Preview: Australian Guineas Day 2013

Cameron Rose Columnist

By Cameron Rose, Cameron Rose is a Roar Expert

 , , ,

8 Have your say

    The Cox Plate - one of the highlights of the spring carnival. (AAP Image/Julian Smith)

    Related coverage

    The best three year olds in the country will be battling it out in two states tomorrow, and while All Too Hard currently reigns supreme in that age group (and possibly above all except big sister), the racing landscape can alter quickly.

    It was only a few race starts ago that Pierro was seen as peerless among his own, having strung together many of the easiest wins. Let’s not forget he started $1.22 in the Caulfield Guineas and half the quote of All Too Hard in the Cox Plate.

    Tomorrow, for the first time since Australia’s premier weight for age race, they’ll once again both be on display.

    At Flemington we have the group one Australian Guineas, a showcase event among a healthy support card. Sydney racing sees us at my favourite NSW track, Rosehill, for the Hobartville Stakes and Silver Slipper.

    Australian Guineas

    All Too Hard no longer needs any introduction. His breathtaking win in last week’s Futurity Stakes may well have been his best yet, and it’s hard to see how any fellow three year old could counter what his exciting talents have to offer.

    Barely any of his competitors on Saturday have run in group one company, let alone placed in those events. None can topple this three time group one winner and Cox Plate runner-up.

    If you’re desperate to find a way for the glamour colt to get beaten, you could point to the fact that he has never backed up on a seven day break, doing so for the first time this week.

    Nor has he ever drawn a double figure barrier, with only four of his eleven starts containing fields of ten or more.

    Of course, he won the Orr Stakes with something in hand after drawing nine of nine, so I really am playing the most devilish of advocates here!

    So who can fill the placings?

    From the astute Mick Kent yard, Philippi looks a nice horse in the making and will relish stepping up to the mile from a good draw.

    Bass Strait will be strong to the line under the guidance of Chad Schofield for David Hayes. Hvassten is better than his unlucky last run suggests, and can bounce back to his best form here.

    Selections: 1. All Too Hard; 2. Daylight; 3. Philippi; 4. Bass Strait

    Hobartville Stakes

    This race brings all but the very best spring three-year-old form to the Sydney Autumn, with the eleven runners already boasting 39 wins between them from only a combined 89 starts.

    Most eyes will be on the superstar Pierro, who can still wear that particular mantle quite comfortably despite tasting defeat for the first time in his previous two starts.

    And while he may not be the brightest burning supernova of his age group anymore, who among us wouldn’t love to own a horse where running second in a Caulfield Guineas and third in a Cox Plate was seen as underwhelming!

    The markets suggest that the unbeaten Rebel Dane is Pierro’s main danger, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the enemy come from within…his own stable that is, in the form of Proisir.

    It’s worth remembering that the last time Proisir competed over this distance, he gave Norzita a galloping lesson, and that filly has since won the Flight Stakes and blitzed her rivals upon resumption in a smart race at Moonee Valley last Friday night. Expect a forward showing after an impressive trial a fortnight ago.

    It’s a Dundeel is an exciting type himself, and shouldn’t be forgotten if he can recapture his spring best. He should be the eye-catcher of the closers, setting himself up for a race of the highest quality further down the track.

    Selections: 1. Pierro; 2. Proisir; 3. Rebel Dane; 4. It’s a Dundeel

    Silver Slipper

    So it’s five weeks until the Golden Slipper, and Sydney never fails to get excited in the countdown to the world’s richest race for juveniles.

    The markets have the Gai Waterhouse trained filly, Overreach, as the one to beat after her demolition job in the Widden, while many good judges still think Villa Verde is the best of the two-year-old crop.

    Neither of these will be seen at Rosehill tomorrow, but there is form behind them that can’t be ignored when looking for the winner of this race.

    Kuroshio ran third behind the two gun fillies back in October, not beaten far, and he’s come back in fine fettle himself, winning the Blue Diamond Prelude last start.

    Dissident came out of that race to be far from disgraced in the Blue Diamond, and should have finished much closer than he did after he had no luck in transit.

    With that form behind him, and being one of few in the field at or near full fitness with more than one run this prep, from the dream barrier of one, at $8 Kuroshio must be the each-way bet of the day.

    Never Can Tell seems to be an underrated horse, which can often happen to those in the Anthony Cummings stable, but he’s got the quality to measure up here. Charlie Boy also has a decent spruik about him under the care of the master Gerald Ryan.

    At least one of them is going to taste defeat for the first time, but perhaps one will stamp themselves as a colt to be taken seriously come the first Saturday in April.

    Best roughie might be the Queensland visitor Whiskey Allround, who didn’t account for much in his three start winning streak last spring, but winning is its own skill, and shouldn’t be discounted.

    Many a raider has walked away with the chocolates (or bag of wheat) despite being underestimated by home track punters.

    Selections: 1. Kuroshio; 2. Never Can Tell; 3. Charlie Boy; 4. Whiskey Allround

    Horse racing is often about the future more so than the here-and-now, and with an abundance of Autumn riches awaiting so many runners tomorrow, all eyes will be keenly peeled to glean whatever information we can.

    If we can predict which horses Justin Cinque will be writing about on Monday, we might just line our pockets on the weekend, and in the future.

    Cameron Rose
    Cameron Rose

    Cameron Rose is a born and bred Melbournian, raised on a regime of AFL, cricket and horse racing. He likes people who agree with him but loves those that don't, for there's nothing better than a roaring debate. He tweets from @camtherose.

    This video is trending right now! Submit your videos for the chance to win a share of $10,000!

    Oldest | Newest | Most Recent

    The Crowd Says (8)

    • Columnist

      March 1st 2013 @ 9:19am
      Andrew Hawkins said | March 1st 2013 @ 9:19am | ! Report

      Think you may be onto something with Whiskey Allround in the Silver Slipper. His recent trial win in very good time was outstanding.

      Good preview!

      • Columnist

        March 1st 2013 @ 4:38pm
        Cameron Rose said | March 1st 2013 @ 4:38pm | ! Report

        I saw that he won by a football field, didn’t get to see it though. Raiders from Qld and SA always seem to stack up when they decide to travel them.

        • Columnist

          March 3rd 2013 @ 12:26am
          Andrew Hawkins said | March 3rd 2013 @ 12:26am | ! Report

          And it almost panned out, he was the unlucky runner.

          Must admit, I could never have had Ferlax in the Australian Guineas, not sure about you Cam.

          • Columnist

            March 4th 2013 @ 10:44am
            Cameron Rose said | March 4th 2013 @ 10:44am | ! Report

            We need to see Ferlax go to Sydney now, and if he runs 7th or 8th in a race with no excuses, we may just have to put a line through the entire Guineas field from a future perspective. Although I thought the runs of Philippi, Bass Straight and Hvassten were good coming from back. Each should measure up to at least city class over further.

    • March 1st 2013 @ 11:00am
      D.Large said | March 1st 2013 @ 11:00am | ! Report

      I used to run with the guineas when the guineas were tough.

    • March 1st 2013 @ 11:55am
      Rob said | March 1st 2013 @ 11:55am | ! Report

      Certainly the way All Too Hard is racing the wide barrier should hold no fears. That said, from 13 after the scratchings, I can’t see many jockeys letting him get anywhere near one out if they can stop it, interesting to see how they ride him. Will be a certainty beaten if he does get rolled and surely that will only be happening if he gets terrible luck.

      Looks like a skinny quaddie tomorrow…

    • March 1st 2013 @ 1:00pm
      Bondy said | March 1st 2013 @ 1:00pm | ! Report

      Great preview Cam ,I was watching get on last night and thought sh%% i’ll have to back Proisir as well an eyecatching trial . I agree with Philippi he’s run was good last start after getting caught flat footed,he’ll probably start first/second fav for the derby.

      Will Pierro keep he’s crown as top dog of Sydeny or will Prosir roll him or will dundeel reign supreme that will be interesting for the autumn i’m convinced theres something big in priosir possibly doncaster.

      I’ll have a little nibble on Kuroshio,look out for gerald with sprinters and two year olds in particular charlie boy ?, he’s training feet with Miss Onassis last week was superb ,although Barakey was scratched.

      • Columnist

        March 1st 2013 @ 4:42pm
        Cameron Rose said | March 1st 2013 @ 4:42pm | ! Report

        I agree with you on Proisir, he’s a serious racehorse. Can’t wait to see how far he can go with his talent. We’d have to say that the Hobartville probably contains more interest than the Guineas tomorrow.

        I read that Ryan had to be convinced to even bring Mrs Onassis down here. He’s glad that he did! The Newmarket will be tough for Barakey now having missed that run. History says it’s almost impossible to win first up.

    Have Your Say

    If not logged in, please enter your name and email before submitting your comment. Please review our comments policy before posting on the Roar.

    , , ,