The close shave Hawthorn had to have
By Michael DiFabrizio, 22 Sep 2012 Michael DiFabrizio is a Roar Expert
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- 2012 AFL Grand Final, Adelaide Crows, AFL, Buddy Franklin, Hawthorn Hawks, Josh Gibson, kurt tippett, Sydney Swans, Taylor Walker
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It’s now official. Sydney and Hawthorn will contest the 2012 AFL Grand Final. But for all those who pencilled it in as a certainty last night, it could have very nearly been a different story.
This evening, a young Adelaide outfit took it right up to the Hawks, who had to grind out an incredibly hard-fought five point win.
The Crows led at quarter and half time. Kurt Tippett and Taylor Walker, with four goals each, simply dominated Ryan Schoenmakers and Josh Gibson.
Patrick Dangerfield declared himself as a star of the big stage with a massive 11-disposal final quarter that turned the game on its head.
Scott Thompson had 31 disposals, Bernie Vince had six clearances and five inside 50s, Dangerfield finished with a game-high nine clearances.
The Hawks, it must be pointed out, kicked 13 goals and a disappointing 18 behinds, keeping Adelaide’s impossible dream alive.
But the upset was not to be, despite a dramatic finish.
In the final six minutes, an overturned free kick put Adelaide within five, which was followed by a quick goal to put them in front, which was followed by a quick Cyril Rioli response, which was followed by a Buddy Franklin response, which was followed by another Taylor Walker goal and a hectic final 16 seconds.
Yes, it was chaotic. And yes, it could’ve definitely gone either way.
So if you’re a Hawthorn fan – or player – thank your lucky stars. That is what they call a great escape.
But maybe, just maybe, it’s for the best.
History says dominant sides that have the favouritism thrown upon them by all are prone to shock results. Perhaps it’s complacency, perhaps it’s believing one’s own hype, but Collingwood in 2010 had to draw a Grand Final before they could put away St Kilda in the manner many expected them to.
Before that, Geelong in 2007 had a “great escape” of their own in a preliminary final against Collingwood. The next week they won in the biggest Grand Final victory of all time.
And then there’s Geelong in 2008, which showed what it can be like when a side’s bubble isn’t given a timely burst.
Something tells me tonight’s game was exactly what Hawthorn needed. Getting tonight out the way will ensure their focus is 100% where it should be over the next seven days. They’ll be taking nothing for granted now.
They’ll accept it as an uncharacteristic performance – the last time Hawthorn kicked more behinds than goals was in Round 12 – but they’ll also appreciate that it’s highlighted areas they need to work on that perhaps wouldn’t otherwise have been highlighted.
In terms of positives from tonight, Brad Sewell’s 28 disposals at 82% efficiency – with seven clearances and six inside 50s – would have to be up there.
Sam Mitchell had 29 touches, six tackles, seven clearances and nine inside 50s.
Franklin eventually worked his way into the game to finish with three goals, while forward partner Rioli was … dare I say it … special.
For all that, the Sydney Swans haven’t done a lot wrong. While the Hawks will probably hang on to favouritism, they shouldn’t be underestimated in any way.
Sydney have a Ben Rutten-type in Ted Richards who could silence Buddy for long periods once again. Indeed, they have the best defence in the competition.
In the midfield there’s Josh Kennedy, Kieren Jack, Jarrad McVeigh, Ryan O’Keefe and Lewis Jetta, among others, and up forward Adam Goodes has been known to cause Hawthorn headaches.
But if we are to look solely at tonight’s game and what it means, I’d say it’s up there with the best possible outcomes for Hawthorn.
Surely it’s better to get caught off guard in a prelim than on the biggest stage of all.
Michael DiFabrizio is completing his journalism degree. As an AFL writer, he has been an expert columnist at The Roar since 2009, and appeared in The Age and on ABC television and radio. Follow Michael on twitter @mdifabrizio
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September 22nd 2012 @ 8:50pm
JR Salazar said | September 22nd 2012 @ 8:50pm | Report comment
Adelaide really could have won this game on a game-winning goal, but they wasted too much time at the end. If you recall, Santa Claus delivers presents as his profession, not win flags. Sadly for Adelaide on Saturday, they became Santa and his elves late. My club weren’t any angels either, though; all those behinds and wasted kicking made this one close.
September 22nd 2012 @ 9:07pm
Me too said | September 22nd 2012 @ 9:07pm | Report comment
thought exactly the same – a lucky wake up call. could be it delivers them a premiership.
but as surely as the hawks poor kicking kept adelaide in the game, the awfully one sided umpiring shut the door.
very brave and very unlucky were adelaide. i went from slightly favouring the hawks to cheering on the crows given the first quarter effort from the men in yellow.
there will be.a lot of unhappy people in adelaide, but they proved they deserved their top four spot.
as for the final – once again between the qualifying winners – toss of a coin.
September 24th 2012 @ 3:30pm
AdamH said | September 24th 2012 @ 3:30pm | Report comment
As a lifelong Hawks fan, sadly I too have to agree with the general tone of dismay with the umpiring on Saturday night. Although the Hawks have been the dominant team in the second half of the season; unsubtly biased umpiring took a massive shine off an epic win and will undoubtedly take a little gloss off our potential premiership. I was at the game, and as a Victorian, and Hawk’s fan felt embarrassed at the atrocious inconsistency, and game changing decisions made by the umpires favouring the home side. What irritates me most is that a win under fair circumstances could have delivered the boys huge confidence going into the GF. Now I worry that they too know that the umpires helped nudge them over the line, toward a prize that form suggests should be theirs, but probably would have been snatched by Adelaide had the field been a little less biased in their direction.
September 22nd 2012 @ 9:08pm
Don said | September 22nd 2012 @ 9:08pm | Report comment
Michael, you write a very astute piece. As a Hawthorn supporter I have never experienced a victory that felt so much like a defeat. But as I pondered these feelings I realised it was probably all for the good … and I remembered it happened before with other prelim combatants that had gone on to win the Big Prize. You hit the nail on the head when you wrote, “Something tells me tonight’s game was exactly what Hawthorn needed. Getting tonight out the way will ensure their focus is 100% where it should be over the next seven days. They’ll be taking nothing for granted now.” Thanks for your thoughtful and insightful piece – very refreshing in the often ‘boofhead’ world of sports journalism.
September 23rd 2012 @ 12:10pm
langou said | September 23rd 2012 @ 12:10pm | Report comment
I find that attitude baffling. Both Adelaide and Hawthorn finished the year on the same amount of points, numbers one and two on the ladder, only seperated by %. What on earth made people think it would be anything other than a close game?
September 23rd 2012 @ 3:06pm
J said | September 23rd 2012 @ 3:06pm | Report comment
@langou: “what made people think…” ~ the mainstream media.
September 24th 2012 @ 9:15am
Australian Rules said | September 24th 2012 @ 9:15am | Report comment
“What on earth made people think it would be anything other than a close game?”
langou, leading into the prelim, the Hawks had beaten Syd, WCE, Coll and had thumped the Crows in Rd 3 by 56 points.
Adelaide, on the other hand, had arguably the easiest draw in AFL history and finished the season by losing to Brisbane, beating Melb & the Suns – got flogged by Sydney and then beat Freo.
Yes, it was 1 vs 2 and should always have been a close game, but the Hawks were very wasteful and the Crows played out of their skins. A just result for the GF.
September 22nd 2012 @ 9:35pm
burjo said | September 22nd 2012 @ 9:35pm | Report comment
To give but one example of a crucial and seemingly biased umpire decision: Rutten goes to ground on top of Franklin after a fair tackle, Franklin reaches up and takes Rutten in a headlock, Franklin gets the free from the umpire behind the incident and, as the commentators said, “the umpire was 120 metres away from the play”. The ump closest the incident having called “play – on” It is still not a level playing field. The standard and consistency of umpiring is simply the worst part of our great game!
September 23rd 2012 @ 1:12am
J said | September 23rd 2012 @ 1:12am | Report comment
I think you are confusing two separate incidents.
September 23rd 2012 @ 9:11am
Kasey said | September 23rd 2012 @ 9:11am | Report comment
I fully expect to be attacked for this post, in the manner a cult attacks an individual who manages to ‘get outside’ the bubble and think for themselves, but last night was so much of a pointer as to why I no longer watch AFL footy as often as I used to.
Despite being a corker of a gameas the scoreboard records I feel it was in spite of the whistle blowers.
The umpiring could be called ‘inconsistent’ at best and was a major let-down for me, IMO the amount of 50-50 decisions that went to the home team was criminal.
The 50 against truck Rutten in Q1 for a legitimate spoiling attempt, the “throw” in the same quarter. Did Hawthorn win because of the umpires? No, the were the form team all year, but when you combine the extremely biased commentary from “Vic = good, non-vic = dross” Eddie Everywhere, BT and cronies its just an assault on the sensibilities that when you are emotionally connected to a team as I used to be with the crows becomes too much frustration to put yourself through week after week. Try as it might. the DNA of the AFL is still unmistakably the VFL and that grates.
Just when I thought I was being too parochial I received this message from a good mate who played footy at a pretty decent level and understands the fabric of the game much better than I ever will as a spectator rather than a player:
Mate, Adelaide could not win today. Not a umpire basher, but that bald eagle bloke was absolutely terrible all day. His only exception (which was also incorrect) was the reverse free to the porpoise. Adelaide were not meant to win. Close to the worst umpiring in a major game I have seen. And I am a Victorian!
Luckily for my mental wellbeing, I discovered football and the A-League.
I fully expect the Swans to learn the lessons that the Crows showed Hawthorn to be vulnerable in many areas, especially when attacking up the corridor and after the weekend the Swans are my tip for the flag now.
September 23rd 2012 @ 12:14pm
langou said | September 23rd 2012 @ 12:14pm | Report comment
I was at the game and thought the umps did a really good job. . I know the Hawthorn fans around me also thought they were coping a really harsh run with the umps but the reality is that when your a one eyed fan of a particular team it is normally you, rather than the umpires, who are biased.
September 22nd 2012 @ 10:11pm
Johnno said | September 22nd 2012 @ 10:11pm | Report comment
Will Luke Hodge be back next week, or is he in major doubt. A mate told me him and Bad Hodge are related is that true .
September 22nd 2012 @ 11:38pm
Dingo said | September 22nd 2012 @ 11:38pm | Report comment
Missed the entire game due to a “prior engagement”, had a really good evening but it seems as though I have missed a hell of a good game.
Go Swans.
September 23rd 2012 @ 8:13am
Robbo said | September 23rd 2012 @ 8:13am | Report comment
If the final is anything like the last time they played then we’re in for a treat!
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September 23rd 2012 @ 10:24am
JasonA said | September 23rd 2012 @ 10:24am | Report comment
That had all the hallmarks of a fixed fight.
I hope Steven Trigg has the cajones to demand a please explain from the AFL because that was an absolute disgrace to witness the countless amount of incomprehensibly bad decisions.
Not sure if it was a personal Vic bias (3 Vic umpires at the G in a game between a Vic team and a SA team), an AFL directive (two interstate clubs in the GF is bad for ratings, attendance, profit and Victorian pride), or the betting agencies using their position of financial advantage to ensure the game was influenced in a way that avoided them having to pay out on the Crows (listed at $6.50 before the game).
Here’s a little something to ponder, Serbia will play Croatia in a World Cup qualifier later in the season, you can bet your house that FIFA will not appoint 3 Serbs to officiate the match in Belgrade.
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September 23rd 2012 @ 10:37am
Brewski said | September 23rd 2012 @ 10:37am | Report comment
If you seriously expect that a comparison between Serbia and Croatia, and Victoria and South Australia is fair, then i imagine that yesterday you would have been one angry hombre.
I watched most of the game, and i thought that the Crows got the worst of quite a few umpiring descisions, however the porpoise reversed free kick was not there, and i was barracking for the Crows, the porpoise really played it up.
However, everyone who barracks for a team in a close match usually thinks they get a bumrap from the umpires, and in particular when they lose.
September 23rd 2012 @ 11:16am
Mango Jack said | September 23rd 2012 @ 11:16am | Report comment
That’s the most hillarious analogy I’ve heard in a long time, Jason. Vic vs SA = Serbia vs Croatia! Time for a cold shower , mate.
September 23rd 2012 @ 12:05pm
Kasey said | September 23rd 2012 @ 12:05pm | Report comment
Yes that’s the real thing we ought to be focused on, a proper international analogy for the SA Vic Rivalry.
Obviously SA and Victoria have never gone to war with each other so the Serbia/Croatia thing is silly. The point stands about neutral umpires though… How bad does the umpiring in the AFL’s big games have to get before head office realises there is a problem. My guess is that Collingwood would have to lose a GF for something to be done. I know I’m not the only one, there was a whole article in the Advertiser recently by a former die hard footy fan listing reasons why he no longer watches footy. It had 199 comments printed… amongst the comments printed were many invoking the frustration at watching games turn on garbage umpiring The Author(a former sports journalist) specifically focuses on boring game play mainly blaming flooding – a whole other curse on the game. but I dare anyone to jump on to youtube and dig out a PF from the 80s and say with a straight face that today’s game is better than it used to be.
Sure its faster, but is it better?
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-australia/what-made-former-sports-journalist-andrew-ramsey-give-up-watching-afl-entirely/story-e6frea83-1226473684265
September 23rd 2012 @ 2:07pm
BigAl said | September 23rd 2012 @ 2:07pm | Report comment
Poor old Andrew Ramsey should have gone to yesterdays game ! – are you Andrew Ramsey ?
September 23rd 2012 @ 4:33pm
Brewski said | September 23rd 2012 @ 4:33pm | Report comment
Maybe his son, all Kaceys posts are eerily similar.
i use to like footy, …and then the umpires…..
i used to like footy and then the AFL …..
i used to like football and then the WC and and Andrew Demetriou …..
i used to go to the footy, and then hot dog prices etc etc etc .
September 24th 2012 @ 9:30am
Australian Rules said | September 24th 2012 @ 9:30am | Report comment
Nail on head Brew.
Funnily, despite apparently not liking the game, K seems to talk about it a whole lot…even dropping Aust Footy references randomly into soccer threads…but then complaining when “non-soccer” people dare to comment on soccer stories.
Oh well, horses for courses I suppose.
September 23rd 2012 @ 12:22pm
langou said | September 23rd 2012 @ 12:22pm | Report comment
The problem with the nonsense about Victorian umpires is that if you pick a Victorian off the street and ask them to name their least favourite teams, I can guarantee you it will be Victorian teams who they hate the most. The idea that Victorians are going to want all ten Victorian teams to win ignores 110 years of rivalry and hatred.
September 23rd 2012 @ 12:59pm
Brewski said | September 23rd 2012 @ 12:59pm | Report comment
I have no doubt that the AFL picked the best and fairest umpires, and quite frankly i am not suprised no croweaters were picked !!.
September 23rd 2012 @ 11:26am
Mango Jack said | September 23rd 2012 @ 11:26am | Report comment
Hawthorn have problems in defence. Shoenmakers was completely outplayed (again), and came close to giving Adelaide the match with his reckless charge in the final minutes. He was also caught out of position on a few occassions when Adelaide found themselves with a numerical advantage in attack. They are sorely missing Hodge’s organisation and drive out of defence. Thankfully, for Hawk fans, Sydney don’t have the power forward pairing of Walker and Tippet, who took so many contested marks easily.
It basically comes down to how Hawthorn react to this kick up the ar$e. If they can tighten up the midfield, sort out their problems in defence and kick more accurately, they will win the GF. If any one of these areas is not sorted, the Swans will take the flag.
September 23rd 2012 @ 9:51pm
Richo said | September 23rd 2012 @ 9:51pm | Report comment
Shoenmakers ia chump pure and simple. Towelled up in the prelim, towelled up by Cloke and Hawkins. The Hawthorn side carries him big time.
September 23rd 2012 @ 1:42pm
TomC said | September 23rd 2012 @ 1:42pm | Report comment
I reckon there are more examples of teams with close prelims losing the grand final than winning it. Collingwood last year, of course. St Kilda in 2009 scraped home against the Dogs before losing to Geelong in the GF. Brisbane struggled to beat Geelong in 2004 before losing to the Power. Essendon beat Hawthorn by the width of the goal post before losing to Brisbane in 2001. Carlton had that famous win over Essendon in 99, but never threatened in the GF.
I am a little concerned about the Swans, though. I don’t think either of their finals were particularly brilliant performances, and I wonder if their best football is behind them, earlier in the season.
September 23rd 2012 @ 1:48pm
Brewski said | September 23rd 2012 @ 1:48pm | Report comment
Swans seem to close up shop, and the run seems to stop in last quarter.
Hawthorn backline looks under pressure and suspect.
Should be a close game.