Prediction: Springboks will win Rugby Championship
By Green Lantern, 12 Aug 2012 Green Lantern is a Roar Pro
- Tagged:
- Rugby Union, Springboks, wallabies
South Africa's Springboks Bismarck du Plessis, Frans Steyn and Heinrich Broussow. AFP PHOTO / Marty Melville
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It did not come to me in a form of a dream. It manufactured out of pure Saffa arrogance. Last year I predicted England would win The World Cup.
Perhaps I mistook them for another team wearing black, but this time I took matters into my own hands. This time I went and sought out a Sangoma.
I took my signed by James Smal 1995 Springbok replica jersey with me as my voodoo relic. I carefully listened and did what was asked of me by the Amakosi. I sang, danced and repeated Xhosa words I did not quite understood.
He shacked, blew and threw the bones. And as faith would have it, there was a Bok horn which fell solitary, away from the other bones and pieces of charms.
The Sangoma interpreted to me what I already knew – South Africa will win the Rugby Championship.
Henceforth, I can’t be accused of black magic, as I only needed the conformation of a Springbok win.
Jarpienism, but there can be no denying that our time has come once more to dominate world rugby. Can you say spoiler’s alert.
Match day #1
Pardon my Spanish but, Estos gatos no tienen garras. I predict the Boks will tango to a convincing win in front of a very hostile Newlands crowd. Don’t expect too much flashy backline moves from both teams, as I also predict it will rain.
Final scores: SA 39-12 ARG, AUS 21-18 NZ
Match day #2
The Boks will be focused and will not enjoy Mendoza’s beautiful scenery, nice food and delicious wine too much. Las Pampas is a different animal at home, but still the Boks should be too strong with no flashy backline moves. Side note – Morne Steyn breaks his leg and is out for 100 years.
Final scores: ARG 17-23 SA, NZ 45-19 AUS
Match day #3
Who makes the scheduling? How dumb is it to have South Africa play Australia in Perth. The Waltzing Madibas are going to have another field day. It will be Scotland in Newcastle all over again for Australia. Can’t blame the weather this time.
Final scores: AUS 9-17 SA, NZ 54-6 ARG
Match day #4
Lately this has not been the fierce rivalry of old. The teams may have been locked at 6-5 during Pieter De Villiers’ tenure, but as always, playing the All Blacks is the ultimate test for us Dutch folks. This will be the toughest match of the season but the best team will eventually win on the day.
Final scores: NZ 10-12 SA, AUS 24-11 ARG
Match day #5
Rocky Elsom’s pre-match comments about destroying the Boks at Loftus are more ridiculous than Victor Matfield’s claims that the Irish players could speak Afrikaans. But surprisingly, amidst all the vocal fans and humility, the Wallabies will actually make a game out of this. Leading the entire game, save for a last minute Springbok move. Wallaby defense coaches take note: Hougaard feed the scrum on the right side within 15 meters of the Wallabies 22. Scrum remains steady and ball is retained. As a flush of wind source, he swings a flat pass to an oncoming Elton Jantjies. Elton looks to chip kick over the Wallaby centers towards the far left wing, perhaps to Habana. But instead, he appears to have shaved the ball with the inside of his right boot. The ball grubbers along, past Wallaby the scrum and seemly into no man’s land. Moment’s later the crowd rose with a thundering roar as Mvovo claims the ball, to score in the corner. Elton jumps for joy and yells out; “Carlos taught me that!”
Final scores: SA 45- 40 AUS, ARG 11-33 NZ
Match day #6
And as if the previews weekend wasn’t tough enough. We now sit with an unnecessary match. Our Championship is already in the bag, so the only thing to play for now is World domination. It start’s with two heartfelt anthems. Followed by the Haka, which is being drummed out by an unplugged microphone and the “ole ole ole” chants of the crowd. Finally kick off commence and 80 minutes later the Springboks show why they are the Mecca of Rugbyism.
Final scores: SA 25-20 NZ, ARG 21-29 AUS
These are the predictions I chose to postue on to my Australasian and Argentine peers. Beware of a Springbok blitzkrieg, and although my supple warnings may be dictated as arrogance, I will still offer you my humble condolences.
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August 12th 2012 @ 4:46am
Johnno said | August 12th 2012 @ 4:46am | Report comment
-The boks have the best draw. The nasty matches for them are the return match in Argentina, then the road trip from Perth to NZ.
-Can’t see them winning those 2 Argentina as Robbie Deans said having played there and this was in the amateur era are mighty tough to beat in Argentina. The books have won there before, as have th ear’s, the wallaby struggle there, scotland beat the argues in argentina as did france but there teams were not at full strength . This time around and with a 1 week turn around from Sth Africa to Argentina will be 50/50 especially if a few injuries happen. That too me will be the boks series title deciding match the 2nd week.
-Getting a win in Argentina and the boks are home and hose in my opinion, coz they have done the maths and have already conceded defeat in NZ and will back themselves 60/40 to win in Perth.
-So winning in Argentina in the 2nd week to me is basically the Boks rugby championship grand final, massively vital especially with bonus points etc. They would at least want to pick up a bonus point in Argentina, as they doing the maths are accepting zero points in NZ.
-I think they will lose to Agrenina in Argentina as will the aussies, the AB’S can just win the title but only coz they are the only team i believe can win in Argentina .
August 12th 2012 @ 4:56am
Johnno said | August 12th 2012 @ 4:56am | Report comment
Think also socceroos vs Urugauy 2001 we won 1-0 in Melbourne then got wiped 3-0 in Montevideo. So hard for teams to acclimatise with 5-6 preparation and win a test match in south america. Such a hostile energy the crowds at the stadiums, for visiting teams in all south american nations.
The socceroos in 2005 has even more time about 10 days to prepare and still could not win lost 1-0 and Urugay had more more oppurtunites and dominated us in the 2nd half big time with the crowd etc..
Our super rugby teams struggle in the 1st week in Sth Africa and get better the 2nd week, same problem for teams going to Argentina with only 1 week preparation.Which in reality is only about 5 days max. Very tough to win a top level match in Africa or in Sth America , in any sport with such small preparation.
August 12th 2012 @ 5:23am
biltongbek said | August 12th 2012 @ 5:23am | Report comment
Wow.
Green Lantern, I love you introduction to bits. Well written, however your predictions are a tad optimistic.
Your first two predictions I think are where you should have stopped. Let’s first get those two wins.
By the way I would epxect Meyer to focus on the fact that we need two 4 try bonus points from thsoe two matches.
I’ll reserve judgement for the rest.
I can’t fault your enthusiasm though.
August 12th 2012 @ 5:30am
Johnno said | August 12th 2012 @ 5:30am | Report comment
Green Lantern Biltongbek has underrated the trip to STH America too much i feel. Read my post above. GOing to africa and sth amrerica with only 1 week prepeariton or 5-6 days is might tough. You see it Biltongbek with the supe rugby teams going to STH Africa, and when you guys come ove there. You always get better the 2nd week and the boks , AB’s, wallabies wont have tha option in STH America or Africa for that matter with the current format, going to be mighty tough road trip for all teams.
-If anything Argentina will be better prepared for the 1st week of matches as they are probably going ot be in STH Africa tomorrow or even right now if they are not there yet to acclimatise.
-Going to south america is mighty tough, Bbek and green lantern expect a lot of horns all night outside your team hotel. And oranges and rotten tomatoes being thrown at your bus or on the pitch and massive noise and booing the ref at every chance.
-Argentina winning there in sty america with limited preparation will be mighty tough.
AB’S have the best draw in my mine, with both argues and books equal. Argies will play the wallabies at there most vulnerable too in the final weekend, with the wallabies having to fly from Sth Africa to play the argues in Argentina with only 5-6 preparation.
August 12th 2012 @ 5:52am
biltongbek said | August 12th 2012 @ 5:52am | Report comment
Johnno, if SA don’t get two bonus point wins against Argentina they won’t win the Rugby Championship trophy. The All Blacks are known to score the most tries, so to gain parity on the log, that must be the target.
August 13th 2012 @ 11:47am
peterlala said | August 13th 2012 @ 11:47am | Report comment
Johnno, great thoughts about Argentina’s inclusion…which will be a shot in the arm for the Tri Nations. You analyse the numbers, but the numbers that are the biggest to me are 1-2-3 in the world, the Tri Nations teams, in whichever order. For that reason alone, I think Argentina will struggle.
August 12th 2012 @ 1:57pm
Dan said | August 12th 2012 @ 1:57pm | Report comment
He is on some serious drugs probably LSD good quality stuff by the sounds of it!!!!
would retort but waste of time with a bloke thats got his head that far up his axx
August 13th 2012 @ 11:21am
peterlala said | August 13th 2012 @ 11:21am | Report comment
biltongbek, I agree. Best rugby story I have read in a long time. Big thumbs up Green Lantern.
August 12th 2012 @ 6:43am
kingplaymaker said | August 12th 2012 @ 6:43am | Report comment
Johnno the Wallabies have some really terrible injuries. Losing Palu is disastrous and there is no one anywhere near as good to replace him. Then on the right wing both JOC AND Tomane are injured, meaning this position is weak in attack when it would otherwise have been a strength.
These are two huge losses of quality at 8 and 14 that make the outlook a lot less rosy.
August 12th 2012 @ 7:46am
charlie mackay said | August 12th 2012 @ 7:46am | Report comment
Losing Palu was probably one of the better things to happen to Australian rugby… Has done bugger all the last few years, and especially so this year… Seems to be injured one week ans ineffective the next!
O’Connor and Tomane, indeed are a loss however..
August 12th 2012 @ 8:06am
kingplaymaker said | August 12th 2012 @ 8:06am | Report comment
Charlie that’s nonsense Palu was outstanding against Wales topping counts for numbers of tackles, runs, rucks cleared. If you bothered to watch instead of thinking in stereotypes about the way he played a few years ago you might come up with a half-decent post.
August 12th 2012 @ 11:14am
Kuruki said | August 12th 2012 @ 11:14am | Report comment
I agree with Charlie it is time to move on from Palu who has not delivered anything approaching his pay packet for the past few years at any level.
Spends way too much time on the sideline. I think he should think about a retirement package in Japan somewhere his body may stand up to the physicality of professional rugby. He is a brilliant player but is not worth the time and effort anymore he is more a hindrance to future development then anything.
Nobody is arguing about what Palu can bring, but is all the disruption worth it when he can barely string two matches together let alone a series.
August 12th 2012 @ 10:30pm
kingplaymaker said | August 12th 2012 @ 10:30pm | Report comment
Kuruki that’s the weakest post you’ve ever written: Palu was excellent for the last series and is head and shoulders above his competition. A match-winner.
August 13th 2012 @ 5:38pm
Kuruki said | August 13th 2012 @ 5:38pm | Report comment
He is not value for money anymore.
August 12th 2012 @ 5:02pm
Sneaky Samurai said | August 12th 2012 @ 5:02pm | Report comment
If we’re quoting numbers here re Palu, then what has Tomane done at International level to be uttered in the same breath as O’Connor?
August 12th 2012 @ 7:45am
moaman said | August 12th 2012 @ 7:45am | Report comment
GL—Great read on a dreary Sunday morning! About the only thing that had a ring of truth to it though was the “un-plugged” microphone bit that allows the crowd to drown out the Haka.
I may or may not have lost a lot of money to the NZ TAB last year after heeding your dream and backing the Poms—but I won’t let that cloud my judgement about your predictions and their value.What I will say is…if the Boks don’t win…what will be your next method of forcasting? A crystal ball???
On a side note-there appeared an interesting article on this morning’s Herald Roarers may like to peruse
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=10826307
August 12th 2012 @ 9:10am
Kuruki said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:10am | Report comment
Inside info from my imaginary contact. The All Blacks only had full strength beers, that is why Aussie turned down the offer.
August 13th 2012 @ 6:29am
Justin2 said | August 13th 2012 @ 6:29am | Report comment
First win in 10, not that surprising they wanted to enjoy the win together alone IMO.
August 13th 2012 @ 6:58am
Damo said | August 13th 2012 @ 6:58am | Report comment
Thanks for the link Moa.
And very refreshing, and dare I say, heart warming, to see an executive comment sensibly on the whole Quade vs Mob issue.
But there is going to be at least one bitter battle before a happy beer is shared.
Winner’s shout – what would you like? Cooper’s or Coopers?
August 13th 2012 @ 10:25am
moaman said | August 13th 2012 @ 10:25am | Report comment
Make that a Tui mate!
August 12th 2012 @ 7:47am
katzilla said | August 12th 2012 @ 7:47am | Report comment
I couldn’t totally discount your predictions until I saw this
SA 45 AU 40
What are penalties now worth 10 points?
Or is that actually the tally of kicks in game?
August 12th 2012 @ 8:50am
sheek said | August 12th 2012 @ 8:50am | Report comment
Katzilla,
I think this is how Green Lantern’s breakdown of scoring will work in this match:
Boks – 45 – made up of 2 tries, one conversion, 9 penalties & 2 drops.
Wallas – 40 – made up of 5 tries, 3 conversions & 3 penalties.
The Wallas will run the Boks ragged, but give away too many penalties in the Boks 22, allowing the two Steyns to kick penalties from 50-70 metres!
August 12th 2012 @ 12:40pm
superba said | August 12th 2012 @ 12:40pm | Report comment
Unlikely . Bryce won’t be there .
August 12th 2012 @ 3:35pm
biltongbek said | August 12th 2012 @ 3:35pm | Report comment
With Bryce there, that penalty count is unlikely.
August 15th 2012 @ 9:00pm
IvanN said | August 15th 2012 @ 9:00pm | Report comment
Wallabies wont be running the boks ragged mate, That ship has sailed – Its called the Drommedaris and its what brought Jan van Riebeek to the cape.
Wallabies are going to be beaten by NZ,SA and just scrape it against Arg.
I dont need a Sangoma for that prediction…. Im from the future.
August 15th 2012 @ 9:10pm
biltongbek said | August 15th 2012 @ 9:10pm | Report comment
Geez mate, you are a bit confident there.
5 backrowers injured plus Pietersen and we have Morne Steyn at 10.
August 12th 2012 @ 9:08am
Jerry said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:08am | Report comment
It’s not that outlandish a prediction – remember in 2010 the Wallabies and Boks had back to results of 44-31 and 39-41 so a high scoring close match between the two has some precedent.
August 12th 2012 @ 8:21am
mark said | August 12th 2012 @ 8:21am | Report comment
“outstanding against wales” that’s some ringing endorsement! Almost as funny as this troll from Green Lantern. Unless all boka games are being played on the Velt.
August 12th 2012 @ 9:26am
Kuruki said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:26am | Report comment
If the Puma’s show up to play then this competition could get interesting.
The biggest game imo is the first one between NZ and Aussie. If the All Blacks can pull off a win away from home in the first week, that could be the head start needed to carry them all the way.
The Boks don’t have a good time of it on Aussie soil, and likewise it is a huge ask for anyone to win in South Africa. I would be surprised for the All Blacks to drop a game at home, likewise South Africa.
I think the key to the winning of the competition is who can find 5 points in South America and whether the All Blacks can strike the biggest blow in round one by knocking off an understrength Wallabies in Sydney.
August 13th 2012 @ 6:58am
Riccardo said | August 13th 2012 @ 6:58am | Report comment
Yep, what he said.
Good post Kuruki.
August 12th 2012 @ 9:36am
mace 22 said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:36am | Report comment
ARROGANCE thats no stinking arrogance. The all blacks will win every game . Why ? because they are the all blacks and are just better than everyone else. Always was, always is and always will be .
August 12th 2012 @ 10:32am
Kuruki said | August 12th 2012 @ 10:32am | Report comment
Then why did we choke for so long?
August 12th 2012 @ 11:19am
sheek said | August 12th 2012 @ 11:19am | Report comment
Mace,
Just to put jelly in the ABs legs & mush in their minds, we’re going to call this a ‘knock-out phase’ comp……….
August 12th 2012 @ 9:36am
mace 22 said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:36am | Report comment
August 12th 2012 @ 9:50am
Crazy Horse said | August 12th 2012 @ 9:50am | Report comment
Perth is the only neutral venue in the competition. There are over 200,000 South Africans living in Perth and the EARU (Eastern Australian Rugby Union) doesn’t give a stuff about rugby in the fastest growing city in Australia.
August 12th 2012 @ 11:02am
Sluggy said | August 12th 2012 @ 11:02am | Report comment
I think you’re on to something CH – the Force should become a South African manned team so OZ only have to staff the other 4. Our SR depth problems will be solved with a stroke of the pen on a few player contracts.
More seriously, there is every chance the Blacks will pinch a win in Sydney, and the Pumas will struggle to win anything this year. BUT… last game of the lot is Oz v ARG in Rosario at the Estadio Gigante de Arroyito in front of 41,654 screaming fans. If there is one the Pumas have set their sights on, its probably that one.
So-
NZ 1 – because they won’t lose at home and will pick up an away win or two, and will score more bonus points – 22-24 points
SA 2 – 1 away win and will probably win at home bar possibly loss to the ABs 16 -19 points
Oz 3 – probably only 1 away win, might not get it – 12-15 points
AR 4 – at least two home losses. 4-8 points
August 12th 2012 @ 11:23am
sheek said | August 12th 2012 @ 11:23am | Report comment
Crazy Horse,
I thought that Buffalo Bill or Wild Bill Hickock or Wild Bill Cody or “Bill” somebody put you away long ago……….!!!