Stars set to sizzle on Super Saturday

By Brent Ford / Roar Guru

He’s the Melbourne Cup favourite and trainer Gai Waterhouse has declared that The Offer will be out to win this Saturday’s Group 2 Dato Tan Chin Nam, comparing him to Cup Winner Fiorente.

“It was really brisk work,” Waterhouse said. “It was a stretch and extend exercise. He is very laid back but he attacked the line hard like a real racehorse.

“He is out to win on Saturday. He and Fiorente have one thing in common – the will to win.”

The Offer looked beautiful in yesterday’s morning run at Moonee Valley with stable mate Hippopus. One feature I particularly liked about the hit-out was that he hit the line hard.

If he is to win the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes he will replicate the early form of last year’s Melbourne Cup winner Fiorente, who won the 2013 edition of the race. Typically the race has been a good form guide for the spring, with Happy Trails winning the race in 2012 before winning the Group 1 Emirates Stakes.

Another who also ran on well after a win was Rekindled Interest (2011), who went on to run third in the Cox Plate and third in the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes behind Glass Harmonium. Whobegotyou was a Mooney Valley specialist and won this race twice during successful spring campaigns in 2009-10.

So it’s quite simple really, if The Offer puts in a really good performance he looks a real chance in what is set to be one of the most open Melbourne Cups in recent memory.

Meanwhile, Lankan Rupee will make a less-than-low-key return to the track in the McEwan Stakes. Some great sprinters have won the race over the years, including Hay List (2010), Nicconi (2009), Miss Andretti (2006) Mistegic (2002), Testa Rossa (2000), Flavour (1998) and Sequalo (1995).

Kuroshio was last year’s upset winner after coming into the race unplaced in the San Domenico Stakes. He defeated Moment of Change who showed plenty of quality before getting injured in last Saturday’s Memsie Stakes.

Platelet was also in last year’s edition and took out the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes at Caulfield during the spring. It’s interesting to note that the 2012 edition of the race wasn’t a great guide for the spring but was actually a guide for the autumn. Bel Sprinter (2013) won the Galaxy Group 1 at Rosehill in Sydney, and Platelet (second in 2012) claimed the Group 1 Robert Sangster Stakes and Group 1 Goodwood at Morphettville in Adelaide.

Sprint stars Haylist and Black Caviar both used this race as a spring racing springboard. Expect Lankan Rupee to be in the same boat as he looks to dominate this field. His closest competitor in the race, Sessions, finished seven lengths behind the star sprinter the last time the two met.

Trainer Mick Price was highly confident of his runner.

“He’s flying,” Price said. “He is about 5 kilograms over his ideal weight but he is where I want him and I expect him to win and then go on with a successful campaign.”

Lankan Rupee looks primed for a ripping campaign if he can culminate his previous form with his spring preparation on the last day of the spring in the VRC Sprint Classic at Caulfield.

The Crowd Says:

2014-09-04T10:31:10+00:00

John SEARLE

Guest


The Offer is the most over-rated horse in AU - beat a bunch of walkers last campaign - will not run the in MC let alone win it! #falsefav

2014-09-04T01:13:30+00:00

ray ford

Guest


A tough seasoned runner is required to win the Dato' saturday. The cleaner will obviously set the pace, but not let it spreadeagle the field. That would most likely be its undoing. 2/3 lengths about right. Also this is a much stronger field. The hunters most likely Star rolling & Lidari will be ready to pounce near turning for post. Ladari is a tough seasened galloper, almost bullet-proof 2nd up. @ $6.50 fxd that's overs.

2014-09-03T05:28:02+00:00

Scuba

Guest


With a better jockey.

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T04:03:36+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


After having a quick look Bande looks very similar to Delta Blues.

2014-09-03T03:26:44+00:00

Bondy

Guest


The overseas runners destroy doubles betting . $16 -1 the field for both cups for mine ...

2014-09-03T03:24:41+00:00

Bondy

Guest


I think The Offer is pretty forward from the trials I've seen he's gone to the post hard held not beaten far in good heats,he shouldn't be beaten by much I assume.

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T03:19:31+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


I haven't seen too much of the Japanese horses but if the result of Hana's Goal is anything to go by they are producing quality, I'm hopeful to have something up on the international horses by tomorrow.

2014-09-03T03:03:28+00:00

Alice

Guest


What do you think of the Japanese horses? A lot of my friends in the racing circle are saying it's more a matter of which one and how far with regards to the Cup.

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T02:27:04+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


I'd say it would be a hindrance as most stayers look to be a bit one paced when they come back via shorter races. I reckon Foreteller as Bondy has said below is a big chance. Looks to be running on better and will have benefited from the run in the PB Lawrence. I'm just comparing what Fiorente did last year with what The Offer could do this year, if he doesn't win on the weekend then it could show Fiorente's considerable class however I think the field this year is a step up. It's a first up run for The Offer so as you've said above his first up form hasn't been great in that regard. But if he does win then we could probably say he will be primed for a big spring.

2014-09-03T02:03:34+00:00

Scuba

Guest


I'm not sure about The Offer on Saturday. Ignoring his first Australian campaign (which was horrible), his two first up runs have been a 3rd over 1600 behind Index Linked and a 6th over 1400 behind Ecuador. I reckon he will be winding up late but that 1600 around the Valley will be too short, even though the field is a bit down on quality. The one thing I haven't worked out yet is whether The Cleaner charging along out in front will be a benefit or a hindrance to the true stayers resuming...

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T00:19:32+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


The Offer is the one I'm really more interested in as I'm not the world's biggest sprinting fan and love a good long distance race. I really rate Foreteller as a chance coming into the race 2nd up and will be much better following that run in the PB Lawrence Stakes.

2014-09-03T00:13:42+00:00

Bondy

Guest


double post.

2014-09-03T00:13:42+00:00

Bondy

Guest


It will be length margin win betting with Lankan Rupee . The Offer can be taken on with Forteller and Scared Falls his main rivals its a great weekends racing .

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T00:13:00+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


Haha this time I think she's serious should be a breeze for both these horses on the weekend.

AUTHOR

2014-09-03T00:12:14+00:00

Brent Ford

Roar Guru


Apologies my error there been fixed up.

2014-09-02T21:53:36+00:00

Tim

Guest


Glass Harmonium won the 2011 McKinnon. Rekindled Interest never won a group 1.

2014-09-02T21:09:27+00:00

Scuba

Guest


STOP THE PRESS! Gai Waterhouse has declared a horse of hers to be a winning chance!

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