JPK will have a little help think. Luke Parker was after all the runner up in last year's Brownlow. But as to whether we should give Port a hiding? We are very young and have quite a few players out. We have opted for a small backline and Port will have plenty of talls. This could make a huge difference. Last year's form means nothing. This is a new season. We all start on no points. Port will be keen to break that dreadful SCG drought today. The Swans will have to be on their game. Rider back makes a huge difference, even if he isn't one of the best players as yet he will be after he gets some continuous game time. But he will do stuff that hurt you especially when resting.
Port have drafted very well, especially their Rookies. The Swans have also drafted well. This should be a better game than scribes are predicting. Much closer I bet.
Cameron I think you misread how important Aliir was in the GF push. He had starred at CHB. To lose him a week before the GF was devastating. We also did the unthinkable and took players who were not match fit into a GF. We have done this under Longmire twice now (2014 was a debacle and we would never have won it but to take unfit players into a game in the first place lowers the confidence of others). Mills and McVeigh were not match ready and should not have played. Longmire has a set of blinkers on in this situation and seems to have the attitude 'Better the Devil You Know'. There is an old saying that comes from Norm Smith who said 'never taker players who aren't right into a final let alone a GF, they'll be found wanting when it gets tough'. I would have played Towers & Cunningham in the GF.
I think you are a bit harsh on Robinson as he spent the majority of last season injured after a shoulder reconstruction. He was playing really good footy up until then and his manic pressure was a catalyst to many forward thrusts. Brandon Jack, Towers, Rose, Dawson (unfortunately for Jordan he has spent a lot of time on the injury list but his best is really good so far), Newman, Leonardis all have to show more than a bit this season or...
Agree with most of what you say and I too think the key to the Swans is in the coaching box and to a lesser extent in the players minds. I think if the right moves are there the players will perform. But if you play the defensive extra against sides like Bullies, GWS, Saints etc you are going to be one down in the mids and because they run the ball you get exposed.The extra in defense is no good if they are running the ball in and kicking over his head. so Longmire has to trust his defensive unit and match teams at the coalface, otherwise no premiership and lucky to make the eight as all sides will start to play us that way.
I'm not sure Zac Jones fits into the break out category. He played mighty footy last year on the HALF BACK FLANK MATTY. This year in the JTL he has been used in the midfield so will probably play mids at the start of the year and Mills will stay at HB. If anyone needs a breakout year after being off for one year it is Sam Reid. He has never really taken a season on and totally dominated. He has had moments but...
You never know one of the new draftees might just have a breakout year. After all 'a breakout year' simply means passing every past achievement. Which is what every supporter hopes every player at their club will do. If you mean 'who will be the big improver at your club' say so, then we can restrict it to players who played last year.
Some of the names you mention have achieved quite a lot already so I'd look at players who looked to have improved in the JTL or who had injuries last year or in the last few years. But not players who have already regularly achieved a high level before. Take my pick of Reid for instance, he has promised so much and never quite delivered. That is the sort of player to pinpoint or a new player, a draftee or trade.
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