De Villiers doesn't deserve the 'Best Ever' label - at least not yet

By Rudolph Lambert Fernandez / Roar Rookie

AB de Villiers, with his shuffle and shimmy routine, is the fastest to 50, 100 and 150 ODI runs. But some are jumping to conclusions about his place in cricket history.

AB is one of the most imaginative, most innovative short-form operators. But some are nailing plaques on the ODI Wall of Fame based on what ‘he would’, ‘he could’ have done had he faced stronger, wider resistance.

Cricket writers scramble to capture the ‘fastest this’ and the ‘fastest that’ of new-era batsmen. Hashim Amla, for instance, is the fastest to 5,000 ODI runs.

And Virat Kohli draws comparisons with Sachin Tendulkar.

Roughly 78 per cent of the cricketing fraternity whines against comparison. The other 78 per cent joyfully compares. The problem isn’t so much with comparison, as with context.

Of course there’s a lot of hammering of cricket balls going on. But what’s the context? Where’s the ferocity of the bowling challenge – the most decisive check on a ‘speeding’ batsman?

Where, amidst these speed-fests, are the most tested, most proven, most consistent ODI bowlers? Nowhere, it seems.

Among two dozen proven bowlers (at least 250 wickets) only four are still bowling – Shahid Afridi, Dan Vettori, Lasith Malinga and Jimmy Anderson.

Among the 20 most tested bowlers (at least 10,000 balls) only two remain – Afridi and Vettori.

Among 11 with at least five ‘five wickets in an innings’, only two remain – Afridi and Malinga.

Among the 13 most consistent bowlers (at least 6,000 balls) with a low career bowling average (25 or lower) only – wait a minute – not one remains. Not one.

The greats are gone: Shohaib Akhtar, Craig McDermott, Makhaya Ntini, Shaun Pollock, Allan Donald, Saqlain Mushtaq, Glenn McGrath, Muttiah Muralitharan, Brett Lee, Wasim Akram, Waqar Younis, Curtley Ambrose and Richard Hadlee.

The power of an explosive lies in its ability to ‘shift’ mass. It lies in what’s being destroyed – cardboard or concrete – and separates firecracker from “be somewhere else”. It lies in what’s resisting destruction. So, when cricket writers refer to a ‘destructive’ or ‘explosive’ batsman, context helps.

Virat Kohli, Hashim Amla, AB and others, with their anticipation and reflexes, are astonishing talents. Their teams cannot step on to any field, in any format, against any rival without them.

T20 has helped some appear to outshine their predecessors, but haven’t even their most towering ODI feats emerged in relatively pliable bowling environments, over just the last five-to-seven years? Against a backdrop of 3,600 ODIs over nearly 45 years, should we be rushing to rank them with 1990s-early 2000s batting greats who faced the most accomplished, most experienced ODI bowlers?

Yes, Gilchrist’s strike rate of 97, Sehwag’s of 104 are about the same as AB’s 98. But even if you ignore Gilchrist having faced 2,100 more deliveries than AB, look at the difference in bowling challenge.

Even the most breath-taking stats need perspective.

Yes, Afridi and Vettori have long been tested and Steyn, Anderson and Mitch Johnson can be dangerous on their day. But the new-era batting crop just haven’t seen the calibre of Walsh-Ambrose, Younis-Akram-Akhtar-Mushtaq, Vaas-Murali-Jayasuriya, Pollock-Ntini-Donald or Lee-McGrath.

The West Indies bowling ‘attack’ that AB shredded in the recent World Cup match in Sydney boasts of a career economy rate of around 5, some bordering 6. The relatively inexperienced attack have bowled a combined 8,807 ODI deliveries and conceded 7,663 runs.

Courtney Walsh alone bowled 2,015 more deliveries – but conceded 745 fewer runs.

Against a horde of the most tested, most prolific ODI batsmen, Walsh, Ambrose, Kapil, Akram, Muralitharan, Pollock, McGrath each held their economy rates at below four – after bowling a combined 97,056 deliveries. The batting highway lined with speed-breakers in the 1990s and early 2000s is now an expressway and the likes of AB are Kings of the Road.

33-year old Federer is widely considered the greatest tennis player because of his audacity to still keep entering tournaments.

This after 16 gruelling years in a sport where burn-out is the norm. He’s just finished his 123rd final and won his 84th title (Dubai open). His greatness is founded not on speculation about what ‘he would’, ‘he could’ have done had he been tested by a longer queue of deadly rivals.

His greatness is founded on fact: he actually has faced and defeated the stiffest, widest possible resistance for the longest possible time.

AB started out in 2005 but got into manic ODI stride only in 2007. But by then the bowling greats were gone or fading.

We may now well be at the spot in ODI history where we refer to ‘Before AB’ and ‘After AB’ phases, in a nod to the inventiveness and daring of new-era batsmen.

But should we be more careful when nailing plaques on the ODI Wall of Fame?

The Crowd Says:

2015-03-07T19:19:14+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


Talking about courage, sachin and lara never faced a paceman without headgear.would you say the past greats who actually did so with regularity were greater?

2015-03-07T19:08:15+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


Well rudolph,in the 70s n 80s great fast bowlers used to give away 3.3/3.4 runs per over in odi cricket over their whole careers.now a days people like steyn and mitchell johnson concede about 4.8 i think.doesn't make them average bowlers.the bowling isn't maybe as bad as many of us like to think.it's more about the rules,better bats and better shot making in general.

2015-03-07T18:36:30+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


Sorry rudolph..i stopped reading your article the moment i saw something like 'sanga probably better than bradman'.maybe you're an excellent writer with appreciable cricketing acumen but you can get better by avoiding such rubbish.

AUTHOR

2015-03-05T22:51:41+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


On 'best ever', 'all-time' batting greats BBC's Jonathan Agnew once said Sangakkara's Test "career average of 58.53 is superior to any of his illustrious peers". Here's why (link below) it's harder for late 2000s and otherwise brilliant contemporary batsmen (AB and his peers) to become 'all-time' greats...... just yet. http://www.sportskeeda.com/cricket/statistics-kumar-sangakkara-sachin-tendulkar-greatest-bradman

AUTHOR

2015-03-05T22:36:21+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Sadly yes, Prosenjit. One chance he does have is if the breadth, strength and depth of his bowling challenge picks up considerably. There seems little chance of that happening, yet, but it's not impossible. Thing is, success, as Charles Lindbergh put it, is "not measured by what a man accomplishes, but by the opposition he has encountered and the courage with which he has maintained the struggle against overwhelming odds". At the moment, there's simply no sign of 'struggle' or 'overwhelming' odds because the horde of great ODI bowlers has vanished. If you're interested, my book explores this theme (recording and rewarding greatness on the cricket field).

2015-03-05T15:14:07+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


My greatest odi batsmen: 1. Viv, 2.abdv, 3. Kohli=tendulkar, 4. Amla, 5.dhoni=dean jones, 6.mike hussey, 7.zaheer abbas, 8.gilly, 9.sehwag, 10.bevan.

2015-03-05T14:42:57+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


Thus going by this logic,abdv has zero chance of becoming the best one day bat of all time no matter how well he plays and how many times he rewrites the record books.i think it's tad unfair.if you look at the comparative stats across eras it would be found that only viv richards betters him,only just.

AUTHOR

2015-03-04T15:17:51+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Vikram. If you're referring to my Sachin/Cook piece a while back, yes, the same logic applies as do the stats. Absolutely no problem comparing AB with other contemporary bats (Dhoni, Amla, Kohli), but things get out of hand the moment you use those same stats across generations. Stats without perspective is at best, misguided; at its worst it's outright myth.

AUTHOR

2015-03-04T13:53:17+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Prosenjit Majumdar. The point isn't so much whether AB is good or great in his generation - he probably is the best (or one of the best) batsman around and probably has an enviable average/SR. With all that contemporary bowlers could throw at him in different formats he's come out ahead, consistently and brilliantly. Praise there is richly deserved. AB needs to be celebrated. The point is more about cricket writers, former cricketers rushing to anoint him the greatest/best across generations or to rank his peers with their predecessors stat by stat. That requires looking beyond stats. It requires looking more closely at resistance and field combat. The bowling challenge over the last few years (that AB and his peers have faced) has been, shall we say, relatively timid. So it's a tad premature to rank any contemporary batsman - not just AB - with the more tested greats from the 1990s and early 2000s.

2015-03-03T15:33:08+00:00

Prosenjit majumdar

Guest


Can you name another player whose combination of average n strike rate is comparable to AB's?

2015-03-02T06:20:17+00:00

Targa

Guest


Kyle Mills probably thought he'd reach the 250 wicket mark in this WC but Boult's improvement as an ODI bowler has probably denied him.

2015-03-02T06:17:09+00:00

Targa

Guest


Don't think so. Mike Hussey and Jonathan Trott did for a while. Kane Williamson probably will in 3 or 4 years

2015-03-02T01:24:37+00:00

Vikram

Guest


Wow i haven't seen any of the states when you were comparing sachin vs a.coock in all rore .....

AUTHOR

2015-03-02T00:32:12+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Vas Venkatramani. Agree - different challenges in different generations. You're right about stats rarely telling the full story. That's why it's dangerous to embrace stats (at the expense of understanding challenges faced/defeated) - the point of the Sangakkara piece above. You're also right about players who change the game not always being given due credit.

AUTHOR

2015-03-02T00:23:56+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Harvey Wilson. Don't think anyone is (or should be) suggesting that good players/teams are not good. In any era it's easy to separate great from good. It's when someone claims that a player/team transcends his/their era ('greatest', 'of all time') that one needs to be more careful. That's where depth, strength, consistency and range of resistance is key.

AUTHOR

2015-03-02T00:12:56+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks biltongbek & BBA. As BBA says, not sure there are 50+ avges across formats so AB & Amla are special indeed. And as BBA says, the key for them will be to hold on to those averages as they play 100+, 120+, 130+. It isn't their fault that the bowling of their era is....less challenging.

AUTHOR

2015-03-02T00:08:11+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Ali Abbas. If he ends up facing a wider range of skilled bowlers, who are at ease containing even the best batsmen, he's well on his way to all-time greatness.

AUTHOR

2015-03-02T00:02:59+00:00

Rudolph Lambert Fernandez

Roar Rookie


Thanks Abubakr Mela. AB deserves the praise because he's a fantastic player. That he's proved himself in 3 formats is a tribute to his skill and versatility in his era. This piece is an invitation to those who claim that his achievement transcends generations, to pause and think again. As for AB, long may he play this way - anyone who loves cricket will happily cheer him on his path to further greatness.

2015-03-01T23:57:18+00:00

Vas Venkatramani

Roar Guru


Some fine analysis Rudolph. Thanks for this article. Very informative. The notion of comparing eras is ridiculous. Different eras have been confronted with different challenges. I would argue the challenge of the modern era is no longer around average, but around strike rate. Whereas Bevan's era was about trying to survive until the 50th over against an assortment of attacks of which comprised the finest bowlers ODI cricket has seen, hence why he had such an excellent average. Your examples of fast bowlers such as Wasim, Waqar, Ambrose, Walsh, Donald and Pollock are well noted. The other thing is that statistics will rarely ever tell the full story. Romesh Kaluwitharana's numbers would make him look an also-ran, and tell nothing of the crucial role he played to help Sri Lanka win its first World Cup in 1996. Similarly, stats tell no story about the role Brad Hogg played in winning two World Cups. There are many stories like this. For me, de Villiers will go down as a great player, like many before him. To be truly considered elite amongst the greats would be to leave an indelible footprint in changing the game. One player who did that was Shane Warne. Another was Wasim Akram. A batsman who did that was VVS Laxman, for how he lead a change in the character of Indian cricket. Laxman's stats will never tell how he did more to help India become an elite nation than either Tendulkar or Dravid did.

2015-03-01T23:22:34+00:00

Sideline Comm.

Guest


Yeah, not that I could think of BB. Great stats, and both in the same team. It just shows that in all this Australia vs. New Zealand excitement, SA are just powering along under the radar. They must love that.

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