With two weeks to go until the start of the 2012-13 NBA season, we take a look at the division leader and wildcard team from each of the six divisions.
Atlantic Division
Alfred’s Pick: New York Knicks
The Knicks have lost their starting guards from last season with Jeremy Lin moving to Houston and Landry Fields to Toronto. Despite this, they still appear a classy unit in the division with Boston on the way down and Philadelphia’s status questionable.
The Knicks have bought a 10 time All-Star point guard Jason Kidd and forward Marcus Camby. Kidd is expected to fill the void left by Lin while Camby adds a defensive presence to the team already with the reigning defensive player of the year, Tyson Chandler.
The team lacks speed but will make up for it as one of the best defensive teams in the league. Carmelo Anthony, Amar’e Stoudemire, Chandler and Kidd are all expected starters.
The Wildcard: Brooklyn Nets
Relocating from New Jersey will invigorate this team who have been disappointing for the majority of the past decade.
The acquisition of Joe Johnson from Atlanta will swing this team around, with teams no longer able to double team Deron Williams who has been a shining light for the struggling franchise.
The team showed tremendous faith in center Brook Lopez by extending his contract which ultimately sacrificed any chance of signing Dwight Howard. The Nets are set for a significant improvement on their 22-44 season with Lopez looking in career best form during the preseason.
Central Division
Alfred’s Pick: Indiana Pacers
Following the Pacers surprise run in last season’s playoffs, they can finish ahead of the Chicago Bulls who were exposed following an injury to Derrick Rose last season.
Roy Hibbert is developing into one of the best centres in the league and was integral to the team’s playoff run. David West, Danny Granger and Paul George all finished the previous season in excellent form and the young group of players are playing attractive team basketball.
They don’t boast any superstar names but as long as the off field departures of critical back office staff (Larry Bird) does not distract the team, they could surprise Chicago to steal the division.
The Wildcard: Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks made a huge play to contend this season during last season’s trade window by acquiring Monta Ellis from Golden State in exchange for Australian centre Andrew Bogut who had been riddled with injury after being taken first overall in 2005.
The addition of Ellis adds offensive flair to a team with an abundance of it in point guard Brendan Jennings. The two guards struggled to cohesively operate in the backcourt at the end of last season but have found a greater connection during the preseason with forward Ersan Ilyasova the beneficiary of the duo’s supply.
The two guards remain average for the holding abilities and will rely on others to chip in defensively which is the team’s biggest weakness. First round pick out of North Carolina, John Henson was one of the best rebound players in College last year and will get decent playing time.
Southeast Division
Alfred’s Pick: Miami Heat
They just win.
The reigning world champions have avoided salary restrictions which often hit following successful seasons but have been able to maintain all their stars for another season.
Surprising many, they have even signed 10 time All-Star guard Ray Allan to provide relief off the bench. The addition of Rashard Lewis adds additional relief for Chris Bosh but it is very difficult to find a weakness in the Heat team.
The Wildcard: Atlanta Hawks
Outside of Miami, this is the weakest division in the league which enabled the Hawks to make the playoffs last season. The remaining three teams: Orlando, Washington and Charlotte are all in rebuilding phases so Atlanta will get a few easy wins.
The loss of Joe Johnson will hurt the team but they let him go knowing they had Jeff Teague ready to go after his breakout year last season.
Northwest Division
Alfred’s Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder
OKC will be looking to revenge their disappointing finals series loss last season and will be returning with a near identical line up which has hereto proved successful.
To go one step further than last season’s finals defeat, guard Russell Westbrook needs to find greater shooting consistency which has infuriated Thunder fans at times.
It’s difficult to see obvious problems in the Thunder’s roster but their lack of depth on the bench requires Westbrook and Kevin Durant to play more than the coaching staff would like. If no bench players step up, an 82 game season might detract from the star duo’s playoff performances.
The Wildcard: Minnesota Timberwolves
The Wolves looked the goods last season with point guard Ricky Rubio playing well beyond his rookie status. After Rubio tore his ACL midseason, the Wolves did not look like the same team relying on Kevin Love to carry the team.
The acquisition of Brandon Roy from Portland will provide a double act alongside Rubio and should create some backcourt headaches for oppositions. Roy, a dominant point scorer in his first four seasons in Portland, struggled last season after his knees were diagnosed as a train wreck, but he’s impressed enough during the preseason to suggest he may be the team’s starting shooting guard.
Centre Nikola Pekovic has drastically improved since switching from the power forward position and will provide rebound relief for Kevin Love who can now concentrate on his offensive game more to make the Timberwolves the most improved team in the league.
Pacific Division
Alfred’s Pick: Los Angeles Lakers
Ron Artest, Pau Gasol, Dwight Howard, Kobe Bryant and Steve Nash. That’s a dangerous looking starting five which boast 33 All-Star appearances between them.
On paper, there is no weakness in this team but it’s now down to whether or not they can function as a successful team. Nash and Howard will continue doing what they do best by spreading assists and gobbling rebounds but Bryant stands to lose the most from these acquisitions.
Throughout his career, Bryant has been a ball handler with a drive first, pass second mentality. With Nash in the team, Bryant will either love the lack of attention or get frustrated by his lack of dominance in the team. Either way, they still win the division.
Get used to hearing, “Howard gets the rebound. Nash brings the ball forward. Nash lays it off to Bryant. Bryant drives, and it’s in!”
The Wildcard: Los Angeles Clippers
We all love the highlight reels of Chris Paul to Blake Griffin and they’re set to continue this season.
The Clippers have gone down the path of acquiring experienced players capable of making an immediate impact. The additions of forwards Grant Hill and Lamar Odom provide critical assistance to Griffin in the front court. Hill and Odom are nearing the end of their careers so the front office is confident the Clippers will contend for the championship this season.
Throughout the preseason, Griffin has looked a more mature player and the greater integration of DeAndre Jordan into the team’s offensive game should free Griffin up for even more base run runs.
Southwest Division
Alfred’s Pick: San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs remain one of the best organisations across professional sport and they should be championship contenders again.
Tony Parker was pushing his case for league MVP last season by making up for the team’s lack of scoring options up front. Tim Duncan is still playing good basketball, albeit slower than ever before and he’ll need big improvements from forward Boris Diaw and centre DeJuan Blair.
Diaw had his first preseason with the Spurs since arriving from Charlotte and Blair posted excellent numbers playing 20 minutes per game as a starter to suggest his time will be extended in his fourth professional season.
The Wildcard: Houston Rockets
The Rockets were the biggest spenders over the off season with acquisitions of Jeremy Lin from New York and Omer Asik from Chicago.
Lin became one of the best point guards in the league overnight by single-handedly carrying the Knicks in the absence of Carmelo Anthony. When Anthony returned, the Knicks struggled due to the nature of Anthony’s play. Lin will not have the same problem in Houston and will thrive with the responsibility of leading the team’s offence as long as he overcomes his turnover problems.
With three first round picks from the most recent draft, there is a unique mix of fresh talent and new talent so this has all the qualities of a ‘boom-or-bust’ team. If things work out, the Rockets are playoff bound.
Mark
Guest
The Knicks will be poor defensively partly due to the players not wanting to play defence and the ones that do are old. They have no-one to lead from example of the defensive end and it hurts. The Celtics are old, but they are not sliding. WIthin one game of the NBA finals last season, they have lost Ray Allen, who had lost his starting gig anyway. They added Terry AND Courtney Lee so have covered the shooting there. Avery Bradley will come back from injury and instantly makes this team better especially defensively. Jeff Green comes back too and has pace, length and speed so will more than make up for KG's lack of it. And they have depth in Sullinger, Bass, Darko etc. The Celtics are a red hot chance to cool off the Heat, especially in a seven game seris.
Skinnada
Roar Rookie
Heat will win the East with ease IF there are minimal injuries to their key players. West will be interesting with Lakers,OKC & Spurs. Western conference playoffs will be great to watch as will NBA finals between the Heat and whoever can put it together in the playoffs out of those 3. I would love to see Heat v Lakers but OKC will be tough to toss again.
Peter Poon
Guest
If LeBron doesn't play a horrendously bullshit shooting game in Game 6 in boston, they win that series. If the referees didn't rob them of the OT game in Miami earlier in the matchup, they win that series. (Im no c's fan). Garnett dominated inside, and ray allen did nothing. He is not much of a loss, I expect boston to be better this year with a healthy Jeff Green, Brandon Bass with more experience, and Terry, Courtney Lee and Avery Bradley filling the gaurd spots with energy and shooting. Knicks will struggle in a full 82 game season with their old roster, but I agree they will be very good defensively after their coaching change last season they were a top 5 defense.
Swampy
Guest
Denver is my wildcard. I just like how they've come together. Iguadola was the perfect addition. Don't forget the Lakers biggest weakness was not having a point guard that can hit 3's or a centre that could defend. When Nash signed I couldn't believe the Lakers could pull that off. Pass first pick and roll guard. Isn't a volume shooter. Then somehow they ended up with Howard without giving up Gasol. They will start 4 Hall of Fame locks and a Hall of Infamy lock. The only thing that will beat them is arthritis or Lebron. After last season's finish if Lebron plays like that again there is no way anyone can beat the Heat. He realised his potential and everyone else's fear. -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download it now [http://itunes.apple.com/au/app/the-roar/id327174726?mt=8].
Kurt
Guest
Celts are deep, thats for certain, though it remains to be seen how effective that depth will be. Have to say i disagree with the idea that Garnett looked average at the end of the season. From memory he slumped a little at the end of the regular season, but once the 'real' (i.e. post) season began he was arguably celts MVP of the playoffs. Remeber that the celtics were half a game away from the finals largely due to his and Rondo's play.
KiwiDave
Roar Guru
Minnesota is going to struggle without Love for 8 weeks. Guy broke his hand
Alfred Chan
Expert
Just to clarify, my wildcard prediction is not the team I think is the second best in their division. The wildcard pick is the team most capable of dishing out a few surprises across the league. It was mighty difficult for me to split the Pacers and the Bulls but I went with the Pacers because Rose is still very young and he knows he has a long career in front of him so he's going to ease his way into the season when he returns. Considering the Bulls are the favourites ahead of the Pacers for the division, they're not exactly a wildcard hence I went with the Bucks. If Jennings and Ellis can get their game on together, they'll be highlight machines. It's still a flip of the coin between the Pacers and the Bulls for me though. Paul George is going to have a huge season.
Rich
Guest
Houston ahead of Memphis?? Turn it up!! Bulls even without Rose is a better prospect than the Bucks.
rl
Guest
Bryant is going to have to be carefully managed, that's for sure. I guess with Nash approaching 100 years old, he'll probably not see major minutes, so Kobe will still have plenty of opportunity to be the primary ball-handler. There's a balance to be struck there, with Kobe doing his thing while Nash is off-court, and other times sitting back to be the perimeter threat. Even with the latter, defences are going to be concentrating on the dual threats of Gasol and Howard, so Kobe should still be able to find plenty of opportunities, and not just be a perimter shooter. I can easily see a scenario of Nash feeds the ball inside to Howard/Gasol, defence doubles down on them, ball goes out to Bryant who pumps and drives past his man, and as the defence collapses in on Bryant he feeds the ball back inside to an unmarked big for an easy bucket. I can easily see Howard and Gasol scoring well in patches throughout the season. What a nightmare to defend - one is a legitimate shooter and the other is a dominant low post-presence with an improving shot and needs to be countered on the defensive boards. AND not to mention some serious scoring punch off the bench with Jamison. Unlike the Heat, this team has real firepower at all positions. As mentioned, the issue is there's only 1 ball!
Alfred Chan
Expert
"How will it work with Bryant? Is there enough ball to share around?" The more I think about it, the more skeptical I become. I think Bryant will get extremely frustrated throughout the season because with Nash giving him the ball, he's going to have a lot less time to read the defence. He'll do stupid things he wouldn't normally have done prior to Nash's arrival. Dwight Howard will be just as good as he was at Orlando but I don't think he'll be as prolific in the scoring game as he was before. I think he'll fall from his 25 ppg down to about 10-15 but he'll still dominate rebounds.
Alfred Chan
Expert
Valid points there with the Knicks but I don't see the Celtics running as deep into the finals as they did last season. Rajon Rondo is an MVP in waiting, but the loss of Ray Allen will be felt. The team lacks speed. Garnett is the slowest player in the league and towards the end of the season, he looked quite average. Jason Terry is a welcome inclusion but the team isn't getting better. They're standing still and aging while Brooklyn get Joe Johnson and Philly get Bynum.
rl
Guest
Difficult to find weaknesses in the Heat? No true point guard, no true centre, no true power forward. But you would have said pretty much the same thing about Jordan's Bulls, and they went OK right? If the likes of Bosh, Miller, Allen etc can continue to play their supporting roles, then it just comes down to LBJ staying fit and hungry. DWade is a truly wonderful player, but I'm not sure if he could have taken them all the way like LBJ effectively did last year (remember Wade was slowed by injury for a good spell). Lakers will be interesting to watch - a true point guard for the first time in ages, coming into a team that has a very structured game plan built around not having a PG, or at least having a player at PG who while not a playmaker could at least reliably defend (which is a weakness in Nash's game). Nash made Amare look incredible at Phoenix, and now he has a choice of feeding it to a better shooter (Gasol) or a more powerful low presence (Howard). But lots of questions. How will it work with Bryant? Is there enough ball to share around? Is Metta World Peace going to be happy seeing even less ball? Finally, will be interesting to see how OKC have matured and learned from last year's great run.
Jordan
Guest
Can't agree with you saying the Knicks will be one of the better defensive teams. Jason Kidd is slow and nowhere near the defender he once was, Anthony and Amare are both nothing more than average defenders and rebounders. The best defenders on their side are Chandler and Iman Shumpert. Also you say the Celtics are on the way down when they have possibly the deepest roster in the league... -- Comment left via The Roar's iPhone app. Download it now [http://itunes.apple.com/au/app/the-roar/id327174726?mt=8].