What does Rafael Nadal's loss mean for Wimbledon 2013?

By Dan Talintyre / Roar Guru

After spending several months on the sidelines before storming back to clinch a record eighth French Open title earlier this month, Wimbledon wasn’t supposed to go like this for Rafael Nadal.

Despite boasting the most impressive form-line of any player at the tournament and having his name etched into the record books at the hallowed competition, Nadal was once again eliminated in the opening rounds.

Unlike last year, where his thrilling five-set defeat in the second round to Lukas Rosol was clouded with injury concerns, there would be no hiding for Nadal this year.

His opponent – Steve Darcis – wasn’t ranked inside the top 100 players in the world and wasn’t given even the slightest of chances to take down the Spanish international and former Wimbledon champion.

And nor should he.

According to the statistics gurus, Darcis is the lowest ranked player that Nadal has lost to in any tournament since the 2006 Stockholm Open. Nadal has won Wimbledon and beaten all the major players (Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray) on grass courts throughout this career so far.

By all accounts, he should have won this one without leaving second gear.

And while attention will no doubt turn to Nadal and why grass (and Wimbledon, in particular) have caused him such troubles of late, the biggest question is as to what impact the Spaniard’s loss will have on the tournament this year.

Firstly, the most obvious impact is a serious boost to the chances of the other Big 3. All are former finalists of the competition with both Djokovic and Federer tasting success at the All-England club, and with Nadal now out of the picture, their chances at taking out the title have received some very good fortune.

Federer perhaps stands to benefit the most given that he could potentially have drawn Nadal as early as the quarter-finals. Murray could have seen him in the semi-finals while Djokovic would not have met him until the final, but all are obvious winners simply for the fact that now, they cannot meet the wiry Spaniard.

Yet outside of those obvious selections, Nadal’s absence also has a serious affect on several other players in the men’s draw this year.

No. 18 seed John Isner – who was famously part of the longest match in history at Wimbledon in 2010 – now finds himself with a great chance to progress through to at least the quarterfinals now. His big serve is a great fit with the quick grass courts at the tournament this year and he will be very tough to beat this year. No. 25 seed Benoit Paire finds himself in a similar position with Nadal out of the way.

One of the biggest shock winners of the Nadal is defeat is in fact Lleyton Hewitt.

The Australian legend might be past his best tennis but still played an incredibly strong match to upset No. 11 seed Stanislas Wawrinka in his opening round matchup.

Wawrinka has been in tremendous form all year and marks an incredible upset for Hewitt – one that he can now capitalise on by not facing a player ranked inside the top 15 until the quarterfinals at the very earliest.

Time will tell which players are able to succeed the most now that Nadal’s quadrant is without its top-ranked player, but there are certainly no shortage of players who will be trying to do so.

For mine, Isner is looming as a serious quarterfinal threat while the likes of Nicolas Almagro and Federer will also be thanking their lucky stars that their draw is seemingly wide open for the taking.

And anything that helps Lleyton along; well, that can’t be such a bad thing, can it?

I guess we’ll know soon enough.

The Crowd Says:

2013-06-26T08:42:15+00:00

Frankie Hughes

Guest


Murray beating Federer gets over hyped way too much. At the Olympics Federer and Del Potro match lasted 4hrs 26mins. The winner was all ways gonna struggle to recover for the final. Especially as Murray had a far easier match against Djokovic. As for the 5 setter in Melbourne, Federer played well below his best and Murray scraped to victory. Del Potro is a real contender this year. Wimbledon is playing so fast.

2013-06-26T07:23:53+00:00

Avatar

Roar Guru


Murray still has to face Federer in the semi-finals, but he can take fact that he beat him to win the Olympic Gold Medal last year. Additionally, Murray beat him in five in the Australian Open semi-finals this year, so anything could happen. Djokovic will be in the final for sure, but if it's Murray that he faces in the final, the Serb could be in for a tough time. Murray won their only meeting on grass, in the semi-finals of the Olympics last year. A del Potro vs. Murray final would be interesting, as a double-Grand Slam champion would be guaranteed. Both have a US Open in their hands, but you'd think that Murray will win given the home crowd support he will be expecting.

AUTHOR

2013-06-26T01:24:01+00:00

Dan Talintyre

Roar Guru


Ahhh I understand now. Good point.

2013-06-25T23:04:28+00:00

Frankie Hughes

Guest


Nadal's absence means miserable Murray will make back to back SW19 finals... Here's to hoping Del Potro wins a well over due second major title.

2013-06-25T07:08:43+00:00

Brian

Guest


Amongst the big 4 matchups Nadal matches up well against Federer but poorly against Djokovic. So for Djoker who has a dream draw it does not help at all as I believe he would rather face Nadal than Federer or Murray in a grass court final. Looks like it will be a Federer v Murray semi which I would favour Murray to win although ironically should he get through I would give Federer more chance in a final against Djokovic than Murray. Its just about playing styles Murray can't hurt Djokovic. I do hope Federer comes through based on age and recent results I would say this (and maybe the upcoming US Open) is his last chance at winning a slam

2013-06-25T05:38:34+00:00

suryaprakasa m

Guest


the other guy played unbelievable..Nadal was not prepared for grass

2013-06-25T03:22:01+00:00

Ronan

Guest


You can't come into Wimbledon straight off of clay. They are completely different surfaces and this shows that even the top players need to get a tournament under their belt before going into this slam.

2013-06-25T02:16:24+00:00

Alexander Grant

Roar Pro


The fact that Nadal has won more Wimbledon titles than Australian Open says a lot about the respective surfaces of both events

2013-06-25T01:26:44+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


No the turn around is fine, I think it's the fact that Nadal hasn't played on grass since last Wimbledon and the fact he only played one hard court tournament since his comeback that tells me that he is tentative about his injury. Yes his success' have been good at Wimbledon but he needs to sort his injuries out, to me his mindset seems different when he plays on clay as opposed to hard court/grass.

2013-06-25T01:26:06+00:00

Gerald Thomte

Guest


Hail - Rafa - you've proved your mettle...it's a good time to take a sweet rest and wait for the knee to heal...time to take a vacation and enjoy...

AUTHOR

2013-06-25T01:17:54+00:00

Dan Talintyre

Roar Guru


I agree the short turnaround doesn't help but over time, Wimbledon has been Nadal's most successful Grand Slam other behind the French Open. He's also made the final at Wimbledon five times, which is more than both the Australian Open and U.S. Open combined. So while the short turnaround doesn't help, it's hard to say that was his undoing when he's proved time and time again that he can cope more than fine with the short turnaround from Roland Garros.

2013-06-25T01:04:09+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


Nadal's shortfall was his preparation for the event, I for one am willing Lleyton on its always good to see an Aussie do well.

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