their semifinal underdone, against a team that has been playing extremely high quality matches against top class opposition for weeks.
July 21st 2012 @ 3:17pm
Royce Strauss said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:17pm | Report comment
I don’t think you mentioned the Stormer’s injuries btw. Their loose trio in particular was butchered – to the extent that they had Canadian international Ged Sinclair playing. They will also be playing Deon Fourie, a pocket rocket hooker at 8th man in the finals no doubt after his great performance against the Rebels.
Peter Grant is also a massive influence to the way the Stormers can win and top the log without scoring any 4 try bonus points. I think his kicking stats are something like 45 from 47.
July 21st 2012 @ 3:27pm
SamClench said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:27pm | Report comment
Good points. Peter Grant’s kicking is ridiculous.
July 21st 2012 @ 11:50am
biltongbek said | July 21st 2012 @ 11:50am | Report comment
I think the Sharks are beng given little chance of reaching the final, probably based on the fact that they will have to beat the Reds away, then the Chiefs away before they can realise their hope of playing in a final.
Now admittedly it is a tough challenge, but when they get it right hey are one of the more entertaining teams to watch.
Who knows?
We’ll have to wait and see.
July 21st 2012 @ 2:53pm
SamClench said | July 21st 2012 @ 2:53pm | Report comment
The Sharkies are always dark horses, and they are a decent chance of knocking off the Reds tonight, but I don’t see them getting past the Chiefs as well. Steyn is a big loss.
July 21st 2012 @ 3:54pm
Deez said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:54pm | Report comment
Nice article Sam. While I will be hoping for a Reds victory tonight, I think it will come down to the wire. And if the Sharks do win, I believe that since they are “6th” on the log they will actually play against the Stormers next week (irrespective of who wins the Saders-Bulls game). Then if they happen to pull off another win, they would be back in NZ for the final – that’s a lot of transcontinental travel in a few weeks!
July 21st 2012 @ 4:18pm
SamClench said | July 21st 2012 @ 4:18pm | Report comment
Ah yep, you’re right about that. Stormers v Sharks would be interesting. Sharks took the points in the regular season.
July 21st 2012 @ 3:53pm
AndyS said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:53pm | Report comment
Stormers have got to the top on the back of defense, not having got a single 4 try bonus and only scoring three twice. If that proves to be what it takes, it could be a dour old Championship.
July 21st 2012 @ 3:56pm
Deez said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:56pm | Report comment
Yes, although I must admit that while they may not score many, they have taken the mantle for “Best post-try celebrations” (you see Juan de Jongh last week? Classic)
July 22nd 2012 @ 8:30am
Gerrard said | July 22nd 2012 @ 8:30am | Report comment
Like all the tries scored in the world cup finals????
July 21st 2012 @ 3:58pm
biltongbek said | July 21st 2012 @ 3:58pm | Report comment
Irrespective of the fact that they didn’t score 4 try bonus points, some of their games have scintilating, have you all forgotten their natch against the Crusaders earlier in the season?
I find it laughable that you need to see 4 tries from a team before they become entertaining.
This is top class rugby, not 7′s
July 21st 2012 @ 4:21pm
AndyS said | July 21st 2012 @ 4:21pm | Report comment
Some, yes. Others; those where both sides have decided that defense wins matches; become colossal snore-fests. Wait and see what the Wallabies do with that, if that is the lesson that gets learnt from the S15 this year.
I’m not worried about seeing tries, but there has to be intent.