It's showtime in the NBA: Spurs v Thunder

By Adrian Bauk / Roar Guru

The Western Conference finals have been decided after the Oklahoma City Thunder finished off the Los Angeles Lakers in five games. They will meet the red hot San Antonio Spurs who haven’t lost a match in over a month.

This should be a great series. Two teams who love to run and gun and have weapons who on any given night could steal a game from their opposition. There are some great match-ups on show and I can’t wait for it to begin.

I think I recall ESPN Australia are going to be showing all Eastern and Western Conference final games live. This is great for basketball fans in our country. Hopefully it leads to one day bringing over NBA TV so we can stop flogging our internet usage meter.

I’m going to go through the match-ups and see who I think comes out on top in each. I’d love to hear what you all think.

Point Guard: Tony Parker v Russell Westbrook
I believe Tony is going to win this match-up quite comfortably. I can’t wait too see how Rusty goes when he matches up against a guard who can play. In the first two series he has had an old Jason Kidd and then Ramon Sessions (I can’t believe I even referred to Sessions in my blog). The big question mark I have is if Westbrook will have learned from previous years when he has struggled. I don’t think he will.

The reason I say this because he has been given a massive confidence boost playing against the muppets in the first two series. If he had tough opponents in the first two series it may have gotten him ready for the big show. Tony Parker on the other hand is a seasoned veteran when it comes to the Western Conference finals. He has had to battle with Chris Paul (even though injured he is miles ahead of Kidd and Sessions) over the four games. It will have gotten him ready for this contest much more than Rusty.

VERDICT: Tony Parker goes about his business much better and wins this match-up.

Shooting Guard: Daniel Green v Thabo Sefolosha
How good is Danny Green going this season? He is going to have a much tougher time this series with the much longer Thabo. His speed could trouble Sefolosha which could mean James Harden sees more minutes than usual. If Green can average double digits in this series it will help the team dramatically.

Thabo has been struggling with his shot over the last two series and will need to hit his corner three ball to help the big three with the scoring. He is going to need to regain the trust of KD and Rusty, otherwise Spurs will leave him alone and have a bigger focus on the big three.

VERDICT: Green has been a star this season and I can’t see this changing. Thabo’s inability to keep up with Green may be good for the Thunder as Harden will see much more time. Green takes this one for me.

Small Forward: Kawhi Leonard v Kevin Durant
We all know what KD is capable of. He is one of, if not the most, lethal scorers in the NBA at the moment. He will have his hands full though with Leonard. This kid is going to be a superstar. In his rookie year for the Spurs he has been a shining light. His hustle and determination alone is unseen in most NBA franchises. Even though he is only averaging 24 minutes, it’s what he brings in those 24 minutes that is so impressive.

I don’t think you could play that hard for 48 minutes. He is going to have to stay out of foul trouble while trying to make KD’s life tough. I think he can make Durant play defence a hell of a lot more that Metta World Peace did. That could play a part in Durant’s ability to last the 48. Could Leonard be the X-Factor that gets the Spurs through?

VERDICT: You can’t go past KD in this one. The bloke is just too good. Leonard has to make Durant fight for every point on both ends of the floor.

Power Forward: Boris Diaw v Serge Ibaka
I’m really looking forward to this one. Both of these guys can hit their jump shots when left open which could be quite often in this series. On the offensive side I have to give it to Diaw. I think he can bring Ibaka out of the paint which will let Parker do his thing.

If Ibaka comes out to guard Diaw he has the drive to get by Serge. His width could also be troubling. This could force Kendrick Perkins to guard Diaw. On the other end of the floor, however, Ibaka shines. His ability to block shots could be worrying for the Spurs. Parker gets a lot of his points close to the basket, Diaw is going to have to hit his shots to force Serge outside the painted area.
VERDICT: If I had a gun to my head I’d pick Ibaka as he could potentially stop Parker from getting his easy baskets. However, if Diaw is hitting his shots Ibaka could become a non factor.

Centre: Tim Duncan v Kendrick Perkins
Duncan has found a new lease of life this season. It is maybe because he has so many talented youngsters surrounding him. I’m not sure, but whatever it is, it’s working. I can see Perkins trying to muscle Duncan around like he has done with Bynum.

I think Duncan has too many veteran tricks when it comes to not allowing himself to be fronted. When Duncan gets the ball either in the post or in his favourite spot just off it, I don’t see Perks being able to stop his bank shot or his slick post moves. It was easy for him with Bynum as he could just body him up or front him.

He will be dead tired after a few minutes and Nick Collison could be called upon a lot more. On the other end Duncan won’t have to do too much work guarding Perks. If Perkins can find a way to slow down the rejuvenated game of Timmy D it could be the key to the Thunder going through to the NBA finals.

VERDICT: Duncan wins this and gives Scotty Brooks nightmares with who to put on him.

Sixth Man: Manu Ginobili v James Harden
Two of the best players in the league to come off the bench and change the game for their respective teams. They’re both left handed which causes trouble for opposition defences but will now go toe to toe.

These guys are really important by letting the key players have a breather. They are the rock in the second unit. If they aren’t playing well, it could see the game slip into the opponents hands. These two rarely let that happen. I personally think Manu is on another level, I think Harden will reach this level in a couple of years. The Spurs have many guys they can throw on Harden to upset his game. It’s how he reacts to this will be a big factor in them winning or losing.

VERDICT: I believe Manu’s smarts and ability to hit big time shots and make big time plays are what gets him this match-up.

On the bench:
This is an easy one for me. The Spurs have had the deepest bench in the league all season long. They all have playoff experience and have played plenty of minutes throughout the playoffs. I can’t say the same about the Thunder. Nick Collison and Derek Fischer are all they really have. I’d much prefer a 10 man deep bench then an 8. Foul trouble could kill the thunder in this series.

VERDICT: Spurs by a long way.

Coach: Gregg Popovich v Scott Brooks
The Master versus The Apprentice. Pop has shown he is more than capable of dealing with his star studded roster this season and in the playoffs. He will have no problem in this series. The big question I have with Scotty Brooks is his ability to take control of Rusty. Will he be able to pull him aside when the going gets tough and tell him to get the ball to Durant and Harden? I don’t think so.

VERDICT: Pop.

There are plenty of great match-ups but I think the Spurs take this one in six. The Spurs play their guys for not as many minutes as the Thunder and that will be the telling tale as the series gets deeper.

I can’t wait for the series to begin. I believe the winner of this takes the championship out, unless they take each other out and have no players left for the finals!

The Crowd Says:

2012-05-26T06:34:39+00:00

Internal Fixation

Guest


PS - Baloney? Rasheed Wallace at PF is a decent post player and also a massive offensive upgrade on anyone on the Thunder at present. He worked more often from the high or wide block but the wingmen played off him. Where are the other teams you speak of that make my statement "baloney"?

2012-05-24T04:56:42+00:00

Samuel Candido

Roar Rookie


Whoever wins this series will smash the East!!

2012-05-24T04:55:44+00:00

Samuel Candido

Roar Rookie


OKC in 6 or 7 for me, KD is becoming the resident clutch guy in the league, and the big difference between this year and last year - Westbrook is on fire and just as important to this team as KD. Man this is going to be a series for the ages I cannot wait!!!

2012-05-23T06:03:17+00:00

Lily

Guest


Adrian when are you going to propose. It seems it's just betting and basketball that you are interested in. What about me? Didnt you realise my food blog was a cry for help. Im just a girl writing to you to say, "marry me". ps I still love you even though you cant rely on your 12 foot jump shot anymore. Note from moderators: This is a great stitch-up. Good luck with that Mr Baulk!

2012-05-23T01:31:39+00:00

Kenjie lim

Guest


I think u (purple shaq) might be so right my man! Okc has the youth & talent.. Now All they need now is the maturity & poise.. Watch out they showed it against d' past champs like Dallas & lakers..my opinion Okc has Gr8ter chance to Win if The refs Stay out of d way & not Favor d oldies.. Come on NBA.. Spurs got it 4 times already.. Give d young 1's a break. :)

2012-05-23T00:34:57+00:00

Worlds Biggest

Guest


Brilliant piece Adrian, well done. Agree the winner of this series will win it all. I say this as a Celtics fan. Both the Spurs & Thunder are very impressive and will be too good for the Eastern Conference team who ever that will be, anyone's guess really. Both Western teams are in great form and well rested after comprehensive second round wins. This will go to 7 games with the Spurs home court advantage being the deciding factor. Pop has done a terrific job with an aging roster to have them contending once again. Nice litle Aussie influence also with Boomers Coach Brett Brown assisting Pop and Patty Mills contributing off the bench.

2012-05-22T23:28:32+00:00

Eric George

Guest


It's a bit hard to point at that Detroit L.A. series as evidence you can score without an post presence, the Lakers were in full on meltdown at that point in regards to team chemistry. The Spurs have the most balanced offense in the league, unlike the Thunder who have proven to struggle when Russ and KD can't hit the freethrow line jumper. Like I.F. I'll take consistent scoring over streaky talents, and I do think that Popovich can make an epic difference in this series. Although I think that between Russ, K.D. and Harden the Thunder have enough scoring to steal a few games, especially on their noisy home court I think that the Spurs will win it in 6.

AUTHOR

2012-05-22T22:17:01+00:00

Adrian Bauk

Roar Guru


No I'm a Toronto Raptors fan. KD is one of my favourite players, it's pointless writing about him. Everyone knows how good he is, not many people know how good Leonard is though. KD is one of a kind mate, very hard to go past him!

2012-05-22T22:05:17+00:00

jamesb

Guest


I reckon Oklahoma will win in 6. Thunder have been impressve the last couple of years, and I believe they'll go close to winning the whole thing as well

2012-05-22T21:49:44+00:00

Marlin

Guest


I'm guessing you're a spurs fan. I think you had almost convinced yourself leonard had it over KD -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download The Roar's iPhone App in the App Store here.

2012-05-22T19:55:27+00:00

Purple Shag

Roar Guru


IF - that is baloney. The pistons beat the lakers in 5 not too long back and did it all through their backcourt/wingmen (Billups/Prince/Hamilton) and, of course, they put the D in Detriot which is so often the case with their sucessful teams. Ben Wallace had nothing with his back to the basket (although he was an animal & a huge piece of that championship puzzle) and Rasheed was a spot up guy more than a mover and shaker down on the block. It matters not that OKC don't have that offensively, cause they have a 6'10" scoring champ who can stroke it like a h0rny teen and who hits clutch shots. I can't see Spurs defending Durant, because it is basically impossible. The important thing is OKC can match up defensively down on the block, and Perk can get that done. These 2 teams are like night & day, so it will make for some compelling viewing. Spurs have an impressive points spread with a large number of contributors, OKC's offensive goes almost exclusively through their backcourt & their 6th man getting into the lane. A few issues with your summation though Adrian. I think Westbrook is taking it to the next level. This is his time to show the world, and although you point out he has, thus far, faced inferior opponents, I think he'll have the measure of Parker. Westbrook's numbers have been strong, he is playing great D and has, most importantly, managed to get that balance right of getting the ball to KD enough but also getting shits himself. He even hit a hell of a circus shot in game 5, so he might even have some luck on his side. Spurs have been there before and done it many times, but I believe we are about to witness the changing of the guard in the West. OKC in 6.

2012-05-22T19:18:59+00:00

Internal Fixation

Guest


The biggest factor I think in this series is that the Thunder lack a back to the basket big man. While Durant is a threat in the post he is not going to be able to spend a lot of time banging bodies down there. If you look at recent NBA history no teams have won it all without a legitimate post threat. Duncan, Diaw and Splitter are all superior back to the basket offensive players than anyone on the Thunder. Ibaka has the potential to add this last piece to his game but he is not there yet. In fact the last team to win without a significant offensive post threat was the 98 Bulls (apologies to Longley who was an awesome passer in the triangle system). Unfortunately, as you mentioned, Westbrook is no Pippen in terms of ability to play second fiddle and while it will go to seven the home court will give the Spurs the win. -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download The Roar's iPhone App in the App Store here.

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