It’s official: the NRL goes mental
By MG Burbank, 1 Aug 2012 MG Burbank is a Roar Guru
Related coverage
John Sutton had a blinder last weekend. That sentence alone should convince you that something is rotten in Denmark, that the world has turned upside down.
But there’s more. Parramatta are beating premiership contenders. Melbourne and Brisbane are sinking down the ladder. Souths are finally putting it all together.
The last few weeks prove the aphorism that, all talent being relatively equal, most sporting events come down to who is most psychologically fit.
The South Sydney club is fielding its most dangerous attacking team in my lifetime, with gamebreakers spread across the park. They even found a way to win without their two most influential players against the Wests Tigers, thanks to an elevated performance by a player whose emotional commitment has been previously questioned by this writer, the aforementioned John Sutton.
Absorbing personnel losses while finding other avenues through which to dominate requires mental strength. Souths, surely thanks to Michael Maguire, have achieved a high level in this area and therefore will be there for the big games at season’s end.
Brisbane failed a similar test against a team whose psyche must have transformed profoundly over the last six weeks, Parramatta.
Peter Sterling stated that Stephen Kearney had a right to be angry given the Eels’ turnaround in form since Kearney was fired.
But that doesn’t take into account the mental and emotional relief that can flood a club when management changes.
I have no idea how the players felt about Kearney- except for what I saw on the field. For whatever reason, they clearly had no desire to excel for their coach.
Kearney was renowned for his unflagging belief in structures; it is no coincidence that Chris Sandow is starting to surprise defenders with his running game in recent weeks, as Kearney’s influence and control have waned.
Sandow’s ‘confidence’ has returned – a word that could just as easily denote a changing bias; instead of assuming failure, Sandow may be starting to develop a bias that presumes success when he runs the football and chances his arm.
He, along with Joseph Paulo, Ryan Morgan and debutant Jake Mullaney, is reaping the benefits of a psychologically changed football team.
Then we have a team that I’ve recently spoken of, the Melbourne Storm. Melbourne right now don’t seem to trust in their core, and with good reason: Billy Slater isn’t himself yet and Cam Smith and Cooper Cronk have lost form.
While this team doesn’t have the support crew that Souths have in order to win despite the loss of form of their big three, they are also clearly psychologically vulnerable. Recent games show a forward pack with no confidence (diminished aggression in their running game). Members of their backline are also avoiding high involvement, clearly waiting for someone else to create opportunities.
Craig Bellamy is in many ways the modern iteration of Warren Ryan: a coach who demands absolute adherence to innovative tactics and structure. Due to sustained success, his players have been ready to commit.
However, as in Ryan’s later years with Balmain and then Wests and Newcastle, things can fall apart quickly if the psychological commitment starts to weaken.
Bellamy’s strength is his intellect, but he’s not beloved by his players. They may not give him as much latitude as other coaches if they begin to doubt his approach. Having said that, I expect this team to regroup.
Psychological approach, preparation and training is still largely an unexplored terrain for most players and coaches in the NRL. The best players naturally have high levels of mental strength and acuity.
The best coaches manage to bring their support crews up to a similar standard.
With physical exhaustion at its peak before the anticipation of the finals starts to build, it’s the stuff between the players’ ears that is causing the massive fluctuations of form we’re currently witnessing in the world’s most unpredictable sporting competition.
Looking to join The Roar team? We're searching for an experienced Group Sales Manager to lead our team in Sydney. Yes, this does mean you get to work with the site all day long! If you're a digital media sales star, we want to hear from you. Apply now.
Do you have what it takes to become a sports writer? Write for the roar
Rugby League articles
- How to increase crowd numbers in the NRL (181)
- How rugby league should expand (133)
- All I am saying is give Pearce a chance (123)
- Why do NRL fans love empty seats? (115)
- Let me tell you why people don’t like Manly (107)
- Ease up on ASADA: NRL boss (90)
- It’s time for Channel Nine to get serious about the NRL (90)
- Stop the clock, NRL is running out of time (10)
- Once were Warriors, now are worriers (13)
- Wests Tigers at sixes and sevens for years (4)
- Listen Blues fans, let’s not kid ourselves (3)
- Pre-season draw sacrifices quality for quantity (8)
- Dave Smith’s crowd plan gaining credibility (20)
- How accurate is the NRL ladder? (2)
- Once were Warriors, now are worriers (13)
- Wests Tigers at sixes and sevens for years (4)
- Listen Blues fans, let’s not kid ourselves (3)
- Pre-season draw sacrifices quality for quantity (8)
- Dave Smith’s crowd plan gaining credibility (20)
- How accurate is the NRL ladder? (2)
- Channel Nine’s Broncos love-in continues to frustrate (6)
Recommend this story.
- Explore:
- Craig Bellamy, Melbourne Storm, NRL, Rugby League, South Sydney Rabbitohs

August 1st 2012 @ 4:01am
Dom said | August 1st 2012 @ 4:01am | Report comment
The first thing I ever wore was a south Sydney jumper rapped around me when I was born in 1987 after the finals had been played so I have only ever seen one final game EVER!
As a souths fan you learn never to get your hopes up, something will go wrong. All this talk in the media will jinx it
please stop.
We have the team, we are now a desirable club to play for so we also now have the depth, we can win (touch wood)!
August 1st 2012 @ 5:08am
MG Burbank said | August 1st 2012 @ 5:08am | Report comment
Yes you can win. I haven’t thought that about Souths in my lifetime- their ’89 minor premiership team had no attack and fell quickly in the semis. This team can beat anyone.
August 1st 2012 @ 8:26am
steve b said | August 1st 2012 @ 8:26am | Report comment
Yes things are a bit crazy at the moment,, one month ago if you had of said Parra would win back to back against the Storm and Bronco’s you would have been laughed out of the room ..Then you have the easy beats Knights from the start of the season looking like they might be a late contender,,, and the Titans look like giving a few top teams a run for their money ,,and South’s are on fire this looks like one of the most interesting lead ups to the finals in years …Can the Storm and the Bronco’s get their mojo back ,,can Parra avoid the wooden spoon ,, can the Dogs and Souths maintain their winning streak and can Manly show some of that early form.. Its a crazy time in the next few weeks into the lead up to the finals ,,and i think your heading MG says it all ,,,the NRL goes mental ..
August 1st 2012 @ 8:47am
GD said | August 1st 2012 @ 8:47am | Report comment
You have to lose one to win one, as they say. I can see Canterbury proving that adage wrong, but not Souths. I think Souths need to be consistently good for a number of seasons, in order to build their confidence and big game experience, before they will go all the way.
August 1st 2012 @ 9:22am
Steve said | August 1st 2012 @ 9:22am | Report comment
Unfortunately or fortunately whichever way you look at it this is what a salary cap creates, a bunch of even but mediocre teams whereby performances are never consistent.
–
Comment left via The Roar’s iPhone app. Download The Roar’s iPhone App in the App Store here.
August 1st 2012 @ 12:09pm
The High Shot said | August 1st 2012 @ 12:09pm | Report comment
Throw in SOO disrupting the season.
August 1st 2012 @ 2:21pm
MG Burbank said | August 1st 2012 @ 2:21pm | Report comment
I wouldn’t call this Souths team mediocre, Steve, although I agree that the current cap system does not produce champion teams on a regular basis, something which needs to be addressed. Sports fans love to watch a true No 1 fight off challengers to its throne.
August 1st 2012 @ 7:41pm
Steve said | August 1st 2012 @ 7:41pm | Report comment
Some truth to that, but you wouldn’t gain anything by having a situation where one team can buy a premiership and then snowball money, supporters and resources while other teams sink into the abyss. At least in the NRL your team can hit rock bottom and realistically stand a chance of working its way back up.
Souths have actually had to work bloody hard to be so consistently awful for so long.
August 2nd 2012 @ 2:30am
Steve said | August 2nd 2012 @ 2:30am | Report comment
Wait: I’ve just seen there are two different Steves in this conversation and we’re saying completely different things to the same guy- MG: there are two Steves, not one guy with a split personality.
August 1st 2012 @ 10:44am
John Vizzone said | August 1st 2012 @ 10:44am | Report comment
John Sutton has always been a good first grade but for some reason people expect much more from him. I think that criticism of him as lazy and inconsistent has been very unfair.
He has always played his best football when given a structured game plan. When Jason Taylor was Souths coach Sutton was firing and leading the league in try assist. With the emergence of Sandow and the coaching of Lang, his stats, and form went out the window.
Maguire has him playing a very simple game plan- run first think second. He is playing straight and off his hip. It doesn’t hurt having options like GI, Taylor and Burgess running of you either!
August 1st 2012 @ 12:11pm
The High Shot said | August 1st 2012 @ 12:11pm | Report comment
Couldn’t be bothered looking but it seems to me the teams who contributed most to SOO are the ones who are doing it tough. No big shock I guess when you consider the injuries and niggles plus the mental fatigue of playing the equivalent of 3 grand finals then coming back to the week to week grind…
This is your chance Souths/Dogs but I predict Brisbane, Sharks and Melbourne will pep up again over the next couple of weeks.
August 1st 2012 @ 1:27pm
John Vizzone said | August 1st 2012 @ 1:27pm | Report comment
It is true and clubs must seriously start to consider balancing their team with players not good enough for Origin. The best value players going forward will be British and Kiwi players.
August 1st 2012 @ 2:22pm
MG Burbank said | August 1st 2012 @ 2:22pm | Report comment
Cronulla simply do not, nor have they ever had, enough class to contend for the title. They may make the 8, which will be a fine achievement for this team.
August 2nd 2012 @ 8:31am
The High Shot said | August 2nd 2012 @ 8:31am | Report comment
You’re probably right but there was a long stretch prior to Origin where they had every team looking over their shoulder for the Sharks. Also they’ve been dicked out of victories by blatantly shite refereeing in no less than 3 games this season so they should be sitting a lot prettier than they are.
Origin has robbed them of Gallen and also rocked Carney’s confidence.
August 2nd 2012 @ 9:28am
Brendan Keevers said | August 2nd 2012 @ 9:28am | Report comment
Souths had 2 players in SOO
Titans are hitting form and they had 3 in SOO
Dragons are hitting their straps they had 3 in SOO
Bulldogs had Josh Morris, and he has found amazing form
Cowboys had 4 in SOO and they are climbing the ladder still…
I think SOO level of contribution has nothing to do with slump in form. I think the older players from state of origin are in fact getting older. Especially the QLD side who it seems to have had an effect on, if they can’t handle the heat, get out of the kitchen.
August 2nd 2012 @ 1:29pm
The High Shot said | August 2nd 2012 @ 1:29pm | Report comment
Keep going with that analysis and you’ll come up with the opposite conclusion. The teams you mentioned had MINIMAL involvement with SOO. The teams that contributed most, both in terms of numbers and/or individual value to their club are the ones who are struggling. I’ll allow the Cows as the exception to the rule.
August 2nd 2012 @ 2:23pm
Bazzio said | August 2nd 2012 @ 2:23pm | Report comment
Dragons “hitting their straps” . . . . . after how many losses???
“Titans are hitting form” . . . . . Ditto as above
Souths ~ 2 Origin players not as hard to cover for as losing 3 or 4
Cowboys have so far bucked the trend although key players have remained injury free (so far).
August 5th 2012 @ 9:33am
Meesta Cool said | August 5th 2012 @ 9:33am | Report comment
If Barba keeps improving under Des, Billy Slater will be playing club football through next seasons origin… one less to worry about.. lol
No wonder Des is whingeing about SOO timing, he can’t keep his stars out of it forever!.
August 1st 2012 @ 12:38pm
Pot Stirrer said | August 1st 2012 @ 12:38pm | Report comment
I still like the Cowboys, they have experiance, flair and leadership however i wouldnt be writing of the Eagles or Melb just yet. If i had to have a bet i would put my money on the Eagles if they get back to full strength. I think Souths on current form are definate contenders but then thier last couple of games have only been against the roosters and a depleted tiger so you cant really guage them on that form.
August 1st 2012 @ 2:24pm
MG Burbank said | August 1st 2012 @ 2:24pm | Report comment
I’m with you on Manly. I do think that they’ll miss Hasler’s guidance in the big games but their sheer talent can overcome that. I agree with you on the Cowboys, too. They have a scary core: Bowen, Tate, Thurston, Tamou, Sims, Scott. Plenty of class. I’m not sure Neil Henry is a strong enough presence to have his team play consistently enough to win the comp, however.
August 1st 2012 @ 7:16pm
Smell The Win said | August 1st 2012 @ 7:16pm | Report comment
Good article mate. The question isn’t so much if the Broncs or the Storm regain form, the real question is can Souths and Canterbury stay in form and injury free?
If they do, it will be the most anticipated Grand Final in years! Both teams are equally talented across the park and both Coaches deserve the Coach of the Year Award!
I think Melbourne have lost their most powerful weapon, their perceived invincibility!
The Bronco’s are one year too early age and experience wise, and Manly hav’nt been convincing all year.
Canterbury and South’s Grand Final gets me salivating just thinking about it!
August 1st 2012 @ 9:17pm
Bazzio said | August 1st 2012 @ 9:17pm | Report comment
I’m thinking Dragons & Souths = Grudge Match +
August 5th 2012 @ 9:38am
Meesta Cool said | August 5th 2012 @ 9:38am | Report comment
how can anyone look past Bulldogs, barring salary cap problemss this team will be at the top for quite a while!. Best forward pack I have ever seen in 60 yrs of watching Rugby League… 2nd best coach in league and a really good ‘spine’.
August 1st 2012 @ 9:16pm
Bazzio said | August 1st 2012 @ 9:16pm | Report comment
One look at Bellamy going beserk when anything – big or small – goes wrong tells you everything you need to know. He’s unstable, and that instability has found it’s way into the players who probably worry about what Bellamy’s going to say rather than what they should be doing on-field and in play.
August 2nd 2012 @ 1:57am
MG Burbank said | August 2nd 2012 @ 1:57am | Report comment
Baz, I actually like your observation. I’ve noticed it too- Bellamy blows up at the smallest error or missed chance. It’s reflective of a perfectionist who, while being an outstanding coach who’s had success, is not necessarily popular with players.