Wallabies vs Springboks Rugby Championship preview and prediction

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    The stage is set for an intriguing battle between the Wallabies and Springboks in Perth on Saturday.

    Wallabies vs Springboks live scores and blog

    The Boks look a resurgent outfit, unbeaten this year after a low ebb in 2016. The Wallabies, meanwhile, will be desperate to notch a win after back-to-back defeats to the All Blacks.

    Crowd support may be split as the Western Force saga lurches on, with many fans urged to create a #SeaOfBlue in protest against the ARU.

    The form guide
    Well, the Springboks have started their campaign strongly, easing past the Pumas twice, including a 23-41 victory last week in Salta.

    The Wallabies will have gained confidence from their improved showing in Dunedin, but they remain winless in the Rugby Championship.

    Michael Cheika’s men have played two decent halves against the rampant All Blacks, but unfortunately not in the same game.

    All-time record Wallabies vs Springboks
    2016 – Springboks won 18-10 in Pretoria
    2016 – Wallabies won 23-17 in Brisbane
    2015 – Wallabies won 24-20 in Brisbane
    2014 – Springboks won 28-10 in Cape Town
    2014 – Wallabies won 24-23 in Perth
    2013 – Springboks won 28-8 in Cape Town
    2013 – Springboks won 38-12 in Brisbane
    2012 – Springboks won 31-8 in Pretoria
    2012 – Wallabies won 26-19 in Perth
    2011 – Wallabies won 11-9 in Wellington
    2011 – Wallabies won 14-9 in Durban
    2011 – Wallabies won 39-20 in Sydney
    2010 – Wallabies won 41-39 in Bloemfontein
    2010 – Springboks won 44-31 in Pretoria
    2010 – Wallabies won 30-13 in Brisbane
    2009 – Wallabies won 21-6 in Brisbane

    Adam Coleman wins a lineout for the Wallabies

    Team news
    For the Wallabies, Tatafu Polota-Nau starts at hooker to shore up the scrum while Stephen Moore is on fatherly duty.

    Rookie Jordan Uelese is a surprise inclusion on the bench ahead of Tolu Latu, despite just 28 minutes of Super Rugby with the Rebels.

    Adam Coleman returns alongside the impressive Rory Arnold in the second row.

    In the backline, Dane Haylett-Petty is ruled out for bicep surgery, missing the chance to delight his home fans. Reece Hodge starts in his place. Samu Kerevi will be on the bench.

    For the Springboks, halfback Ross Cronje has overcome an ankle complaint to return in the No.9 jersey.

    In the pack, Pieter-Steph du Toit starts at lock for Franco Mostert. Francois Hougaard, Handre Pollard, and Lood de Jager make the bench.

    Wallabies
    15 Israel Folau, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Kurtley Beale, 11 Reece Hodge, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Will Genia, 8 Sean McMahon, 7 Michael Hooper (c), 6 Ned Hanigan, 5 Adam Coleman, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 1 Scott Sio.

    Replacements: 16 Jordan Uelese, 17 Tom Robertson, 18 Allan Alaalatoa, 19 Rob Simmons, 20 Jack Dempsey, 21 Nick Phipps, 22 Samu Kerevi, 23 Curtis Rona.

    South Africa
    15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Raymond Rhule, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Jan Serfontein, 11 Courtnall Skosan, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Uzair Cassiem, 7 Jaco Kriel, 6 Siya Kolisi, 5 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4 Eben Etzebeth (c), 3 Coenie Oosthuizen, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Tendai Mtawarira.

    Replacements: 16 Bongi Mbonambi, 17 Steven Kitshoff, 18 Trevor Nyakane, 19 Lood de Jager, 20 Jean-Luc du Preez, 21 Francois Hougaard, 22 Handré Pollard, 23 Damian de Allende.

    Eben Etzebeth South Africa Springboks Rugby Union 2017 tall

    Prediction
    Really tough one to call. It’s crucial to win your home games and the Wallabies are already playing catch-up.

    The supporters will be out to prove a point, but may turn on the locals if they start slowly. Perth always brings a strong African contingent too.

    The visitors won’t afford any respite. The Springboks are in fine fettle, winning five from five this year, each by a minimum of 18 points.

    Their blend of grit, physicality, and speed will be tough to match. Keep an eye out for the dynamic stylings of Siya Kolisi in the back row.

    The Wallabies feel like they’ve steadied the ship somewhat with last week’s valiant defeat, but there’s also a risk that it knocked the wind out of them to fall at the final hurdle.

    Cheika will be hell bent on getting back to winning ways.

    Can the Wallabies string together a complete 80-minute performance? Gee, you’d hope so. Expect a fiery encounter, a bit of blood spilled and ‒ I hate to say it ‒ a probable Springbok victory.

    Springboks by 8.

    Where: nib Stadium, Perth
    When: 8pm AEST (6pm local) Saturday 9 September
    TV: Ten, live, Fox Sports, live
    Betting: Wallabies $1.75, Springboks $2.10

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    The Crowd Says (109)

    • September 9th 2017 @ 3:18am
      DavSa said | September 9th 2017 @ 3:18am | ! Report

      Home ground , home ground , home ground ……if it is so tough to call then home ground. (Be it in blue or black). Last weekend in the French Top 14 , seven games played all won by home team ….yes , yes I know this is not France but you get my drift.

      • September 9th 2017 @ 7:18am
        Rebellion said | September 9th 2017 @ 7:18am | ! Report

        Another reason to strip top tier test matches from Perth:
        playing the Boks there is like ‘playing in South Africa for the Wallabies.
        I support the prediction of South Africa by 8+ points. Much better depth across all of their positions and strong in the set piece. Their back 5 is impressive but it is their centres who worry me most – Kriel is an outstanding attacking player

        • September 9th 2017 @ 7:28am
          Fionn said | September 9th 2017 @ 7:28am | ! Report

          It’s a question I was thinking about, Rebellion. The fact that there is such a large Saffa expat community in Perth means that they will sell more seats, but it does rob the Wallabies of the home field advantage somewhat – I actually expect close to a 50-50 crowd tonight.

          Aussie ‘home’ matches against the Kiwis are at least 30% pro-Kiwi, if not more, so we aren’t doing ourselves any favours by playing the Saffas in Perth. I would prefer to play against the All Blacks or Argentina in Perth and the South Africans in Sydney or Brisbane.

          • Roar Guru

            September 9th 2017 @ 9:37am
            PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:37am | ! Report

            money talks loudest not chances of winning

          • September 9th 2017 @ 2:09pm
            13th Man said | September 9th 2017 @ 2:09pm | ! Report

            All blacks in Perth will be the same. Loads of Kiwis over here as well.

        • September 9th 2017 @ 1:16pm
          Rhys Bosley said | September 9th 2017 @ 1:16pm | ! Report

          It would be a sorry admission that the Wallabies can’t perform on the field, to select test venues for some perceived greater home ground advantage.

        • September 9th 2017 @ 3:02pm
          Lano said | September 9th 2017 @ 3:02pm | ! Report

          Why don’t you find another sandpit and go away permanently. You’re an irritating specimen.

        • September 9th 2017 @ 7:45pm
          Vic rugby said | September 9th 2017 @ 7:45pm | ! Report

          Just shows perth supports rugby

      • September 9th 2017 @ 1:21pm
        Noodles said | September 9th 2017 @ 1:21pm | ! Report

        Not so much. Rather: which wallabies show up?
        If the Dunedin team is on show I expect a step up in performance. Another big game from the tight five, which I think is improved by the additions, and resultant potential for the back row to fill up the attacking and defending structure. With that our back line gets some ball and the confidence it needs to play winning footy.
        As Dunedin showed, good footy is played when the teams shows up to play. Not when the crowd does.
        Wallabies by a few I reckon.

    • September 9th 2017 @ 5:44am
      Galatzo said | September 9th 2017 @ 5:44am | ! Report

      Charlie, that’s not quite the all time record Boks versus WBs. They’ve been playing each other since 1921. The WBs have won twice as many as the Boks when playing in Oz. But when playing in SA the Boks have won three times as many as the WBs.

    • September 9th 2017 @ 8:19am
      Worlds Biggest said | September 9th 2017 @ 8:19am | ! Report

      Wallas up against it tonight, can they back up there performance in Dunedin. The Boks will bring the heat and it’s whether we can stay with them.

      • Roar Guru

        September 9th 2017 @ 8:46am
        Machooka said | September 9th 2017 @ 8:46am | ! Report

        Should be a cracker Biggest!

        I’m really looking forward to this one… it’s gonna be close. Chaos. Compulsive viewing 🙂

      • September 9th 2017 @ 4:00pm
        Isupport2teamstheAB'sandanyoneplayingAustralia said | September 9th 2017 @ 4:00pm | ! Report

        Yep the scrum will get slaughtered and they’ll miss a heap of tackles… just like Dunedin

    • September 9th 2017 @ 8:20am
      Curl said | September 9th 2017 @ 8:20am | ! Report

      The Wallabies will struggle to contain the SA massive pack, but if they can hold their own and they can compete at the breakdown….and there combinations continue to come together after the promis they showed 2 weeks ago against the ABs, then we can win. Go Wallabies.

      • September 9th 2017 @ 9:23am
        Redsfan1 said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:23am | ! Report

        Massive Springbok pack? Actually quite small and Wallabies are bigger. Coleman biggest in ground.

        • Roar Guru

          September 9th 2017 @ 10:36am
          PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:36am | ! Report

          Coenie Oosthuizen 124 kg is the biggest of the starting players not coleman

          Wallabies overall slightly bigger

      • Roar Rookie

        September 9th 2017 @ 9:50am
        Paul D said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:50am | ! Report

        Yeah it’s not a “classic” Boks pack. The backrow are light and mobile. I’d suggest there is probably at most 15kg between the packs

        • Roar Guru

          September 9th 2017 @ 10:18am
          PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:18am | ! Report

          wallabies 4kg heavier which is nothing

          • September 9th 2017 @ 10:24am
            Paul D said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:24am | ! Report

            I thought the boks might be a bit heavier, mainly due to the front row.

            • Roar Guru

              September 9th 2017 @ 10:35am
              PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:35am | ! Report

              bok frontrow is 5kg heavier

              locks wallabies are bigger by 7kg

              backrow wallabies bigger by 2kg

              • September 9th 2017 @ 11:30am
                Fionn said | September 9th 2017 @ 11:30am | ! Report

                I think it is fair to say that guys like Kolisi and Kriel play above their weight, whereas you can’t say the same about Hooper or all of his positive aspects, and Flanders definitely plays below his.

                I actually think we match up fine in the front and second rows, it is just the back-row that concerns me somewhat.

              • Roar Guru

                September 9th 2017 @ 11:39am
                PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 11:39am | ! Report

                Hooper does play above his weight in tackling and ball carrying, he is only 101kg, and often I have seen him drive back bigger guys in tackles. Same with McMahon. Where they both lack is at the ruck in clearing out or defending the ruck.

                Mumm 2.0 plays well below his weight in all situations.

              • September 9th 2017 @ 11:42am
                Fionn said | September 9th 2017 @ 11:42am | ! Report

                Definitely agree on McMahon, Hooper I am less sold about.

                He can usually make some decent hits (although his tackling seems out of form, I see him missing a lot), but his clean-outs aren’t super effective. To me Hooper plays about as heavily as you would expect, he just brings other things to the table than a more traditional 7 would.

                McMahon definitely plays above his weight though. I actually love the thought of one of them coming off the bench as impact – sort of like how the Pocock-G. Smith combo that Deans wanted to develop before Smith left overseas.

              • Roar Guru

                September 9th 2017 @ 11:55am
                PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 11:55am | ! Report

                I said neither play to their weight in cleaning out, or defending the ruck, must be technique or lack of clarity in their roles or something.

                Hooper misses a lot since he is shooting out of the line and it has become predictable and teams have planned for it and exploit it.

                As usual Wallabies / grey/ cheika are slow to learn once a tactic has been found out, they keep doing it anyway.

              • September 9th 2017 @ 4:18pm
                Connor33 said | September 9th 2017 @ 4:18pm | ! Report

                But Pk and F, and to be fair, did you see the yards they tracked from their own 22 through Genia’s try in Dunedin. Mitchell did an excellent analysis of it. Hooper still running at the end of it got taken out by Retalick–leading to the try. Shame that the run without ball does not come up in the stats. But it’s runs like that that seem to be appreciated in other football codes compared to rugby.

                We really need to see the gps on these guys at theend of the game.

                I’ll try to find the Mitchell clip from Fox.

              • Roar Guru

                September 9th 2017 @ 4:49pm
                PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 4:49pm | ! Report

                I thought it was Kafer who did that analysis.

                Yes both Hooper and McMahon were very good in support play.

                That is a great strength of both Hooper and Foley, and now McMahon.

                I do agree that a lot of roar posters don’t appreciate / recognise the support running.
                Folau does a lot of it too despite hollow accusations of being lazy.

    • September 9th 2017 @ 9:14am
      Springs Old Boy said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:14am | ! Report

      Looking forward to the game – in my book both teams are equally inconsistent – they lose badly and then play a blinder 2 weeks later..

      I dont think theres any home ground advantage – the Wallabies hardly ever play in Perth.

      I remember watching a game in Brisbane where the Wallabies won 49 -0 – I don’t see that on your list – that’s the day I threw my South African flag away – I couldn’t understand how 15 professional sportsmen could not score a single point in a game of Rugby … shameful.

    • September 9th 2017 @ 9:36am
      Tooly said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:36am | ! Report

      If you subscribe to the BS from Chekko , Hoopo and the commentators we will continue with the fantastic form we have shown recently when poor refereeing cost us three wins .
      If you are a realist you will wonder if we can match it in the forwards with SA and if not will the referee allow it to be a factor . Our scrum will be under pressure as will our lineout far better Simmons at six than Hanrahan . McMahon hasn’t changed he has no regard for self preservation and unlike Flash Mick he gets involved . I really do fear for his longevity . Our backs if well coached with some sensible kicking and not over coached in drills would have the better of it but who knows in this circus with Chekko , Larko , Natho , Kaffo and Micko all having a say . Far better to get MARK ELLA and TIM HORAN .

      • September 9th 2017 @ 9:59am
        Ben said | September 9th 2017 @ 9:59am | ! Report

        Poor refereeing cost us 3 wins…..siiiighhhhh!!!!!

      • Roar Guru

        September 9th 2017 @ 10:22am
        PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:22am | ! Report

        where did cheika ever say anything about the ref costing them against nz in the first game?

        I can’t remember him saying anything about the ref against scotland either

        The scrum will be under pressure. Not sure about the lineout though, the boks backrow is not tall either nor renowned jumpers.

        Against the very mobile bok backrow no way should the slower simmons have been picked. If the wallabies played a territory game and kicked out a lot then sure but they don’t have the kickers nor game plan to select a lock at 6.

        • September 9th 2017 @ 10:39am
          Jacko said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:39am | ! Report

          When ranting about the Rhetallick incident he said “there goes the test match right there”….blaming the ref for not sending him off

          • Roar Guru

            September 9th 2017 @ 10:47am
            PeterK said | September 9th 2017 @ 10:47am | ! Report

            try and keep up or read what is actually written ,that was the 2nd nz game, I asked about the 1st nz game.

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