Fair points - although I'm only rating Valverde when it comes to the Plan Bs of each of the main teams. It's more than likely that he will finish higher than any of the Sky, Tinkoff or Astana riders who aren't Froome/Contador/Nibali.
Read on and you'll see that I rate the French guys more than the Spanish veteran when it comes to having a dig at the podium. Pinot looks very sharp, in particular.
Thanks for reading and your thoughts - you're certainly right in that Valverde's days as a bona fide Grand Tour contender are behind him. But he can still have a say on his day.
Looks like Bouhanni may not race now following his crash in the French national championships... so that's another fallen by the wayside. Cavendish put in a monster display in finishing second in the British championships - climbing solidly and almost taking the race to Peter Kennaugh. Perhaps Cav is the man to beat for green after all.
A follower of mine on Twitter, @SimoneWarner, also made this very astute point: this year was the first time since GreenEdge started out that the team has failed to win any medals at the Aussie national championships - both the road race and time trial, and both men and women. Food for thought!