There's no logic in denying the DRS

By Patrick Effeney / Editor

The single biggest travesty of logic in cricket right now is shunning the use of technology and the Decision Review System because it’s ‘not 100 percent accurate’.

Comparing the evaluative powers of a 50 to 60-year-old male human watching a ball at 150 kilometres per hour to that same man watching super slow motion cameras that record 1000 frames per second is a pure absurdity.

When you’re talking of ‘not 100 percent accurate’, you should be looking squarely at Richard Kettleborough, Aleem Dar and even our own Rod Tucker.

I’ll concede, South Africa’s continuing selection of Imran Tahir or the decision-making that goes behind choosing yet another 22-year-old to captain Bangladesh are both cringe-worthy for the logically inclined, but the technology argument takes the cake.

Then it takes all the other cakes, not to mention the friands, brownies and muffins.

This is not to slag the umpires. Let’s be very clear – there is a very different expectation placed upon umpires who see everything once, in eye-definition, at full speed.

Technology projects it for the same or similar person at high-definition, multiple times, at whatever speed the viewer should choose.

Plus you get Snicko, bird-of-prey-eye, ultra slow-mo replays and, if your network can afford it, Hot Spot, to help you along the way.

But technology is still ‘not 100 percent accurate’, even with all them fancy gadgets. I’ll concede that.

Here’s where things get interesting.

The question here is not about accuracy. It is about the purpose of using technology to get decisions right.

Is it to make sure that everything is clear and accounted for? Or is it to help humans make decisions about what was most likely the case?

Umpires have been taking probabilities into account since well before WG Grace was leaning on his bat and telling them to holster their index finger.

There has been high a level of adjudication since the first cricket ball was bowled in anger.

Here’s a sample case: Ball bowled, batsman slashes outside off stump.

A woody sort of noise issues from the region of where bat may have hit ball.

No pad, head or crotch anywhere near incident. Keeper catches. Slips go up.

Umpire raises finger.

Was there a clear edge? No. Just a noise, and it couldn’t have been anything else, unless a nearby swallow was taking to a rather tough macadamia shell.

So the umpire decides, in all probability, that it’s out. He’s 99 percent sure, so he gives it.

It’s the way it’s been done forever. Umpires decide on what probably happened and make a decision accordingly.

Why did it all change when technology came along? Why is there an impossible burden of 100 percent accuracy placed upon technology that is not placed upon umpires.

If Hot Spot shows a clear edge, then it is only further confirmation of the strong likelihood of ball brushing edge.

If there’s a noise on Snicko, or if there’s a clear deviation on replay, then it’s just further confirmation.

Will any of these tools ever offer 100 percent conclusive proof in all cases? Absolutely not.

If people actually hold that they will shun technology that is ‘not 100 percent accurate’ then we will never, ever see technology assist umpires. Ever.

It’s simply not possible, and the expectation placed on technology is an absurdity.

The leap in logic from man to machine is as inexplicable as Glenn Maxwell’s self-confidence.

Our expectation should not be for 100 percent accuracy, but instead should be based around a desire to see a fair and as-accurate-as-possible process.

If you deny that the current technology available can assist a man watching a cricket ball at full speed, while also checking for no-balls, then there’s something a little awry upstairs.

I agree that it’s ‘not 100 percent accurate’, but I’d sure as hell trust a carabiner and harness to hold me from falling off a mountain over an outstretched human hand.

Didn’t anybody watch Cliffhanger?

Twitter: @PatrickEffeney

The Crowd Says:

2013-10-18T10:36:54+00:00

IanW

Guest


Get both captains to agree to hire neutral umpires. Get them to make the decisions the players appeal for. If they think they need technology, then get the captains to agree. Done.

2013-10-18T10:29:57+00:00

ChrisUK

Guest


It's important to note that because Channel 9 effectively control the DRS in Australia, what you get is what suits them financially and in terms of entertainment - not what is best for the game. That is the main problem. It's not just something like Hotspot. Channel 9 do not use the purpose built Hawkeye system (created for the British army for ballistics tracking), they use Eagle Eye, which is animation software with some tracking algorithms bolted on to it. It has to be manually cued by an operator choosing on which frame to start the predictive algorithms and the company behind it openly state it was not intended to do that job. This is critically important. There are anything up to 230 frames to select from that might be the point of impact on the pad, and being slightly wrong (the operator is human) entirely skews the resulting prediction. And the prediction itself is far less accurate than that of Hawkeye anyway. It's not the fault of the company behind Eagle Eye. Their animation software is excellent, but they are being asked to do a job for which it was not designed. But CA's abrogation of their responsibilities means that we have a sub-standard system in use because it suits Channel 9, not because it's best for the game. It is outrageous, and most people are not aware of the difference. This is why you get more instances of Eagle Eye producing results that look weird than Hawkeye does - and Hawkeye itself, whilst undoubtedly more accurate, is not a verified system for cricket.

2013-10-18T06:09:07+00:00

Rohit

Guest


Maybe until technology reaches a point where Hotspot can be always trusted, I dont think it should be used. For the time being, probably it is more than enough to eliminate the howlers. A close decision (say those 50-50 ones), no one really is upset, because even after lot of replays you are never sure. But the obvious howler can always be rectified without the need of hotspot and this can atleast reduce the burden on the umpires. I had written an article a long time back on this. Please check it out http://rohit-cricket.blogspot.com/2012/09/udrs-umpire-decision-review-system-yes.html

2013-10-17T21:41:26+00:00

Red Kev

Guest


I haven't looked at anything historically, but side on run out slow motion replays were available for over a decade before the third umpire was allowed to adjudicate and I recall very few wrong decisions. The one that sticks in my mind is that Daryl Hair one I described. Technology has undoubtedly made umpires worse. They no longer have to watch closely and learn to trust the evidence of their eyes, they simply refer it upstairs. They are no longer adjudicators of out/not out, they are simply way stations between the guy upstairs in front of a TV and the players.

2013-10-17T21:34:47+00:00

Bayman

Guest


Patrick, The problem is that the use of technology has been expected to produce a perfect result for all concerned. Clearly, that seemed to credit the technology with more accuracy than we now expect following the most recent Ashes series. Having been there for the first three Tests it seemed like more decisions than I can ever remember previously were overturned on review. Despite that, the one super obvious clanger (courtesy of the technology) was missed and unable to be reviewed based on the rules of the day. Incidentally, I had no issue with Broad not walking and I can understand why the umpire missed the nick. By the end of the series the umpires were shot ducks. Based on the number of decisions overturned their confidence was shattered. Halfway through one Test, after I left England, umpire Hill was ringing Simon Taufel, now with the ICC, to get advice on what to do and how to proceed given he was, in his own words, 'Having a shocker'. I'm not convinced that a forensic examination of the technology is a step forward, even if after three or four minutes and seven or eight replays the Third Umpire thinks he detects the faintest of faint nicks (or not, if it's an LBW decision). The benefit of the doubt has always been with the batsman. It's a basic tenet of the game - or has been until now. As far as I'm concerned if the technology does not make the correct decision obvious immediately - first or second replay - then it's Not Out. Even if he did, in fact, get a faint edge. I'm not convinced the game benefits from the sort of forensic examinations which went on in England. Some umpires I spoke to after I got back to Australia expressed the view that the Third Umpire was actually looking for evidence to support his mate on the field, hence the prolonged and drawn out nature of many of the reviews. The 'support' argument may well be solved by a better training programme for the Third Umpire but don't think such long-winded examination was the intended result of introducing the technology. One argument might be that the number of overturned decisions during the Ashes series proves the technology is needed. Another might be that the umpires have now abdicated their responsibility and lost the art of actually making good decisions, knowing the players can review. However, I don't know any umpire who would enjoy having his decisions overturned as often as happened in England. No wonder Mister Hill was such a mess and he was not alone. If that is good for the game then I'm a Dutchman. The notion that players can make as many mistakes as they like but umpires must be perfect is ludicrous. Like players, the umpires are human - and humans make mistakes. We should live with it. If we further accept that the technology is not perfect, why use it at all? We already know it has given players out who were not, in fact, out and saved others who were out. It started life as 'television entertainment' and I have no issue using it in that manner. The umpire, however, should be the last word on whether a batsman stays or goes. Currently we have, as Brett McKay points out above, legalised dissent which, oddly enough, was probably one of the things which technology was meant to eliminate. Funny game, cricket.

2013-10-17T20:07:55+00:00

Prateek Sharma

Guest


This is indeed the best approach.

2013-10-17T11:31:01+00:00

Bearfax

Guest


But they werent right Andy. You are selective in your memory and it was only that Australia struggled so badly there that the complaints about the lack of good umpiring decisions was lost in the disappointment. It started in the first test and for a while seemed to be favouring the home side but then they copped a few raw deals as well but had to remain silent because they had decided not to use the system. It was a case of the wrong decision being made but lets not make a big fuss about it because we dont want to be criticised.. Sorry but what one other contributor suggested is right. Without the system 90% of the decisions are right. With the system at least 95% of the decisions are right. And most of the poor decisions using electronics were because of again human error. There are some faults in extreme cases such as with the hot spot issue that need tweaking but that will be improved with development of better systems. But the Day of the Robot is here and we need to get used to it. All sports are recognising they need it to give umpires an equal view to the TV audience. And its generally superseding human error. In my opinion if the issue is too close to call, it should always be benefit of a doubt to the batsman. But the electronic systems are imperative to the game in this TV age.

2013-10-17T11:02:16+00:00

Ken Hambling

Guest


Well said Manoj

2013-10-17T10:46:12+00:00

Andy_Roo

Roar Guru


t's funny that only 2 years ago India were being roundly criticised for their decision not to use DRS. The BCCI were called every name under the sun and accused of using their power to deliberately hold back this great new technology that every other country wanted to use. Now, we have had an ashes series where the DRS appeared less than perfect and seemed to take the focus and gloss away from the game itself. But have we heard anyone acknowledging that the BCCI were right and congratulating the BCCI for their stance?

AUTHOR

2013-10-17T10:43:12+00:00

Patrick Effeney

Editor


I'm not saying that we shouldn't try to learn and fix the inaccuracies, just that while they exist we should work around them.

AUTHOR

2013-10-17T10:40:36+00:00

Patrick Effeney

Editor


Disagree Brett, you can't have blind faith in the technology. It has to be interpreted to be valuable, otherwise technological deficiencies will dictate how effective the DRS can be.

2013-10-17T09:59:04+00:00

cantab

Guest


No DRS = 90% of decision are correct, with DRS 95% are correct, the only difference is we complain more about that 5% and it takes away the moment of a wicket being taken.

2013-10-17T08:45:11+00:00

Statler and Waldorf

Roar Guru


I disagree with that. knowing the innacuracies will lead to good workable ideas like Brett's about the 'bird of prey occular device'

2013-10-17T06:07:02+00:00

Brett McKay

Expert


James, I think we're essentialy saying the same thing. Hotpot was never, ever going to be 100% reliable, that was known and accepted. And indeed, true. But when what started as a pretty hard and fast rule - despite the known limitations - that a mark meant a nick, and no mark meant no nick then started being interpreted differently as we saw during the Ashes in England, that marked the end of sensibility. The problem isn't that the technology is not 100% accurate, the problem is that the boundaries around the innacuracies started to be blurred and second-guessed, and all confidence was lost as a result. It should have been literally black and white, but instead it became grey and confusing.

2013-10-17T05:03:09+00:00

James

Guest


but no mark doesnt always mean you were not out, the guy who invented hot spot has said as much. its not just something we should accept but something that is true. i may be reading it wrong but you seem to be saying that its not. drs isnt 100% reliable but thats ok, accept it isnt but still use it cause its more reliable than mere man as the article says.

2013-10-17T04:50:35+00:00

davros

Guest


im a big fan of technology we just have to learn how to apply it and use it wisely

2013-10-17T02:25:17+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Spot on Bearfax.

2013-10-17T02:25:00+00:00

Morton

Guest


The only technology used should be super slow-mo. If 3rd ump findings are inconclusive then umpires call. Hawkeye and snicko too unreliable and we have more umpiring howlers now than before.

2013-10-17T02:24:59+00:00

Steven McBain

Roar Guru


Patrick I couldn't agree with you anymore if I wanted to. The technology is not the issue and not the thing at fault, it is the way it is being used and by whom. I completely agree that dispensing with it is a huge backward step. Bearfax is completely right also, the umpires must have the same access. Great article and completely spot on.

2013-10-17T01:42:19+00:00

Manoj

Guest


The worse decision i saw was what khawaja got in Manchester, but in that case techonology was fine but the third umpires's failure to use it properly so spend the resources training umpires how to use the technology

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