What could South Africa look like post-Super Rugby?

By The Crowd / Roar Guru

Reading a few articles and opinions lately, it has become increasingly clear that many aren’t satisfied with the format of the current Super Rugby competition.

Opinions vary widely. Some people argue that the Super Rugby season is too long, encroaching and impacting upon other domestic competitions. Others say that the structure of the tournament does not lead to a fair qualification process.

Travel fatigue and poor management of players have also impacted on injuries and the quality of the Rugby Championship.

A popular idea is to expand Super Rugby to include up to eight teams per country. How would this be feasible? It would certainly make for an interesting debate.

But here is the real reason for this article. Some have suggested that South Africa should be discarded from Super Rugby, leaving Australia and New Zealand to participate in an eight-teams-each, Trans-Tasman competition.

Eliminating South Africa would reduce the cost of travel. Many people argue that more convenient kick-off times would also be introduced. That’s a tad of the mark in my view, because Super Rugby is also broadcast live into Europe.

Be that as it may, I have been pondering the outcome for the South Africans if they were to remove themselves from the equation.

Realistically, there are three options. Join up with Argentina in a Trans-Atlantic Super Rugby competition (we do have a strong bond with them), join up with the money tycoons in Europe, or simply go it alone.

Joining Argentina is impractical at this point in time as they have no professional structure, and to be honest, what is the difference between travelling eight hours west or ten hours east?

Joining Europe would mean playing in two different seasons, a horrendously inconvenient arrangement, for financial reasons only.

The only logical conclusion is to once again go it alone. So the main obstacle would obviously be finances and whether domestic rugby in South Africa would be able to sustain itself from the local market.

Having done some research into television viewership numbers from SuperSport, the following statistics came up.

Viewership average per game:
Super Rugby – 347,469
Absa Premiership – 371,389
Vodacom Cup – 165,995

In comparison with that, the English test series had an average viewership of 1,065,177.

Two things are clear from these figures: test rugby is by far the biggest revenue contributor to the SARU, and the Currie Cup has lost none of its attraction.

When comparing spectator numbers between the Currie Cup and Super Rugby, there is a marked drop for the domestic competition, however what must be taken into consideration is the fact that the Currie Cup has to do without the Springboks. That doesn’t happen during the Super Rugby season.

My conclusion is that SARU can consider going it alone.

April to May (Knock-out Cup)
14 Provinces (excluding their Super Rugby players), including Namibia and Los Pampas from Argentina, in a Knock-out Cup. The Knock-out Cup will consist of a round of 16, round of eight, round of four and a final, totalling four weeks.

March to May (Premier Division)
The Premier division, (the five existing Super Rugby franchises plus the Kings), will be a home and away round robin with semi-finals and a final, totalling 12 weeks.

June to November (Development Cup)
Once the preparation for the June test series starts, the Development Cup (now Vodacom Cup) will be strengthened by all the Super Rugby franchise players (excluding the Springboks), and will run from June to November for a home and away round robin with semi-finals and a final, totalling 26 weeks.

These three competitions will bring about three groups of players:

Those playing in the Knock-out Cup (four matches) and the Development Cup (26 matches), for a total of no more than 30 matches.

The next group will be involved in the Premier division (12 matches) and the Development Cup (26 matches), for a total of no more than 38 matches. Some management of players will be essential here.

The international players will be involved in the Premier Division (12 matches) and test matches (12 matches), for a total of no more than 24 matches.

The benefits are numerous:

1. Better player management.
2. Less travel.
3. Tests will once again become ‘tests’ and the familiarity will disappear.
4. No sharing of revenue to make up for lost revenue.
5. The SARU will be able to make adjustments and grow their Super Rugby franchises without the need for approval from their SANZAR partners.
6. Domestic rugby will once again regain top priority.
7. Less games will mean less injuries.
8. The focus will once again be back on domestic rugby and the development of our players.

My theory may not be 100 per cent accurate, as there is plenty of conjecture about the basis for my reasoning.

However, even if revenue streams are impacted in some way, overall costs will be reduced, and the importance of not having to accommodate SANZAR partners cannot be underestimated.

Having said all of that, I am not against the Super Rugby competition, even if it does need to be reviewed. The season is too long and the teams are not all playing one another.

If South Africa does withdraw from Super Rugby, I would advise the SARU not to get into bed with other unions.

The Crowd Says:

2012-09-29T15:48:33+00:00

Kevin higginson

Guest


Matt, your idea is great. I think that 6 teams per conference will be the next step. The inter conference fixtures could be similar to the NFL, in that strong teams play strong teams. So the top 3 SA teams would play the top 3 teams from Aus and NZ, and the bottom 3 teams play the bottom 3 teams. This still would give a 16 game season. It would also mean that the season would be fairer for weaker teams, hence creating more movement between top teams, just look at NFL for the number of different teams that win. The only other change should be more private investors and also allow any player from SANZAR including Arg players to play for any team, and restrict teams to a salary cap.

2012-09-28T07:50:43+00:00


Matt, I like the idea of the Super frnachises to dissappear and the Provinces compete in the super Rugby competition, but with NZ having central contracts with their players (which I beleive is a grat benefit) how will you incorporate private provincial entities if they don't have control of their players? I have promoted the idea of having the Conferences play a double round robin and find the qualifiers from there to compete in a super 9's tournamnet after the conclusion of the Conference rounds. You idea of having the Provinces qualify on promotion and relegation is great, because then all provinces in SA and NZ stand a chance to compete in the Super Rugby tournament. If I look at SA as an example, our Currie Cup has a premier and 1st division, the top six plays in the Conference and the bottom team has to play the top team in the 1st division to remain for the next year. Then I also agree the revenue streams must be fair to all participating provinces.

2012-09-28T07:19:26+00:00

Matt

Guest


As a Kiwi I also lament the way Super Rugby is crowding out the NPC (ITM Cup these days). The provincial sides have much more passionate support and the rugby is generally more entertaining with a lot more attacking endeavour and new young names bursting on to the scene. Having too much of the same sides week in week out definitely does dilute the enjoyment for NZ fans also. I don't think it is a step to far to replace the Super Rugby conferences with Provincial Currie Cup and NPC sides. At present the Super Rugby teams are virtually the old major provinces anyway. And the current provinces are no longer representative sides of the local areas best players, they're virtual clubs where you buy in whatever talent you need along side the locals who have come through the academy. I'd personally like to see a sustainable format tabled and ratified, similar to the one I outlined (including the Japanese) and the calendar fixed to provide a stable seasonal format. Then I'd like to see the SANZAR countries enforce more revenue equalisation and create contracts for the creation of private provincial entities. These could be in the form of licenses, but they'd basically stipulate things like release of players for X number of Test matches each season and the percentage of revenue paid to the professional domestic teams from Test revenue. If you ironed out a robust contracting system then you could sell off the provincial pro sides to private individuals/consortiums and alleviate a lot of the cost on the national unions. That money can then be directed more towards the amateur game and the private guys can go about creating the interest and promotion for the domestic pro game. This basically means creating a platform of about 6-8 pro teams per SANZAR country, who will play in the domestic league and also take part in the cross border Super Rugby competition. You might look to include promotion/relegation to a lower domestic tier, but you'd have to firm in linking spending to revenue to ensure teams don't push themselves to bankruptcy. While the Rugby Championships are on you could instead play club rugby (which will be a 100% amateur Tier 3 below the Pro domestic level). I think there is a healthy balance there to be found. At present I don't think there are quite enough pro teams in each country at Tier 2 level (the level directly below test matches). I also think there are too many teams at Tier 3 level (Currie Cup, ITM) who are spending money that doesn't really exist sustainably. But you can't just make the 3rd tier amateur overnight without creating more Tier 2 pro teams, as you will cut off the number of places for talented players to make a Rugby career at home and they'll head overseas young (as they do in football). So it has to be a total strategy implement in unison. To me it is such a postive topic though, we really are lucky to have three strong and ambitious rugby nations, with Argentina also coming on board, so I'm sure it just needs time to pan out.

2012-09-28T00:26:43+00:00

chris

Guest


I like that there are steps being taken to revive club game. The next step would be to revive some of the proud clubs such as the army and the police teams. Elsewhere I argue that a 6 team currie cup does not offer enough opportunities for players, but I also think that 14 is too many. Economically South Africa can only realistically support about eight competitive teams*. I doný have much problem with diluting the talent , but teams playing out of Welkom, George, East London and Wellington are never going to generate enough money to challenge the big centres consistently. * It may have been possible have more teams if the big centres (JHB, CT, PTA and DBN) were subdivided, but with the exception of the Lions, the existing brands in these centres would crush any new upstart.

2012-09-28T00:16:34+00:00

chris

Guest


As a South African I love Super Rugby. The games are typically great quality and I can support other South African teams as long as they are playing the Antipodean hordes. That being said, the season is too long and there are too many derby matches. At its best, Superrugby has always been about the best teams from three countries going hammer and tong where only the best of the best survived. We have already seen this season how injuries and bench strength can define a campaign. To me that seems wrong. I want to see the best teams going at it, not who can survive the grind of a long season. Derby games are fine, but I get no more excited about my team the Stormers playing the Sharks for the second time in the season than I would be if they were facing the Canes or the Waratahs. I hate how super rugby is crowding out the Currie Cup. We are already down to only 6 teams in the premier division, that is simply too few slots for pro players and will lead to too much talent falling through the cracks or rotting on the vine at the big unions.

2012-09-27T23:21:00+00:00

tc

Guest


Matt I am sick and tired of your realistic logic do you want to be banned from this sight

2012-09-27T23:03:35+00:00

tc

Guest


Jean Polet The USA is not years away there is a serious push by the NZRFU to have them in Super Rugby in 2016.

2012-09-27T21:35:33+00:00


True.

2012-09-27T21:16:20+00:00

Matt

Guest


Well 5 teams per conference will actually require 10 weeks for a double round robin (as one team has to have a bye each week). So adding a sixth team to each conference doesn't actually require any more length to the season.

2012-09-27T20:57:12+00:00


Matt, I admit the solution is challenging, but for me the credibility of the competition is key. Some may say you can't get a fair competition, well then in my opinion they haven't tried hard enough. We know SANZAR wanted more derbies, that I have no issue with. So if there are 5 teams per conference it will take 8 weeks, if there are 6 teams then it will take 10 weeks to complete the derbies. So if that is fixed, find a solution for a fair cross conference stage. There aren't really that many options available. 1. Have a single round robin for the top three teams per conference, play the other nations teams once that qualified, 6 matches. From your own conference you take 4 log points if you beat your opponent both times, if you won one each you take 2 points, if you lost both, you carry 0 points to the super 9 section. This will take 7 weeks considering you need a bye week for travel. In tital with 6 teams per conference we are now up to 17 weeks, then semi and final, totalling 19 weeks.

2012-09-27T20:56:51+00:00

garth

Guest


WHY do Australians persist in thinking in terms of club sides? Especially in regards to South African & New Zealand rugby. In both countries CLUB sides are the small fry, the local, community-based teams that draw there players & fans from their own community. Teams like Auckland, Taranaki & Southland are REPRESENTATIVE sides that select their players from a defined geographical region, with a few exceptions. They are NOT club sides. Nor are they S15 teams club sides, they too are Regional, representative sides. The top provincial sides from SA, combined provincial teams from NZ. In Australia, the S15 teams are also, in theory, rep. sides. So , again, why do so many posters on this site keep refering to them as CLUBS? On the topic of private backers/owners, not going to happen as representative teams are not attractive to private ownership because they are rep. sides. Too many interested parties with a say in what happens. Would the Queensland RU sell off it's own team and say good by to any control and all revenue? I don't think so.

2012-09-27T20:53:43+00:00

Matt

Guest


Financially you'd want to limit the amount of rounds with limited participants. Like it or not you require a certain quantity to go with the quality. If you suddenly half the amount of teams playing you aren't guaranteed to suddenly double the viewers per match. If you only have 6-8 teams per nation then you can't afford to have some playing a 'Super' series while the others miss out. All that would do over time is see some teams earn more money and the talent then migrate to those sides. SARU, for example wouldn't appreciate the Bulls missing out on the Super series and having all those Springboks missing out on weeks of play. In a way you can see this affect in dramatic fashion with the Lions. No Super Rugby and all the stars are bailing ship. Part of the premise of Super Rugby was also that it ensured that all the nations best players were on the paddock week in week out, gaining experience for test match rugby. I don't think we will see a qualification type Super Rugby tournament until the national unions who make up SANZAR relinquish ownership of the game to private individuals. Just look at the way that Taranaki, with it's cashed up private backers, have been turned away by the NZRU when trying to push for more control over how to run their potential Super Rugby side. I believe the most balanced approach for SANZAR is the one outlined above. It ticks most of the boxes and requires the least upheaval. There is also still the possiblity of moving to private equity in the future.

2012-09-27T20:40:24+00:00

Matt

Guest


We've already been down the path of everyone playing everyone and the simple fact was that the fans didn't really care about watching teams from other countries and having their teams play so many games in foreign time zones. It meant less people watching, less money and more travel costs. A 17 week round robin means some teams will spent 9 weeks overseas, that's half the season. And even within a full round robin some teams will still get easier rounds, depending on injuries, form and when they get the bye. You have to accept you'll never get an even draw for everyone, especially when there is no salary cap across the competition. When will SARU allow the Cheetahs, for example to compete on an even playing field to the Stormers or Bulls and ensure they have the same playing budget? There could be a few options for who plays who in a smaller cross-over competition. Either a random draw at the start of the season, simply the teams you didn't play last season or even a head to head depending on last seasons rankings. Either way, with less cross-over games you diminish the impact of this aspect and put more emphasis on the conference/derby games. Surely another positive?

2012-09-27T20:31:45+00:00

garth

Guest


only if they STAY in the S15, pull out and their skills & fitness will drop off.

2012-09-27T20:29:18+00:00

garth

Guest


it would provide the illusion that the depth problems had been solved at super rugby level. At test level the Wallabies would just get worse. Look at English football, strong premier league, weak national side.

2012-09-27T19:51:26+00:00

AndyS

Guest


That's the Heineken Cup...6 matches against only three of 23 teams, then knock-out rounds.

2012-09-27T19:12:44+00:00

richard

Guest


" We need to bring back tours" - your not wrong , God,I miss the old tours; this is the worst side - effect of professionalism. I hanker for the days when a touring team would play Auckland at Eden Park or Wellington at Athletic Park; I'm sure you feel the same way about it e.g the blue bulls at Loftus.... those were the days!

2012-09-27T18:53:02+00:00


No not necessarily, if they have 2 or 3 teams from within each conference qualify for a super6 of super 9 adter the conferences is done and dusted and then have a round robin wirh fewer teams the weaker or stronger conferences won't make a difference.

2012-09-27T18:30:17+00:00

kid k

Guest


Well then that makes SANZAR innovators doesnt it because they realised that closed conferences would just end up boring because we would essentially just be watching our local domestic comps and even with those conference examples you speak of the problem then comes from the fact that there are only three countries meaning three conferences which means if they did go for the closed conference rout you still wouldnt be happy because it would be easier for aussy teams to accumulate points meaning they would have more teams in the finals so i think SANZAR did well with what they did how would you in their shoes realistically come up with a product that doesnt reduce teams, keeps all the partners happy and appeases the tv broadcasters and viewers?

2012-09-27T18:14:09+00:00


True, however when you look at the format of conferences elsewhere, the conference competes to find the qualifiers and onlly then do the cross conference matches proceed with the qualifiers only.

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