2013 Turnbull Stakes preview, live blog and tips

50 Have your say

    The Makybe Diva Stakes will jump this weekend at Flemington. (AAP Image/Julian Smith)

    Week after week, we are getting more impressive fields in Melbourne as the Cups inch closer. Join us from 3.45pm AEST for a preview, live blog and post-race analysis of the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes.

    Demand for spots in this field was high with nine Group 1 winners amongst the field of 20 which has to be cut down to 16.

    Melbourne Cup favourite Puissance De Lune gets another look at Flemington and is likely to jumps as the favourite. He finished off strongly in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes a fortnight ago.

    The further he steps up in distance, the better his chances are.

    2000m here is still short of ideal for him but he comes in very well at the weight since he is yet to win a Group 1 and avoids the weight penalties others face here.

    Despite finishing seventh in the Underwood Stakes, the pace of the race simply didn’t suit him and the distance of the race was still on the skinny side. He finished strongly and did nothing to suggest he won’t improve here.

    Fiorente has been the big early market mover and he too return to the Flemington and gets in well at the weights as a horse yet to win a Group 1.

    He was surprisingly dominant in the Group 2 Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes and we already know he will lap up this distance and runs well at Flemington.

    Nash Rawiller has not stopped telling us how good this horse it and it is telling that he has opted to stay in Melbourne for the ride despite being offered several winning chances in Sydney across the day’s three Group 1s.

    There has been plenty of attention given to Fawkner who opened at $67 on Wednesday.

    Lloyd Williams decision to scratch Green Moon and Sea Moon from the race to ensure Fawkner gets a run has indicated that Fawkner is believed to be the stables best Caulfield Cup hope.

    His last two starts have been up in Sydney where he took on WFA class but wasn’t quite up to the task. He gets weight relief here but has never raced against a field of this quality.

    Royal Descent and Hawkspur bring the Sydney formlines here and both finally get out to longer distances where they proved top strong against their three year old age group last season.

    Hawkspur has been given no favours after drawing the car park barrier. When he went around last start in the Group 1 George Main, he was taken to the back and left too much work to do from a long way back.

    Chris Waller had indicated he will be ridden the same way here but so too will Puissance De Lune so if he can keep up with the grey, he should be given a nice trail into the race.

    Super Cool won the Group 1 Australian Cup here in autumn against older horses under similar conditions as this but as a result of that win, gets a weight penalty here.

    He was very flat in the Dato Tan Chin Nam when he missed out on a place but that can be put down to failing to handle Moonee Valley.

    Jet Away is one of the most intriguing runners in the field and opened above his rated price. The import has had two runs in Australia for two wins.

    He is being set for the Caulfield Cup but due to unexpected events, is starting his campaign much later than anticipated by trainer David Hayes.

    Running first up, Jet Away won three of his four attempts and like most of the Europeans, running 2000m first up should be no problem.

    Despite there being four or five chances in single figure odds; it shouldn’t surprise anyone if any outsider gets up because the quality of staying horses here is outrageously high.

    Alfred Chan’s Tips
    1. Fiorente
    2. Puissance De Lune
    3. Jet Away
    4. Royal Descent

    Justin Cinque’s Tips
    1. Super Cool
    2. Fiorente
    3. Happy Trails
    4. Puissance De Lune

    Andrew Hawkins’ Tips
    1. Royal Descent
    2. Fiorente
    3. Sangster
    4. Mr O’Ceirin

    Cameron Rose’s Tips
    1. Puissance De Lune
    2. Super Cool
    3. Royal Descent
    4. Fawkner

    Roar writers 2013 Spring Carnival tipping tally (five points if winning horse is tipped for first; three points if tipped for second; two for third and one for fourth):
    After week seven
    Cameron Rose: 24
    Alfred Chan: 24
    Justin Cinque: 20
    Andrew Hawkins: 20

    Have Your Say



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    The Crowd Says (50)

    The Roar Live Blog: Latest comments displayed at the top of the page | Click here to jump to leave a comment

    • Columnist

      4:59pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:59pm | ! Report

      This brings and end to our coverage of the 2013 Turnbull Stakes.

      It was a fantastic performance from Happy Trails. Looking back on it, his run in the Underwood was excellent and I certainly should have given him a chance here.
      He’ll push on to the Cox Plate.

      We’re now heading back to Sydney for the final Group 1 of the day, the Metropolitan Handicap.

      http://www.theroar.com.au/2013/10/05/2013-metropolitan-handicap-preview-live-blog-and-tips/

    • Columnist

      4:57pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:57pm | ! Report

      18,256 people gave turned up at Flemington.

      That’s an excellent turn out!
      Up from 13,000 last year.

    • Columnist

      4:55pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:55pm | ! Report

      I also like Jet Away’s run. He was running first up and finished midfield. He was far from disgraced and he too will be fancied in the Caulfield Cup on the back of that run.

      • Columnist

        4:55pm
        Alfred Chan said | 4:55pm | ! Report

        Super Cool failed to fire a shot. I’d expect him to drift in Caulfield Cup markets now.

    • Columnist

      4:52pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:52pm | ! Report

      Not too much to make out of the Melbourne Cup bound horses.
      Dear Demi and Royal Descent will push on to the Caulfield Cup. Their runs were good.
      Glencadam Gold just faded in the straight. They need to teach him to race off the pace because you can’t win a Melbourne Cup from the front.

    • Columnist

      4:43pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:43pm | ! Report

      Fiorente was also massive.
      Nash Rawiller had him just ahead of Hawkspur at the back. When they entered the straight, Hawkspur went to the inside while Fiorente went to the outside.
      Fiorente just picked them off and I think he was still winding up when they hit the post.
      Good run by Fiorente to finish fourth.

      • Columnist

        4:43pm
        Alfred Chan said | 4:43pm | ! Report

        There is a protest.
        7th vs 3rd.
        If it’s upheld, Fiorente will get third.

    • Columnist

      4:41pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:41pm | ! Report

      I thought the best run of the race was Hawkspur. Michael Walker had him dead last from the wide gate but over the final 400m, he flew home weaving in an out of traffic to finish fifth.

    • Columnist

      4:40pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:40pm | ! Report

      Puissance De Lune was a bit disappointing for me. He ran second but he really should have won that. He wasn’t able to push clear. We saw him ridden differently than normal and it didn’t quite pay off.

    • Columnist

      4:36pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:36pm | ! Report

      Most of these horses are going to the Melbourne Cup but Happy Trails will head towards the Cox Plate.

    • Columnist

      4:35pm
      Alfred Chan said | 4:35pm | ! Report

      Paul Beshara purchased Happy Trails for $11,000.

      With this win, Happy Trails has now won $1.6million.

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