Canterbury and Melbourne the clear favourites for NRL Grand Final
By Luke Doherty, 10 Sep 2012 Luke Doherty is a Roar Expert
Canterbury Bulldogs - Minor Premiers - but can they make the 2012 NRL Grand Final? (Image: AAP)
Related coverage
Eight became six as of yesterday afternoon, but it may as well have been reduced to a race in two. No-one will be able to stop Canterbury and Melbourne making the NRL grand final.
The only question mark hanging over the Bulldogs heading into their clash with Manly on Friday night was whether or not the halves combination of Kris Keating and Josh Reynolds would be able to handle the pressure.
Keating was a picture of composure as he has been so often this year.
This version of the Cabramatta junior is a far cry from the kid at Parramatta who looked like being just another in a long line of players to be cast aside for not being Peter Sterling.
Instead of unfulfilled potential, the Bulldogs have a number seven with purpose and poise who is relishing playing behind the most damaging, yet at the same time skilful, forward pack in the competition.
Manly, dealing with an injury to Jamie Lyon and suspension concerns surrounding prop Jason King and centre Steve Matai, will get past North Queensland on Friday night.
Melbourne coach Craig Bellamy will finally be able to breathe a little easier this week (not that he will).
The Storm have been winning ugly for the last fortnight and the coach admitted as much, but on Saturday night against South Sydney they were back to their brilliant best.
It was a matter of when and not if things started to click again. The Rabbitohs copped a hiding that would’ve been afforded to almost any team in the competition. The foundation club just happened to be the helpless victims.
Michael Maguire has done wonders, albeit with a hugely talented squad, this year. It still seems a year too early though.
He instilled enough belief and discipline to get them through the regular season, but the finals are a different ball game, and they found that out the hard way at the weekend.
Souths should get the better of Canberra at ANZ Stadium on Saturday night.
There’s something romantic about both of those clubs.
Souths, the team with the most premierships of any club, starved of success for so long and now close to being restored to their former glory.
Canberra has a briefer history, but who could ever forget the green machine of the late eighties and early nineties? Meninga, Daley, Clyde, Stewart and Nagas were household names.
Their modern day counterparts don’t have the same type of marquee billing, but they’re still winning. Their season should be considered a success even if they fail to beat the Bunnies.
Manly and South Sydney should march on to the preliminary finals, but given what we saw on Friday and Saturday night, it’s hard to see them turning the tables on Canterbury and Melbourne.
You can follow Luke Doherty on Twitter @Luke_Doherty and on Sky News Australia.
- Explore:
- Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs, Melbourne Storm, NRL, Rugby League

September 10th 2012 @ 7:22am
oikee said | September 10th 2012 @ 7:22am | Report comment
What is that futuristic movie with arnie Swartzenegger in , with him as a underdog fighter and he keeps winning against all odds to become the favorite and the old lady sang and told everyone she was gunning for him to win the contest.
Long story short, get on Canberra, the underdogs. Fealing mean, the Green Machine.
September 10th 2012 @ 10:44am
Whites said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:44am | Report comment
The Running Man. Classic Arnie
September 10th 2012 @ 10:51am
NF said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:51am | Report comment
oikee what you thoughts on the Broncos overall season and losing three straight to the Cowboys. I suspect there be some adjustments for next year considering the ineffective attack & lack of creativity this year. Canberra I wouldn’t mind seeing them go far and to beat Souths while highly unlikely would be priceless for the reaction of everyone if it occurs. Bring back the Canberra Lime Milk if the green machine fires up.
September 10th 2012 @ 8:42am
Dayer said | September 10th 2012 @ 8:42am | Report comment
it seems that the Dogs and storms will fight for the championship crown.
my “darkies” will be the Cowboys.
my tips for the week is cowboys to beat manly and rabbits to beat raiders. it looks like a predictable round.
September 10th 2012 @ 8:58am
steve b said | September 10th 2012 @ 8:58am | Report comment
Dogs v Cowboys would be great to see ,,however the Storm look like they have found form and to write of Manly is a big call so next weekend will be a bookies nightmare and a great weekend of top league , i love this time of year ……
September 10th 2012 @ 9:16am
planko said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:16am | Report comment
Oikee and Steve B I think you are both on to something I think the green machine will be in the game against south up to there eyeballs. Manly without Matai and Lyon. I would have NQLD as marginal favourites without those 2 out. If Lyon plays and is fit it is a coin flip. Also I did not see a premiereship side on the field on friday night and they both would have gotten smashed if they took that game to Melbourne.
September 10th 2012 @ 10:02am
steve b said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:02am | Report comment
What is it that you think we are on ,, oikee seems to think the Raiders are the go ,, and i like the Dogs and Cowboys for the big one so i take it that you are hoping for the Storm or is it the Raiders ?
September 10th 2012 @ 10:12am
planko said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:12am | Report comment
I think you are both right I think the raiders will in the game against souths and NQLD will be in it against Manly. I would not be writing either off next week… I did not say you were on anything …. I said you were onto something as in right …
September 10th 2012 @ 10:25am
steve b said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:25am | Report comment
Sorry mate just about to finish shift after a big night ,should have read your comment better ,, cheers planko ….
September 10th 2012 @ 10:48am
planko said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:48am | Report comment
All good mate lol….
September 10th 2012 @ 9:30am
Gareth said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:30am | Report comment
I wouldn’t be writing off the Raiders just yet. Yesterday’s scoreline was very flattering to the Sharks, who benefitted from a couple of missed forward passes, and the loss of Jarrod Croker’s goalkicking late in the second half.
September 10th 2012 @ 9:38am
Renegade said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:38am | Report comment
I’m tipping the cowboys to knock over Manly and if the raiders play like they did yesterday i reckon they will get over the rabbits as well.
Based on what i saw this weekend, the grand final might a occur a week early in Melbourne between the storm and cowboys.
The game on friday was billed up as the grand final preview yet in terms of quality football it was the worst game of the finals….you can’t write anyone off but i wasn’t impressed by what i saw in this game. I really like the storm and cowboys…the storm being the specialists they are, while i think the cowboys are playing at 100% potential at the right time of the year.
The raiders, well talk about an underdog story – missing their big guns all year yet steamroll all teams above them to get to the finals and have now won 6 straight…..love to see them win it, i think they’re capable but can they keep this momentum going for another 3 weeks??
September 10th 2012 @ 9:49am
apaway said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:49am | Report comment
I agree with the sentiment about the Raiders. I think they’ll beat Souths next week and then set up a game against the Bulldogs. And who was the only team to beat the Bulldogs in the last 14 weeks?
Manly are struggling and I really couldn’t understand this strong favouritism they had garnered in recent weeks. They teneded to fade in the second half of a lot of their games and were held scoreless by the Bulldogs last Friday in the second half. They may get past North Queensland but it will take a mighty effort to topple the Storm in Melbourne if they do.
September 10th 2012 @ 9:49am
AGO74 said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:49am | Report comment
Surprised you are so quick to write off the Cowboys Luke.
The last month or so you have see Manly blowing teams off the park in 1st half and then “taking the foot of the pedal” in the 2nd half. Truth is as was shown on friday they weren’t taking the foot of the pedal, they just didn’t have the stamina. Last 10 or 15, Manly were gassed. Delighted that the dogs won, but whilst we were good in defence we can definitely play better in attack and I think Dessie may be having a few session on how to properly close out a game when leading by 6 with 10 mins to go.
This weekend showed the merit of the new systems versus McIntyre. After friday’s hard match I’m happy to take a week off and face either Bunnies or Raiders in week 3. Under the old system we’d have been taking a week off after beating a busted-up Broncos.
Melbourne were outstanding. Probably their best performance of the year. Souths were bad. Melbourne were great – particularly Widdop and Hoffman.
September 10th 2012 @ 9:59am
Queenslander said | September 10th 2012 @ 9:59am | Report comment
I wasn’t convinced with the Bulldogs performance on Friday night. Both teams completion rates were in the sixties. They’ll both have to improve a lot to make the GF. The Raiders will beat Souths and then the Bulldogs to make the GF.
September 10th 2012 @ 10:00am
NF said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:00am | Report comment
By all means write off the Cowboys but they ain’t a team that should be underestimated by any means on there best form they can beat anyone in spectacular fashion. I expand Manly game to be similar to the DFS game a physical grinding affair but with a different result if Cowboys do the rights things such as high completion rates, strong defense, high tempo RL that should tire out Manly eventually. The first 30 minutes decides the game I think if Cows get fast start they be hard to stop.
Cowboys fast-pace style has it advantages and disadvantages through quicker play-the balls, offloads, and passes that can bamboozled a defensive structure but at the same time has a sizable margin of error which can lead to turnovers and miracle plays that don’t work. Also, the Cowboys are not a grinding team by any means but there will be a time it which they have to revert to that style and finals is the ideal place to do it too.
September 10th 2012 @ 10:38am
Renegade said | September 10th 2012 @ 10:38am | Report comment
NF,
I’ve been on the cowboys since about round 20…..got them at good odds as well
After week one’s performance, i think it’s fair to say the storm (as usual) are the team to beat.