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What really are Leicester's chances?

The fairytale is finally complete - Leicester have got their hands on the EPL trophy. (Image: Fox Sports)
Roar Guru
23rd August, 2016
10

What are the odds of getting a girl pregnant if you have unprotected sex? What’s the chance from all the people in the world, your parents meeting, living together and having you as a child?

What’s the likelihood of consuming the exact same water molecule more than once in your lifetime?

What probability has Donald Trump of becoming the next US president?

What were the odds again for Leicester winning the EPL title? Wasn’t it 5,000-to-1. Nice collect if you had the courage and belief in your team to take the risk.

British bookmaker William Hill is now giving Donald Trump a 2-to-1, or 33 percent chance of winning the U.S. presidential election in November. They even compare the presumptive nominee’s rise to power as being the same as the Leicester City football team’s amazing race to the EPL title.

Trump has also come a long way in terms of betting odds. In a two-horse race, he was first offered to the public with the longshot odds of 200-to-1 to make it to the White House.

“We’ve paid out on the longest odds ever seen in U.K. sport of 5,000-to-1 on football club Leicester City winning the English Premier League,” betting website William Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe said in a statement. In other words, bettors risked £1 to win £5,000 on the wager. “Now, Donald Trump is a good chance to become our longest ever political odds winner.”

Many years ago Donald Trump once played football for the New York Military Academy High School. He was a handy striker and also excelled at baseball. According to old school mates he was a good athlete, and popular with the girls too.

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In 1992, Donald Trump actually made the draw for the English League Cup quarter finals, then called the Rumbelows League Cup. He was entrusted with picking the away teams and in his final pairing pitted eventual champions Leeds United with Manchester United.

“That’s a biggie,” Trump said at the time, in his usual brash, confident tone of voice. “That sounds like the game I wanna go see.”

Recently a Wisconsin high school girls’ football team made up of mostly African-Americans and Latinas have been left traumatised after rival fans repeatedly chanted “Donald Trump, build that wall.”

Their coach Brian Denu said some of his players were so upset by the vile chants, that they had to leave the field of play.

What’s the chance of being in the exact same place somewhere in the world where a terrorist strikes, at the exact same time that they commit a terrorist act?

What’s the odds of the earth moving towards another World War?

In early assessments for this upcoming season’s English Premier League title, rank outsiders Bournemouth are 1500-to-1.

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Despite their slow start to the season, you won’t get 5,000 to 1 about Leicester winning the EPL title this season either. Leicester City Football Club aren’t even a bargain at 30-to-1 to retain their title, after so convincingly winning last year’s crown. Who would follow them once again for back-to-back titles?

Is this mad, mad world changing so much in such a hurry that the unlikely now becomes more likely? The unspoken becomes more talked about?

Even Mile Jedinak’s former team Crystal Palace are set to return the princely sum of £1,000 for every £1 invested. All they have to do is win the EPL title. It’s a twenty horse race, so on sheer mathematical probabilities alone, they are well above the odds, aren’t they?

Both the teams from Manchester are firming as the ones to beat with City at 12-to-5 and United at 4-to-1 to win the EPL in 2016-17.

I’m not a gambling man. I hit the remote to change channel every time I see a gambling advertisement on TV. They are so annoying.

Yet Claudio Ranieri made the impossible dream come true. My mother had unprotected sex with my father and here I am drinking the same molecule of water that I drank as a child, watching Donald Trump marching on to Washington.

What are the odds?

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