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2015 Turnbull Stakes: Racing live updates, tips and results

Roar Guru
3rd October, 2015
Race field
1. Happy Trais
2. Protectionist
3. Hartnell
4. Preferment
5. Volkstok’n’barrell
6. Magicool
7. Dandino
8. Who Shot Thebarman
9. Rising Romance
10. Weary
11. Amralah
12. Extra Zero
13. Set Square
14. Gust of Wind
15. Alpine Eagle
16. Royal Descent
17. Awesome Rock
Protectionist at the Turnbull Stakes. (AAP Image/Tracey Nearmy)
Roar Guru
3rd October, 2015
17
1768 Reads

The Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) is a wide-open field of 17 runners, including last year’s Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist. Join us before the race start time of 4:10pm (AEST) for tips, commentary and late mail.

A great field here and I am going with Preferment at any old price ($17), after his form out of the Hill Stakes. He hasn’t been out of the quinella at the distance and has performed solidly on good tracks.

Royal Descent gets in well at the weights and has been racing well of late. However she is a wet tracker, meaning I will include her in the exotics. She is the current race favourite at $5.50.

Alpine Eagle has been solid at this track – beating Stratum Star and Kermadec – but there are plenty of question marks about him over the distance. At $6 he is hard to take in a race with so much value.

Luckless in the Makybe Diva was Volkstok’n’barrell, with trainer Donna Logan saying the horse wasn’t quite fit enough last start. Has had one start over this distance for a win, and has a solid record on a good track. Must be a threat and $14 is good value.

Hartnell will be better second up, he trialled superbly so will be right up to this and can win at $8.

Happy Trails continues to be an honest runner. Had no luck in the Memsie and was sound in the Makybe, won this race in 2013 and has a good Flemington record. Is he value at $13?

Amralah cruised home in Adelaide and is short at $6.50 because of it. This race should prove much harder but there is some big upside to this horse, with no question marks over the distance.

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Weary won’t get the surface, he needs to win but has not been there in his last two starts.

Rising Romance is a big one to watch after a slashing second in the Makybe. Performs well over this distance, so $11 is good value.

Who Shot Thebarman has bigger fish to fry this preparation but is tracking nicely regardless. Goes well at this distance so could be some great value at $17.

It’s D-Day for Dandino, who is back to a distance he prefers. He has been luckless this preparation but should be fit after three runs. Could today be the day? $21 is a handy quote if it is.

Protectionist hasn’t been the same horse that won the Melbourne Cup last year but a win wouldn’t shock at $67.

Extra Zero is one to watch after just being shaded in the Australian Cup in his last 2000m run here. Could be the value at $34.

The only other runner of interest is Set Square, with the stable flying this horse suddenly comes into contention, and at $26 is worth a look.

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Tips
1. Preferment 2. Volkstok’n’barrell 3. Rising Romance 4. Set Sqaure

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