A-League Season 8 table predictions
Hands up those who are finding it difficult to do the impossible and place standings for A-League season 8?
With most if not all squads looking at playing pro-active football and some great signings beyond the three high-profile marquees, season 8 of the A-League is shaping as the most impossible one to date to predict the final standings after Round 27.
It’s so difficult that I am giving a range of positions that any team mentioned could finish, but by no means confident that those named outside the top-six will be there come end of the season.
Position 1 to 3
Melbourne Victory – The ‘Ange’ Factor, great signings and a decent pre-season behind them, Victory should make the top three. After refining his philosophy begun at the Roar and having the time to embed in preseason, Ange could go all the way but a cut-throat competition may still see Victory finish top-three.
Can Guilherme Finkler potentially outshine Thomas Broich?
Brisbane Roar – ‘Brand’ Roar with a virtually unchanged squad and back-office, Ange-assistant Rado Vidosic will tweak the Roar but by how much? Enough to keep the other improving A-League clubs at bay?
A winning squad has to count for something and Roar will finish high on the table again.
Central Coast Mariners – Another squad with minor changes from previous season. As the Roar have risen so have the Mariners kept pace for the most part but enough this season to overcome two Ange-influenced teams?
Replacing quality with quality and never easy to beat, the Mariners will be there again.
Position 4 to 6
Newcastle Jets – Season 7 and Season 8 Jets are chalk and cheese. Gary van Egmond’s philosophy was there for all to see last season but with the greatest influx of new players of any existing team all soaking up his ideas without question the Season 7 prediction of fourth should ring true Season 8.
Higher or lower depending on whether the team can deliver on the promise it has shown in pre-season, the Jets are a lot of fans dark horse team this time around.
Sydney FC – We should see a team of the swashbuckling, go-forward type that should have been the Sydney FC of the past couple of seasons. How Alessandro Del Piero fares will pale in comparison to how well his teammates will be on the same wavelength to take advantage of the football mind equivalent to a Chess Grand Master that Del Piero possesses.
Seeing the young talent let loose on rival clubs could see Sydney finish higher.
Wellington Phoenix – For a team that made the top-two for a short while in Season 7, adding goal scoring signings may see them challenge for higher table position for longer.
The ‘Nix will be in finals contention again but with aggressive teams taking their football on the road and hungry for full points at home, the ‘Nix will need to travel well to challenge higher.
Position 7 to 10
Perth Glory, Melbourne Heart, Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United – in no particular order, and by no means a dead certainty for missing out on finals action, these teams will need to be consistent against a constantly improving competition to gain finals contention.
Perth Glory, Adelaide United – Consistency will be key for these teams this season. Good starts with a good run home might get them over the line with an even middle-third season, that or other teams bombing on the run home to the Finals Series.
Western Sydney Wanderers, Melbourne Heart – the Wanderers might be the most likely to finish last given how shiny and new their setup is and the perceived quality of their squad ‘on paper’ but will challenge for top-six, particularly if a parochial crowd grows rapidly at home. The Heart have a very green coach and may not have replaced like-for-like in their squad but any continuation of their club playing philosophy from periods last season could see them go close to a top-six position.
That is my prediction. Tentative and probably very wrong come the end of the season. Cannot wait to see how the season pans out.
Nail your prediction to the comments wall if you dare.
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October 5th 2012 @ 2:30pm
Newcastle Michael said | October 5th 2012 @ 2:30pm | Report comment
Griffo, wow, I agree with you pretty much, although I reckon Wellington might drop down and Perth replace them in the 6th possie. Most other punters I have completely disagreed with.
You can’t help thinking WSW and Heart are going to be down the bottom end. The Jets might also fail spectacularly too. I’m hoping not.
October 5th 2012 @ 2:46pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 2:46pm | Report comment
I’m hearing you Michael – I thought the Jets would be possible fourth last year but the Jets squad this year would run rings around last years HAL7 Jets and give them a wedgie for good measure 3-0 before the half-time whistle.
Perth and Adelaide could be top-six…it’s getting painful to predict with any confidence compared to previous years.
October 5th 2012 @ 3:36pm
Stevo said | October 5th 2012 @ 3:36pm | Report comment
Sorry but Glory in the top 6 and either Jets of SFC to drop out. Lotta hype at SFC but can it gel to be a top side?
October 5th 2012 @ 3:56pm
wisey_9 said | October 5th 2012 @ 3:56pm | Report comment
1. Brisbane Roar
2. Melbourne Victory
3. Sydney FC
4. Perth Glory
5. Adelaide
6. Central Coast
7. Wellington
8. Newcastle Jets
9. Melbourne Heart
10. WS Wanderers
But to be honest, I list that with no certainty. I get the feeling that come early March, all 6 top positions will still be up for grabs!
HOW GOOD IS THIS GONNA BE! BRING IT ON!
October 5th 2012 @ 4:23pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:23pm | Report comment
I cannot remember being this excited for the first kick-off.
Or put it another way, if last off-season was a relaxing, if rather long acupuncture session, this one was pure voodoo doll torture!
I’m not looking forward to Season 9 off-season one bit
October 5th 2012 @ 3:59pm
Cappuccino said | October 5th 2012 @ 3:59pm | Report comment
No way will glory be that low down the table they’re going to be serious title cotenders.
October 5th 2012 @ 4:14pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:14pm | Report comment
Cannot deny Cappuccino that I’d be surprised if Glory didn’t make the top-six but they are going to have to keep that form the whole season to be certain of finals action.
October 5th 2012 @ 5:51pm
Cappuccino said | October 5th 2012 @ 5:51pm | Report comment
True, they were only in really good form in the second half of that season. But I think their squad this season is much improved (Thwaite, Nagai, Harold) and they should be able to sustain their form for longer. I woudn’t be surprised if they start their season by beating the Roar on Sunday.
October 5th 2012 @ 4:12pm
Midfielder said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:12pm | Report comment
Crowds will be up between 25 & 40 percent…
TV ratings will be up 30 percent…
MV will still cheat….
ADP FC …. will still cheat…
Sheep folk will still play hoof ball ….
Ref’s will often be wrong … especially when the Mariners are involved…
A number of players from youth squads will be among the seasons best…
Main stream media to look for every reason to find a fight and say something bad …
New media deal will be be more than the ARU’s share of the Super / Tri Nation deal…
If SBS get the FTA TV rights … Fozzie will start saying positive things about football …. LM has taught him well …
With three rounds to play all ten teams will be able to make the top six…
October 5th 2012 @ 4:17pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:17pm | Report comment
I’m most looking forward to seeing an A-League game on FTA, Mid…
…and the rise and rise of youth making their mark.
Pencil you in for the Mariners taking out the double finally?
October 5th 2012 @ 4:17pm
Rellum said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:17pm | Report comment
Tactically the league is improving, that means teams are learning to defend higher up the park, with more intensity on the turn-over and closing down space in areas other than around the box. We saw this last season and I think it will be ramped up again this time around. The problem with this is that the technical level of the players in the league is still not good enough to regularly break down the more reactive teams so I would not be surprised to see a top three of Perth, Wellington and the Mariners. Pro-active teams like Newcastle, Roar and the Heart, maybe the Victory might struggle this season.
Sydney will be a one man team, Antonis will be the key for them, if he fires they could do well and the Wanders are anybodies guess, I have a feeling they will do the standard A-League thing and lose at home and get a few away wins whilst struggling to score.
Perth have now lost a Grand final and tacking into account what I mentioned above they are probably my picks to win the league.
October 5th 2012 @ 4:33pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:33pm | Report comment
Interesting thought there on reactive vs proactive teams, Rellum. Again another aspect to look out for during the season.
A lot of fans will hope you will be wrong, including this one
.
What was your take on the Roars double-championship run, given their style of play during their record run with probably more reactive team setups?
My feeling is it might be harder for reactive teams to achieve consistent success, but no denying the long-ball tactic or defensive counter attack could make some high defensive line teams think twice, or at least test their belief, if a few goals get banged in against them. The Roar kept on going, Grand Final 2011-wise.
October 5th 2012 @ 4:39pm
wisey_9 said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:39pm | Report comment
Hate to toot our own horn, but there is a really good article here on reactive vs proactive teams -
http://theblogfc.com.au/2012/07/30/tiki-taka-numbers-football/
TL;DR- Playing a reactive game will get you results, but you are leaving your destiny in the ability of the opposition…
October 5th 2012 @ 4:39pm
Titus said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:39pm | Report comment
“Sydney will be a one man team”
Turn it up Rellum…..Del Piero, Antonis, Emerton, Bosschaart, Griffiths, Fabio, Mallia, Chianese, Lovrek, Yau, Abbas, Petratos…….how is that a one man team?
October 5th 2012 @ 6:12pm
Punter said | October 5th 2012 @ 6:12pm | Report comment
Yes Titus, I agree, I have read if so often about ‘one man team’ in reference to SFC!!!! What a joke!!!
October 5th 2012 @ 4:52pm
Nathan of Perth said | October 5th 2012 @ 4:52pm | Report comment
Gotta be honest Griffo, I do not think for a heartbeat that MV will be top 3. I think they will get into finals, but Top 3, no way.
And I just cannot see the lineup Glory has, with the systems we’ve been using finishing lower than fourth.
Now, whether that is my bias or not… well, who can say!
October 5th 2012 @ 5:05pm
Siege of Perth said | October 5th 2012 @ 5:05pm | Report comment
Ionno, I really felt last season was bit of a fluke season for us and we will drop off again, but we will see. Ange will take a season or two to create a new Roarcalonea at the Victory so wont be pushing for ethier title but should be close to a finals berth. Cant go past Brisbane and Central Coast again to be the 2 real dominate teams. Wouldnt surprise me to be hearing about another Central Coast player playing for Broussia Dortmunds reserve side this time next year again. Sydney FC and Adelaide United to be the real improvers this season I reckon.
October 5th 2012 @ 5:28pm
Nathan of Perth said | October 5th 2012 @ 5:28pm | Report comment
I don’t really think that’s a case – I think the middle of last season was us playing under ourselves, rather than the rest of the season playing above ourselves.
Our pre-season has been solid, our performances great, our depth is great and our signings have been great. And Fergie is starting to figure stuff out more. And tbh I think that if Melbourne and Sydney were less populated, no one would have either SFC or MVFC in their Top 4 lists!
Adelaide look strong as well. And I think Central Coast has lost a bit too much to be dominant this year.
October 5th 2012 @ 6:27pm
philk said | October 5th 2012 @ 6:27pm | Report comment
I don’t think the Mariners have ‘lost too much”, Sainsbury has improved out of sight, Duke and Ibini are more than adequate replacements for Matt Simon and the midlield is as strong as ever. As for Adelaide, they will have to show more discipline than in their recent ACL matches if they are going to improve on last seasons showing.
October 5th 2012 @ 5:54pm
Q said | October 5th 2012 @ 5:54pm | Report comment
This season is so exciting!
Pretty hard to predict, but here goes.
I think Finkler will be a good signing.
1/Perth
2/Jets
3/Central Coast
4/Roar
5/Heart??
6/Visitors
7/Sydney
8/Adelaide (probably swap with Heart, but I can dream.
9/Wellington
10/WSW
October 5th 2012 @ 7:10pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 7:10pm | Report comment
Jets at #2? Q, you the man!
Seriously, a good prediction but the ‘Nix will have to cede the Cake Tin to the other side of the ditch for that position. Could that finally happen?
October 5th 2012 @ 10:03pm
HarryBalding said | October 5th 2012 @ 10:03pm | Report comment
Man I hope the Jets finish in the top four. Losing Brockie hurt us, but look at the strikers we have still. Heskey, bridges, Griffo. Virgili, Jesic..that’s potency. Alessandro del who?
October 5th 2012 @ 10:27pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 10:27pm | Report comment
I’m most excited by the goal scoring potential of the backs and some midfield signings. I think a couple of long range missiles from Goodwin and Hunter Stadium will go rabid.
Taggart also could be a hit in the striking ranks if he gets some game time. Ditto James Brown in midfield. Younger players are there, itching to get on the field.
There’s potential for a bag-load of goals but I think they will be spread throughout the team somewhat this season.
October 7th 2012 @ 1:58am
Q said | October 7th 2012 @ 1:58am | Report comment
Except for my top 4, every one else is up in the air and after the game against Sydney, the Nix should be a lot higher. Although WCQ could be their arkilies heal.
I just think it could be Perth’s and Jets year.
October 5th 2012 @ 7:00pm
hog said | October 5th 2012 @ 7:00pm | Report comment
really even field this year, with 10 teams and 6 making the finals it will keep interest for a good part of the season for all teams. As for my team the Pheonix every year they are written of, may lack superstars but are experienced and will be their abouts come finals time.
October 5th 2012 @ 7:06pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 7:06pm | Report comment
I have to admit that I enjoy the evenness of the competition. Last game for Sydney vs Jets last year to decide sixth kept interest right to the end.
Like the Mariners, can’t write the Phoenix off at all, hog.
October 5th 2012 @ 7:03pm
Griffo said | October 5th 2012 @ 7:03pm | Report comment
Great thoughts guys and with only half-an-hour to go to kick-off in the Melbourne Derby, we don’t have that long to see whether we need to throw out our crystal ball with the empty bottles.
Keep posting your predictions this weekend and I’ll try and remember to check back in later in the season…
Good luck to everyone’s team for Season 8!