Lankan Rupee set to light up The Championships

By Justin Cinque / Expert

The inaugural Championships begin on Saturday at Randwick. The name alone suggests the racing will be great.

Day 1 is highlighted by the richest sprint in the world, the $2.5m TJ Smith Stakes (1200m, Group 1, weight-for-age), and the richest mile – the $3m Doncaster Mile (1600m, Group 1, handicap).

Day 2 on April 19 will see the running of the world’s richest turf 2000m race, the $4m Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1, weight-for-age).

In 2014, The Championships could be described as the Australian championships of thoroughbred horse racing.

Only two international raiders are present – last month’s George Ryder (1500m, Group 1, weight-for-age) winner Gordon Lord Byron from Ireland who will be running in the TJ Smith and Hana’s Goal from Japan who is set to line-up in the Doncaster.

Gordon Lord Byron is a very good horse, as he showed at Rosehill, and Hana’s Goal has decent Japanese form, but they are hardly the cream of world racing.

The local contingent, on the other hand, is the best Australian racing has to offer. And the horse I’m looking forward to seeing most is the one I believe is currently the best in the country – four-year-old sprinter Lankan Rupee.

I expect Lankan Rupee to set The Championships alight.

Lankan Rupee only has to win the TJ Smith on Saturday with the same dominance he won both the Newmarket Handicap (1200m, Group 1) and Oakleigh Plate (1100m, Group 1, handicap) earlier this year to be widely regarded as the best sprinter in the world.

Officially, Lankan Rupee already holds the title. When the International Federation of Horseracing Authorities released their March nine rankings, Lankan Rupee attained an overall global ranking of six in the world and the number one position for sprinters with a rating of 121.

By way of comparison, Black Caviar sat in the overall world number one position at the same time of last year with a ranking of 130 which was attained in her own race – the Black Caviar Lightning (1000m, Group 1, weight-for-age) in February 2013.

Lankan Rupee is no Black Caviar but he has great potential. At a time when the world lacks a sprinting superstar, fresh after the retirements of Black Caviar and Japanese sprinter Lord Kanaloa, Lankan Rupee is in best position to fill the vacancy.

He has won eight times in 15 starts but since being gelded at the start of the season, the Mick Price-trained Caulfield galloper has raced eight times for seven wins and a third.

Prior to the dreaded operation, Lankan Rupee was a decent horse with Stakes-grade ability. He has been transformed into a gun performer.

This autumn especially, six months into life as a gelding, he has been brilliant. He was strong in a 1.3 length victory in the Oakleigh Plate with 56kgs – his maiden Group 1 victory – and incredibly superior when carrying 56.5kgs to a 2.5 length Newmarket romp.

Lankan Rupee, the colt, was weak. He could be broken in a solid 1200m race. As a gelding he is formidable – sustained speed, perhaps the greatest asset to be found in any notable horse (save for stayers), is the making of his game.

To put his Newmarket performance into perspective, only Hay List (58.5kgs, 2012), Black Caviar (58kgs, 2011), Scenic Blast (57kgs, 2009), Takeover Target (57kgs, 2006), Shaftesbury Avenue (58kgs, 1991), Maybe Mahal (56.5kgs, 1978) and Black Onyx (1970, 57.5kgs) have carried the same or more weight to Newmarket Handicap success since 1960.

As a group, they are some of the best sprinters ever produced in Australia. Black Caviar – the greatest sprinter of all time – joined Scenic Blast and Takeover Target as Royal Ascot winners in 2012.

You could make a case to say that Lankan Rupee was more dominant than any of those gallopers in his Newmarket success. When horses win big handicaps with big weights, it is notable.

But generally only champions carry big weights to dominant victory in big handicaps. We can’t call Lankan Rupee a champion yet but it might not be long before we start.

Importantly, the Newmarket was the best performance of his career and it came off the back of a career peak that was set in the Oakleigh Plate immediately prior. Lankan Rupee is a rising star in world racing.

Most thoroughbreds will peak at an age of four or five, and Lankan Rupee, at four, is just beginning to show us his best. He may well be blunted by a wet track on Saturday – he has never raced on a wet track before – but should he produce a career-best performance, I think it would beat Australia’s best sprinters by at least three lengths in the weight-for-age TJ Smith.

There’s nothing like watching a good horse at their top. I think Lankan Rupee is going to be the star of The Championships in 2014.

Officially, he’s the best sprinter in the world. I’d like to think everyone will be on the same page on Sunday morning.

The Crowd Says:

2014-04-12T23:30:25+00:00

puntastic

Guest


Lankan Rupee - what a superstar And I knew Sacred Falls would get up in the Doncaster - 2 years in a row

2014-04-12T06:03:25+00:00

Bondy

Guest


Good on you mate.

2014-04-12T06:02:31+00:00

Blake

Guest


Wow. What a star. I'm going to need Chubb to get me home.

2014-04-12T00:02:05+00:00

Haradasun

Guest


Can't back the rupee at that price on the bog today. Hard to have a bet, but go the buff! What a day!

2014-04-11T02:28:17+00:00

kv joef

Guest


thx luke. always one eye on the weather. excellent to put the link there. do tune into weatherzone --- that's where i picked up the wind bit from earlier on but the stuff next week is disappointing. Usually the model isn't too bad so all roarers hold virtual hands and project positive affirmations into the universe about the weather. Geeeeez, looks like i'll have to park the work for a few hours. Doesn't God know what's happening this weekend ... got the championships at randwick - the flat season starting to kick-in in europe - the bluegrass, oaklawn and arkansas derby in the states, i need to be getting things finished ... could someone religious have a word to the big fella ... sounds like i'm whinging ... nah .... luv it:).

2014-04-11T02:13:43+00:00

Luke Andrews

Guest


Here is the weather forecast for Randwick. It doesn't look too promising for this week or next. And that is on top of a month of similar weather. http://www.weatherzone.com.au/nsw/sydney/randwick I am between the track and the city and it's overcast and not that warm. I have a jumper on.

2014-04-11T02:05:40+00:00

kv joef

Guest


thx bondy as you've worked out, currently nowhere near the centre of activity so appreciate the detail. should know better than trust someone who tests his s-market models on the weather :).

2014-04-11T02:00:49+00:00

Bondy

Guest


At least you've got peace of mind Phil with the 5's,. Its very warm here in Sydney today to almost 30'c.

2014-04-11T01:49:27+00:00

Phil McGrawhan

Guest


I backed Lanken rupee a few weeks ago at 5s, I'm not so confident he'll handle a heavy track though and barrier 1 is a concern, I'm happy with 5s but I wouldn't be taking the 3.50 that's currently on offer, on a dry track he walks in.

2014-04-11T01:40:47+00:00

kv joef

Guest


maybe the folks who paid $20m for him ... but ... Sammy, sammy, sammy don't you know have 'bayesian' horseplayers are? maybe directly after the spring he had some claim but would still have to improve. BUT THEN ... lankan rupee showed up and blistered the oakleigh in a sub 63s before head-butting every runner in the Newmarket and the racing world went ... ooooooooh ... time for a recalculation. anyway hope the 'Zou' shows up tomorrow he is better than that pussy effort in the canterbury.

2014-04-11T01:31:42+00:00

Bondy

Guest


I'll just mention Messene's in the same boat as Lankan he's not seen any worse than dead ground and he's fav also,bookmakers are tighta^se^ arent they. GLB doesn't have good second up form also thats when he's most vulnerable. I'll be filthy if Hana's goal wins the Doncaster .

2014-04-11T01:15:02+00:00

Sammy

Guest


I thought everyone was predicting Zoustar to be the leading sprinting sensation this Autumn and light up the Championships!? Just goes to show you are one run away from going back to being a feather duster.

2014-04-11T01:10:50+00:00

Tim

Guest


He is pretty short for a horse on WFA debut and on a Heavy/Slow track. I'm looking at the proven WFA horses like Buffering and Gordon Lord Byron. If there is a bolter I think Villa Verde could be it, has won at WFA against the older brigade. If lankan wins though, then he deserves to be regarded as the best.

2014-04-11T01:09:27+00:00

Luca M

Guest


That is the big question about him. Slow 7 will be the best the track gets to. Still looks like more rain around. If the track were dry I would be onto him like a certainty. Going to have to be more cautious than I naturally would have been.

2014-04-11T01:08:25+00:00

kv joef

Guest


great piece justin. Agree with all that has been written and particularly with the notion that from here on in = any horse who wins the Newmarket (Hcp) - TJ (wfa) in the same prep will be recognised internationally as the world's best sprinter ... until ascot anyway ... the poms don't like giving us anything to which i quietly reply ... 'whitewash'. looks like the 'roarers' are going all-up after last week's silent achiever win :).

2014-04-11T01:04:26+00:00

Blake

Guest


He motored through it in his last trial. Saver on Buffering, he'll be cherry ripe and ahead for a long way.

2014-04-11T00:59:38+00:00

kv joef

Guest


Gee bondy is that right? i really hope so. i was told this morning that there will be an inch+ (5mm) of rain between this afternoon and racetime but with some wind? hope it is wrong they deserve a good day. good news as it will clear up next week and the QE should happen on a perfect track. yippee.

AUTHOR

2014-04-11T00:53:29+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Great comment Cam! A champion wins that title over at least a few seasons.

AUTHOR

2014-04-11T00:52:08+00:00

Justin Cinque

Expert


Do you think he'll swim Blake?

2014-04-11T00:50:33+00:00

Blake

Guest


Empty the wallet. He'll be winning.

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