The end of the centurion goal kickers

By Steve Ingham / Roar Rookie

Before Lance Franklin in 2008, who was the last player to kick 100 goals in a home and away season? Three-time Coleman Medallist Matthew Lloyd? Nope. Two-time winner Brendan Fevola? No, the closest he got was 99 in 2008.

Was it Jonathon Brown, Fraser Gehrig, Alastair Lynch or any of the other gun forwards of the competition throughout the 2000s?

No, no, no and no. It was the great Tony Lockett in 1998 when he kicked 107 for the Sydney Swans on the way to his fourth Coleman Medal.

In the 1990s, we as football fans were truly blessed. It was the era of the power forward. Lockett, along with Hawk Jason Dunstall, Geelong’s Gary Ablett Snr and Crow turned Docker Tony Modra shared 11 of the 12 Coleman medals between 1987 and 1998.

Of those 12 years, only John Longmire (1990 – 98) and Modra (1997 – 81) managed to win the medal without cracking the ton. The biggest haul was Dunstall when he won his third medal with an incredible 139. Yeah, one hundred and thirty-nine!

While the 90s was an amazing generation that boasted some of the greatest forwards to ever play the game in Lockett, Dunstall and Ablett, not to mention other players such as Wayne Carey, Stephen Kernahan, Matthew Richardson and also Eagle Peter Sumich, that’s not to say this current crop of forwards are short on talent. But will we ever see another century kicked in the home and away season?

Forwards in this era are asked to do a lot more than in previous years. With forward presses, flooding, increased requirement for forwards to present up the ground and bench rotations, it’s not a stretch to say that the role of a Lance Franklin or Jack Riewoldt is absolutely nothing like the role Lockett or Dunstall played in the same position.

Jack Riewoldt is probably the closest player we have to a traditional full forward. Yet, against Essendon on Saturday night where he was soundly beaten by future Bombers star Michael Hurley, Riewoldt was routinely leading for the ball up on the wing trying to get the ball over the top of the Bombers zone.

While that may be a good team tactic, it’s no coincidence that with tactics like these, forwards aren’t kicking bags of goals. Riewoldt last season won the Coleman Medal in his breakout season. His total of 78 goals was the fourth time since 2002 that the seasons leading goal kicker hadn’t kicked 80 goals, the lowest of those Gehrig in 2005 with just 74.

So is 80 the new 100? The leading goal kickers of 2011 so far, are Riewoldt (47 goals, 21 behinds with six games left), Franklin (46.42 with seven), Travis Cloke (43.29 with seven), Josh Kennedy (41.23 with seven) and Carlton’s Andrew Walker (40.18 with six).

Of the top five, Franklin’s 88 shots suggests he should be closer to 60 or 65 goals, but the other four have all been quite accurate as well. On the pace displayed, Franklin’s 3.5 goals a game would see him finish the season with around 70 goals, and probably a second career Coleman medal.

So much so has the ballpark changed for centurion goal kickers, Richmond told anyone who would listen that this season their aim was for Riewoldt to kick fewer goals. They said their focus was too heavily centred on the young guy in the number 8 jumper, and they had become far too predictable.

If they were to improve, they had to find more avenues to goal. This year they have done that, with Tyrone Vickery (27 goals), Dustin Martin (24) and Jake King (21) all becoming legitimate goal scoring threats. Last year, no Tiger kicked more than 15 goals for the season. Vickery, Martin and King are already past 15 and with six games to go, Trent Cotchin is on 15 for the season and Robin Nahas 14. Better for the team yes. But not for the full forward.

So in the era of presses, zones, rotations, altitude training and versatile forward lines, will we ever see another player kick his 100th goal for the season, and the crowd stream on to the ground from all pockets to celebrate?

Maybe, but don’t hold your breath. It won’t be anytime soon.

The Crowd Says:

2011-07-22T11:44:43+00:00

Seano

Guest


The fitness guys don't let them get big enough either, and if a player like Modra came in now they would ask him to play a "role" if 80 is the new ton how good was fevs year in a rubbish team? Buddy had an awesome year but that year for the first 12 weeks roughy had the number 1 defender, that helps. I think jack would kick a ton with a good CHF in the team. Maybe Tex walker from the crows? -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download The Roar's iPhone App in the App Store here.

2011-07-22T04:36:09+00:00

Ian Whitchurch

Guest


They did - check any of the old footage. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lz5qjuXuTaY - every time Dunstall has his hands on the ball, he's got two or more players around him

2011-07-22T04:06:05+00:00

Andy Keeffe

Guest


it is essentially dead though. as defences double-team star fwds. why they didnt do that in the past i dont know... on the other hand , offences wont go to the same player over and over out of fear of being predictable enabling the opponent to double-team that fwd

2011-07-22T00:09:56+00:00

Ian Whitchurch

Guest


If Israel Folau succeeds as a full forward, and indications from the seconds seem that he might, then we should see a bunch of physically dominant prospects brought into AFL and taught to kick, catch and lead - and my feeling is that Folau will succeed, because it's easier to simplify a game plan to "And if you dont see anything else, kick it to the big bloke in the square" than find a traditional full forward and pay him Jonathon Brown money. Here's an example ... Schuylar Oordt, a currently unemployed 6 foot six young man with a thirty six inch vertical jump and an ability to catch. Currently weighing in at about 110 kilos, he will need to shed some weight to play AFL - but if you want a full forward, then six six and a vertical leap three inches short of Nic Natinui's is a good place to start. http://www.nfl.com/combine/profiles/schuylar-oordt?id=2495321 has his combine scores, and he is twenty four years old. If you figure three years of development will leave him too old, then look at 22 year old Virgil Green, if he gets cut from training camp at the Denver Broncos, which is a pretty decent chance for a seventh round tight end (Mr Green is six three and has a 42 inch vertical leap, by the way). http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings/dsprofile.php?pyid=79806&draftyear=2011&genpos=TE

2011-07-21T20:39:13+00:00

Trev

Guest


I seem to recall before the 08 season people saying the 100+ goal kicker is dead before Franklin porved them wrong. Forwards will still crack the ton just wont be as often as it used too be with the press/zones and also the fact that teams dont want a sole forward to be their goal kicker and perfer too share it around.

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