English Premier League: Contenders and pretenders
By HarryBalding, 28 Sep 2012 HarryBalding is a Roar Pro
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- Arsenal, Chelsea, English Premier League, EPL, football, Manchester City, Manchester United, Newcastle, Tottenham Hotspur
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World-beaters tasting defeat, relegation-zone surprises and mid-table outfits proving they can match the Premier League big boys have made the start of the 2012/13 EPL campaign the most exciting in recent memory.
Since Sergio Aguero sealed the title for Manchester City last season, the Citizens haven’t quite looked themselves.
Manchester United and Chelsea have been performing roughly on par when measured against their expectations, and Arsenal are certainly asking questions of their wealthier contemporaries.
Can this be the season that a team from outside the ‘Big Five’ takes home the trophy?
To assess each team’s Premiership credentials, I think it’s best to analyse the ‘contenders’ for the title individually to decide if they genuinely have a chance, or are merely going to be battling it out for a European spot come the end of the season.
How does your team measure up?
Manchester City
I think it’s fair to say that Roberto Mancini’s men have underperformed in their first five matches. Only two wins from five matches have consigned the blue half of Manchester to the middle of the table.
Three tough fixtures against Liverpool, Stoke and Arsenal yielded disappointing draws for the Citizens. Manager Mancini and the wealthy Abu-Dhabi based owners will have been particularly incensed by the home draw to Arsenal, and will feel they should have done better.
City’s results will improve. They won the title last year with roughly the same team and the same manager. They’re a classy side, and will no doubt be up there come May.
Verdict: Contender.
Manchester United
The Red Devils will be out for revenge this year. Nothing hurts like losing the title, and nothing hurts more than losing it the way they did.
It took a miraculous last-minute goal from City striker Sergio Aguero to wrench the trophy away from Old Trafford, and the pain of losing the title on goal difference was surely a factor in the signing of Robin van Persie.
Last season’s Golden Boot winner looks to have carried his awe-inspiring form into the new season and team. A strike partnership with Wayne Rooney will cause sleepless nights for every defender and Manager in the League.
Manchester United will undoubtedly be in the top three. I believe they will win the title.
Verdict: Contender
Chelsea
As a Chelsea fan, it’s hard for me to objectively assess their chances of winning the title.
As much as I want them to, I just don’t know if they can win the title this year.
They’ve recruited very well. Oscar, Eden Hazard and Victor Moses are brilliant talents, and will prove to be match-winners given time.
Their poor record against other top teams will be their undoing. Without Drogba, I don’t see where the goals will come from in these crunch matches.
Chelsea will do well, but will they perform consistently?
Verdict: Contender
Liverpool
Sorry, typo.
Tottenham Hotspur
Spurs have a great side on paper. Not the strongest side in the Premier League, but far from the weakest.
However losing Modric and van der Vaart in the same transfer period has got to hurt.
Thankfully for them, star man Bale stayed on, Dembele, Sigurdsson and Lloris signed permanent deals, and Defoe has found form. There is a mountain of potential at White Hart Lane, but will that be enough?
New manager Andre Villas Boas has been given a second chance in the EPL. His failure to convert potential into results at Chelsea has now given him a new resolve to develop his signature attacking style and produce results worthy of a Big Five team.
I hope he can do it. I feel sorry for him; he didn’t deserve to be treated the way his was at Stamford Bridge.
However, for all their potential I can’t see Tottenham making the top four ahead of their title rivals. Fifth place for mine.
Verdict: Pretender.
Newcastle
They may be mid-table at the moment, but expect that to change in the coming weeks.
Alan Pardew has done brilliant things at St. James’ Park. Or is it Sports Direct Arena?
If the organisers of the sponsorship deals at Newcastle FC had a fraction of Pardew’s transfer-market savvy, the Tyneside club would be rolling in funds, and might be a genuine contender for the title.
As it is though, I think the best they can do is a Europa League spot.
Last year’s signings Yohan Cabaye and Papiss Cisse are very impressive players, but I can’t see them beating the likes of Arsenal or Manchester City.
Verdict: Pretender.
Arsenal
The last few weeks have changed my opinion of the Gunner’s title chances. Given my hatred for the red side of London, I’d love to label them as Pretenders, but unfortunately, I honestly think that they will be contesting the title.
Losing Robin van Persie was a huge blow. He was their talismanic, goal-scoring captain, and their fortunes last year were almost entirely dependent on him. Especially so since the departure of Cesc Fabregas and Samir Nasri.
However, selling him was a good piece of business from the wily Frenchman, Arsene Wenger.
Robin van Persie freed up the funds to buy Oliver Giroud, Lukas Podolski and most importantly Santi Cazorla.
The little Spaniard has looked like a player worth £35m, not the reported £18m transfer fee they paid the financially-troubled Malaga FC at the start of the season. For all of his brilliance though, Arsenal don’t depend on him like they did van Persie.
In addition to their new signings, the Gunners have a multitude of attacking options eager to show they can score goals; Gervinho and Walcott are under-used and under-rated.
What’s more, when Vermaelen, Szczesny and Sagna are back from illness and injury, Arsenal will be just as strong at the back as they are up front.
Verdict: Contender.
Honourable mentions go to Everton and Fulham, who both look impressive after their opening rounds, but I can’t see them continuing this form for long enough to challenge the bigger names in the Premier League. I hope I’m wrong though.
It’s a shame that it’s only the teams with a huge bankroll who really have a chance, but that’s the way football is moving.
With any luck, maybe the Financial Fair Play Regulations will make the playing field a little fairer, and in 2014 we’ll see one of the ‘smaller’ teams genuinely contesting the title.
Regardless of the clear financial inequalities, the remainder of the season is shaping up to be extremely exciting, so let’s all get down on our knees and pray for a conclusion to this season like last year’s.
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September 28th 2012 @ 8:55am
dz said | September 28th 2012 @ 8:55am | Report comment
A fair assessment of the teams. I’m an Arsenal fan and I’m very positive about their chances – they’ve always scored a bucketload of goals, but it’s their defence that impressed me the most.
The thing about chelsea is that I don’t think they have enough depth up front. Hazard and Mata are great players and oscar could be a game changer, but the team is an injury away from being strikerless. Also, I’m not sold on Di Matteo.
September 28th 2012 @ 9:52am
HarryBalding said | September 28th 2012 @ 9:52am | Report comment
Yeah, me either. I think we learned from Villas Boas that you have to give coaches time to prove themselves. I mean, di Matteo won the Champions League in his first few months in charge, he turned their season around pretty much. It was by playing an ugly-as-sin style, but who cares at the end of the day?
September 28th 2012 @ 9:51am
Kris said | September 28th 2012 @ 9:51am | Report comment
A pretty fair synopsis. I wouldn’t rule out Everton nicking one of the 4th-6th place as well. That’d be a fantastic result for them.
Out of interest, why do you hate Arsenal? Given their adherence to the financial fair play rules and their commitment to positive football, I’m interested as to why you don’t like them? Is it a hangover from the ‘boring boring Arsenal’ days? I’m not having a go (I’m a QPR fan, the less said about that the better), but have generally found it very difficult to dislike the Gunners since Wenger arrived.
September 28th 2012 @ 9:53am
HarryBalding said | September 28th 2012 @ 9:53am | Report comment
Just the London rivalry thing
it started as a method of having a dig at my Arsenal-supporting mates. I appreciate their style of play though!
September 28th 2012 @ 11:00am
k77sujith said | September 28th 2012 @ 11:00am | Report comment
Nice one Harry. While it’d be great for the EPL if we have a new winner of the league but one of the usual suspects will lap it up come next year. It might be too early to make a profound prediction as of now.
City, while they do play great football and score goals aplenty, suffer from inconsistency. I feel Arsenal are capable of going all the way and their match against City this weekend is crucial to their prospects this season. Chelsea and United can’t be ruled out one bit but I’m going to take a wild stab at this – this season’s EPL will be fiercely fought between Arsenal, City and United.
Fulham or Newcastle, if they can break into the top four would be great. As for Liverpool, like you said…typo! Such a pity that a team with such a great history and success finds itself way off the perch this season. Thanks.
September 28th 2012 @ 2:58pm
ori said | September 28th 2012 @ 2:58pm | Report comment
Who is this bloke? Not giving LIverpool a chance??? I bet he’s a ranga!
September 28th 2012 @ 3:00pm
ori said | September 28th 2012 @ 3:00pm | Report comment
In all seriousness, a good read. I wouldn’t mind seeing Arsenal do well. There will be some seriously good goals scored by them.
September 28th 2012 @ 3:03pm
matthewthorpe said | September 28th 2012 @ 3:03pm | Report comment
haha im a liverpool fan but even i enjoyed the ‘typo’
hoping a london team wins it this year, those mancs are getting too cocky
September 28th 2012 @ 6:17pm
Mroberts said | September 28th 2012 @ 6:17pm | Report comment
I’m still hoping (in vain, no doubt) that someone new will make it into the top 4… But like you said, the money always wins
September 28th 2012 @ 8:24pm
Mantis said | September 28th 2012 @ 8:24pm | Report comment
Tottenham are lucky to have the amount of points they have. QPR should have beaten them, they were the better side for 88 minutes. If Bale moved clubs or got a season ending injury (hope it doesnt happen, love watching him play), Tottenham would struggle to crack the top 10 I reckon. Whilst Dembele and Dempsey are good players, they nowhere near make up for the losses of Modric and VDV
October 2nd 2012 @ 12:29pm
spursfan said | October 2nd 2012 @ 12:29pm | Report comment
you’re having a laugh, dembele/sandro will be the best central midfield paring this season more than making up for modric, vdv was patchy last year. Vertongan an excellent signing at the back. First win at old trafford in 23 years… Arsenal were a one man band last season, will be found out as the season unfolds..
September 29th 2012 @ 3:29am
Neville Darangwa said | September 29th 2012 @ 3:29am | Report comment
Arsenal will take the league, no doubt! hehe #arsenalfan
September 29th 2012 @ 8:41pm
Stefanov said | September 29th 2012 @ 8:41pm | Report comment
Everton are contenders for top 4 my friend…we have a far better squad than 2004…a squad that actually boasts depth is something we haven’t had for years…I am very bullish. Definitely top 6, we have had a great start, we are notorious slow starters and fast finishers, these early points will seal our spot in Europe. Jelavic is world class.
September 29th 2012 @ 9:01pm
Disco said | September 29th 2012 @ 9:01pm | Report comment
“Definitely top six” is a big call.
September 30th 2012 @ 12:55am
Stefanov said | September 30th 2012 @ 12:55am | Report comment
Another 3 points… enough said. Jelavic will push for top scorer.
September 29th 2012 @ 9:08pm
HarryBalding said | September 29th 2012 @ 9:08pm | Report comment
Yeah Jelavic is quality. I hope Everton finish in the top 6, top four would be great. Fellaini is playing out of his skin at the moment, and I’ve always been a huge fan of Phil Jagielka and Tim Howard. Most consistently underrated keeper in the Premier League I reckon.
September 29th 2012 @ 9:22pm
Mantis said | September 29th 2012 @ 9:22pm | Report comment
You’d want to hope Fellaini doesnt get snapped up in the Jan transfer window.
September 29th 2012 @ 9:41pm
HarryBalding said | September 29th 2012 @ 9:41pm | Report comment
Pretty sure there was a fair bit of interest in him this transfer period just gone wasn’t there? He’s definitely gone!
October 1st 2012 @ 9:08pm
Mantis said | October 1st 2012 @ 9:08pm | Report comment
You’d think so. Especially with Everton looking to gain money where they can. Wouldnt be surprised if Baines left as well